Here's a preview of the September 2008 FIFA rankings (only the top 50). No matter what happens, Spain will remain on top, while Italy will return on the second step of the podium. Netherlands could go third with a win against Russia.
Looking at the rivalries, Mexico will overtake the USA with a home win against Honduras, while Scotland will overtake England for the second time in the history of the rankings if they get a better result against Northern Ireland than England against the Czech Republic. England will be safe with a win, no matter what Scotland does.
Argentina will overtake Brazil with a win against Belarus.
Spain, Cameroon and Japan are safe as top teams of their confederations.
New Caledonia will replace New Zealand at the top of the OFC.
Point totals for teams from the top 20 of the October 2007 ranking should be 100% correct. For the others, there's the issue of historical rankings published before July 2006.
"Current" = as of today (August 8th). I've included in the calculations matches played up to and including August 7th. Basically, these would be the point totals if no matches would be played until the rankings are published on September 3rd.
Current rank - Country - Current points - Minimum points - Maximum points
1 | Spain | 1603 | 1543 | 1572 |
2 | Italy | 1380 | 1332 | 1353 |
3 | Germany | 1341 | 1302 | 1329 |
4 | Netherlands | 1338 | 1293 | 1329 |
5 | Croatia | 1288 | 1242 | 1266 |
6 | Argentina | 1265 | 1217 | 1256 |
7 | Brazil | 1252 | 1252 | 1252 |
8 | Czech Republic | 1170 | 1120 | 1162 |
9 | Portugal | 1148 | 1109 | 1120 |
10 | Russia | 1042 | 1000 | 1039 |
11 | Turkey | 1039 | 1005 | 1033 |
12 | Scotland | 1027 | 956 | 1019 |
13 | England | 1016 | 973 | 1025 |
14 | Romania | 1012 | 976 | 1007 |
15 | France | 1006 | 985 | 1019 |
16 | Cameroon | 1001 | 1001 | 1001 |
17 | Bulgaria | 1000 | 928 | 976 |
18 | Israel | 944 | 877 | 936 |
19 | Greece | 925 | 891 | 920 |
20 | Ghana | 893 | 893 | 893 |
21 | Egypt | 866 | 841 | 852 |
22 | Paraguay | 824 | 792 | 821 |
23 | Colombia | 814 | 786 | 816 |
24 | Côte d'Ivoire | 813 | 792 | 813 |
25 | Uruguay | 808 | 776 | 817 |
26 | Poland | 799 | 779 | 811 |
27 | Sweden | 793 | 772 | 807 |
28 | Nigeria | 791 | 791 | 791 |
29 | Northern Ireland | 775 | 738 | 807 |
29 | Ukraine | 775 | 754 | 801 |
31 | USA | 758 | 735 | 788 |
32 | Norway | 757 | 715 | 768 |
33 | Mexico | 746 | 727 | 807 |
34 | Serbia | 743 | 743 | 743 |
35 | Denmark | 725 | 692 | 747 |
36 | Japan | 722 | 701 | 730 |
37 | Chile | 681 | 655 | 695 |
38 | Australia | 677 | 645 | 675 |
39 | Guinea | 675 | 650 | 682 |
39 | Morocco | 675 | 655 | 671 |
41 | Republic of Ireland | 674 | 643 | 700 |
42 | Tunisia | 655 | 636 | 659 |
43 | Senegal | 641 | 618 | 639 |
44 | Mali | 639 | 639 | 639 |
45 | Switzerland | 632 | 612 | 644 |
46 | Moldova | 629 | 575 | 622 |
47 | Iran | 627 | 603 | 633 |
48 | Finland | 626 | 601 | 650 |
49 | Hungary | 587 | 557 | 572 |
50 | Wales | 581 | 549 | 580 |
I'll try to post an update after August 20th.
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