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Wednesday, October 21, 2009

2010 World Cup seeding: Ranking points

Hopefully this post will make the ranking points in the seeding formula easier to understand.

I compute the November 2009 ranking as if no more matches would be played between now and November 20th.

Honduras is displayed above Slovakia in the December 2007 FIFA ranking.

France is displayed above Portugal in the December 2008 FIFA ranking. However, looking at the actual values (confirmed by FIFA), the order should be Portugal (1007.07), then France (1006.87). That's the order I use for seeding.

Column order:

Team
Dec 2007 rank
Dec 2007 points
Dec 2008 rank
Dec 2008 points
Nov 2009 rank
Nov 2009 points

Spain            4   29   1   32  2   31 30.667
Brazil           2   31   5   28  1   32 30.333
Italy            3   30   4   29  4   29 29.333
Germany          5   28   2   31  5   28 29
Argentina        1   32   6   27  6   27 28.667
Netherlands      9   25   3   30  3   30 28.333
England         12   23   8   26  7   26 25
Portugal         8   26  11   24  9   25 25
France           7   27  11.1 23  9.1 24 24.667
Russia          23   19   9   25 13   21 21.667
USA             19   21  22   19 11   23 21
Greece          11   24  20   20 15   19 21
Cameroon        24   18  14   22 12   22 20.667
Paraguay        21   20  17   21 22   14 18.333
Mexico          15   22  26   15 18   16 17.667
Switzerland     44   10  24   17 14   20 15.667
Uruguay         28   16  23   18 24   12 15.333
Côte d'Ivoire   37   13  29   13 16   18 14.667
Serbia          27   17  30   12 19   15 14.667
Chile           45    9  31   11 17   17 12.333
Denmark         31   15  37    9 23   13 12.333
Ghana           43   11  25   16 35    8 11.667
Australia       48    7  28   14 27   11 10.667
Japan           34   14  35   10 45    6 10
Korea Republic  42   12  42    7 50    5  8
Honduras        53    6  40    8 36    7  7
Slovakia        53.1  5  44    6 31    9  6.667
Algeria         79    3  64    4 28   10  5.667
Tunisia         47    8  46    5 52    4  5.667
South Africa    77    4  76    3 85    1  2.667
Bahrain        102    2  80    2 60    3  2.333
Korea DPR      115    1 113    1 81    2  1.333

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

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4 comments:

  1. HomerOctober 21, 2009 at 9:17 PM

    How fair it would be if FIFA used this ranking for their seeding!

    ReplyDelete
  2. RTOctober 23, 2009 at 5:35 PM

    I don't understand why you've put France with 24 points and Portugal with 23 points in the 2008 ranking, if it was confirmed by FIFA that Portugal had more points.
    If Portugal had 24pts in the 2008 ranking, adding the average to the National Team Coefficients released by UEFA, Portugal would have 57,10 total points against France's 56,90 and would be seeded in the WC.
    I'm not sure I'm right, though.

    ReplyDelete
  3. RTOctober 23, 2009 at 6:10 PM

    I understand now the National Team Coefficients are not valid for the WC. Is the final version of the performance points for the WC already calculated?

    ReplyDelete
  4. EdgarOctober 26, 2009 at 7:29 AM

    @raoul.dasilva

    I don't know if it would be fair. Look at this post by scaryice and you'll see older results will have more value than recent ones.

    @RT

    You're right. I did some tests before posting the table and that's why I made this mistake. However, if you look at the seeding table linked at the beginning of the post, you'll see Portugal with 25 points and France with 24.7.

    Regarding the performance points, here you go:

    2010 WC Seeding: Performance part.

    ReplyDelete