Fixed totals for Australia and Japan, because Australia - Indonesia and Japan - Bahrain were incorrectly listed as friendlies on fifa.com. They are obviously continental qualifiers.
__________________________
Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.
Next update: March 5th or March 8th - depends on my time.
Probable March 2010 rank - Team - Probable March 2010 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points
1 | Brazil | 1589 | 1 | -5 |
2 | Spain | 1576 | -1 | -66 |
3 | Netherlands | 1261 | 0 | -63 |
4 | Germany | 1213 | 1 | 5 |
5 | Italy | 1206 | -1 | -20 |
6 | Portugal | 1181 | 0 | -20 |
7 | England | 1120 | 1 | 11 |
8 | France | 1095 | -1 | -76 |
9 | Greece | 1064 | 1 | -10 |
10 | Croatia | 1044 | 1 | -6 |
11 | Russia | 1039 | 1 | -3 |
12 | Argentina | 1033 | -3 | -54 |
13 | Chile | 974 | 1 | 3 |
14 | Egypt | 966 | 3 | -1 |
15 | USA | 948 | 3 | -6 |
16 | Serbia | 941 | -3 | -39 |
17 | Mexico | 931 | -2 | -37 |
18 | Switzerland | 909 | -3 | -59 |
19 | Australia | 898 | 4 | 31 |
20 | Nigeria | 883 | 1 | 4 |
21 | Cameroon | 873 | -1 | -15 |
22 | Uruguay | 869 | -3 | -67 |
23 | Côte d'Ivoire | 855 | -1 | -19 |
23 | Paraguay | 855 | 6 | 40 |
25 | Ukraine | 837 | -1 | -14 |
26 | Czech Republic | 824 | -1 | -19 |
27 | Norway | 815 | 6 | 17 |
28 | Romania | 813 | 8 | 39 |
29 | Ghana | 810 | -1 | -8 |
29 | Slovenia | 810 | -2 | -9 |
31 | Slovakia | 808 | 0 | -2 |
32 | Denmark | 789 | 1 | -9 |
33 | Bulgaria | 780 | -3 | -32 |
34 | Algeria | 779 | -2 | -24 |
35 | Honduras | 773 | 0 | -3 |
36 | Ecuador | 765 | 1 | 4 |
37 | Israel | 761 | -11 | -60 |
38 | Colombia | 741 | 0 | -16 |
39 | Turkey | 736 | 2 | -3 |
40 | Sweden | 719 | 2 | -18 |
41 | Costa Rica | 717 | 3 | 16 |
42 | Gabon | 707 | 1 | 1 |
43 | Republic of Ireland | 704 | -4 | -44 |
44 | Japan | 692 | 2 | 20 |
45 | Scotland | 682 | 0 | 1 |
46 | Venezuela | 648 | 3 | 4 |
47 | Northern Ireland | 641 | -8 | -107 |
48 | Latvia | 633 | -1 | -29 |
49 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 613 | 0 | -31 |
50 | Korea Republic | 610 | 3 | -6 |
51 | Bolivia | 597 | 7 | 51 |
52 | Burkina Faso | 589 | -1 | -49 |
53 | Finland | 588 | -1 | -47 |
54 | Mali | 578 | 0 | -17 |
55 | Tunisia | 574 | 0 | -13 |
56 | Lithuania | 570 | 4 | 42 |
57 | Hungary | 565 | -9 | -80 |
58 | Austria | 545 | -2 | -22 |
59 | Poland | 538 | 0 | -2 |
60 | Peru | 537 | 1 | 27 |
61 | Benin | 531 | 4 | 28 |
62 | Saudi Arabia | 520 | -5 | -35 |
63 | Iran | 517 | 4 | 25 |
64 | Canada | 516 | -2 | 8 |
65 | Bahrain | 501 | -2 | -6 |
66 | FYR Macedonia | 499 | -2 | -7 |
67 | Cyprus | 495 | -1 | 0 |
68 | Morocco | 488 | 2 | 6 |
69 | Belgium | 486 | -1 | -5 |
