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Friday, November 27, 2009
FIFA Ranking: Time works in Brazil's favor
Spain will keep their spot in the next three releases of the FIFA ranking (December 2009, January 2010 and February 2009). If they win against France on March 3rd, 2010, they will keep their place even in the March 2009 release, because I'm sure Brazil will play a friendly on the same day and that will bring their average down. However, even if Brazil lose that match, the seleção will return to the top of the rankings on April 28th, 2010.
If Spain don't win against France, Brazil could return to the top on March 31st, 2010.
If Spain don't win against France, Brazil could return to the top on March 31st, 2010.
Wednesday, November 25, 2009
African Cup of Nations: Seeding for Gabon/Equatorial Guinea 2012 qualifiers
This may seem a bit early, but it's not. The draw for the 2012 ACN qualifiers will take place a couple of days after the final of ACN 2010, probably after February 3rd, the day of the first FIFA ranking release for 2010.
Based on the 2008 ACN draw procedure, it won't actually be a draw. The first seeded team will be placed with the weakest team from each of the other three pots.
With 51 members and 14 places available, CAF will probably use a system with 12 groups of 4 teams and one with 3 teams, with the winners and the best runner-up qualifying. However, if at least 3 members don't enter the qualifying rounds, we'll probably see 12 groups of 4 teams with the winners and the top two runners-up joining the hosts in 2012.
The "usual suspects" to drop from qualifying:
2006 ACN qualifiers:
Central African Republic withdrew.
2008 ACN qualifiers:
Central African Republic, Comoros, Somalia and São Tomé and Príncipe did not enter.
Guinea-Bissau were not allowed to enter.
Djibouti withdrew.
2010 ACN qualifiers:
São Tomé and Príncipe and the Central African Republic withdrew.
The seeding formula is the sum of:
Pot 1: Côte d'Ivoire, Cameroon, Algeria, Ghana, Nigeria, Egypt, Burkina Faso, Tunisia, Benin, Mali, Togo, Mozambique, Zambia
Pot 2: Malawi, Morocco, Guinea, Kenya, Rwanda, Sudan, South Africa, Senegal, Uganda, Cape Verde Islands, Congo, Angola, Tanzania
Pot 3: Zimbabwe, Namibia, Congo DR, Gambia, Libya, Botswana, Ethiopia, Sierra Leone, Swaziland, Chad, Burundi, Lesotho, Madagascar
Pot 4: Liberia, Mauritania, Niger, Eritrea, Comoros, Seychelles, Mauritius, Somalia, Djibouti, Guinea-Bissau, Central African Republic, Sao Tome e Principe
I didn't give South Africa the bonus points for WC participation, because they didn't even reach the final CAF qualifying round.
With the exception of Angola, no team below Sudan can break in the top 19.
Group 1: Côte d'Ivoire, Tanzania, Madagascar, Sao Tome e Principe
Group 2: Cameroon, Angola, Lesotho, Central African Republic
Group 3: Algeria, Congo, Burundi, Guinea-Bissau
Group 4: Ghana, Cape Verde Islands, Chad, Djibouti
Group 5: Nigeria, Uganda, Swaziland, Somalia
Group 6: Egypt, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Mauritius
Group 7: Burkina Faso, South Africa, Ethiopia, Seychelles
Group 8: Tunisia, Sudan, Botswana, Comoros
Group 9: Benin, Rwanda, Libya, Eritrea
Group 10: Mali, Kenya, Gambia, Niger
Group 11: Togo, Guinea, Congo DR, Mauritania
Group 12: Mozambique, Morocco, Namibia, Liberia
Group 13: Zambia, Malawi, Zimbabwe
Based on the 2008 ACN draw procedure, it won't actually be a draw. The first seeded team will be placed with the weakest team from each of the other three pots.
With 51 members and 14 places available, CAF will probably use a system with 12 groups of 4 teams and one with 3 teams, with the winners and the best runner-up qualifying. However, if at least 3 members don't enter the qualifying rounds, we'll probably see 12 groups of 4 teams with the winners and the top two runners-up joining the hosts in 2012.
The "usual suspects" to drop from qualifying:
2006 ACN qualifiers:
Central African Republic withdrew.
2008 ACN qualifiers:
Central African Republic, Comoros, Somalia and São Tomé and Príncipe did not enter.
Guinea-Bissau were not allowed to enter.
Djibouti withdrew.
2010 ACN qualifiers:
São Tomé and Príncipe and the Central African Republic withdrew.
