2014 FIFA World Cup seeding for UEFA teams (9 June 2010)

The preliminary draw will take place in July or August 2011, not in November 2011 as I assumed.

Assumptions:

- UEFA will again have 13 spots
- UEFA will again use the system with 9 groups
- FIFA will use the July 2011 FIFA ranking to seed the teams

The July 2011 FIFA ranking will include matches played between July 2007 and July 2011. We already have almost 50% of the final ranking: the "0.2" and "0.3" parts (matches played between July 2007 and July 2009) and almost all the "0.5" part (matches played between July 2009 and July 2010). A lot can and will change before July 2011 as there are many matches to be played involving European teams: 2010 FIFA World Cup, EURO 2012 qualifiers and plenty of friendlies.

UEFA will only use the national team coefficient for the European Championships draws (qualifying and final tournament).

This is the July 2011 ranking (for UEFA only) using matches played up to and including June 8th, 2010 and matches scheduled up to July 2010 (only those on fifa.com).

The "0.5" part is computed this way: points gained / (number of matches played + scheduled).

Norway climb from 3rd to 1st pot, with Denmark doing the opposite.
Belgium climbed from 5th to 3rd pot, dropping Bosnia-Herzegovina to 4th pot and Belarus to 5th.
Croatia replaced Greece in the 1st pot.
Czech Republic and Republic of Ireland replaced Sweden and Bulgaria in the 2nd pot.
Scotland and Romania replaced Austria and Poland in the 3rd pot.
Cyprus and Macedonia replaced Northern Ireland and Albania in the 4th pot.

Rank - Previous rank - Team - Total points

 1  1 Spain                    674
 2  2 Netherlands              525
 3  4 Russia                   489
 4 10 Croatia                  462
 5  6 England                  460
 6  3 Portugal                 456
 7  7 Germany                  447
 8  5 Italy                    444
 9 21 Norway                   426
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10 15 Ukraine                  424
11  8 Greece                   403
12 16 Turkey                   400
13 11 France                   395
14 25 Czech Republic           380
15 13 Serbia                   377
16 14 Switzerland              372
17 12 Slovenia                 369
18 20 Republic of Ireland      368
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19 19 Israel                   361
20 17 Sweden                   359
21  9 Denmark                  344
22 28 Scotland                 337
23 18 Bulgaria                 329
24 30 Romania                  322
25 24 Slovakia                 317
26 37 Belgium                  311
27 27 Latvia                   303
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28 26 Austria                  278
29 31 Hungary                  276
30 33 Finland                  269
31 34 Lithuania                265
32 40 Cyprus                   263
33 22 Poland                   257
34 39 FYR Macedonia            256
35 23 Bosnia-Herzegovina       246
36 29 Montenegro               245
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37 32 Northern Ireland         243
38 36 Albania                  221
39 35 Belarus                  207
40 38 Iceland                  197
41 41 Wales                    192
42 44 Moldova                  191
43 43 Estonia                  165
44 45 Armenia                  143
45 42 Azerbaijan               121
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46 47 Georgia                  120
47 48 Luxembourg               117
48 46 Faroe Islands            108
49 49 Kazakhstan                83
50 51 Liechtenstein             60
51 50 Malta                     44
52 52 Andorra                    0
52 52 San Marino                 0

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About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.