2010 WC Seeding: Performance part

Team - 2002 WC - 2006 WC - Total

Angola	0	9	6.0
Argentina	9	27	21.0
Australia	0	17	11.3
Belgium	19	0	6.3
Brazil	32	28	29.3
Cameroon	9	0	3.0
China	8	0	2.7
Costa Rica	9	8	8.3
Côte d'Ivoire	0	9	6.0
Croatia	9	9	9.0
Czech Republic	0	9	6.0
Denmark	23	0	7.7
Ecuador	9	21	17.0
England	27	26	26.3
France	8	31	23.3
Germany	31	30	30.3
Ghana	0	20	13.3
Iran	0	8	5.3
Ireland	21	0	7.0
Italy	18	32	27.3
Japan	24	8	13.3
Korea Republic	29	9	15.7
Mexico	22	18	19.3
Netherlands	0	22	14.7
Nigeria	8	0	2.7
Paraguay	17	9	11.7
Poland	8	9	8.7
Portugal	9	29	22.3
Russia	9	0	3.0
Saudi Arabia	8	8	8.0
Senegal	26	0	8.7
Serbia	0	8	5.3
Slovenia	8	0	2.7
South Africa	9	0	3.0
Spain	28	24	25.3
Sweden	20	19	19.3
Switzerland	0	23	15.3
Togo	0	8	5.3
Trinidad and Tobago	0	8	5.3
Tunisia	8	9	8.7
Turkey	30	0	10.0
Ukraine	0	25	16.7
Uruguay	8	0	2.7
USA	25	8	13.7

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About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

FIFA Ranking: February 2009 preview (II)

Point totals for teams from the top 20 of the October 2007 ranking should be 100% correct. For the others, there's the issue of historical rankings published before July 2006.

Included matches: up to and including January 28th, 2009. Matches left to play: 5 matches at the UNCAF Nations Cup and a couple of friendlies.

February 2009 current rank - Team - February 2009 current points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points