The seeding formula is the sum of:
- 2010 WCQ points
- bonus for qualifying for the 2010 WC (6 points)
- 2010 ACN group stage points
- 2010 ACN performance bonus (12 for the winner, 9 for the finalist, 6 for the SF, 3 for the QF)
Pot 1: Côte d'Ivoire, Cameroon, Algeria, Ghana, Nigeria, Egypt, Burkina Faso, Tunisia, Benin, Mali, Togo, Mozambique, Zambia
Pot 2: Malawi, Morocco, Guinea, Kenya, Rwanda, Sudan, South Africa, Senegal, Uganda, Cape Verde Islands, Congo, Angola, Tanzania
Pot 3: Zimbabwe, Namibia, Congo DR, Gambia, Libya, Botswana, Ethiopia, Sierra Leone, Swaziland, Chad, Burundi, Lesotho, Madagascar
Pot 4: Liberia, Mauritania, Niger, Eritrea, Comoros, Seychelles, Mauritius, Somalia, Djibouti, Guinea-Bissau, Central African Republic, Sao Tome e Principe
I didn't give South Africa the bonus points for WC participation, because they didn't even reach the final CAF qualifying round.
With the exception of Angola, no team below Sudan can break in the top 19.
Group 1: Côte d'Ivoire, Tanzania, Madagascar, Sao Tome e Principe
Group 2: Cameroon, Angola, Lesotho, Central African Republic
Group 3: Algeria, Congo, Burundi, Guinea-Bissau
Group 4: Ghana, Cape Verde Islands, Chad, Djibouti
Group 5: Nigeria, Uganda, Swaziland, Somalia
Group 6: Egypt, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Mauritius
Group 7: Burkina Faso, South Africa, Ethiopia, Seychelles
Group 8: Tunisia, Sudan, Botswana, Comoros
Group 9: Benin, Rwanda, Libya, Eritrea
Group 10: Mali, Kenya, Gambia, Niger
Group 11: Togo, Guinea, Congo DR, Mauritania
Group 12: Mozambique, Morocco, Namibia, Liberia
Group 13: Zambia, Malawi, Zimbabwe
November 2009: FIFA Ranking vs. Elo Ratings
Top 10 differences for countries with a better Elo Rating:
Team - FIFA Ranking - Elo Rating - Difference
Top 10 differences for countries with a better FIFA Ranking:
Team - FIFA Ranking - Elo Rating - Difference
Top 50 nations only (in the top 50 in at least one of the rankings)
Top 10 differences for countries with a better Elo Rating:
Team - FIFA Ranking - Elo Rating - Difference
Top 10 differences for countries with a better FIFA Ranking:
Team - FIFA Ranking - Elo Rating - Difference
Matches I would have liked to see in December:
Japan - Northern Ireland
Iran - Latvia
Saudi Arabia - Algeria
Korea Republic - Slovakia
Turkey - Slovenia
Sweden - Burkina Faso
Venezuela - Gabon
Colombia - Israel
Denmark - Czech Republic
Finland - Benin
Team - FIFA Ranking - Elo Rating - Difference
Solomon Islands | 171 | 119 | 52 |
Guinea-Bissau | 190 | 140 | 50 |
Tahiti | 195 | 149 | 46 |
Central African Republic | 200 | 155 | 45 |
Papua New Guinea | 203 | 165 | 38 |
Tajikistan | 162 | 126 | 36 |
Niger | 164 | 130 | 34 |
Libya | 118 | 86 | 32 |
Sao Tome e Principe | 203 | 174 | 29 |
Syria | 91 | 64 | 27 |
Top 10 differences for countries with a better FIFA Ranking:
Team - FIFA Ranking - Elo Rating - Difference
Luxembourg | 128 | 169 | -41 |
Burkina Faso | 49 | 87 | -38 |
Grenada | 103 | 137 | -34 |
Faroe Islands | 120 | 154 | -34 |
Nicaragua | 134 | 168 | -34 |
Benin | 59 | 92 | -33 |
Northern Ireland | 39 | 71 | -32 |
Gabon | 48 | 77 | -29 |
Philippines | 165 | 194 | -29 |
Algeria | 28 | 56 | -28 |
Top 50 nations only (in the top 50 in at least one of the rankings)
Top 10 differences for countries with a better Elo Rating:
Team - FIFA Ranking - Elo Rating - Difference
Japan | 43 | 17 | 26 |
Iran | 63 | 41 | 22 |
Saudi Arabia | 65 | 44 | 21 |
Korea Republic | 52 | 32 | 20 |
Turkey | 41 | 23 | 18 |
Sweden | 42 | 26 | 16 |
Venezuela | 50 | 37 | 13 |
Colombia | 40 | 30 | 10 |
Denmark | 26 | 17 | 9 |
Finland | 54 | 45 | 9 |
Top 10 differences for countries with a better FIFA Ranking:
Team - FIFA Ranking - Elo Rating - Difference
Burkina Faso | 49 | 87 | -38 |
Northern Ireland | 39 | 71 | -32 |
Gabon | 48 | 77 | -29 |
Algeria | 28 | 56 | -28 |
Latvia | 45 | 70 | -25 |
Israel | 25 | 40 | -15 |
Slovenia | 33 | 47 | -14 |
Slovakia | 34 | 48 | -14 |
Czech Republic | 23 | 36 | -13 |
Mali | 47 | 60 | -13 |
Matches I would have liked to see in December:
Japan - Northern Ireland
Iran - Latvia
Saudi Arabia - Algeria
Korea Republic - Slovakia
Turkey - Slovenia
Sweden - Burkina Faso
Venezuela - Gabon
Colombia - Israel
Denmark - Czech Republic
Finland - Benin
FIFA Ranking: Teams in need of matches for the December 2009 ranking
There are 60 teams that will not have the required 5 matches in the last 12 months when the December 2009 FIFA Ranking will be released. For these teams, FIFA will basically add a number of "virtual defeats" equal to the difference between the number of matches actually played by that team in the last 12 months and the required 5 matches.
