2014 FIFA World Cup seeding for CAF (29 July 2009)

The preliminary draw for the 2010 FIFA World Cup took place on November 25th, 2007 and used the July 2007 FIFA ranking.

Assumptions:

- CAF will again have 5 spots
- CAF will keep the current qualifying system
- FIFA will use the FIFA ranking to seed the teams
- CAF will choose the July 2011 ranking for seeding

The July 2011 FIFA ranking will include matches played between July 2007 and July 2011. We already have the "0.2" part (matches played between July 2007 and July 2008) and the "0.3" part (matches played between July 2008 and July 2009) - that's 25% of the formula. A lot can and will change before July 2011 as there are many matches to be played involving African teams: 2010 FIFA World Cup qualifiers, 2010 FIFA World Cup, CAN 2012 qualifiers and plenty of friendlies.

This is the July 2011 ranking (for CAF only) using matches played up to and including July 29th, 2009 and matches scheduled up to July 2010 (only those on fifa.com).

The "0.5" part is computed this way: points gained / (number of matches played + scheduled).

First round seeding:

43 Mauritania                23
45 Lesotho                   22
46 Eritrea                   16
47 Mauritius                 15
48 Guinea-Bissau             12
-------------------------------
48 Djibouti                  12
50 Seychelles                11
51 Comoros                    0
51 Central African Republic   0
51 Sao Tome e Principe        0

Winners advance to the first group stage.

Seeding for the first group stage:

 1 Gabon                    233
 2 Côte d'Ivoire            221
 3 Ghana                    203
 3 Egypt                    203
 5 Cameroon                 186
 6 Algeria                  180
 6 Nigeria                  180
 8 Burkina Faso             164
 9 Tunisia                  150
10 Mali                     136
11 Morocco                  133
12 Guinea                   130
-------------------------------
13 Togo                     127
14 Libya                    121
15 Uganda                   116
15 South Africa             116
17 Kenya                    106
18 Congo                    105
19 Zambia                   103
20 Gambia                   101
21 Sudan                    100
22 Mozambique                94
23 Benin                     93
24 Malawi                    87
-------------------------------
25 Rwanda                    86
26 Senegal                   85
27 Tanzania                  81
28 Congo DR                  78
29 Zimbabwe                  77
30 Namibia                   76
31 Sierra Leone              74
31 Angola                    74
33 Madagascar                73
34 Cape Verde Islands        71
35 Chad                      67
36 Burundi                   52
-------------------------------
37 Equatorial Guinea         51
38 Botswana                  49
39 Niger                     47
40 Swaziland                 43
41 Liberia                   39
42 Ethiopia                  29
43 Somalia                   23
43 Mauritania                23
45 Lesotho                   22
46 Eritrea                   16
47 Mauritius                 15
48 Guinea-Bissau             12

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Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.