1	Spain	1693	0	30
2	Germany	1403	0	14
3	Netherlands	1357	0	19
4	Italy	1318	0	-8
5	Brazil	1248	0	2
6	Argentina	1181	0	1
7	Croatia	1175	0	33
8	England	1136	0	21
9	Russia	1119	0	16
10	Turkey	1040	0	24
11	France	1026	0	19
12	Czech Republic	1020	-1	13
12	Portugal	1020	-1	13
14	Ukraine	936	2	27
15	Paraguay	922	3	33
16	Cameroon	900	-2	-89
17	Romania	880	4	22
18	Israel	878	1	1
19	Greece	864	1	-8
20	USA	858	2	5
21	Switzerland	856	3	32
22	Uruguay	849	1	21
23	Nigeria	827	-6	-64
24	Mexico	791	2	-20
25	Sweden	780	6	32
26	Bulgaria	773	2	-9
27	Australia	760	2	-17
28	Poland	754	3	6
29	Republic of Ireland	747	8	36
30	Chile	743	0	-14
31	Egypt	742	-16	-232
32	Scotland	739	1	0
33	Serbia	737	2	6
34	Denmark	725	2	9
35	Côte d'Ivoire	713	-8	-72
35	Ghana	713	-10	-100
37	Costa Rica	705	10	99
37	Honduras	705	3	16
39	Japan	694	-5	-40
40	Ecuador	692	-1	-5
41	Morocco	654	0	14
42	Slovakia	636	2	15
43	Korea Republic	633	-1	5
44	Hungary	630	3	24
45	Iran	623	1	10
46	Guinea	608	-8	-102
47	Mali	603	-4	-23
48	Lithuania	595	2	12
49	Northern Ireland	593	3	13
50	Colombia	584	-1	-13
51	Slovenia	570	6	38
52	Tunisia	568	-7	-47
53	Belgium	567	1	19
54	Senegal	565	-4	-18
55	Saudi Arabia	556	-2	-3
56	Norway	550	3	24
57	Finland	545	-2	10
58	Bolivia	537	0	9
59	Bosnia-Herzegovina	535	2	18
59	FYR Macedonia	535	-3	2
61	Burkina Faso	520	1	8
62	Gabon	515	0	3
63	Jamaica	508	3	14
64	Wales	501	-4	-21
65	Algeria	497	-1	-4
66	Latvia	493	4	9
67	Uzbekistan	491	2	6
68	Venezuela	490	-3	-6
69	Congo	486	1	2
69	South Africa	486	5	28
71	Peru	478	1	16
72	Uganda	477	-4	-12
73	Gambia	465	2	19
74	Bahrain	461	15	54
75	Panama	459	8	42
76	Angola	455	-9	-37
77	Iceland	444	3	23
78	Trinidad and Tobago	440	-5	-21
79	Albania	435	-1	11
80	Libya	432	-2	8
81	Benin	422	18	60
82	New Zealand	419	0	0
83	Austria	414	9	26
84	Sudan	412	9	29
85	Rwanda	407	6	16
86	Iraq	406	-1	-6
87	Canada	398	-1	-12
87	Togo	398	3	-7
89	Belarus	394	-8	-26
89	Oman	394	5	18
91	Qatar	385	-5	-25
92	Zambia	381	-16	-49
93	Cuba	380	-16	-45
94	Congo DR	374	-8	-36
95	Mozambique	372	3	0
95	Syria	372	10	36
97	Cyprus	368	-3	-8
98	Kenya	367	-14	-46
99	Moldova	364	-2	-9
100	Zimbabwe	350	-4	-24
101	Ethiopia	348	1	0
102	El Salvador	343	8	28
103	Malawi	342	0	0
104	Tanzania	341	-3	-11
105	China PR	339	-1	-1
106	Fiji	333	0	0
107	Cape Verde Islands	332	0	0
108	Georgia	328	0	0
109	Guatemala	324	0	-1
110	Sierra Leone	315	0	0
111	Montenegro	310	2	0
112	Haiti	302	-12	-55
113	Grenada	298	10	45
114	Namibia	297	1	1
115	Bermuda	291	16	62
115	Thailand	291	9	39
117	United Arab Emirates	288	-3	-16
118	Botswana	283	-1	0
119	Korea DPR	280	-3	-7
120	Luxembourg	279	1	20
121	Armenia	278	-9	-35
122	Antigua and Barbuda	265	5	23
122	Estonia	265	-4	5
124	Equatorial Guinea	255	-2	-2
125	Chad	249	-7	-11
126	Jordan	246	0	2
126	Kuwait	246	-8	-14
128	Barbados	243	-3	-5
129	Suriname	231	0	0
130	New Caledonia	229	1	0
131	Singapore	225	4	18
132	Guyana	218	-3	-13
133	Burundi	217	-5	-19
134	Vietnam	216	4	34
135	Azerbaijan	210	-1	1
135	Indonesia	210	9	43
137	Swaziland	209	0	19
138	Kazakhstan	207	-5	-3
138	Madagascar	207	-3	0
140	Liberia	179	-1	0
141	Vanuatu	176	-1	0
142	Hong Kong	174	10	35
143	Puerto Rico	170	-2	-3
144	Niger	168	-2	0
145	Tajikistan	162	1	0
146	India	161	-4	-7
147	Yemen	155	6	24
148	Lebanon	150	-3	-13
149	Mauritania	149	0	0
150	Liechtenstein	147	1	0
151	Netherlands Antilles	142	3	14
152	St. Kitts and Nevis	139	2	11
153	Malta	134	-5	-17
154	Turkmenistan	131	-5	-18
155	Maldives	126	2	0
156	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	123	-9	-30
157	Myanmar	121	-1	-6
158	Kyrgyzstan	112	1	0
159	Eritrea	108	1	0
160	Nicaragua	105	22	60
161	Lesotho	103	0	-3
161	Malaysia	103	-3	-11
163	Solomon Islands	100	0	0
164	Philippines	98	-2	-4
164	Sri Lanka	98	0	0
166	Pakistan	89	-1	0
167	Chinese Taipei	85	-1	0
168	Cayman Islands	76	3	3
169	Bahamas	74	0	0
169	Mauritius	74	0	0
171	Laos	73	-3	-7
172	Seychelles	72	0	0
173	Nepal	70	1	0
174	Bangladesh	68	1	0
175	Samoa	64	1	0
175	St. Lucia	64	1	0
177	Belize	62	-4	-9
178	Somalia	57	0	0
179	Cambodia	56	0	0
179	Palestine	56	1	4
181	Turks and Caicos Islands	51	-14	-32
182	British Virgin Islands	50	-1	0
183	Brunei Darussalam	45	-1	0
184	Afghanistan	44	0	0
185	Faroe Islands	42	0	0
186	Djibouti	41	0	0
187	Dominican Republic	40	0	0
188	Guinea-Bissau	38	0	0
189	Bhutan	33	0	0
190	Tahiti	32	0	0
190	Tonga	32	0	0
192	Mongolia	24	1	0
193	Aruba	22	1	0
194	US Virgin Islands	17	2	0
195	Andorra	14	0	-6
196	Dominica	12	-4	-13
197	Macau	10	0	0
198	Timor-Leste	9	0	0
199	Comoros	8	0	0
200	Central African Republic	6	0	0
201	American Samoa	0	0	0
201	Anguilla	0	0	0
201	Cook Islands	0	0	0
201	Guam	0	0	0
201	Montserrat	0	0	0
201	Papua New Guinea	0	0	0
201	San Marino	0	0	0