Only Cape Verde Islands will be in the top 100.
19 countries managed to get positive results in the last 12 months, but they lose points because of the 5 matches requirement.
Country - Points lost - Interim December 2009 rank
Only Cape Verde Islands will be in the top 100.
19 countries managed to get positive results in the last 12 months, but they lose points because of the 5 matches requirement.
Country - Points lost - Interim December 2009 rank
Barbados 175 128
Antigua and Barbuda 84 130
Myanmar 51 139
Cook Islands 51 184
Guyana 46 126
Cape Verde Islands 40 97
Comoros 25 176
Libya 23 115
Netherlands Antilles 21 166
Congo DR 17 107
Philippines 17 164
Cambodia 17 174
Belize 14 172
Suriname 13 143
St. Vincent and the Grenadines 13 151
Mongolia 13 170
Tonga 12 189
St. Kitts and Nevis 9 153
Nepal 4 175
Monday, November 23, 2009
FIFA Ranking: December 2009 interim ranking
Point totals for teams from the top 20 of the October 2007 ranking should be 100% correct. For the others, there's the issue of historical rankings published before July 2006.
Included: matches up to and including November 22nd, 2009.
Next update: December 10th, 2009.
This is the December ranking computed as if no more matches would be played before December 10th - the deadline for the December ranking. The top 74 teams will not be playing matches.
There are two competitions set to start in a couple of days: CECAFA Cup and SAFF Cup.
Spain will keep the first spot.
Best movers:
17 - Jordan
7 - Kenya and Vietnam
6 - Gambia and Indonesia
Worst movers:
-35 - Grenada
-23 - Cuba
-18 - Eritrea
Best movers in the top 50:
5 - Egypt
3 - Ghana
2 - Algeria, Chile, Ukraine and Slovenia
Worst movers in the top 50:
-4 - Romania
-3 - Bulgaria
-2 - Mexico, Czech Republic, Denmark and Ecuador
Iran drop out of the AFC top 5, replaced by Saudi Arabia.
Egypt overtake Algeria for 4th in Africa and 1st in the Arab world. Some consolation...
December 2009 rank - Team - December 2009 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points
Included: matches up to and including November 22nd, 2009.
Next update: December 10th, 2009.
This is the December ranking computed as if no more matches would be played before December 10th - the deadline for the December ranking. The top 74 teams will not be playing matches.
There are two competitions set to start in a couple of days: CECAFA Cup and SAFF Cup.
Spain will keep the first spot.
Best movers:
17 - Jordan
7 - Kenya and Vietnam
6 - Gambia and Indonesia
Worst movers:
-35 - Grenada
-23 - Cuba
-18 - Eritrea
Best movers in the top 50:
5 - Egypt
3 - Ghana
2 - Algeria, Chile, Ukraine and Slovenia
Worst movers in the top 50:
-4 - Romania
-3 - Bulgaria
-2 - Mexico, Czech Republic, Denmark and Ecuador
Iran drop out of the AFC top 5, replaced by Saudi Arabia.
Egypt overtake Algeria for 4th in Africa and 1st in the Arab world. Some consolation...