70 | Montenegro | 461 | 1 | 5 |
71 | Zambia | 452 | 2 | 3 |
72 | El Salvador | 441 | 0 | -11 |
73 | Togo | 438 | -4 | -45 |
74 | Wales | 433 | 2 | 13 |
75 | Uzbekistan | 413 | 0 | -29 |
76 | Jamaica | 412 | 1 | 4 |
77 | Uganda | 411 | -3 | -36 |
78 | New Zealand | 409 | 2 | 11 |
79 | Belarus | 404 | 0 | 4 |
80 | Malawi | 399 | 2 | 11 |
81 | Iraq | 394 | 6 | 21 |
82 | Panama | 389 | -4 | -13 |
83 | Oman | 387 | 10 | 36 |
84 | Mozambique | 385 | 0 | 3 |
85 | Guinea | 381 | 4 | 14 |
85 | South Africa | 381 | -4 | -10 |
87 | Angola | 377 | -1 | -2 |
88 | China PR | 371 | -5 | -15 |
89 | Haiti | 362 | 1 | -2 |
90 | Gambia | 361 | 5 | 16 |
91 | Moldova | 356 | 9 | 28 |
92 | Trinidad and Tobago | 350 | -7 | -30 |
93 | Albania | 349 | 3 | 14 |
94 | Syria | 343 | 7 | 17 |
95 | Qatar | 342 | -3 | -12 |
96 | Senegal | 339 | -2 | -8 |
97 | Iceland | 338 | -6 | -17 |
98 | Kuwait | 331 | -10 | -37 |
99 | Congo | 329 | 4 | 9 |
100 | Estonia | 323 | -3 | -9 |
101 | Jordan | 297 | 5 | 27 |
102 | Thailand | 294 | -3 | -35 |
103 | Armenia | 292 | 0 | -28 |
104 | Korea DPR | 286 | -2 | -39 |
105 | Rwanda | 269 | 0 | -13 |
106 | Tanzania | 268 | 2 | 4 |
107 | Yemen | 262 | 0 | -5 |
108 | Azerbaijan | 257 | 1 | 6 |
109 | Libya | 255 | 7 | 28 |
110 | Congo DR | 253 | 2 | 5 |
111 | Kenya | 243 | 2 | -1 |
112 | Namibia | 237 | -1 | -12 |
113 | Cape Verde Islands | 236 | -15 | -95 |
114 | Vietnam | 231 | 0 | 0 |
115 | Zimbabwe | 228 | 2 | 5 |
116 | United Arab Emirates | 225 | -1 | -5 |
117 | Antigua and Barbuda | 217 | 6 | 14 |
118 | Sudan | 210 | -9 | -41 |
119 | Georgia | 209 | 5 | 9 |
120 | Botswana | 205 | -1 | -13 |
120 | Guyana | 205 | 0 | 0 |
122 | Ethiopia | 204 | 0 | 0 |
123 | Luxembourg | 198 | 3 | 2 |
124 | Guatemala | 197 | 5 | 23 |
125 | Cuba | 196 | -1 | -4 |
125 | Faroe Islands | 196 | -7 | -26 |
127 | Singapore | 193 | -7 | -12 |
128 | Kazakhstan | 191 | -1 | 1 |
129 | Grenada | 188 | 4 | 26 |
130 | Tajikistan | 176 | -2 | 0 |
131 | Fiji | 167 | -1 | 0 |
132 | India | 164 | 0 | 0 |
132 | Swaziland | 164 | 2 | 3 |
134 | Sierra Leone | 162 | 1 | 3 |
134 | Turkmenistan | 162 | -4 | -5 |
136 | Bermuda | 159 | 0 | 3 |
137 | Barbados | 157 | 4 | 21 |
138 | Indonesia | 155 | -1 | 0 |
139 | Maldives | 151 | 1 | 5 |
140 | Hong Kong | 150 | 2 | 16 |
141 | Myanmar | 147 | -2 | 0 |
141 | Suriname | 147 | 2 | 14 |
143 | Equatorial Guinea | 145 | -5 | -6 |
144 | Chad | 128 | 0 | -4 |
145 | Burundi | 127 | 2 | 4 |
146 | New Caledonia | 126 | -1 | 0 |
147 | Malaysia | 123 | -1 | -1 |
148 | Lesotho | 116 | 0 | -3 |
149 | Lebanon | 113 | 0 | -5 |
149 | St. Kitts and Nevis | 113 | 2 | 1 |
151 | Kyrgyzstan | 112 | 10 | 17 |
151 | Liechtenstein | 112 | 0 | 0 |