---

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

South Africa - Zambia to lose international match status?

According to KickOff.com (thanks jonny for the tip), Zambia have used 7 substitutes in their friendly against South Africa, thus breaking FIFA regulations regarding the number of substitutes allowed in an international friendly (only six are allowed according to FIFA statutes).

FIFA will not take action as long as there is no official protest from one of the teams involved, similar to the Trinidad & Tobago - England match last year. Again, thanks jonny for the info!

Should South Africa protest?

How was their FIFA ranking affected by this match?

The average of the last 12 months rose from 264.9 to 268.56, gaining 4 points. So at first glance, the South Africans shouldn't be interested in dropping this match from the FIFA ranking calculations. However, they also need to look at the big picture. If they put on a decent performance at the Confederations Cup, this match against Zambia will make it a bit harder to improve their average.

Should Zambia protest?

Their average for the last 12 months went down from 151.49 to 140.675, losing 11 points after this loss. Of course, they would be interested to protest.

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About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

FIFA Ranking: February 2009 probable results

Here are the probable results used for the February 2009 probable ranking. They are generated using the Elo Ratings.

1 - First team wins
X - Draw
2 - Second team wins

22/Jan El Salvador - Nicaragua 1 (Continental Qualifier)
22/Jan Honduras - Belize 1 (Continental Qualifier)
23/Jan Korea DPR - Lebanon 1 (Friendly)
23/Jan Egypt - Kenya 1 (Friendly)
23/Jan Kuwait - Syria X (Friendly)
23/Jan Costa Rica - Panama X (Continental Qualifier)
24/Jan Belize - El Salvador 2 (Continental Qualifier)
24/Jan USA - Sweden X (Friendly)
24/Jan Honduras - Nicaragua 1 (Continental Qualifier)
25/Jan Guatemala - Costa Rica 2 (Continental Qualifier)
26/Jan Nicaragua - Belize X (Continental Qualifier)
26/Jan Honduras - El Salvador 1 (Continental Qualifier)
27/Jan Guatemala - Panama X (Continental Qualifier)
28/Jan Yemen - Hong Kong X (Continental Qualifier)
28/Jan Lebanon - Syria 2 (Continental Qualifier)
28/Jan Kuwait - Oman X (Continental Qualifier)
28/Jan Bahrain - Japan X (Continental Qualifier)
28/Jan Thailand - Iran 2 (Continental Qualifier)
28/Jan United Arab Emirates - Uzbekistan X (Continental Qualifier)
28/Jan Indonesia - Australia 2 (Continental Qualifier)
28/Jan Singapore - Jordan X (Continental Qualifier)
28/Jan Mexico - Sweden X (Friendly)
29/Jan Guatemala - Belize 1 (Continental Qualifier)
30/Jan Honduras - Panama 1 (Continental Qualifier)
30/Jan Costa Rica - El Salvador 1 (Continental Qualifier)
01/Feb Honduras - Costa Rica X Honduras PSO (Continental Qualifier)
01/Feb Panama - El Salvador X Panama PSO (Continental Qualifier)
01/Feb Syria - Korea Republic X (Friendly)
01/Feb Uzbekistan - Azerbaijan 1 (Friendly)
04/Feb Japan - Finland 1 (Friendly)
04/Feb Bahrain - Korea Republic 2 (Friendly)

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About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

FIFA Ranking: February 2009 probable ranking (I)

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.