December 2009 rank - Team - December 2009 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points
1 | Spain | 1627 | 0 | 5 |
2 | Brazil | 1568 | 0 | -24 |
3 | Netherlands | 1288 | 0 | 9 |
4 | Italy | 1209 | 0 | -6 |
5 | Portugal | 1176 | 0 | -5 |
6 | Germany | 1173 | 0 | 3 |
7 | France | 1117 | 0 | -5 |
8 | Argentina | 1085 | 0 | 0 |
9 | England | 1076 | 0 | 13 |
10 | Croatia | 1042 | 0 | -8 |
11 | Cameroon | 1035 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Russia | 1026 | 1 | 7 |
13 | Greece | 1016 | -1 | -12 |
14 | USA | 980 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Chile | 936 | 2 | 10 |
16 | Côte d'Ivoire | 934 | 0 | 7 |
17 | Mexico | 931 | -2 | 0 |
18 | Switzerland | 924 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Serbia | 916 | 1 | 16 |
20 | Uruguay | 909 | -1 | 8 |
21 | Australia | 863 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Nigeria | 848 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Ukraine | 848 | 2 | 6 |
24 | Egypt | 833 | 5 | 13 |
25 | Czech Republic | 828 | -2 | -15 |
26 | Algeria | 823 | 2 | 0 |
26 | Israel | 823 | -1 | -14 |
28 | Denmark | 820 | -2 | -15 |
29 | Paraguay | 806 | 1 | -10 |
30 | Bulgaria | 801 | -3 | -26 |
31 | Slovenia | 767 | 2 | 11 |
32 | Norway | 760 | -1 | -20 |
33 | Slovakia | 751 | 1 | -4 |
34 | Ghana | 747 | 3 | 8 |
35 | Republic of Ireland | 746 | 1 | 0 |
36 | Romania | 745 | -4 | -18 |
37 | Ecuador | 738 | -2 | -12 |
37 | Honduras | 738 | 1 | 0 |
39 | Colombia | 736 | 1 | 0 |
40 | Northern Ireland | 730 | -1 | -7 |
41 | Turkey | 728 | 0 | -1 |
42 | Sweden | 721 | 0 | -6 |
43 | Japan | 709 | 0 | 0 |
44 | Costa Rica | 701 | 0 | 7 |
45 | Latvia | 677 | 0 | 7 |
46 | Scotland | 665 | 0 | 0 |
47 | Mali | 662 | 0 | 0 |
48 | Gabon | 660 | 0 | 0 |
49 | Burkina Faso | 650 | 0 | 0 |
50 | Venezuela | 646 | 0 | 0 |
51 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 642 | 0 | -1 |
52 | Korea Republic | 625 | 0 | 0 |
53 | Tunisia | 614 | 0 | 1 |
54 | Hungary | 613 | 1 | 10 |
55 | Finland | 592 | -1 | -13 |
56 | Bolivia | 573 | 1 | 0 |
56 | Canada | 573 | 1 | 0 |
58 | Poland | 556 | -2 | -19 |
59 | Benin | 532 | 0 | -2 |
60 | Bahrain | 524 | 1 | 0 |
61 | Austria | 523 | 1 | 3 |
62 | Lithuania | 521 | -2 | -4 |
63 | Saudi Arabia | 509 | 2 | 8 |
64 | Iran | 507 | -1 | -11 |
65 | FYR Macedonia | 495 | 1 | 4 |
66 | Belgium | 492 | -2 | -12 |
67 | Morocco | 477 | 0 | 1 |
68 | Cyprus | 471 | 0 | -1 |
68 | Peru | 471 | 2 | 4 |
70 | Panama | 469 | -1 | 1 |
71 | Togo | 467 | -1 | 0 |
72 | Mozambique | 462 | 0 | 0 |
73 | Guinea | 459 | 2 | 9 |
74 | Montenegro | 456 | -1 | 0 |
75 | Uganda | 452 | 3 | 24 |
76 | Uzbekistan | 440 | 0 | 3 |
77 | Wales | 420 | 2 | -7 |
78 | El Salvador | 412 | 4 | 5 |
79 | Oman | 410 | 4 | 7 |
80 | Belarus | 406 | 0 | -20 |
81 | Jamaica | 404 | -7 | -47 |
82 | New Zealand | 400 | -5 | -33 |
82 | Trinidad and Tobago | 400 | -1 | -21 |
84 | Korea DPR | 377 | 0 | -22 |
84 | South Africa | 377 | 2 | 0 |
86 | Qatar | 376 | 1 | 2 |
87 | Zambia | 374 | 3 | 16 |
88 | Iraq | 364 | 0 | 0 |
89 | Senegal | 361 | 0 | -1 |
90 | Haiti | 349 | -5 | -35 |
91 | Iceland | 346 | 1 | 0 |
91 | Syria | 346 | 0 | -2 |
