Assumptions:
- UEFA will again have 13 spots
- UEFA will again use the system with 9 groups
- FIFA will use the FIFA ranking to seed the teams
- FIFA will hold the draw in November 2011
The November 2011 FIFA ranking will include matches played between November 2007 and November 2011. We already have the "0.2" and "0.3" parts (matches played between November 2007 and November 2009) - that's basically 25% of the final ranking and a bit of the "0.5" part (matches played between November 2009 and November 2010). A lot can and will change before November 2011 as there are many matches to be played involving European teams: 2010 FIFA World Cup, EURO 2012 qualifiers and plenty of friendlies.
UEFA will only use the national team coefficient for the European Championships draws (qualifying and final tournament).
This is the November 2011 ranking (for UEFA only) using matches played up to and including November 22nd, 2009 and matches scheduled up to November 2009 (only those on fifa.com). I've also added 3 matches for the teams qualified for the 2010 FIFA World Cup.
The "0.5" part is computed this way: points gained / (number of matches played + scheduled).
It can be a bit misleading, as Slovenia, Greece and Portugal all added more than 100 points to their totals. It's just the beginning of the "0.5" time frame. Still a long way to go.
Slovenia climb from the third to the first pot, with England and Slovakia dropping to the second and third pot respectively.
Greece replace Croatia in the first pot.
Republic of Ireland replace Czech Republic in the second pot.
Montenegro replace Austria in the third pot.
FYR Macedonia replace Belarus in the fourth pot.
Azerbaijan replace Luxembourg in the fifth pot.
Rank - Previous rank - Team - Total points
1 1 Spain 484
2 8 Portugal 369
3 14 Greece 351
4 2 Netherlands 349
5 23 Slovenia 318
6 6 Italy 310
7 9 France 289
8 4 Germany 288
9 3 Russia 284
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10 13 Denmark 273
11 12 Serbia 268
12 5 Croatia 267
13 7 England 255
14 10 Switzerland 242
15 20 Republic of Ireland 236
16 11 Ukraine 231
17 16 Bulgaria 223
18 15 Israel 217
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19 17 Slovakia 196
20 18 Czech Republic 194
21 19 Turkey 193
22 21 Latvia 182
23 22 Sweden 181
24 30 Montenegro 180
25 24 Norway 171
26 25 Romania 168
27 26 Bosnia-Herzegovina 166
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28 34 Poland 164
29 27 Austria 149
30 28 Hungary 148
30 28 Northern Ireland 148
32 31 Lithuania 140
33 32 Finland 132
34 33 Scotland 124
34 37 FYR Macedonia 124
36 36 Belgium 123
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37 35 Belarus 117
38 38 Wales 105
39 48 Azerbaijan 98
40 39 Cyprus 97
41 40 Estonia 85
42 41 Albania 83
43 42 Iceland 81
44 43 Armenia 72
45 44 Faroe Islands 68
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46 45 Luxembourg 58
47 46 Moldova 55
48 47 Kazakhstan 51
49 49 Georgia 35
50 50 Malta 27
51 51 Liechtenstein 15
52 52 Andorra 0
52 52 San Marino 0
How come that the playoff teams are getting a so high bonus? Would it actually be better ranking wise to finish second and win two play off matches? Seems odd to me
ReplyDeleteAs I already said, it can be a bit misleading since it's just the beginning of the "0.5 time frame" and the playoff teams are the only ones to have played competitive matches in this time frame. It will even out in time: friendlies in March and before the World Cup, the finals of the World Cup, friendlies afterward, EURO 2012 qualifiers in the autumn.
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