African nations (especially Egypt) will receive a major blow as the 2008 and 2006 editions of the African Nations Cup lose value.

Republic of Ireland will be the big climbers in the top 50, while Romania and Switzerland will return to the top 20.

Australia will improve their best ever ranking, climbing to 26th.

Next update around February 5th.

Probable February 2009 rank - Team - Probable February 2009 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points

1	Spain	1693	0	30
2	Germany	1403	0	14
3	Netherlands	1357	0	19
4	Italy	1318	0	-8
5	Brazil	1248	0	2
6	Argentina	1181	0	1
7	Croatia	1175	0	33
8	England	1136	0	21
9	Russia	1119	0	16
10	Turkey	1040	0	24
11	France	1026	0	19
12	Czech Republic	1020	-1	13
12	Portugal	1020	-1	13
14	Ukraine	936	2	27
15	Paraguay	922	3	33
16	Cameroon	900	-2	-89
17	Romania	880	4	22
18	Israel	878	1	1
19	Greece	864	1	-8
20	Switzerland	856	4	32
21	USA	854	1	1
22	Uruguay	849	1	21
23	Nigeria	827	-6	-64
24	Mexico	814	2	3
25	Sweden	798	6	50
26	Australia	786	3	9
27	Bulgaria	773	1	-9
28	Poland	754	3	6
29	Republic of Ireland	747	8	36
30	Egypt	746	-15	-228
31	Chile	743	-1	-14
32	Scotland	739	1	0
33	Serbia	737	2	6
34	Japan	730	0	-4
35	Denmark	725	1	9
36	Côte d'Ivoire	713	-9	-72
36	Ghana	713	-11	-100
38	Honduras	702	2	13
39	Ecuador	692	0	-5
40	Costa Rica	666	7	60
41	Morocco	654	0	14
42	Slovakia	636	2	15
43	Korea Republic	633	-1	5
44	Hungary	630	3	24
44	Iran	630	2	17
46	Guinea	608	-8	-102
47	Mali	603	-4	-23
48	Colombia	597	1	0
49	Lithuania	595	1	12
50	Northern Ireland	593	2	13
51	Slovenia	570	6	38
52	Tunisia	568	-7	-47
53	Belgium	567	1	19
54	Senegal	565	-4	-18
55	Saudi Arabia	556	-2	-3
56	Norway	550	3	24
57	Finland	545	-2	10
58	Bolivia	537	0	9
59	Bosnia-Herzegovina	535	2	18
59	FYR Macedonia	535	-3	2
61	Burkina Faso	520	1	8
62	Gabon	515	0	3
63	Jamaica	508	3	14
64	Wales	501	-4	-21
65	Algeria	497	-1	-4
66	Latvia	493	4	9
67	Venezuela	490	-2	-6
68	Congo	486	2	2
69	South Africa	482	5	24
70	Peru	478	2	16
71	Uganda	477	-3	-12
72	Uzbekistan	468	-3	-17
73	Gambia	465	2	19
74	Angola	455	-7	-37
75	Iceland	444	5	23
76	Trinidad and Tobago	440	-3	-21
77	Albania	435	1	11
78	Libya	432	0	8
79	Panama	430	4	13
80	Bahrain	424	9	17
81	Benin	422	18	60
82	New Zealand	419	0	0
83	Austria	414	9	26
84	Sudan	412	9	29
85	Rwanda	407	6	16
86	Iraq	406	-1	-6
87	Canada	398	-1	-12
87	Togo	398	3	-7
89	Belarus	394	-8	-26
90	Zambia	392	-14	-38
91	Kenya	388	-7	-25
92	Qatar	385	-6	-25
93	Oman	382	1	6
94	Cuba	380	-17	-45
95	Congo DR	374	-9	-36
96	Mozambique	372	2	0
97	Cyprus	368	-3	-8
98	Moldova	364	-1	-9
98	Syria	364	7	28
100	El Salvador	357	10	42
101	Zimbabwe	350	-5	-24