93 | China PR | 340 | 4 | 12 |
94 | Moldova | 338 | -1 | 0 |
95 | Angola | 337 | -1 | 0 |
96 | Albania | 336 | 2 | 9 |
97 | Cape Verde Islands | 331 | 4 | 15 |
98 | Kenya | 329 | 7 | 37 |
99 | Malawi | 326 | -5 | -11 |
100 | Armenia | 321 | -1 | -2 |
101 | Congo | 320 | -1 | 0 |
102 | Estonia | 308 | 0 | 5 |
103 | Kuwait | 301 | 0 | 3 |
104 | Thailand | 296 | 3 | 7 |
105 | Tanzania | 293 | 1 | 2 |
106 | Rwanda | 285 | 4 | 30 |
107 | Congo DR | 271 | 2 | 10 |
108 | Sudan | 268 | 3 | 21 |
109 | Zimbabwe | 265 | -1 | 0 |
110 | Singapore | 260 | 1 | 13 |
111 | Jordan | 256 | 17 | 71 |
112 | United Arab Emirates | 248 | -1 | 1 |
113 | Namibia | 246 | 1 | 0 |
114 | Azerbaijan | 237 | 2 | 0 |
115 | Libya | 232 | 3 | 4 |
116 | Gambia | 224 | 6 | 6 |
117 | Faroe Islands | 222 | 3 | 2 |
118 | Botswana | 219 | 3 | 0 |
119 | Cuba | 218 | -23 | -113 |
120 | Burundi | 216 | 4 | 2 |
121 | Indonesia | 206 | 6 | 8 |
122 | Guatemala | 205 | 3 | 2 |
123 | Vietnam | 203 | 7 | 19 |
124 | Georgia | 202 | 1 | -1 |
125 | Kazakhstan | 200 | -6 | -26 |
126 | Guyana | 191 | -9 | -41 |
127 | Luxembourg | 185 | 1 | 0 |
128 | Barbados | 181 | -13 | -57 |
129 | Ethiopia | 179 | 2 | -3 |
130 | Antigua and Barbuda | 176 | -7 | -40 |
130 | Yemen | 176 | 2 | -1 |
132 | Fiji | 167 | 1 | -7 |
133 | Nicaragua | 165 | 1 | 0 |
134 | India | 158 | 1 | -5 |
135 | Equatorial Guinea | 152 | 0 | -11 |
135 | Swaziland | 152 | 3 | 0 |
137 | Sierra Leone | 145 | 4 | 8 |
138 | Grenada | 144 | -35 | -154 |
139 | Myanmar | 142 | -4 | -21 |
140 | Turkmenistan | 139 | 0 | 0 |
141 | Bermuda | 138 | 3 | 5 |
142 | Hong Kong | 137 | -1 | 0 |
143 | Suriname | 133 | 1 | 0 |
144 | Chad | 130 | 3 | 0 |
145 | Malta | 128 | 4 | 0 |
146 | Lebanon | 126 | 1 | -4 |
146 | New Caledonia | 126 | -7 | -21 |
148 | Lesotho | 120 | 2 | 0 |
149 | Maldives | 119 | -3 | -13 |
150 | Sri Lanka | 113 | 4 | 5 |
151 | St. Vincent and the Grenadines | 112 | -8 | -24 |
152 | Liechtenstein | 110 | 0 | 0 |
153 | Vanuatu | 108 | 4 | 7 |
154 | St. Kitts and Nevis | 107 | 5 | 13 |
155 | Madagascar | 105 | 0 | 0 |
156 | Kyrgyzstan | 103 | 0 | 0 |
157 | Malaysia | 102 | -5 | -8 |
158 | Liberia | 98 | 0 | 0 |
159 | Chinese Taipei | 93 | 1 | 0 |
160 | Niger | 92 | 4 | 6 |
161 | Puerto Rico | 87 | 1 | 0 |
162 | Tajikistan | 86 | 0 | -1 |
163 | Pakistan | 85 | -2 | -3 |
164 | Philippines | 83 | 1 | 0 |
165 | Bangladesh | 81 | 0 | -2 |
166 | Netherlands Antilles | 80 | 2 | 0 |
167 | Somalia | 77 | 0 | -5 |
168 | Mauritania | 70 | 1 | 0 |
169 | Eritrea | 66 | -18 | -49 |
170 | Mongolia | 61 | 0 | 0 |
171 | Solomon Islands | 60 | 0 | 0 |
172 | Belize | 57 | 1 | 0 |
172 | Palestine | 57 | 3 | 3 |
174 | Cambodia | 56 | -2 | -3 |
175 | Nepal | 52 | 1 | -1 |
176 | Comoros | 46 | 2 | 0 |
177 | Turks and Caicos Islands | 45 | 2 | 0 |
178 | Laos | 44 | -4 | -11 |
178 | Seychelles | 44 | 2 | 0 |
180 | Bahamas | 42 | -3 | -5 |
181 | Mauritius | 40 | 1 | 0 |
182 | Samoa | 38 | 1 | 0 |
183 | Cayman Islands | 36 | 1 | 0 |
184 | Cook Islands | 34 | 1 | 0 |
184 | Djibouti | 34 | 1 | 0 |
184 | Guam | 34 | 1 | 0 |
187 | St. Lucia | 32 | 1 | 0 |
188 | Macau | 31 | 1 | 0 |
189 | Tonga | 28 | 2 | 0 |
