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Friday, December 18, 2009

FIFA Ranking: January 2010 probable ranking

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.

Next update: January 8th, 2010.

Probable January 2010 rank - Team - Probable January 2010 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points
1 Spain 1627 0 0
2 Brazil 1568 0 0
3 Netherlands 1288 0 0
4 Italy 1209 0 0
5 Portugal 1176 0 0
6 Germany 1173 0 0
7 Cameroon 1172 4 137
8 France 1117 -1 0
9 Argentina 1085 -1 0
10 England 1076 -1 0
11 Croatia 1053 -1 11
12 Greece 1030 1 14
13 Russia 1026 -1 0
14 Nigeria 996 8 148
15 Côte d'Ivoire 989 1 55
16 USA 980 -2 0
17 Chile 973 -2 37
18 Mexico 947 -1 16
19 Switzerland 924 -1 0
20 Egypt 922 4 90
21 Serbia 916 -2 0
22 Uruguay 909 -2 0
23 Australia 891 -2 28
24 Ghana 850 10 103
25 Ukraine 848 -3 0
26 Czech Republic 828 -1 0
27 Denmark 827 1 7
28 Israel 823 -2 0
29 Paraguay 806 0 0
30 Bulgaria 801 0 0
31 Norway 772 1 12
32 Slovenia 767 -1 0
33 Algeria 757 -7 -66
34 Slovakia 752 -1 0
35 Ecuador 749 2 11
36 Republic of Ireland 746 -1 0
37 Romania 745 -1 0
38 Colombia 736 1 0
39 Honduras 734 -2 -4
40 Japan 729 3 20
40 Northern Ireland 729 0 0
40 Sweden 729 2 8
43 Turkey 728 -2 0
44 Costa Rica 721 0 20
45 Latvia 677 0 0
46 Scotland 665 0 0
47 Tunisia 654 6 40
48 Venezuela 646 2 0
49 Bosnia-Herzegovina 645 2 3
50 Mali 638 -3 -24
51 Korea Republic 629 1 4
52 Hungary 616 2 3
53 Finland 587 2 -5
54 Bolivia 573 2 0
55 Burkina Faso 569 -6 -81
56 Canada 567 0 -6
56 Gabon 567 -8 -93
58 Poland 557 0 1
59 Bahrain 553 1 29
60 Saudi Arabia 538 3 28
61 Austria 523 0 0
62 Lithuania 522 0 0
63 Iran 510 1 2
64 Belgium 491 2 0
64 Morocco 491 3 14
66 Benin 489 -7 -43
67 FYR Macedonia 482 -2 -13
68 Cyprus 471 0 0
69 El Salvador 464 9 51
70 Montenegro 456 4 0
71 Peru 450 -3 -21
72 Uganda 447 3 -8
73 Togo 431 -2 -36
73 Uzbekistan 431 3 -9
75 Mozambique 429 -3 -33
76 Wales 420 1 0
77 Panama 419 -7 -50
78 Angola 406 17 69
79 Jamaica 403 2 0
80 New Zealand 400 2 0
81 Belarus 397 -1 -9
82 South Africa 385 3 8
82 Thailand 385 23 89
84 Trinidad and Tobago 382 -2 -18
85 Iraq 375 3 11
86 Qatar 361 0 -15
87 China PR 360 6 20
87 Guinea 360 -14 -98
89 Senegal 359 0 -2
89 Zambia 359 -5 -21
91 Iceland 349 1 3
92 Haiti 347 -2 -1
93 Oman 346 -14 -64
94 Korea DPR 342 -8 -34
95 Moldova 338 -1 0
96 Albania 336 0 0
97 Syria 332 -6 -15
98 Cape Verde Islands 331 -1 0
99 Kuwait 328 5 27
100 Armenia 321 0 0
101 Congo 320 0 0
102 Estonia 300 0 -8
103 Rwanda 282 -1 -26
104 Malawi 270 -5 -56
105 Vietnam 264 18 61
106 Tanzania 261 0 -29
107 Libya 258 8 26
108 Singapore 256 2 -4
109 Zimbabwe 254 0 -11
110 Namibia 251 3 5
110 Sudan 251 -2 -17
112 Kenya 249 -14 -78
113 Congo DR 248 -6 -23
113 Jordan 248 -2 -7
115 United Arab Emirates 241 -3 -7
116 Gambia 240 0 17
117 Azerbaijan 235 -3 -1
118 Faroe Islands 222 -1 0
119 Botswana 220 -1 1
120 Ethiopia 204 2 0
121 Georgia 202 3 0
122 Kazakhstan 201 3 1
123 Luxembourg 195 5 10
124 Cuba 191 -5 -27
125 Guyana 186 2 -5
126 Antigua and Barbuda 184 4 8
127 Barbados 171 2 -10
128 Fiji 167 4 0
129 India 166 5 8
130 Guatemala 164 -9 -41
131 Yemen 160 -1 -16
132 Sierra Leone 159 6 14
133 Grenada 158 5 13
133 Turkmenistan 158 8 19
135 Bermuda 157 7 19
136 Indonesia 154 -16 -52
137 Hong Kong 153 6 16
138 Equatorial Guinea 152 -3 0
138 Swaziland 152 -3 0
140 Maldives 146 -3 0
141 Myanmar 144 -1 2
142 Suriname 133 2 0
143 Chad 130 2 0
144 Malta 129 2 1
145 Lebanon 127 3 2
146 New Caledonia 126 1 0
147 Burundi 124 -21 -71
148 Lesotho 120 2 0
149 Bangladesh 117 0 -5
150 Sri Lanka 115 1 0
151 Nepal 112 1 0
152 Liechtenstein 110 2 0
153 Vanuatu 108 2 0
154 St. Kitts and Nevis 106 2 0
155 Madagascar 105 3 0
155 Pakistan 105 1 -1
157 Chinese Taipei 104 5 11
158 Kyrgyzstan 103 1 0
159 Liberia 98 2 0
160 Malaysia 95 0 -7
161 Mauritania 93 8 23
162 Eritrea 92 1 0
162 Nicaragua 92 -29 -73
162 Niger 92 1 0
165 Puerto Rico 89 0 2
166 Tajikistan 87 -1 0
167 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 82 -15 -30
168 Netherlands Antilles 80 0 0
169 Philippines 77 -2 -6
170 Mongolia 61 1 0
171 Solomon Islands 60 1 0
172 Palestine 57 1 0
173 Cambodia 56 2 0
174 Turks and Caicos Islands 45 3 0
175 Bahamas 44 5 1
175 Seychelles 44 3 0
177 Comoros 43 -1 -3
178 Mauritius 40 3 0
179 Cayman Islands 39 4 3
179 Laos 39 -1 -5
179 Somalia 39 -9 -25
182 Dominica 38 15 26
182 Samoa 38 0 0
184 Cook Islands 34 0 0
184 Guam 34 0 0
186 Belize 33 -13 -24
187 St. Lucia 32 -1 0
188 Macau 31 -1 0
189 Tonga 28 -1 0
190 Dominican Republic 26 0 0
191 British Virgin Islands 25 0 0
191 Brunei Darussalam 25 0 0
193 Djibouti 23 -4 -4
194 Afghanistan 20 -1 0
195 Guinea-Bissau 19 -1 0
195 Tahiti 19 -1 0
197 Bhutan 17 -1 0
198 Aruba 11 0 0
199 US Virgin Islands 9 0 1
200 Central African Republic 4 0 0
200 Timor-Leste 4 0 0
202 Andorra 3 0 0
203 American Samoa 0 0 0
203 Anguilla 0 0 0
203 Montserrat 0 0 0
203 Papua New Guinea 0 0 0
203 San Marino 0 0 0

