2010 World Cup: Seeding formula based on qualification chances (12 October 2009)

Seeded teams for the 2010 FIFA World Cup South Africa using the 2006 FIFA World Cup seeding formula (see Wikipedia). The November 2009 ranking is computed as if no more matches would be played between today and November 20th.

Qualified teams determined using Voros' qualification chances (as of October 12th).

Uruguay/Costa Rica/Slovenia replace Ecuador/Honduras/Slovakia.

Portugal replace France as seed.

Rank in the seeding table - Country - Total - Performance points - FIFA Ranking Points

 1 Brazil         59.7 29.3 30.3
 2 Germany        59.3 30.3 29.0
 3 Italy          56.7 27.3 29.3
 4 Spain          56.0 25.3 30.7
 5 England        51.7 26.3 25.3
 6 Argentina      49.3 21.0 28.3
 7 Portugal       47.3 22.3 25.0
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 8 France         47.0 23.3 23.7
 9 Netherlands    43.0 14.7 28.3
10 Mexico         37.7 19.3 18.3
11 USA            35.0 13.7 21.3
12 Switzerland    31.0 15.3 15.7
13 Paraguay       31.0 11.7 19.3
14 Ghana          25.3 13.3 12.0
15 Russia         25.3  3.0 22.3
16 Korea Republic 24.3 15.7  8.7
17 Japan          24.0 13.3 10.7
18 Cameroon       23.7  3.0 20.7
19 Australia      22.0 11.3 10.7
20 Serbia         21.3  5.3 16.0
21 Denmark        20.3  7.7 12.7
22 Greece         20.0  0.0 20.0
23 Côte d'Ivoire  19.7  6.0 13.7
24 Uruguay        18.3  2.7 15.7
25 Tunisia        15.0  8.7  6.3
26 Costa Rica     14.7  8.3  6.3
27 Chile          10.7  0.0 10.7
28 Slovenia        7.0  2.7  4.3
29 South Africa    6.0  3.0  3.0
30 Algeria         6.0  0.0  6.0
31 Bahrain         2.3  0.0  2.3
32 Korea DPR       1.3  0.0  1.3

Top 7 + South Africa seeded.

The pots:

Pot 1: Argentina, Brazil, England, Germany, Italy, Portugal, South Africa, Spain
Pot 2: Denmark, France, Greece, Netherlands, Russia, Serbia, Slovenia, Switzerland
Pot 3: Australia, Bahrain, Costa Rica, Japan, Korea DPR, Korea Republic, Mexico, USA
Pot 4: Algeria, Cameroon, Chile, Côte d'Ivoire, Ghana, Paraguay, Tunisia, Uruguay

Possible draw (using random.org):

Group A: South Africa, Denmark, Australia, Chile
Group B: England, Netherlands, Bahrain, Algeria
Group C: Portugal, Greece, USA, Ghana
Group D: Spain, Slovenia, Costa Rica, Uruguay
Group E: Argentina, Serbia, Korea DPR, Côte d'Ivoire
Group F: Italy, France, Mexico, Cameroon
Group G: Germany, Russia, Korea Republic, Paraguay
Group H: Brazil, Switzerland, Japan, Tunisia

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