Swiss mathematician using FIFA ranking to predict the World Cup

That seems as an unhappy choice - the FIFA ranking has many flaws... But that's my opinion and I don't have a PhD in mathematics as Mr. Roger Kaufmann has.

More info on his website: RogerKaufmann.ch

He will update the probabilities after each match.

Chances of winning the World Cup (as of May 26):

1	Brazil	15.4
2	Spain	15.2
3	Portugal	6.1
4	Netherlands	5.7
5	Italy	5.2
6	Nigeria	4
7	Cameroon	3.9
8	Germany	3.8
9	Argentina	3.4
10	France	3.3
11	Algeria	3.2
12	England	3.1
13	Cote d'Ivoire	2.7
14	Ghana	2.5
15	Greece	2.2
16	Serbia	2.1
17	USA	2
18	Mexico	1.8
19	Uruguay	1.8
20	Australia	1.6
21	Paraguay	1.5
22	Chile	1.5
23	Slovenia	1.3
24	Slovakia	1.2
25	South Africa	1.1
26	Switzerland	1.1
27	Denmark	1
28	Honduras	0.7
29	Japan	0.7
30	Korea Republic	0.5
31	New Zealand	0.2
32	Korea DPR	0.1

---

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.