Thursday, November 22, 2007

EURO 2008: UEFA ranking system under review

May 20, 2008: See the new coefficient system approved by UEFA -> link.
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According to UEFA's professional football director Giorgio Marchetti, a UEFA review of its coefficient ranking system is underway for future EURO competitions -> link.

The current formula: (P1+P2)/(M1+M2)

It takes into account the number of points gained in the last two qualifying competitions (EURO and WC).

P - points, M - matches

Netherlands    2.417
Croatia 2.409
Italy 2.364
Czech Republic 2.333
Sweden 2.273
Romania 2.250
Germany 2.250
Portugal 2.192
Spain 2.182
Greece 2.167
Poland 2.167
France 2.091
Turkey 1.958
Russia 1.958


Pot 1: Austria, Switzerland, Greece, Netherlands
Pot 2: Croatia, Italy, Czech Republic, Sweden
Pot 3: Romania, Germany, Portugal, Spain
Pot 4: Poland, France, Turkey, Russia





A couple of proposals

1. Use a weighted version of the current formula

(P1/M1 + 2*P2/M2)/

This would be the ranking:

Croatia        2.411
Italy 2.378
Czech Republic 2.361
Netherlands 2.333
Greece 2.306
Romania 2.306
Germany 2.250
Sweden 2.244
Spain 2.222
Poland 2.133
Portugal 2.119
France 2.111
Turkey 1.972
Russia 1.972


The pots:

Pot 1: Austria, Switzerland, Greece, Croatia
Pot 2: Italy, Czech Republic, Netherlands, Romania
Pot 3: Germany, Sweden, Spain, Poland
Pot 4: Portugal, France, Turkey, Russia

2. Use the latest FIFA rankings

Pot 1: Austria, Switzerland, Greece, Italy
Pot 2: Spain, Germany, Czech Republic, France
Pot 3: Portugal, Netherlands, Croatia, Romania
Pot 4 : Turkey, Sweden, Russia, Poland

3. Use the African Nations Cup system - results of the previous three EURO tournaments

7 points for the winner
5 points for the runner-up
3 points for losing semifinalists
2 points for losing quarter finalists
1 points for team eliminated in the group stage

Points for EURO 2004 multiplied by 3, EURO 2000 by 2, EURO 1996 by 1.

Ranking

Portugal       2 3 5 23
France 3 7 2 23
Greece - - 7 21
Netherlands 2 3 3 17
Czech Republic 5 1 3 16
Italy 1 5 1 14
Germany 7 1 1 12
Spain 2 2 1 9
Sweden - 1 2 8
Croatia 1 - 2 5
Romania - 2 1 5
Turkey - 2 1 5
Russia 1 - 1 4
Switzerland 1 - 1 4
Austria - - - 0
Poland - - - 0


The pots:

Pot 1: Austria, Switzerland, Greece, Portugal
Pot 2 : France, Netherlands, Czech Republic, Italy
Pot 3: Germany, Spain, Sweden, Croatia
Pot 4: Romania, Turkey, Russia, Poland

4. Use a modified African Nations Cup system - results of the two previous EURO tournaments

After all, ACN takes place every two years, EURO - every four years and results from a tournament played 12 years ago have little relevance.

Ranking:

Greece         - 7 14
Portugal 3 5 13
France 7 2 11
Netherlands 3 3 9
Czech Republic 1 3 7
Italy 5 1 7
Sweden 1 2 5
Spain 2 1 4
Germany 1 1 3
Russia - 1 2
Croatia - 1 2
Switzerland - 1 2
Romania 2 - 2
Turkey 2 - 2
Austria - - 0
Poland - - 0


Pots:

Pot 1: Austria, Switzerland, Greece, Portugal
Pot 2: France, Netherlands, Czech Republic, Italy
Pot 3: Sweden, Spain, Germany, Russia
Pot 4: Croatia, Romania, Turkey, Poland

5. Use a system similar with the one used by FIFA to determine the WC seeds

The formula: Ranking Points + Performance Points

Ranking Points

Using the rankings published in Dec 2005, Dec 2006 and Nov 2007, for each of the ranking sort the teams - the best gets 16 points, the worst 1. Add the three values and divide by 3.

Performance points

Using EURO 2000 and EURO 2004

Winner gets 16 points, losing finalist 15 points and so on. The losing quarter finalist with the worst over-all performance gets 9 points. Teams eliminated in the group stage are ranked on points, goal difference, goals scored. The first four get 5 points, the other 4 points.

The value for EURO 2004 is multiplied by 2, for EURO 2000 by 1. The total is divided by 3.

Ranking:

France         13.3 13.3 26.6
Netherlands 13.3 12.7 26
Portugal 14.3 11.7 26
Czech Republic 11 13.3 24.3
Italy 8.3 14 22.3
Spain 7.3 13 20.3
Greece 10.7 7.3 18
Germany 4.7 12 16.7
Sweden 8 7.7 15.7
Croatia 2.7 7.7 10.4
Turkey 3.7 6.3 10
Romania 3.3 5.3 8.6
Russia 3.3 3.7 7
Switzerland 2.7 3.3 6
Poland 0 3.7 3.7
Austria 0 1 1


The pots

Pot 1: Austria, Switzerland, Greece, France
Pot 2: Netherlands, Portugal, Czech Republic, Italy
Pot 3: Spain, Germany, Sweden, Croatia
Pot 4: Turkey, Romania, Russia, Poland

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

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