Assumptions:
- CAF will again have 5 spots
- CAF will keep the current qualifying system
- FIFA will use the FIFA ranking to seed the teams
- CAF will choose the July 2011 ranking for seeding
The July 2011 FIFA ranking will include matches played between July 2007 and July 2011. We already have the "0.2" part (matches played between July 2007 and July 2008) and the "0.3" part (matches played between July 2008 and July 2009) - that's 25% of the formula. A lot can and will change before July 2011 as there are many matches to be played involving African teams: 2010 FIFA World Cup qualifiers, 2010 FIFA World Cup, CAN 2012 qualifiers and plenty of friendlies.
This is the July 2011 ranking (for CAF only) using matches played up to and including September 20th, 2009 and matches scheduled up to July 2010 (only those on fifa.com).
The "0.5" part is computed this way: points gained / (number of matches played + scheduled).
Not many changes since the last update because few African teams played matches after September 8th: Angola, Cape Verde Islands, Cameroon, Gabon, Lesotho and South Africa.
Rank - Previous rank - Team - Total points
1 1 Cameroon 340
2 3 Algeria 305
3 1 Côte d'Ivoire 297
4 4 Ghana 264
5 5 Egypt 250
6 6 Gabon 242
7 7 Nigeria 211
8 9 Mali 200
9 8 Tunisia 192
10 10 Malawi 179
11 11 Morocco 170
12 12 Mozambique 168
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13 13 Burkina Faso 164
14 14 Togo 148
15 15 Guinea 144
16 16 Benin 139
17 21 South Africa 125
18 17 Senegal 121
18 17 Libya 121
20 19 Congo 117
21 21 Uganda 116
21 19 Angola 116
23 23 Kenya 110
24 24 Zambia 103
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25 25 Tanzania 102
26 26 Gambia 101
27 27 Sudan 100
28 28 Cape Verde Islands 96
29 29 Rwanda 86
30 30 Zimbabwe 81
31 31 Namibia 80
32 32 Congo DR 78
33 33 Sierra Leone 74
34 34 Madagascar 73
35 35 Chad 67
36 36 Burundi 52
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37 37 Equatorial Guinea 51
37 37 Swaziland 51
39 39 Botswana 49
40 40 Niger 47
41 41 Liberia 39
42 42 Ethiopia 29
42 42 Lesotho 29
44 44 Somalia 23
44 44 Mauritania 23
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46 46 Eritrea 16
47 47 Mauritius 15
48 48 Guinea-Bissau 12
48 48 Djibouti 12
50 50 Seychelles 11
51 51 Central African Republic 0
51 51 Comoros 0
51 51 Sao Tome e Principe 0
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