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Wednesday, September 8, 2010

FIFA Ranking: September 2010 preview (IV)

Only one match left before the deadline: the friendly India - Thailand. The totals for these two teams could change as follows:

India (W: 131, D: 98, L:82)
Thailand (W:287, D: 279, L:275)

In the ranking table, the value displayed for these 2 teams is the minimum possible value. This means that even if they lose, their total can't drop.

Best movers

48 - Guinea-Bissau
33 - Montenegro
31 - Cape Verde Islands and Central African Republic

Worst movers

-24 - El Salvador
-22 - India
-21 - Iceland

India can avoid this by not losing against Thailand.

Best movers in the top 50:

33 - Montenegro
20 - Cyprus
14 - Northern Ireland

Worst movers in the top 50:

-19 - Latvia
-14 - Belgium
-13 - Venezuela

Saudi Arabia replace Bahrain in the AFC top 5.

Gabon up to 4th in Africa, overtaking Nigeria. Algeria out of the top 5.

Panama - 5th in CONCACAF. Trinidad & Tobago fall from 5th to 8th.

Seven teams will improve their best ever ranking:

Slovakia (16th - 17th in May 1997)
Burkina Faso (39th - 45th in July 2010)
Montenegro (40th - 64th in May 2010)
Cyprus (43rd - 57th in October 2007)
Belarus (55th - 57th in June 2008)
Uganda (63rd - 66 in April 1995)
Botswana (83rd - 93rd in July 2010)

Four teams will return to their worst ever ranking:

Macau (197th - first achieved in August 2008)
Andorra (202nd - first achieved in November 2009)
Papua New Guinea (203rd - first achieved in July 2009)
San Marino (203rd - first achieved in July 2009)

Six teams will have their worst ever ranking:

France (27th - 25th in April 1998)
Romania (46th - 42nd in July 2010)
Poland (66th - 61st in March 1998)
Morocco (96th - 83rd in August 2010)
Congo DR (132nd - 124th in July 2010)
Mauritius (193rd - 183rd in August 2009)

September 2010 rank - Team - September 2010 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points