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5 comments:

  1. cliftonDecember 19, 2009 at 2:42 PM

    according to the fifa website the next ranking update is in Feb

    ReplyDelete
  2. EdgarDecember 21, 2009 at 7:49 AM

    Yes, but it will be the first ranking of 2010, hence the use of "January".

    ReplyDelete
  3. BrahimDecember 22, 2009 at 11:56 AM

    I think that it would be better to stop probable results at January 23rd because several combinations are possible for the ACN after first round. Every qualifier can face a national team with different FIFA ranking which makes it unclear after first round. The same applies for the FIFA ranking preview, the minimum for an african team occurs with three defeats in the first round. But the maximum means winning all the game and the ACN cup also. But the maximum possible number of points for a national teams depends after first round on the teams to face in second round. For Cameroon, the maximum is achieved by winning all three games of the first round (Gabon, Tunisia and Zambia). Then Cameroun should face Nigeria (22nd in December's FIFA ranking, which is better than Egypt 24th, Mozambique and Togo from Group3.

    In the semi-final and final, Cameroon should face Algeria and Cote d'Ivoire (Algeria can be in semi-final and Cote d'Ivoire in the final or vice versa) because those teams are the strongest in the first group. Doing so for every team we will get the maximum number of points that a national team can reach after winning the ACN for February FIFA ranking.

    ReplyDelete
  4. EdgarDecember 23, 2009 at 7:35 AM

    I know Brahim, that's exactly how it's done for the maximum points.
    The knock-out fixtures are based on probable results in the group stage, that's why I have Angola - Cote d'Ivoire for instance.

    ReplyDelete
  5. HåkonDecember 25, 2009 at 1:15 AM

    haha, love how all the African teams randomly shoot up. Should move the CAN to September and watch FIFA seed an African team based on their "rankings"...

    ReplyDelete