2014 FIFA World Cup seeding for CAF (9 June 2010)

The preliminary draw will take place in July or August 2011, not in November 2011 as I assumed, but that doesn't change much, because CAF used the July 2007 ranking for the draw.

Assumptions:

- CAF will again have 5 spots
- CAF will keep the current qualifying system
- FIFA will use the FIFA ranking to seed the teams
- CAF will choose the July 2011 ranking for seeding

The July 2011 FIFA ranking will include matches played between July 2007 and July 2011. We already have the "0.2" part (matches played between July 2007 and July 2008) and the "0.3" part (matches played between July 2008 and July 2009) - that's 25% of the formula. A lot can and will change before July 2011 as there are many matches to be played involving African teams: 2010 FIFA World Cup, CAN 2012 qualifiers and plenty of friendlies.
is the July 2011 ranking (for CAF only) using matches played up to and including June 8th, 2010 and matches scheduled up to July 2010 (only those on fifa.com).

The "0.5" part is computed this way: points gained / (number of matches played + scheduled).

Uganda replace Malawi in the first pot.

Rank - Previous rank - Team - Total points

 1  1 Egypt                    542
 2  2 Gabon                    408
 3  3 Nigeria                  379
 4  5 Côte d'Ivoire            376
 5  5 Algeria                  367
 6  4 Cameroon                 349
 7  8 Ghana                    341
 8  7 Burkina Faso             338
 9  9 Mali                     266
10 11 Benin                    257
11 10 Tunisia                  252
12 14 Uganda                   232
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13 15 Zambia                   221
14 12 Malawi                   212
15 13 Togo                     198
16 23 South Africa             183
17 16 Mozambique               176
18 17 Angola                   171
19 18 Morocco                  170
20 19 Libya                    166
21 20 Senegal                  159
22 21 Gambia                   147
23 22 Guinea                   144
24 24 Congo                    132
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25 25 Zimbabwe                 126
25 26 Rwanda                   126
27 27 Kenya                    120
28 32 Cape Verde Islands       115
29 28 Tanzania                 108
30 29 Sudan                    104
31 30 Namibia                   97
32 33 Congo DR                  88
33 30 Botswana                  86
34 34 Swaziland                 76
35 35 Sierra Leone              74
36 36 Madagascar                73
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37 37 Chad                      67
38 38 Burundi                   52
39 39 Equatorial Guinea         51
40 40 Lesotho                   47
40 40 Niger                     47
42 42 Ethiopia                  42
43 43 Liberia                   39
44 44 Eritrea                   29
45 45 Somalia                   23
45 45 Mauritania                23
47 47 Comoros                   19
48 48 Mauritius                 15
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49 49 Guinea-Bissau             12
49 49 Djibouti                  12
51 51 Seychelles                11
52 52 Central African Republic   0
52 52 Sao Tome e Principe        0

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About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.