Assumptions:
- UEFA will again have 13 spots
- UEFA will again use the system with 9 groups
- FIFA will use the FIFA ranking to seed the teams
- FIFA will hold the draw in November 2011
The November 2011 FIFA ranking will include matches played between November 2007 and November 2011. We already have the "0.2" part (matches played between November 2007 and November 2008) - that's basically 10% of the final ranking and a bit of the "0.3" part (matches played between November 2008 and November 2009). A lot can and will change before November 2011 as there are many matches to be played involving European teams: 2010 FIFA World Cup qualifiers, 2009 FIFA Confederations Cup, 2010 FIFA World Cup, EURO 2012 qualifiers and plenty of friendlies.
UEFA will only use the national team coefficient for the European Championships draws (qualifying and final tournament).
This is the November 2011 ranking (for UEFA only) using matches played up to and including May 25th, 2009 and matches scheduled up to November 2009 (only those on fifa.com).
The "0.3" part is computed this way: points gained / (number of matches played + scheduled).
Bosnia-Herzegovina's average drops again - they've scheduled a new friendly against Uzbekistan in June.
1 Spain 289
2 Netherlands 238
3 Germany 181
4 Croatia 166
5 England 164
6 Russia 161
7 Switzerland 158
8 Greece 152
9 Israel 147
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10 Serbia 146
11 France 142
11 Italy 142
13 Bulgaria 137
14 Ukraine 135
15 Denmark 134
16 Turkey 129
17 Bosnia-Herzegovina 126
17 Northern Ireland 126
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17 Republic of Ireland 126
20 Portugal 117
21 Czech Republic 113
22 Hungary 112
23 Slovakia 111
24 Sweden 107
25 Poland 103
26 Latvia 100
27 Lithuania 95
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28 Scotland 89
29 Austria 87
30 Slovenia 85
31 Romania 83
32 Belarus 76
33 Belgium 74
34 Montenegro 73
35 Finland 71
36 Norway 67
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37 Wales 64
38 Estonia 55
39 Cyprus 54
39 FYR Macedonia 54
41 Albania 53
42 Iceland 52
43 Luxembourg 45
44 Armenia 35
45 Kazakhstan 34
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46 Georgia 32
47 Azerbaijan 24
48 Faroe Islands 23
48 Moldova 23
50 Malta 21
51 Liechtenstein 5
52 Andorra 0
52 San Marino 0
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