Assumptions:
- UEFA will again have 13 spots
- UEFA will again use the system with 9 groups
- FIFA will use the July 2011 FIFA ranking to seed the teams
The July 2011 FIFA ranking will include matches played between July 2007 and July 2011. We already 50% of the final ranking. Things can and will change before July 2011 as there are many matches to be played involving European teams: EURO 2012 qualifiers and plenty of friendlies.
UEFA will only use the national team coefficient for the European Championships draws (qualifying and final tournament).
This is the July 2011 ranking (for UEFA only) using matches played up to and including November 9th, 2010 and matches scheduled up to July 2011 (only those on fifa.com).
The "1.0" part is computed this way: points gained / (number of matches played + scheduled).
Portugal and Russia replace Italy and Slovakia in the first pot.
Denmark, France, Czech Republic and Switzerland replace Sweden, Serbia, Ukraine and Lithuania in the second pot.
Hungary, Bulgaria and Austria replace Northern Ireland, Israel and Scotland in the third pot.
Armenia, Estonia and Belgium replace Latvia, Bosnia-Herzegovina amd Cyprus in the fourth pot.
Azerbaijan replace Iceland in the fifth pot.
Best movers:
17 - Armenia
11 - Czech Republic
10 - Bulgaria
Worst movers:
-9 - Serbia and Scotland
-8 - Turkey and Cyprus
-7 - Romania
Most points gained:
338 - Portugal
292 - Spain
262 - Russia
Most points lost:
-73 - Scotland
-40 - Lithuania
-34 - Serbia
Rank - Previous rank - Team - Total points
1 1 Spain 1351
2 2 Netherlands 1272
3 4 Germany 1078
4 3 England 951
5 5 Norway 934
6 15 Portugal 922
7 7 Croatia 908
8 13 Russia 872
9 8 Montenegro 859
-----------------------------------
10 12 Greece 827
11 9 Italy 801
12 6 Slovakia 779
13 19 Denmark 729
14 16 Slovenia 705
15 21 France 696
16 27 Czech Republic 663
17 19 Switzerland 658
18 10 Turkey 617
-----------------------------------
19 14 Sweden 594
20 11 Serbia 585
21 24 Belarus 579
22 17 Ukraine 570
23 18 Lithuania 535
24 30 Hungary 524
25 22 Republic of Ireland 503
26 36 Bulgaria 482
27 35 Austria 460
-----------------------------------
28 45 Armenia 441
28 25 Northern Ireland 441
30 29 Albania 431
31 26 Israel 428
32 23 Scotland 427
33 32 Moldova 417
34 41 Estonia 406
35 28 Romania 401
35 38 Belgium 401
-----------------------------------
37 33 Latvia 397
38 34 Bosnia-Herzegovina 377
39 31 Cyprus 368
40 39 FYR Macedonia 332
41 37 Finland 326
42 40 Poland 316
43 42 Georgia 308
44 46 Azerbaijan 303
45 43 Wales 223
-----------------------------------
46 44 Iceland 205
47 48 Luxembourg 158
48 49 Faroe Islands 156
49 47 Kazakhstan 130
50 50 Liechtenstein 77
51 51 Malta 60
52 52 Andorra 0
52 52 San Marino 0
There's a story run today in Poland about the weak position in rankings and the seedings for WC 2014.
ReplyDeleteThey think they should play weaker opposition to gain points. But what can Poland realistically do to gain ground?
Well, well... I told you so :)
ReplyDeleteAre Poland the new Austria?
I wrote to PZPN in November 2009 warning them about this, but I got no reply.
What can they do now? Obviously win the matches against Cote d'Ivoire (home), Turkey (away), Greece (away). I could also help them pick opponents for 9 February, 3 June and 7 June. But they need to contact me.
Well Smuda and Lato are the ones in charge. I doubt however any of them cares. Smuda probably knows he'll be out after the EURO (failure)!
ReplyDeleteMeh... It's their loss.
ReplyDeleteThanks for the info - I wrote a post about this.
The Poles finally wake up