Assumptions:
- UEFA will again have 13 spots
- UEFA will again use the system with 9 groups
- FIFA will use the FIFA ranking to seed the teams
- FIFA will hold the draw in November 2011
The November 2011 FIFA ranking will include matches played between November 2007 and November 2011. We already have the "0.2" part (matches played between November 2007 and November 2008) - that's basically 10% of the final ranking and a bit of the "0.3" part (matches played between November 2008 and November 2009). A lot can and will change before November 2011 as there are many matches to be played involving European teams: 2010 FIFA World Cup qualifiers, 2009 FIFA Confederations Cup, 2010 FIFA World Cup, EURO 2012 qualifiers and plenty of friendlies.
UEFA will only use the national team coefficient for the European Championships draws (qualifying and final tournament).
This is the November 2011 ranking (for UEFA only) using matches played up to and including September 8th, 2009 and matches scheduled up to November 2009 (only those on fifa.com).
The "0.3" part is computed this way: points gained / (number of matches played + scheduled).
Switzerland and Bulgaria replace Denmark and Serbia in the 1st pot.
Latvia and Scotland replace Norway and Hungary in the 3rd pot.
Finland replace Wales in the 5th pot.
Rank - Previous rank - Team - Total points
1 1 Spain 387
2 2 Netherlands 291
3 3 Croatia 248
4 4 Russia 217
5 10 Switzerland 211
6 5 Germany 206
7 7 England 205
7 6 Italy 205
9 11 Bulgaria 187
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10 9 Denmark 186
11 8 Serbia 182
12 18 Republic of Ireland 177
13 11 Ukraine 172
14 13 France 171
15 16 Turkey 167
16 17 Portugal 159
17 14 Greece 152
17 14 Israel 152
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17 23 Sweden 152
20 29 Latvia 150
21 20 Bosnia-Herzegovina 147
22 19 Northern Ireland 145
23 22 Romania 143
24 20 Czech Republic 142
25 24 Slovakia 137
26 33 Scotland 135
27 25 Poland 128
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28 26 Norway 125
29 27 Hungary 112
30 28 Lithuania 101
31 35 Austria 100
32 31 Slovenia 97
33 32 Montenegro 96
34 30 FYR Macedonia 94
35 37 Finland 92
36 33 Belarus 89
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37 36 Wales 85
38 38 Belgium 78
39 39 Albania 68
39 42 Iceland 68
41 40 Estonia 64
42 41 Cyprus 57
43 43 Luxembourg 56
44 44 Moldova 43
45 45 Georgia 35
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45 45 Armenia 35
47 47 Kazakhstan 34
48 48 Malta 27
49 49 Azerbaijan 24
50 50 Faroe Islands 23
51 51 Liechtenstein 5
52 52 Andorra 0
52 52 San Marino 0
Sorry for my ignorance, but why does the WC 2014 qualifiers use a different coefficient system than the Euro 2012 qualifiers?
ReplyDeleteThat's UEFA choice - it says so in this article:
ReplyDeleteUEFA sees the new, improved system as an important tool for ensuring sporting balance and fairness in both the qualifying phase and final round of the UEFA European Championship. It is used in particular for the pot allocation for the qualifying-phase draw and final-round draw.
As you can see, there's no mention of this coefficient system being used for FIFA qualifying-phase draw.
Tocmai am citit articolul din gazetă despre contactele tale cu incompetenții de la federație.
ReplyDeleteChestie e că eu am vorbit personal cu Zaharia înainte de meciul cu Bulgaria. În zadar am încercat să-l fac să înțeleagă importanța coeficienților (pe baza calculelor tale).
O cunoștiță de-a mea (ziarist) a vorbit chiar cu Pițurcă despre asta.
Am văzut cu toții rezultatul...
De atunci nu mi-a mai păsat. Nici de națională, nici de cluburi. Cu toate scandalurile care au apărut nici nu mă mai uit la meciuri. Rad mai văd câte un meci sau mai citesc câte un ziar.
ReplyDeleteDa Vladimir, stiu asta. Si eu am renuntat, dar Ionut a tinut sa scrie articolul cu pricina.
ReplyDeleteEu n-am ce sa le mai fac. Sa fie sanatosi.