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Wednesday, December 17, 2008

2010 WC: Seeding formula based on current standings (17 December 2008)

Seeded teams for the 2010 FIFA World Cup South Africa.

Qualified teams determined using the current standings and the FIFA rankings.

December 2008 now set in the formula. Only one part left: the November 2009 ranking.

Qatar replaces Saudi Arabia.
 1 Germany        60.3 30.3 30.0
 2 Brazil         58.3 29.3 29.0
 3 Italy          56.7 27.3 29.3
 4 Spain          56.3 25.3 31.0
 5 England        51.0 26.3 24.7
 6 Argentina      49.7 21.0 28.7
 7 Netherlands    43.7 14.7 29.0
--------------------------------
 8 Mexico         35.7 19.3 16.3
 9 Croatia        35.0  9.0 26.0
10 Turkey         32.7 10.0 22.7
11 USA            31.3 13.7 17.7
12 Paraguay       31.3 11.7 19.7
13 Ghana          25.0 13.3 11.7
14 Russia         25.0  3.0 22.0
15 Cameroon       23.3  3.0 20.3
16 Japan          22.7 13.3  9.3
17 Korea Republic 21.7 15.7  6.0
18 Nigeria        21.3  2.7 18.7
19 Australia      21.0 11.3  9.7
20 Greece         19.7  0.0 19.7
21 Israel         18.0  0.0 18.0
22 Uruguay        17.3  2.7 14.7
23 Egypt          17.3  0.0 17.3
24 Cote d'Ivoire  17.0  6.0 11.0
25 Denmark        16.7  7.7  9.0
26 Serbia         11.7  0.0 11.7
27 Iran           11.0  5.3  5.7
28 Chile           8.0  0.0  8.0
29 Honduras        5.3  0.0  5.3
30 South Africa    5.0  3.0  2.0
31 Slovakia        3.0  0.0  3.0
32 Qatar           1.0  0.0  1.0
Top 7 + South Africa seeded.

The pots:

Pot 1: Argentina, Brazil, England, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, South Africa, Spain
Pot 2: Croatia, Denmark, Greece, Israel, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Turkey
Pot 3: Australia, Honduras, Iran, Japan, Korea Republic, Mexico, Qatar, USA
Pot 4: Cameroon, Chile, Cote d'Ivoire, Egypt, Ghana, Nigeria, Paraguay, Uruguay

Possible draw (using random.org):

Group A: South Africa, Serbia, USA, Uruguay
Group B: Argentina, Russia, Japan, Nigeria
Group C: England, Greece, Iran, Ghana
Group D: Spain, Slovakia, Mexico, Egypt
Group E: Brazil, Israel, Qatar, Cote d'Ivoire
Group F: Italy, Turkey, Korea Republic, Cameroon
Group G: Netherlands, Denmark, Australia, Chile
Group H: Germany, Croatia, Honduras, Paraguay

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

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2 comments:

  1. AnonymousDecember 21, 2008 at 10:29 AM

    Hi,

    the current standings are a bit uneven, as teams might have played more matches than other in there group.

    so here is the "real" european output:

    We simply ommit matches played against minors like Malta, Liechtenstein, etc. Then we calculate +3 for a win away, +1 for a draw away, 0 for a home win or a away loss, -2 for a home draw, -3 for a home loss.

    Gr1: DEN 4, SWE -1
    Gr2: SUI 1, GRE 0
    Gr3: CZE 1, SVN 1
    Gr4: GER 1, RUS 0
    Gr5: ESP 3, BIH 0
    Gr6: ENG 6, UKR -1
    Gr7: SRB 3, LTU 3
    Gr8: ITA 4, IRL 4
    Gr9: NED 6, SCO 1

    Considering, that only four runners-up make it to SA 2010, these might be IRL, LTU, SCO, SVN at the moment + DEN, SUI, CZE, GER, ESP, ENG, SRB, ITA, NED.

    As for Conmebol, it is PAR 8, BRA 2, ARG 1, URU -2 and Chile on position 5, playing against the CONCACAF 4th.

    ReplyDelete
  2. EdgarDecember 22, 2008 at 9:59 AM

    Thanks Marko!

    ReplyDelete