Confederation - Wins - Games - Average - Value - Adjusted value
| CONMEBOL | 32 | 61 | 0.52459 | 1.00000 | 1 |
| UEFA | 55 | 112 | 0.49107 | 0.98363 | 0.98 |
| AFC | 10 | 43 | 0.23256 | 0.81598 | 0.85 |
| CAF | 11 | 53 | 0.20755 | 0.79309 | 0.85 |
| CONCACAF | 7 | 34 | 0.20588 | 0.79150 | 0.85 |
| OFC | 1 | 7 | 0.09524 | 0.65275 | 0.85 |
Corrected to used two digit rounding and average of the three World Cups. See comments. The only change - UEFA now at 0.99 instead of 0.98.
| Confed | W02 | T02 | WPG02 | W06 | T06 | WPG06 | W10 | T10 | WPG10 | Av02-10 | FVal |
| CONMEBOL | 10 | 20 | 0.5 | 10 | 17 | 0.59 | 12 | 24 | 0.5 | 0.53 | 1 |
| UEFA | 18 | 44 | 0.41 | 22 | 34 | 0.65 | 15 | 34 | 0.44 | 0.5 | 0.99 |
| CONCACAF | 4 | 10 | 0.4 | 1 | 13 | 0.08 | 2 | 11 | 0.18 | 0.22 | 0.8 |
| AFC | 5 | 17 | 0.29 | 1 | 12 | 0.08 | 4 | 14 | 0.29 | 0.22 | 0.8 |
| CAF | 4 | 17 | 0.24 | 3 | 16 | 0.19 | 4 | 20 | 0.2 | 0.21 | 0.79 |
| OFC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.25 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.62 |
I think UEFA should be 0.99 not 0.98. In the info you obtained form FIFA they gave: av94-02 = (av94+av98+av02)/3. That is the average of the last 3 win ratios not the total win ratio.
ReplyDeleteHi Edgar
ReplyDeleteI also think that UEFA should be 0.99. But i use a rounding with 2 digits for my calculations (as a previous answer from FIFA suggests). In reality the answer say nothing about the rounding (only it uses 2 digits rounding). In this article you use rounding with 5 digits. Which is right; (Probably the last except we use the last 3 win ratios and not the total win ratio,as the anonymous suggested).
Replace ;with ?.
ReplyDeleteI think you're right. Going by total ratios yielded the same results for the last two WCs.
ReplyDelete1 / 7 = 0.09524 ???
ReplyDeleteFor big values of 1 and 7, yes :)
ReplyDeleteThe value is actually 1/7 * 2/3 since OFC had no team at the 2002 WC.
i see, this is how the trick works... :p
ReplyDeletethanks!