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Saturday, September 5, 2009

2010 World Cup: Seeding formula based on qualification chances (4 September 2009)

Seeded teams for the 2010 FIFA World Cup South Africa.

Qualified teams determined using Voros' qualification chances.

Croatia replace the Czech Republic.

Rank in the seeding table - Country - Total - Performance points - FIFA Ranking Points
 1 Brazil         59.7 29.3 30.3
 2 Germany        59.3 30.3 29.0
 3 Italy          56.7 27.3 29.3
 4 Spain          56.0 25.3 30.7
 5 England        51.0 26.3 24.7
 6 Argentina      49.0 21.0 28.0
 7 France         47.7 23.3 24.3
--------------------------------
 8 Netherlands    43.3 14.7 28.7
 9 Mexico         36.7 19.3 17.3
10 USA            34.7 13.7 21.0
11 Croatia        34.0  9.0 25.0
12 Switzerland    31.7 15.3 16.3
13 Paraguay       30.3 11.7 18.7
14 Ghana          27.7 13.3 14.3
15 Russia         26.3  3.0 23.3
16 Australia      26.0 11.3 14.7
17 Japan          25.7 13.3 12.3
18 Korea Republic 25.0 15.7  9.3
19 Denmark        22.7  7.7 15.0
20 Serbia         22.7  5.3 17.3
21 Greece         22.0  0.0 22.0
22 Côte d'Ivoire  21.3  6.0 15.3
23 Tunisia        15.7  8.7  7.0
24 Costa Rica     15.0  8.3  6.7
25 Saudi Arabia   13.0  8.0  5.0
26 Chile          13.0  0.0 13.0
27 Honduras        8.7  0.0  8.7
28 Slovakia        7.0  0.0  7.0
29 South Africa    5.7  3.0  2.7
30 Gabon           5.7  0.0  5.7
31 Algeria         4.3  0.0  4.3
32 Korea DPR       1.0  0.0  1.0
Top 7 + South Africa seeded.

The pots:

Pot 1: Argentina, Brazil, England, France, Germany, Italy, South Africa, Spain
Pot 2: Croatia, Denmark, Greece, Netherlands, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Switzerland
Pot 3: Australia, Costa Rica, Honduras, Japan, Korea DPR, Korea Republic, Mexico, Saudi Arabia
Pot 4: Algeria, Chile, Côte d'Ivoire, Gabon, Ghana, Paraguay, Tunisia
Special pot: USA

For an explanation regarding the special pot, see this World Cup seeding post.

Possible draw (using random.org):

Group A: South Africa, Croatia, Korea Republic, Paraguay
Group B: France, Greece, Honduras, Ghana
Group C: Argentina, Russia, Japan, Gabon
Group D: Brazil, Denmark, Mexico, Côte d'Ivoire
Group E: England, Slovakia, Saudi Arabia, USA
Group F: Italy, Serbia, Australia, Chile
Group G: Spain, Netherlands, Costa Rica, Tunisia
Group H: Germany, Switzerland, Korea DPR, Algeria

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

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5 comments:

  1. PetarSeptember 6, 2009 at 2:17 AM

    Mulţumesc România!

    Thanks to Romanian brothers!

    I watched the match on national broadcast (because of huge interest in Serbia) and was so nervous whole match. I think this match was more important to me than to you guys :)

    ReplyDelete
  2. OsirisSeptember 8, 2009 at 4:21 AM

    Hello Edgar!

    For 2010 WC seeding are Performance points calculated for latest 2 World Cups (2006, 2002) or 3 (+1998)?
    If a country did not participate in the Final does she receive 0 points for that part of Performance column?

    Thanks.

    ReplyDelete
  3. OsirisSeptember 8, 2009 at 4:24 AM

    I think for the latest 3 because of 0.3 and 0.7 ending?

    ReplyDelete
  4. OsirisSeptember 8, 2009 at 2:09 PM

    Latest 2 but with 1:2 ratio I suppose...

    ReplyDelete
  5. EdgarSeptember 9, 2009 at 8:12 AM

    Yes Osiris, you are right. The last two with a 2:1 ratio.

    ReplyDelete