Assumptions:
- UEFA will again have 13 spots
- UEFA will again use the system with 9 groups
- FIFA will use the FIFA ranking to seed the teams
- FIFA will hold the draw in November 2011
The November 2011 FIFA ranking will include matches played between November 2007 and November 2011. We already have the "0.2" part (matches played between November 2007 and November 2008) - that's basically 10% of the final ranking and a bit of the "0.3" part (matches played between November 2008 and November 2009). A lot can and will change before November 2011 as there are many matches to be played involving European teams: 2010 FIFA World Cup qualifiers, 2009 FIFA Confederations Cup, 2010 FIFA World Cup, EURO 2012 qualifiers and plenty of friendlies.
UEFA will only use the national team coefficient for the European Championships draws (qualifying and final tournament).
This is the November 2011 ranking (for UEFA only) using matches played up to and including June 28th, 2009 and matches scheduled up to November 2009 (only those on fifa.com).
The "0.3" part is computed this way: points gained / (number of matches played + scheduled).
Spain back on top.
Italy up to first pot, replacing Ukraine.
1 2 Spain 360
2 1 Netherlands 274
3 3 Russia 203
4 10 Italy 193
5 4 England 188
6 5 Germany 186
7 6 Croatia 185
8 7 Serbia 182
9 8 Denmark 172
-----------------------------
10 9 Ukraine 162
11 11 Switzerland 158
12 12 Greece 152
13 13 France 151
14 14 Bulgaria 149
15 15 Israel 147
16 16 Republic of Ireland 142
16 16 Portugal 142
18 18 Bosnia-Herzegovina 141
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19 19 Turkey 134
20 20 Northern Ireland 126
21 21 Slovakia 121
22 22 Czech Republic 118
23 23 Sweden 115
23 23 Romania 115
25 25 Hungary 112
26 26 Poland 105
27 27 Latvia 100
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28 28 FYR Macedonia 99
29 29 Lithuania 95
30 30 Belarus 89
30 30 Scotland 89
32 32 Austria 87
33 33 Wales 85
33 33 Slovenia 85
35 35 Montenegro 83
36 36 Finland 80
-----------------------------
37 37 Belgium 78
37 37 Norway 78
39 39 Estonia 64
40 40 Cyprus 61
41 41 Albania 57
42 42 Iceland 52
43 43 Luxembourg 45
44 44 Georgia 35
44 44 Armenia 35
-----------------------------
46 46 Kazakhstan 34
47 47 Moldova 32
48 48 Azerbaijan 24
49 49 Faroe Islands 23
50 50 Malta 21
51 51 Liechtenstein 5
52 52 Andorra 0
52 52 San Marino 0
I find that the rankings at
ReplyDeletehttp://www.rankfootball.com
are more accurate.
Tom
My numbers are slightly different. (possibly rounding differences). For example for Lichtenstein I have them with only 4 points not 5.
ReplyDelete@Tom
ReplyDeleteThese are not my rankings. As it says - it's the November 2011 FIFA ranking.
There are many football rankings out there.
@Watson
As you said - probably rounding differences. I will check again Liechtenstein's total.