102	Ethiopia	348	0	0
103	Guatemala	346	6	21
104	Malawi	342	-1	0
105	Tanzania	341	-4	-11
106	China PR	339	-2	-1
107	Fiji	333	-1	0
108	Cape Verde Islands	332	-1	0
109	Georgia	328	-1	0
110	Sierra Leone	315	0	0
111	Montenegro	310	2	0
112	Haiti	302	-12	-55
113	Grenada	298	10	45
114	Namibia	297	1	1
115	United Arab Emirates	295	-1	-9
116	Bermuda	291	15	62
117	Korea DPR	289	-1	2
118	Botswana	283	-1	0
119	Thailand	280	5	28
120	Luxembourg	279	1	20
121	Armenia	278	-9	-35
122	Antigua and Barbuda	265	5	23
122	Estonia	265	-4	5
124	Kuwait	263	-6	3
125	Equatorial Guinea	255	-3	-2
126	Jordan	253	0	9
127	Chad	249	-9	-11
128	Barbados	243	-3	-5
129	Suriname	231	0	0
130	New Caledonia	229	1	0
131	Guyana	218	-2	-13
132	Burundi	217	-4	-19
133	Vietnam	216	5	34
134	Azerbaijan	210	0	1
135	Swaziland	209	2	19
136	Kazakhstan	207	-3	-3
136	Madagascar	207	-1	0
138	Singapore	202	-3	-5
139	Indonesia	192	5	25
140	Liberia	179	-1	0
141	Vanuatu	176	-1	0
142	Hong Kong	174	10	35
143	Puerto Rico	170	-2	-3
144	Niger	168	-2	0
145	Tajikistan	162	1	0
146	India	161	-4	-7
147	Mauritania	149	2	0
148	Liechtenstein	147	3	0
149	Lebanon	143	-4	-20
150	Netherlands Antilles	142	4	14
151	St. Kitts and Nevis	139	3	11
152	Malta	134	-4	-17
153	Turkmenistan	131	-4	-18
154	Yemen	128	-1	-3
155	Maldives	126	2	0
156	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	123	-9	-30
157	Myanmar	121	-1	-6
158	Kyrgyzstan	112	1	0
159	Eritrea	108	1	0
160	Lesotho	103	1	-3
160	Malaysia	103	-2	-11
162	Solomon Islands	100	1	0
163	Philippines	98	-1	-4
163	Sri Lanka	98	1	0
165	Pakistan	89	0	0
166	Chinese Taipei	85	0	0
167	Cayman Islands	76	4	3
168	Bahamas	74	1	0
168	Mauritius	74	1	0
170	Laos	73	-2	-7
171	Seychelles	72	1	0
172	Nepal	70	2	0
173	Bangladesh	68	2	0
174	Samoa	64	2	0
174	St. Lucia	64	2	0
176	Somalia	57	2	0
177	Cambodia	56	2	0
177	Palestine	56	3	4
179	Belize	53	-6	-18
180	Turks and Caicos Islands	51	-13	-32
181	British Virgin Islands	50	0	0
182	Brunei Darussalam	45	0	0
182	Nicaragua	45	0	0
184	Afghanistan	44	0	0
185	Faroe Islands	42	0	0
186	Djibouti	41	0	0
187	Dominican Republic	40	0	0
188	Guinea-Bissau	38	0	0
189	Bhutan	33	0	0
190	Tahiti	32	0	0
190	Tonga	32	0	0
192	Mongolia	24	1	0
193	Aruba	22	1	0
194	US Virgin Islands	17	2	0
195	Andorra	14	0	-6
196	Dominica	12	-4	-13
197	Macau	10	0	0
198	Timor-Leste	9	0	0
199	Comoros	8	0	0
200	Central African Republic	6	0	0
201	American Samoa	0	0	0
201	Anguilla	0	0	0
201	Cook Islands	0	0	0
201	Guam	0	0	0
201	Montserrat	0	0	0
201	Papua New Guinea	0	0	0
201	San Marino	0	0	0

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About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.