190 | Dominican Republic | 26 | -9 | -15 |
191 | British Virgin Islands | 25 | 1 | 0 |
191 | Brunei Darussalam | 25 | 1 | 0 |
193 | Guinea-Bissau | 20 | -3 | -9 |
194 | Afghanistan | 19 | -2 | -6 |
194 | Tahiti | 19 | 1 | 0 |
196 | Bhutan | 17 | 0 | 0 |
197 | Dominica | 12 | 0 | 0 |
198 | Aruba | 11 | 0 | 0 |
199 | US Virgin Islands | 8 | 0 | 0 |
200 | Central African Republic | 4 | 0 | 0 |
200 | Timor-Leste | 4 | 0 | 0 |
202 | Andorra | 3 | 0 | 0 |
203 | American Samoa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
203 | Anguilla | 0 | 0 | 0 |
203 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
203 | Papua New Guinea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
203 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
FIFA Ranking: December 2009 preview
Point totals for teams from the top 20 of the October 2007 ranking should be 100% correct. For the others, there's the issue of historical rankings published before July 2006.
Included: matches up to and including November 22nd, 2009.
Next update: December 10th, 2009.
This month you won't see a probable ranking because it's not worth it. The top 74 teams will not be playing matches.
There are two competitions: CECAFA Cup and SAFF Cup. The CECAFA Cup will feature a non-FIFA team (Zanzibar), while Zimbabwe will field an U-23 side. India will do the same in the SAFF Cup. On top of that, I could find no info regarding the quarterfinals match-ups for CECAFA.
November 2009 rank - Country - November 2009 points - Minimum points - Maximum points
Included: matches up to and including November 22nd, 2009.
Next update: December 10th, 2009.
This month you won't see a probable ranking because it's not worth it. The top 74 teams will not be playing matches.
There are two competitions: CECAFA Cup and SAFF Cup. The CECAFA Cup will feature a non-FIFA team (Zanzibar), while Zimbabwe will field an U-23 side. India will do the same in the SAFF Cup. On top of that, I could find no info regarding the quarterfinals match-ups for CECAFA.
November 2009 rank - Country - November 2009 points - Minimum points - Maximum points
1 | Spain | 1622 | 1627 | 1627 |
2 | Brazil | 1592 | 1568 | 1568 |
3 | Netherlands | 1279 | 1288 | 1288 |
4 | Italy | 1215 | 1209 | 1209 |
5 | Portugal | 1181 | 1176 | 1176 |
6 | Germany | 1170 | 1173 | 1173 |
7 | France | 1122 | 1117 | 1117 |
8 | Argentina | 1085 | 1085 | 1085 |
9 | England | 1063 | 1076 | 1076 |
10 | Croatia | 1050 | 1042 | 1042 |
11 | Cameroon | 1035 | 1035 | 1035 |
12 | Greece | 1028 | 1016 | 1016 |
13 | Russia | 1019 | 1026 | 1026 |
14 | USA | 980 | 980 | 980 |
15 | Mexico | 931 | 931 | 931 |
16 | Côte d'Ivoire | 927 | 934 | 934 |
17 | Chile | 926 | 936 | 936 |
18 | Switzerland | 924 | 924 | 924 |
19 | Uruguay | 901 | 909 | 909 |
20 | Serbia | 900 | 916 | 916 |
21 | Australia | 863 | 863 | 863 |
22 | Nigeria | 848 | 848 | 848 |
23 | Czech Republic | 843 | 828 | 828 |
24 | Ukraine | 842 | 848 | 848 |
25 | Israel | 837 | 823 | 823 |
26 | Denmark | 835 | 820 | 820 |
27 | Bulgaria | 827 | 801 | 801 |
28 | Algeria | 823 | 823 | 823 |
29 | Egypt | 820 | 833 | 833 |
30 | Paraguay | 816 | 806 | 806 |
