Confederation weightings: An in-depth look (II)

As promised in the first part (well, a week later than promised actually, sorry about that), here's how the post-July 2010 rankings would be have been affected if the correct confederation weightings had been used.

UEFA and CONCACAF teams would be ranked lower, while AFC teams would be ranked higher.

August 2010

No changes.

September 2010

Togo would be 4 places higher - 83rd instead of 87th.

Within the top 50: Turkey (22nd), Cameroon (38th) and Montenegro (41st) would all be one place lower. No teams would be ranked higher, since these teams dropped from being tied with Switzerland, Czech Republic and Colombia.

October 2010

Within the top 50: Australia (20th), Japan (29th) and Algeria (32nd) would all be one place higher, with the Republic of Ireland (33rd) being one place lower. Australia would be tied with Slovakia, Japan with Turkey.

November 2010

Within the top 50: Russia (12th) and Colombia (46th) would both be one place higher, with France (22nd), Lithuania (47th) and Guinea (48th) one place lower. Russia moved level with Norway, while Colombia moved up from the tie with Lithuania. France dropped from the tie with Switzerland.

December 2010

Qatar (111th) would be ranked 3 places higher. Cuba (66th) and Grenada (98th) would be ranked 4 places lower. Jamaica (61st) would be 3 places lower.
Within the top 50: Korea Republic (39th) would be one place higher, with France (19th) - one place lower. Korea Republic move level with Gabon, while France drop from a tie with USA.

In January 2011, we'll see how the post-July 2006 rankings would have looked like without the weightings.

This is my last post for 2010. Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year!

---

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

FIFA Ranking: January 2011 probable ranking

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.

Top 25 will remain unchanged and Egypt will climb to 8th, improving their best ever ranking, 9th, first achieved in July 2010.

Probable January 2011 rank - Team - Probable January 2011 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points