1 Spain 1824 0 -59
2 Netherlands 1663 0 4
3 Germany 1490 1 26
4 Brazil 1482 -1 -42
5 Argentina 1351 0 63
6 England 1191 1 66
7 Uruguay 1182 -1 30
8 Portugal 1049 0 -13
9 Egypt 1034 0 -19
10 Chile 1004 0 16
11 Croatia 998 3 30
12 Greece 973 0 -2
13 Italy 965 -2 -17
14 Norway 958 8 80
15 Serbia 945 -2 -24
16 Slovakia 919 11 90
17 Paraguay 904 -2 -57
18 USA 899 0 -32
19 Slovenia 897 0 -20
20 Ghana 889 3 15
21 Switzerland 882 -4 -58
21 Turkey 882 7 72
23 Côte d'Ivoire 877 3 34
24 Australia 874 -4 -37
25 Russia 868 -9 -88
26 Ukraine 838 -2 -32
27 France 835 -6 -55
28 Mexico 795 -3 -58
29 Denmark 781 0 -4
30 Japan 773 2 5
31 Gabon 768 3 13
32 Sweden 760 3 13
33 Republic of Ireland 745 3 11
34 Nigeria 733 -4 -40
35 Algeria 732 -2 -27
36 Israel 721 2 -12
37 Cameroon 717 3 7
37 Czech Republic 717 -6 -52
39 Burkina Faso 703 6 57
40 Colombia 684 -4 -50
40 Montenegro 684 33 236
42 Lithuania 675 10 104
43 Cyprus 643 20 120
44 Korea Republic 640 0 -11
45 Northern Ireland 638 14 98
46 Romania 631 -4 -66
47 Scotland 617 -6 -82
48 Peru 613 -9 -113
49 New Zealand 605 5 48
50 Bolivia 591 0 14
51 Hungary 567 11 33
52 Honduras 565 -6 -62
53 Costa Rica 561 0 -1
54 Bulgaria 556 -11 -116
55 Belarus 554 23 151
56 Tunisia 551 8 32
57 Iran 546 8 29
58 South Africa 545 8 41
59 Bosnia-Herzegovina 544 -2 -2
60 Venezuela 531 -13 -61
61 Austria 528 -1 -8
62 Belgium 526 -14 -63
63 Uganda 523 6 64
64 Finland 521 -13 -55
65 Mali 518 -10 -30
66 Poland 504 -10 -43
67 Albania 502 3 47
68 Latvia 494 -19 -85
69 Benin 489 -8 -46
70 Panama 487 27 173
71 FYR Macedonia 479 -5 -25
72 Ecuador 477 -14 -68
73 Saudi Arabia 460 -3 5
74 Zambia 433 -2 -16
75 Bahrain 432 -7 -34
76 Jamaica 425 6 53
77 Cape Verde Islands 422 31 161
78 Malawi 415 -4 -9
79 Senegal 405 12 67
80 Moldova 398 9 48
81 Guinea 394 21 108
82 China PR 389 -5 -17
83 Botswana 388 10 59
84 Wales 382 0 16
85 Estonia 375 9 54
86 Mozambique 374 -6 -7
87 Togo 371 -12 -50
88 Canada 359 13 72
89 Georgia 357 21 120
90 United Arab Emirates 349 0 1
91 Gambia 345 12 60
92 Oman 344 -11 -33
93 Angola 341 -6 -16
94 Trinidad and Tobago 334 -18 -84
95 Syria 331 -3 -5
96 Morocco 330 -13 -41
97 Kuwait 329 -12 -36
98 Uzbekistan 327 -10 -24
99 Jordan 318 -1 18
100 Iceland 308 -21 -77
101 Sudan 295 19 97
102 Azerbaijan 286 3 20
103 Qatar 278 -5 -22
104 Thailand 275 0 -1
105 Armenia 273 -9 -45
106 Korea DPR 271 -6 -17
107 Libya 262 -13 -59
107 Iraq 262 -1 -1
107 Yemen 262 2 13
110 El Salvador 252 -24 -108
111 Tanzania 240 0 5
112 Rwanda 225 -1 -10
113 Cuba 218 1 3
114 Kenya 215 2 5
115 Guatemala 214 4 13
116 Namibia 212 -1 -1
117 Congo 202 -11 -61
118 Zimbabwe 195 -5 -29
119 Singapore 189 1 -9
120 Guyana 182 2 -8
121 Barbados 180 6 6
122 Burundi 179 20 54
123 Antigua and Barbuda 175 6 7
123 Haiti 175 8 9
125 Vietnam 174 2 0
126 Kazakhstan 171 -1 -13
127 Fiji 161 3 -6
127 Grenada 161 5 -2
129 Turkmenistan 154 4 2
130 Luxembourg 153 -13 -56
131 Indonesia 152 4 9
132 Congo DR 144 -9 -43
132 Sierra Leone 144 5 14
134 Chad 142 -10 -43
135 Ethiopia 137 9 21
136 Hong Kong 135 -3 -17
137 Suriname 133 -11 -48
138 Faroe Islands 132 -20 -74
138 Liberia 132 18 38
140 Guinea-Bissau 127 48 108
141 Myanmar 126 -1 -1
142 Swaziland 122 -6 -14
143 Maldives 117 0 0
144 Malaysia 111 -5 -17
145 Tajikistan 108 3 2
145 Bangladesh 108 7 4
145 New Caledonia 108 9 9
148 Sri Lanka 104 5 3
149 Liechtenstein 102 -8 -24
150 Malta 96 1 -9
151 St. Kitts and Nevis 94 -6 -16
151 Lebanon 94 -3 -12
153 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 93 7 6
154 Niger 91 -9 -19
154 Madagascar 91 -6 -15
156 Lesotho 88 -1 -8
156 Nepal 88 3 0
158 Nicaragua 86 3 0
159 Kyrgyzstan 83 4 5
160 India 82 -22 -47
161 Eritrea 80 -4 -12
162 Bermuda 75 -4 -16
162 Pakistan 75 2 0
164 Equatorial Guinea 73 -19 -37
165 Philippines 67 0 0
166 Vanuatu 63 -4 -21
166 Netherlands Antilles 63 -1 -4
168 Mauritania 53 0 -9
169 Chinese Taipei 52 -4 -15
169 Puerto Rico 52 1 0
171 Central African Republic 50 31 50
172 Palestine 49 -1 -1
173 Comoros 43 -1 0
174 Solomon Islands 40 -5 -20
175 Somalia 39 -2 0
176 Laos 37 -3 -2
177 Cambodia 33 1 0
177 Dominica 33 1 0
179 Belize 32 1 0
179 Mongolia 32 1 0
181 Cayman Islands 26 -8 -13
181 Samoa 26 -5 -12
181 Dominican Republic 26 3 0
184 Seychelles 22 1 -2
185 Brunei Darussalam 21 2 0
186 Turks and Caicos Islands 19 -6 -13
186 St. Lucia 19 2 0
188 British Virgin Islands 18 3 0
188 Djibouti 18 3 0
190 Tonga 17 -4 -6
190 Cook Islands 17 3 0
190 Guam 17 3 0
193 Mauritius 16 -10 -11
194 Bahamas 13 -17 -21
194 Tahiti 13 -6 -6
194 Afghanistan 13 1 0
197 Macau 12 -1 0
198 Bhutan 9 -1 0
199 Aruba 7 -1 0
200 US Virgin Islands 5 -1 0
201 Timor-Leste 4 -1 0
202 Andorra 2 -1 0
203 Papua New Guinea 0 -1 0
203 San Marino 0 -1 0
203 American Samoa 0 -1 0
203 Anguilla 0 -1 0
203 Montserrat 0 -1 0

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12 comments:

