Assumptions:
- CONCACAF will again have 3.5 spots
- CONCACAF will again use the same qualifying system
- FIFA will use the FIFA ranking to seed the teams
The May 2011 FIFA ranking will include matches played between May 2007 and May 2011. We already have the "0.2" and "0.3" parts (matches played between May 2007 and May 2009) - that's basically 25% of the final ranking and a bit of the "0.5" part (matches played between May 2009 and May 2010). A lot can and will change before May 2011 as there are many matches to be played involving CONCACAF teams: 2009 Gold Cup knockout stages, 2010 FIFA World Cup qualifiers, 2010 FIFA World Cup, 2010 Caribbean Championship, 2011 UNCAF Nations Cup and plenty of friendlies.
This is the May 2011 ranking (for CONCACAF only) using matches played up to and including August 12th, 2009 and matches scheduled up to May 2010 (only those on fifa.com).
The "0.5" part is computed this way: points gained / (number of matches played + scheduled).
Honduras replace Canada in the first pot.
Rank - Previous rank - Team - Total points
1 1 USA 474
2 2 Mexico 427
3 5 Honduras 361
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4 3 Canada 354
5 4 Costa Rica 345
6 6 El Salvador 215
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7 7 Panama 208
8 8 Jamaica 200
9 9 Haiti 174
10 10 Trinidad and Tobago 163
11 11 Grenada 115
12 12 Antigua and Barbuda 112
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13 13 Guatemala 90
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14 14 Cuba 87
15 15 Bermuda 80
16 16 Barbados 70
17 17 Suriname 63
18 18 Guyana 53
18 18 Nicaragua 53
20 20 Netherlands Antilles 50
21 21 Puerto Rico 48
22 22 St. Kitts and Nevis 38
23 23 Cayman Islands 24
24 24 Belize 22
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24 24 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 22
26 26 St. Lucia 13
26 26 Turks and Caicos Islands 13
28 28 British Virgin Islands 12
29 29 Bahamas 9
30 30 Aruba 7
31 31 Dominica 5
32 32 US Virgin Islands 3
33 33 Anguilla 0
33 33 Dominican Republic 0
33 33 Montserrat 0
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