1	Spain	1887	0	0
2	Netherlands	1723	0	0
3	Germany	1485	0	0
4	Brazil	1446	0	0
5	Argentina	1338	0	0
6	England	1195	0	0
7	Uruguay	1152	0	0
8	Egypt	1097	1	19
9	Portugal	1090	-1	0
10	Croatia	1075	0	0
11	Greece	1016	0	0
12	Norway	995	0	0
13	Russia	982	0	0
14	Italy	965	0	0
15	Chile	950	0	0
16	Ghana	924	0	16
17	Slovenia	897	0	0
18	France	867	0	0
18	USA	867	0	0
20	Slovakia	854	0	0
21	Côte d'Ivoire	846	0	0
22	Switzerland	841	0	0
23	Serbia	837	0	0
24	Paraguay	832	0	0
25	Montenegro	824	0	0
26	Australia	808	0	-7
27	Mexico	795	0	0
28	Denmark	790	0	0
29	Japan	776	0	0
30	Czech Republic	751	0	0
31	Turkey	741	0	0
32	Nigeria	730	0	5
33	Sweden	712	0	0
34	Ukraine	702	0	0
35	Republic of Ireland	681	1	0
36	Algeria	678	-1	-9
37	Belarus	660	1	0
38	Cameroon	650	-1	-20
39	Korea Republic	649	1	2
40	Gabon	640	-1	-8
41	Hungary	632	1	0
42	Burkina Faso	619	-1	-25
43	Northern Ireland	615	0	0
44	Tunisia	592	1	16
45	Bosnia-Herzegovina	582	-1	0
46	Austria	569	0	0
47	Guinea	568	-1	-1
48	Colombia	558	0	0
49	Bulgaria	555	0	0
50	Israel	551	0	0
51	South Africa	550	0	0
52	Ecuador	542	1	7
52	Scotland	542	0	0
54	Botswana	535	-1	0
55	Lithuania	532	0	0
56	Honduras	531	3	15
56	Romania	531	0	0
58	Belgium	526	-1	0
59	Jamaica	522	-1	0
60	Armenia	515	0	0
60	Venezuela	515	0	0
62	Cuba	512	0	0
63	New Zealand	506	0	0
64	Albania	497	1	0
65	Peru	486	3	0
66	Panama	475	-2	-26
67	Mali	474	0	-14
68	Iran	472	-2	-23
69	Costa Rica	467	0	0
70	Senegal	465	0	1
71	Libya	451	1	0
72	Benin	449	-1	-13
72	Georgia	449	1	0
72	Poland	449	1	0
75	Cape Verde Islands	444	0	0
76	Latvia	440	2	0
77	Morocco	437	2	0
78	Saudi Arabia	431	3	4
79	Uganda	430	1	1
80	Zambia	425	-4	-16
81	Finland	419	2	0
82	FYR Macedonia	418	-6	-23
83	Canada	411	1	0
83	Moldova	411	1	0
85	China PR	409	2	20
86	Angola	405	2	27
87	Estonia	393	-5	-33
88	Trinidad and Tobago	373	1	0
89	Cyprus	367	1	0
90	Haiti	357	0	-10
91	Malawi	355	-5	-41
92	Mozambique	353	4	7
93	Bahrain	352	0	1
94	Sudan	351	-2	-15
95	Grenada	349	-1	0
95	Niger	349	-1	0
97	Bolivia	344	0	0
98	Azerbaijan	343	0	0
99	Iraq	317	2	-6
100	Togo	313	3	0
101	Kuwait	311	1	-6
102	Antigua and Barbuda	299	4	0
103	Jordan	297	1	-8
103	Oman	297	-4	-32
105	Gambia	290	-5	-35
106	Qatar	284	8	24
107	Uzbekistan	282	2	7
108	United Arab Emirates	281	-3	-20
109	Guyana	275	0	0
110	Syria	274	-3	-22
111	Korea DPR	271	-3	-21
112	Central African Republic	263	-1	0
113	Iceland	261	-1	0
113	Wales	261	-1	0
115	Suriname	257	0	0
116	Tanzania	256	0	0
117	El Salvador	251	0	0
118	Guatemala	247	0	0
119	Zimbabwe	246	0	0
120	Thailand	244	1	5
121	St. Kitts and Nevis	242	0	3
122	Congo	239	-1	0
123	Sierra Leone	233	2	9
124	Ethiopia	231	0	0
125	Indonesia	229	2	18
126	Yemen	222	0	10
127	Kenya	210	-7	-30
128	Dominica	196	1	0
129	Congo DR	190	1	0
130	Barbados	187	1	0
131	Puerto Rico	184	2	0
132	Luxembourg	180	2	0
133	Vietnam	175	4	8
134	Turkmenistan	173	1	0
135	Rwanda	172	-3	-13
136	Faroe Islands	171	0	0
137	Burundi	168	-9	-34
138	Kazakhstan	161	0	7
139	Namibia	156	-1	2
140	Singapore	151	0	3
141	Chad	147	0	0
142	Tajikistan	141	3	15
143	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	132	-1	0
144	Hong Kong	128	2	4
145	Malaysia	125	-1	-3
146	India	124	-4	-8
147	Guinea-Bissau	121	0	0
148	Liechtenstein	116	0	0
149	Myanmar	109	0	0
150	Netherlands Antilles	107	1	0
151	Fiji	103	1	0
152	Chinese Taipei	102	1	0
153	Philippines	97	-3	-11
154	Madagascar	91	1	0
155	New Caledonia	89	1	0
156	Cayman Islands	88	1	0
157	Nicaragua	86	1	0
158	Bangladesh	84	1	0
159	Liberia	82	1	0
159	Swaziland	82	1	0
161	Maldives	81	1	0
162	Sri Lanka	79	1	0
163	Malta	76	1	0
164	Equatorial Guinea	72	1	0
165	Cambodia	68	1	0
166	Vanuatu	67	1	0
167	Dominican Republic	66	1	0
168	Laos	64	1	0
168	Lebanon	64	-14	-28
170	Lesotho	62	0	0
171	Pakistan	56	0	0
172	Bermuda	55	3	6
173	Belize	54	-1	0
173	Nepal	54	-1	0
175	Kyrgyzstan	50	-1	0
176	Mauritania	49	4	11
177	British Virgin Islands	41	-1	0
178	Eritrea	40	-1	0
178	Palestine	40	-1	0
178	Solomon Islands	40	-1	0
181	St. Lucia	37	0	0
182	Mongolia	32	0	0
183	Tahiti	31	1	0
184	Samoa	26	1	0
185	Somalia	23	-3	-9
186	Comoros	19	0	-5
186	Turks and Caicos Islands	19	1	0
188	Cook Islands	17	0	0
188	Guam	17	0	0
188	Tonga	17	0	0
191	Mauritius	16	0	0
192	Djibouti	15	-1	-1
193	Macau	14	0	0
194	Bahamas	13	0	0
195	Afghanistan	10	0	0
195	Seychelles	10	0	0
197	Bhutan	9	0	0
197	Brunei Darussalam	9	0	0
199	Aruba	7	0	0
200	US Virgin Islands	5	0	0
201	Timor-Leste	3	0	0
202	Andorra	2	0	0
203	American Samoa	0	0	0
203	Anguilla	0	0	0
203	Montserrat	0	0	0
203	Papua New Guinea	0	0	0
203	San Marino	0	0	0

---

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

FIFA Ranking: January 2011 probable results

Here are the probable results used for the January 2011 probable ranking. They are generated using the Elo Ratings.

1 - First team wins
X - Draw
2 - Second team wins

18/Dec Honduras - Panama 1 (Friendly)
18/Dec Iraq - Syria 1 (Friendly)
18/Dec Vietnam - Malaysia 1 (Friendly)
18/Dec China PR - Estonia 1 (Friendly)
19/Dec Qatar - India 1 (Friendly)
19/Dec Indonesia - Philippines 1 (Friendly)
22/Dec Qatar - Estonia X (Friendly)
22/Dec Syria - Iraq X (Friendly)
22/Dec China PR - FYR Macedonia 1 (Friendly)
24/Dec Kuwait - Korea DPR X (Friendly)
26/Dec Syria - India 1 (Friendly)
26/Dec Malaysia - Indonesia X (Friendly)
27/Dec Kuwait - Korea DPR X (Friendly)
28/Dec Qatar - Iran X (Friendly)
28/Dec Saudi Arabia - Iraq 1 (Friendly)
28/Dec Jordan - Bahrain X (Friendly)
29/Dec Indonesia - Malaysia 1 (Friendly)
29/Dec Qatar - Iran X (Friendly)
30/Dec Syria - Korea Republic 2 (Friendly)
31/Dec Kuwait - Zambia X (Friendly)
01/Jan Bahrain - Korea DPR X (Friendly)
02/Jan Jordan - Uzbekistan X (Friendly)
02/Jan Iraq - China PR X (Friendly)
02/Jan United Arab Emirates - Syria X (Friendly)
04/Jan Bahrain - Saudi Arabia X (Friendly)
05/Jan United Arab Emirates - Australia 2 (Friendly)

---

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

FIFA Ranking: January 2011 preview (I)

Next update: January 7th, 2011.

December 2010 rank - Country - December 2010 points - Minimum points - Maximum points