31 | Norway | 780 | 760 | 760 |
32 | Romania | 763 | 745 | 745 |
33 | Slovenia | 756 | 767 | 767 |
34 | Slovakia | 755 | 751 | 751 |
35 | Ecuador | 750 | 738 | 738 |
36 | Republic of Ireland | 746 | 746 | 746 |
37 | Ghana | 739 | 747 | 747 |
38 | Honduras | 738 | 738 | 738 |
39 | Northern Ireland | 737 | 730 | 730 |
40 | Colombia | 736 | 736 | 736 |
41 | Turkey | 729 | 728 | 728 |
42 | Sweden | 727 | 721 | 721 |
43 | Japan | 709 | 709 | 709 |
44 | Costa Rica | 694 | 701 | 701 |
45 | Latvia | 670 | 677 | 677 |
46 | Scotland | 665 | 665 | 665 |
47 | Mali | 662 | 662 | 662 |
48 | Gabon | 660 | 660 | 660 |
49 | Burkina Faso | 650 | 650 | 650 |
50 | Venezuela | 646 | 646 | 646 |
51 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 643 | 642 | 642 |
52 | Korea Republic | 625 | 625 | 625 |
53 | Tunisia | 613 | 614 | 614 |
54 | Finland | 605 | 592 | 592 |
55 | Hungary | 603 | 613 | 613 |
56 | Poland | 575 | 556 | 556 |
57 | Bolivia | 573 | 573 | 573 |
57 | Canada | 573 | 573 | 573 |
59 | Benin | 534 | 532 | 532 |
60 | Lithuania | 525 | 521 | 521 |
61 | Bahrain | 524 | 524 | 524 |
62 | Austria | 520 | 523 | 523 |
63 | Iran | 518 | 507 | 507 |
64 | Belgium | 504 | 492 | 492 |
65 | Saudi Arabia | 501 | 509 | 509 |
66 | FYR Macedonia | 491 | 495 | 495 |
67 | Morocco | 476 | 477 | 477 |
68 | Cyprus | 472 | 471 | 471 |
69 | Panama | 468 | 469 | 469 |
70 | Peru | 467 | 471 | 471 |
70 | Togo | 467 | 467 | 467 |
72 | Mozambique | 462 | 462 | 462 |
73 | Montenegro | 456 | 456 | 456 |
74 | Jamaica | 451 | 404 | 404 |
75 | Guinea | 450 | 459 | 459 |
76 | Uzbekistan | 437 | 440 | 440 |
77 | New Zealand | 433 | 400 | 400 |
78 | Uganda | 428 | 409 | 453 |
79 | Wales | 427 | 420 | 420 |
80 | Belarus | 426 | 406 | 406 |
81 | Trinidad and Tobago | 421 | 400 | 400 |
82 | El Salvador | 407 | 412 | 412 |
83 | Oman | 403 | 410 | 410 |
84 | Korea DPR | 399 | 377 | 377 |
85 | Haiti | 384 | 349 | 349 |
86 | South Africa | 377 | 377 | 377 |
87 | Qatar | 374 | 376 | 376 |
88 | Iraq | 364 | 364 | 364 |
89 | Senegal | 362 | 361 | 361 |
90 | Zambia | 358 | 351 | 380 |
91 | Syria | 348 | 346 | 346 |
92 | Iceland | 346 | 346 | 346 |
93 | Moldova | 338 | 338 | 338 |
94 | Angola | 337 | 337 | 337 |
94 | Malawi | 337 | 326 | 326 |
96 | Cuba | 331 | 218 | 218 |
97 | China PR | 328 | 340 | 340 |
98 | Albania | 327 | 336 | 336 |
99 | Armenia | 323 | 321 | 321 |
100 | Congo | 320 | 320 | 320 |
101 | Cape Verde Islands | 316 | 331 | 331 |
102 | Estonia | 303 | 308 | 308 |
103 | Grenada | 298 | 144 | 144 |
103 | Kuwait | 298 | 301 | 301 |
105 | Kenya | 292 | 316 | 345 |
106 | Tanzania | 291 | 280 | 316 |
107 | Thailand | 289 | 296 | 296 |
108 | Zimbabwe | 265 | 265 | 265 |
109 | Congo DR | 261 | 271 | 271 |
110 | Rwanda | 255 | 277 | 296 |
111 | Singapore | 247 | 260 | 260 |
111 | Sudan | 247 | 268 | 268 |
111 | United Arab Emirates | 247 | 248 | 248 |
114 | Namibia | 246 | 246 | 246 |
115 | Barbados | 238 | 181 | 181 |
116 | Azerbaijan | 237 | 237 | 237 |
117 | Guyana | 232 | 191 | 191 |
118 | Libya | 228 | 232 | 232 |
119 | Kazakhstan | 226 | 200 | 200 |
120 | Faroe Islands | 220 | 222 | 222 |
121 | Botswana | 219 | 219 | 219 |
