Assumptions:
- UEFA will again have 13 spots
- UEFA will again use the system with 9 groups
- FIFA will use the FIFA ranking to seed the teams
- FIFA will hold the draw in November 2011
The November 2011 FIFA ranking will include matches played between November 2007 and November 2011. We already have the "0.2" part (matches played between November 2007 and November 2008) - that's basically 10% of the final ranking and a bit of the "0.3" part (matches played between November 2008 and November 2009). A lot can and will change before November 2011 as there are many matches to be played involving European teams: 2010 FIFA World Cup qualifiers, 2009 FIFA Confederations Cup, 2010 FIFA World Cup, EURO 2012 qualifiers and plenty of friendlies.
UEFA will only use the national team coefficient for the European Championships draws (qualifying and final tournament).
This is the November 2011 ranking (for UEFA only) using matches played up to and including March 28th, 2009.
1 Spain 273
2 Netherlands 204
3 Germany 154
4 Croatia 150
5 Russia 149
6 Israel 147
7 Italy 135
7 Ukraine 135
9 Switzerland 132
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10 Serbia 131
11 Turkey 129
12 England 126
13 Czech Republic 113
14 Bulgaria 112
14 Republic of Ireland 112
16 Greece 110
16 Portugal 110
18 France 109
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19 Denmark 107
19 Sweden 107
21 Hungary 105
22 Bosnia-Herzegovina 103
23 Poland 101
24 Northern Ireland 97
25 Lithuania 96
26 Slovenia 85
27 Romania 84
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28 Latvia 81
29 Belgium 74
30 Slovakia 73
31 Finland 71
32 Montenegro 66
32 Wales 66
34 Belarus 56
35 FYR Macedonia 55
35 Norway 55
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37 Cyprus 54
37 Albania 54
39 Iceland 52
40 Scotland 49
41 Estonia 46
41 Luxembourg 46
43 Austria 42
44 Armenia 35
45 Kazakhstan 34
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46 Georgia 26
47 Azerbaijan 24
48 Faroe Islands 23
48 Moldova 23
50 Malta 22
51 Liechtenstein 5
52 Andorra 0
52 San Marino 0
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