Assumptions:
- UEFA will again have 13 spots
- UEFA will again use the system with 9 groups
- FIFA will use the FIFA ranking to seed the teams
- FIFA will hold the draw in November 2011
The November 2011 FIFA ranking will include matches played between November 2007 and November 2011. We already have the "0.2" part (matches played between November 2007 and November 2008) - that's basically 10% of the final ranking and a bit of the "0.3" part (matches played between November 2008 and November 2009). A lot can and will change before November 2011 as there are many matches to be played involving European teams: 2010 FIFA World Cup qualifiers, 2009 FIFA Confederations Cup, 2010 FIFA World Cup, EURO 2012 qualifiers and plenty of friendlies.
UEFA will only use the national team coefficient for the European Championships draws (qualifying and final tournament).
This is the November 2011 ranking (for UEFA only) using matches played up to and including September 20th, 2009 and matches scheduled up to November 2009 (only those on fifa.com).
The "0.3" part is computed this way: points gained / (number of matches played + scheduled).
Denmark replace Bulgaria in the first pot.
Slovakia replace Greece in the second pot.
Norway and Slovenia replace Scotland and Poland in the third pot.
Armenia and Faroe Islands replace Moldova and Georgia in the fifth pot.
Rank - Previous rank - Team - Total points
1 1 Spain 377
2 2 Netherlands 310
3 4 Russia 229
4 3 Croatia 224
5 7 England 222
6 7 Italy 218
7 6 Germany 207
8 5 Switzerland 198
9 10 Denmark 177
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10 11 Serbia 176
11 16 Portugal 174
12 9 Bulgaria 171
13 15 Turkey 168
13 14 France 168
13 13 Ukraine 168
16 12 Republic of Ireland 162
16 17 Israel 162
18 25 Slovakia 155
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19 17 Sweden 151
20 17 Greece 147
21 28 Norway 146
22 20 Latvia 144
23 24 Czech Republic 142
24 23 Romania 140
25 21 Bosnia-Herzegovina 139
26 22 Northern Ireland 134
27 32 Slovenia 126
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28 26 Scotland 124
29 27 Poland 119
30 29 Hungary 102
31 31 Austria 101
32 30 Lithuania 98
33 33 Montenegro 97
34 36 Belarus 95
35 34 FYR Macedonia 89
36 35 Finland 88
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37 39 Albania 80
38 37 Wales 79
39 38 Belgium 76
40 39 Iceland 70
41 45 Armenia 62
42 41 Estonia 59
43 42 Cyprus 56
44 50 Faroe Islands 54
45 43 Luxembourg 52
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46 44 Moldova 49
47 47 Kazakhstan 45
48 45 Georgia 33
49 48 Malta 24
50 49 Azerbaijan 22
51 51 Liechtenstein 14
52 52 Andorra 0
52 52 San Marino 0
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