153 | Pakistan | 111 | 3 | 4 |
154 | Madagascar | 110 | 3 | 5 |
155 | Vanuatu | 108 | 0 | 0 |
156 | Liberia | 106 | 4 | 8 |
157 | Sri Lanka | 103 | -3 | -8 |
158 | Bangladesh | 102 | 0 | 0 |
158 | Malta | 102 | -8 | -14 |
160 | Nepal | 101 | -9 | -11 |
160 | Nicaragua | 101 | -1 | 0 |
162 | Netherlands Antilles | 98 | 4 | 8 |
163 | Chinese Taipei | 95 | -1 | 2 |
163 | Eritrea | 95 | 1 | 3 |
165 | Niger | 92 | -1 | 0 |
166 | St. Vincent and the Grenadines | 91 | 2 | 5 |
167 | Philippines | 86 | 2 | 1 |
168 | Mauritania | 81 | -6 | -12 |
169 | Puerto Rico | 76 | -2 | -13 |
170 | Solomon Islands | 60 | 1 | 0 |
171 | Cambodia | 56 | 1 | 0 |
172 | Mongolia | 48 | -2 | -13 |
173 | Palestine | 45 | 0 | -3 |
174 | Comoros | 43 | 1 | 0 |
175 | Seychelles | 41 | -1 | -3 |
176 | Mauritius | 40 | 1 | 0 |
177 | Cayman Islands | 39 | 1 | 0 |
177 | Laos | 39 | 1 | 0 |
177 | Somalia | 39 | 1 | 0 |
180 | Samoa | 38 | 1 | 0 |
181 | Macau | 36 | 7 | 5 |
182 | Bahamas | 35 | -7 | -8 |
183 | Belize | 34 | -1 | 0 |
183 | Cook Islands | 34 | -1 | 0 |
185 | Dominica | 33 | 0 | 0 |
186 | Turks and Caicos Islands | 32 | 0 | 0 |
187 | Tonga | 28 | 2 | 0 |
188 | Dominican Republic | 26 | 2 | 0 |
189 | Brunei Darussalam | 25 | 2 | 0 |
190 | Djibouti | 23 | 3 | 0 |
191 | Afghanistan | 20 | 3 | 0 |
192 | Guinea-Bissau | 19 | 3 | 0 |
192 | St. Lucia | 19 | -6 | -13 |
192 | Tahiti | 19 | 3 | 0 |
195 | British Virgin Islands | 18 | -4 | -7 |
196 | Bhutan | 17 | 1 | 0 |
196 | Guam | 17 | -14 | -17 |
198 | Aruba | 11 | 0 | 0 |
199 | US Virgin Islands | 5 | 0 | -3 |
200 | Timor-Leste | 4 | 0 | 0 |
201 | Andorra | 2 | 1 | -1 |
202 | American Samoa | 0 | 1 | 0 |
202 | Anguilla | 0 | 1 | 0 |
202 | Central African Republic | 0 | -2 | -4 |
202 | Montserrat | 0 | 1 | 0 |
202 | Papua New Guinea | 0 | 1 | 0 |
202 | San Marino | 0 | 1 | 0 |
According to FIFA ranking in March 2010, these would be the results at the World cup:
ReplyDelete1/8
France-Greece; England-Serbia; Netherlands-Paraguay; Brazil-Chile; Argentina-Mexico; Germany-USA, Italy-Denmark; Spain-Portugal
1/4
France-England; Netherlands-Brazil; Argentina-Germany; Spain-Italy
1/2
France-Brazil; Germany-Spain
Final
Spain-Brazil
Champion: Spain
As you told, this will change really soon, as Brazil is getting to the top at the ranking in april. But I think it's a good simulation, and we have to check it till the WC
Best regards
Juan
Hi, thanks for the tips. That was a great help to me.I really like this blog, It's always nice when you can not only be informed, but also get knowledge, from these type of blog, nice entry. Thanks
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