122 | Gambia | 218 | 224 | 224 |
123 | Antigua and Barbuda | 216 | 176 | 176 |
124 | Burundi | 214 | 195 | 264 |
125 | Georgia | 203 | 202 | 202 |
125 | Guatemala | 203 | 205 | 205 |
127 | Indonesia | 198 | 206 | 206 |
128 | Jordan | 185 | 256 | 256 |
128 | Luxembourg | 185 | 185 | 185 |
130 | Vietnam | 184 | 203 | 203 |
131 | Ethiopia | 182 | 179 | 309 |
132 | Yemen | 177 | 176 | 176 |
133 | Fiji | 174 | 167 | 167 |
134 | Nicaragua | 165 | 165 | 165 |
135 | Equatorial Guinea | 163 | 152 | 152 |
135 | India | 163 | 158 | 158 |
135 | Myanmar | 163 | 142 | 142 |
138 | Swaziland | 152 | 152 | 152 |
139 | New Caledonia | 147 | 126 | 126 |
140 | Turkmenistan | 139 | 139 | 139 |
141 | Hong Kong | 137 | 137 | 137 |
141 | Sierra Leone | 137 | 145 | 145 |
143 | St. Vincent and the Grenadines | 136 | 112 | 112 |
144 | Bermuda | 133 | 138 | 138 |
144 | Suriname | 133 | 133 | 133 |
146 | Maldives | 132 | 102 | 157 |
147 | Chad | 130 | 130 | 130 |
147 | Lebanon | 130 | 126 | 126 |
149 | Malta | 128 | 128 | 128 |
150 | Lesotho | 120 | 120 | 120 |
151 | Eritrea | 115 | 66 | 137 |
152 | Liechtenstein | 110 | 110 | 110 |
152 | Malaysia | 110 | 97 | 112 |
154 | Sri Lanka | 108 | 97 | 132 |
155 | Madagascar | 105 | 105 | 105 |
156 | Kyrgyzstan | 103 | 103 | 103 |
157 | Vanuatu | 101 | 108 | 108 |
158 | Liberia | 98 | 98 | 98 |
159 | St. Kitts and Nevis | 94 | 107 | 107 |
160 | Chinese Taipei | 93 | 93 | 93 |
161 | Pakistan | 88 | 78 | 142 |
162 | Puerto Rico | 87 | 87 | 87 |
162 | Tajikistan | 87 | 86 | 86 |
164 | Niger | 86 | 92 | 92 |
165 | Bangladesh | 83 | 72 | 136 |
165 | Philippines | 83 | 83 | 83 |
167 | Somalia | 82 | 64 | 124 |
168 | Netherlands Antilles | 80 | 80 | 80 |
169 | Mauritania | 70 | 70 | 70 |
170 | Mongolia | 61 | 61 | 61 |
171 | Solomon Islands | 60 | 60 | 60 |
172 | Cambodia | 59 | 56 | 56 |
173 | Belize | 57 | 57 | 57 |
174 | Laos | 55 | 44 | 44 |
175 | Palestine | 54 | 57 | 57 |
176 | Nepal | 53 | 52 | 105 |
177 | Bahamas | 47 | 42 | 42 |
178 | Comoros | 46 | 46 | 46 |
179 | Turks and Caicos Islands | 45 | 45 | 45 |
180 | Seychelles | 44 | 44 | 44 |
181 | Dominican Republic | 41 | 26 | 26 |
182 | Mauritius | 40 | 40 | 40 |
183 | Samoa | 38 | 38 | 38 |
184 | Cayman Islands | 36 | 36 | 36 |
185 | Cook Islands | 34 | 34 | 34 |
185 | Djibouti | 34 | 27 | 115 |
185 | Guam | 34 | 34 | 34 |
188 | St. Lucia | 32 | 32 | 32 |
189 | Macau | 31 | 31 | 31 |
190 | Guinea-Bissau | 29 | 20 | 20 |
191 | Tonga | 28 | 28 | 28 |
192 | Afghanistan | 25 | 19 | 72 |
192 | British Virgin Islands | 25 | 25 | 25 |
192 | Brunei Darussalam | 25 | 25 | 25 |
195 | Tahiti | 19 | 19 | 19 |
196 | Bhutan | 17 | 17 | 81 |
197 | Dominica | 12 | 12 | 12 |
198 | Aruba | 11 | 11 | 11 |
199 | US Virgin Islands | 8 | 8 | 8 |
200 | Central African Republic | 4 | 4 | 4 |
200 | Timor-Leste | 4 | 4 | 4 |
202 | Andorra | 3 | 3 | 3 |
203 | American Samoa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
203 | Anguilla | 0 | 0 | 0 |
203 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
203 | Papua New Guinea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
203 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |