2014 FIFA World Cup seeding for CAF (8 September 2010)

The preliminary draw will take place in July or August 2011, not in November 2011 as I assumed, but that doesn't change much, because CAF used the July 2007 ranking for the draw.

Assumptions:

- CAF will again have 5 spots
- CAF will keep the current qualifying system
- FIFA will use the FIFA ranking to seed the teams
- CAF will choose the July 2011 ranking for seeding

The July 2011 FIFA ranking will include matches played between July 2007 and July 2011. We already have 50% of the formula. Things can still change as there are many matches to be played involving African teams: CAN 2012 qualifiers and plenty of friendlies.
This the July 2011 ranking (for CAF only) using matches played up to and including September 7th, 2010 and matches scheduled up to July 2011 (only those on fifa.com).

The "1.0" part is computed this way: points gained / (number of matches played + scheduled).

Botswana climb from third to first pot.
Guinea-Bissau climb from fifth to third pot.

South Africa climb to first pot.
Cape Verde Islands and Sudan climb to second pot.
Burundi and Chad climb to third pot.
Central African Republic climb to fourth pot.

Benin and Mali drop to second pot.
Libya, Angola and Cogo drop to third pot.
Namibia, Congo DR and Swaziland drop to fourth pot.
Comoros and Mauritius drop to fifth pot.

Rank - Previous rank - Team - Total points

 1  1 Egypt                    612
 2  4 Côte d'Ivoire            597
 3  7 Ghana                    535
 4  2 Gabon                    520
 5  6 Cameroon                 494
 6  3 Nigeria                  462
 7  5 Algeria                  421
 8  8 Burkina Faso             415
 9 11 Tunisia                  413
10 16 South Africa             411
11 12 Uganda                   400
12 33 Botswana                 376
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13 14 Malawi                   327
14 13 Zambia                   308
15 21 Senegal                  306
16 28 Cape Verde Islands       302
17 10 Benin                    292
18 23 Guinea                   291
19  9 Mali                     266
20 22 Gambia                   257
21 17 Mozambique               255
22 30 Sudan                    225
23 19 Morocco                  220
24 15 Togo                     219
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25 20 Libya                    217
26 29 Tanzania                 194
27 18 Angola                   171
28 27 Kenya                    157
29 35 Sierra Leone             156
30 25 Zimbabwe                 147
31 24 Congo                    132
32 26 Rwanda                   126
33 49 Guinea-Bissau            121
34 38 Burundi                  112
35 36 Madagascar                99
36 37 Chad                      98
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37 31 Namibia                   97
38 32 Congo DR                  88
39 43 Liberia                   77
40 34 Swaziland                 76
40 40 Niger                     76
42 42 Ethiopia                  75
43 39 Equatorial Guinea         51
44 52 Central African Republic  50
45 40 Lesotho                   47
46 45 Mauritania                32
47 44 Eritrea                   29
48 45 Somalia                   23
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49 47 Comoros                   19
50 48 Mauritius                 15
51 49 Djibouti                  12
52 51 Seychelles                11
53 52 Sao Tome e Principe        0

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About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.