1	Spain	1887	1887	1887
2	Netherlands	1723	1723	1723
3	Germany	1485	1485	1485
4	Brazil	1446	1446	1446
5	Argentina	1338	1338	1338
6	England	1195	1195	1195
7	Uruguay	1152	1152	1152
8	Portugal	1090	1090	1090
9	Egypt	1078	1097	1097
10	Croatia	1075	1075	1075
11	Greece	1016	1016	1016
12	Norway	995	995	995
13	Russia	982	982	982
14	Italy	965	965	965
15	Chile	950	950	950
16	Ghana	908	924	924
17	Slovenia	897	897	897
18	France	867	867	867
18	USA	867	867	867
20	Slovakia	854	854	854
21	Côte d'Ivoire	846	846	846
22	Switzerland	841	841	841
23	Serbia	837	837	837
24	Paraguay	832	832	832
25	Montenegro	824	824	824
26	Australia	815	790	808
27	Mexico	795	795	795
28	Denmark	790	790	790
29	Japan	776	776	776
30	Czech Republic	751	751	751
31	Turkey	741	741	741
32	Nigeria	725	730	730
33	Sweden	712	712	712
34	Ukraine	702	702	702
35	Algeria	687	678	678
36	Republic of Ireland	681	681	681
37	Cameroon	670	650	650
38	Belarus	660	660	660
39	Gabon	648	640	640
40	Korea Republic	647	636	649
41	Burkina Faso	644	619	619
42	Hungary	632	632	632
43	Northern Ireland	615	615	615
44	Bosnia-Herzegovina	582	582	582
45	Tunisia	576	592	592
46	Austria	569	569	569
46	Guinea	569	568	568
48	Colombia	558	558	558
49	Bulgaria	555	555	555
50	Israel	551	551	551
51	South Africa	550	550	550
52	Scotland	542	542	542
53	Botswana	535	535	535
53	Ecuador	535	542	542
55	Lithuania	532	532	532
56	Romania	531	531	531
57	Belgium	526	526	526
58	Jamaica	522	522	522
59	Honduras	516	507	531
60	Armenia	515	515	515
60	Venezuela	515	515	515
62	Cuba	512	512	512
63	New Zealand	506	506	506
64	Panama	501	475	513
65	Albania	497	497	497
66	Iran	495	458	498
67	Mali	488	474	474
68	Peru	486	486	486
69	Costa Rica	467	467	467
70	Senegal	464	465	465
71	Benin	462	449	449
72	Libya	451	451	451
73	Georgia	449	449	449
73	Poland	449	449	449
75	Cape Verde Islands	444	444	444
76	FYR Macedonia	441	418	453
76	Zambia	441	419	437
78	Latvia	440	440	440
79	Morocco	437	437	437
80	Uganda	429	430	430
81	Saudi Arabia	427	410	442
82	Estonia	426	386	429
83	Finland	419	419	419
84	Canada	411	411	411
84	Moldova	411	411	411
86	Malawi	396	355	355
87	China PR	389	359	420
88	Angola	378	405	405
89	Trinidad and Tobago	373	373	373
90	Cyprus	367	367	367
90	Haiti	367	357	357
92	Sudan	366	351	351
93	Bahrain	351	337	381
94	Grenada	349	349	349
94	Niger	349	349	349
96	Mozambique	346	353	353
97	Bolivia	344	344	344
98	Azerbaijan	343	343	343
99	Oman	329	297	297
100	Gambia	325	290	290
101	Iraq	323	291	357
102	Kuwait	317	299	335
103	Togo	313	313	313
104	Jordan	305	278	334
105	United Arab Emirates	301	275	327
106	Antigua and Barbuda	299	299	299
107	Syria	296	252	345
108	Korea DPR	292	258	297
109	Guyana	275	275	275
109	Uzbekistan	275	271	306
111	Central African Republic	263	263	263
112	Iceland	261	261	261
112	Wales	261	261	261
114	Qatar	260	249	332
115	Suriname	257	257	257
116	Tanzania	256	256	256
117	El Salvador	251	251	251
118	Guatemala	247	247	247
119	Zimbabwe	246	246	246
120	Kenya	240	210	210
121	Congo	239	239	239
121	St. Kitts and Nevis	239	242	242
121	Thailand	239	244	244
124	Ethiopia	231	231	231
125	Sierra Leone	224	233	233
126	Yemen	212	222	222
127	Indonesia	211	206	240
128	Burundi	202	168	168
129	Dominica	196	196	196
130	Congo DR	190	190	190
131	Barbados	187	187	187
132	Rwanda	185	172	172
133	Puerto Rico	184	184	184
134	Luxembourg	180	180	180
135	Turkmenistan	173	173	173
136	Faroe Islands	171	171	171
137	Vietnam	167	162	196
138	Kazakhstan	154	161	161
138	Namibia	154	156	156
140	Singapore	148	151	151
141	Chad	147	147	147
142	India	132	124	165
142	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	132	132	132
144	Malaysia	128	118	178
145	Tajikistan	126	141	141
146	Hong Kong	124	128	128
147	Guinea-Bissau	121	121	121
148	Liechtenstein	116	116	116
149	Myanmar	109	109	109
150	Philippines	108	97	125
151	Netherlands Antilles	107	107	107
152	Fiji	103	103	103
153	Chinese Taipei	102	102	102
154	Lebanon	92	64	64
155	Madagascar	91	91	91
156	New Caledonia	89	89	89
157	Cayman Islands	88	88	88
158	Nicaragua	86	86	86
159	Bangladesh	84	84	84
160	Liberia	82	82	82
160	Swaziland	82	82	82
162	Maldives	81	81	81
163	Sri Lanka	79	79	79
164	Malta	76	76	76
165	Equatorial Guinea	72	72	72
166	Cambodia	68	68	68
167	Vanuatu	67	67	67
168	Dominican Republic	66	66	66
169	Laos	64	64	64
170	Lesotho	62	62	62
171	Pakistan	56	56	56
172	Belize	54	54	54
172	Nepal	54	54	54
174	Kyrgyzstan	50	50	50
175	Bermuda	49	55	55
176	British Virgin Islands	41	41	41
177	Eritrea	40	40	40
177	Palestine	40	40	40
177	Solomon Islands	40	40	40
180	Mauritania	38	49	49
181	St. Lucia	37	37	37
182	Mongolia	32	32	32
182	Somalia	32	23	23
184	Tahiti	31	31	31
185	Samoa	26	26	26
186	Comoros	24	19	19
187	Turks and Caicos Islands	19	19	19
188	Cook Islands	17	17	17
188	Guam	17	17	17
188	Tonga	17	17	17
191	Djibouti	16	15	15
191	Mauritius	16	16	16
193	Macau	14	14	14
194	Bahamas	13	13	13
195	Afghanistan	10	10	10
195	Seychelles	10	10	10
197	Bhutan	9	9	9
197	Brunei Darussalam	9	9	9
199	Aruba	7	7	7
200	US Virgin Islands	5	5	5
201	Timor-Leste	3	3	3
202	Andorra	2	2	2
203	American Samoa	0	0	0
203	Anguilla	0	0	0
203	Montserrat	0	0	0
203	Papua New Guinea	0	0	0
203	San Marino	0	0	0

---

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.