  1. AbhishekSeptember 11, 2010 at 6:13 PM

    Hello, I just want to know that last month, India's 31 points have been deducted because they havnt played a match since 1 year. But why this month also their 47 points have been deducted? fifa deducts points for 1 month only FOR NOT PLAYING 5 MATCHES FOR THE LAST 1 YEAR or is the rule is to deduct poins for 2 months if a team doesnt play any international match for a year? this is real injustice. India is such a good team and they doesnt deserve to be in 160 from 138.
    PLEASE REPLY SIR

    ReplyDelete
  2. AbhishekSeptember 11, 2010 at 6:22 PM

    will fifa deduct points in the next month also for India?
    PLEASE REPLY SIR

    ReplyDelete
  3. AlexSeptember 12, 2010 at 9:55 AM

    Hello Abhishek,

    The main reason India will lose 47 points between the 11 August and 15 September rankings is because 11 of their past matches (5 from 17-29 August 2007, 1 from 13 August 2008, and most especially the 5 from 19-31 August 2009) will drop into older yearly time frames, decreasing their weighting in the formula.

    For example, in the August 2010 ranking, India's 5 matches from August 2009 were the only ones in the 1.0 time frame (that is, the current year). Their value was:
    1.0 * (0 + 127.5 + 127.5 + 0 + 178.5) / 5 = 86.7 points

    However, in the September 2010 ranking, those 5 matches move into the 0.5 time frame (that is, the previous year). The January 2009 loss to Hong Kong is also in this time frame. The new value of these 6 matches is:
    0.5 * (0 + 0 + 127.5 + 127.5 + 0 + 178.5) / 6 = 36.125 points

    That's a loss of 50 points.

    Also, with regard to losing points "for not playing 5 matches" in a given 12-month period, there is not a direct penalty of a certain number of points deducted. Rather, teams can lose points indirectly, because a minimum denominator of 5 matches is used for computing the yearly time frame averages. For example, since India's only matches in the last 12 months are the 2 losses to Thailand, their current 1.0 time frame value would be calculated like this:
    1.0 * (0 + 0) / 5 = 0 points,
    dividing by 5 instead of 2 (as if there were 3 more losses). (This only makes a difference if there is at least 1 win or draw in the time frame.)

    I hope this info is helpful. Best of luck to India (despite a very tough draw) in January!

    ReplyDelete
  4. AbhishekSeptember 12, 2010 at 10:38 AM

    Thanks for such an descriptive reply, thanks a lot, just want to know the ans of 2 questions?

    1)will fifa deduct India's points in the next month also or the phase of deducting points is gone?

    2)India will be playing 4 friendlies against all much higher ranked teams within the next ranking period:
    Namibia-116
    Gambia-91
    Vietnam-124
    Yemen-106
    my question is if India loses some matches being ranked 160, does fifa deduct points for losing matches against higher ranked teams?


    Hope India will earn huge points and get back to the 130 zone by defeating these so much higher ranked nations in the coming ranking period.
    Thanks for ur cooperation Sir, actually I really care for my team India, thats why always keep worrying about the ranking.
    Thanks!

    ReplyDelete
  5. Jaime NúñezSeptember 13, 2010 at 1:37 AM

    Why did El Salvador fall down so much (10 rankings)?

    ReplyDelete
  6. EdgarSeptember 13, 2010 at 8:53 AM

    @Alex

    Thank you again! :)

    @Abhishek

    There's good news for India - even if you lose the next four games, you'll still gain two points, as loses against Japan and Lebanon get devalued. :)
    If India win the 4 games you mentioned, they will have 238 points. That would be good enough for 112th place - this month.

    @La Selecta

    El Salvador lost 108 points and 24 places because the WCQ win against Costa Rica (Sep 9, 2009) lost half its value.

    ReplyDelete
  7. Jaime NúñezSeptember 15, 2010 at 12:34 AM

    But with Costa Rica they WON. though they tied(lose by penalties) with Honduras (september 4, 2010) wouln't that count. COULD YOU DO THE MATH.

    ReplyDelete
  8. EdgarSeptember 15, 2010 at 7:44 AM

    @La Selecta

    I did say: "El Salvador lost 108 points and 24 places because the WCQ win against Costa Rica (Sep 9, 2009) lost half its value."

    I know El Salvador won against Costa Rica. That match dropped from 100% to 50%.

    Regarding the Honduras match - it was only a friendly and with El Salvador losing after PSO, it's considered a draw thus bringing few points.

    ReplyDelete
  9. Jaime NúñezSeptember 16, 2010 at 1:42 AM

    BUT REALLY WHY SO MUCH,24 PLACES???
    Was it that it is racism?

    ReplyDelete
  10. EdgarSeptember 17, 2010 at 8:19 AM

    Racism? No, it's based on formula available to the public. While the formula has its flaws, it's public so FIFA can't fiddle with the rankings.

    Win your next friendlies, get a decent result in the Copa Centroamericana and you'll climb again.

    ReplyDelete
  11. Jaime NúñezOctober 4, 2010 at 3:35 AM

    THANKS EDGAR

    ReplyDelete
  12. EdgarOctober 4, 2010 at 7:34 AM

    You're welcome.

    ReplyDelete