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Friday, December 17, 2010

FIFA Ranking: January 2011 probable ranking

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.

Top 25 will remain unchanged and Egypt will climb to 8th, improving their best ever ranking, 9th, first achieved in July 2010.

Probable January 2011 rank - Team - Probable January 2011 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points

1 Spain 1887 0 0
2 Netherlands 1723 0 0
3 Germany 1485 0 0
4 Brazil 1446 0 0
5 Argentina 1338 0 0
6 England 1195 0 0
7 Uruguay 1152 0 0
8 Egypt 1097 1 19
9 Portugal 1090 -1 0
10 Croatia 1075 0 0
11 Greece 1016 0 0
12 Norway 995 0 0
13 Russia 982 0 0
14 Italy 965 0 0
15 Chile 950 0 0
16 Ghana 924 0 16
17 Slovenia 897 0 0
18 France 867 0 0
18 USA 867 0 0
20 Slovakia 854 0 0
21 Côte d'Ivoire 846 0 0
22 Switzerland 841 0 0
23 Serbia 837 0 0
24 Paraguay 832 0 0
25 Montenegro 824 0 0
26 Australia 808 0 -7
27 Mexico 795 0 0
28 Denmark 790 0 0
29 Japan 776 0 0
30 Czech Republic 751 0 0
31 Turkey 741 0 0
32 Nigeria 730 0 5
33 Sweden 712 0 0
34 Ukraine 702 0 0
35 Republic of Ireland 681 1 0
36 Algeria 678 -1 -9
37 Belarus 660 1 0
38 Cameroon 650 -1 -20
39 Korea Republic 649 1 2
40 Gabon 640 -1 -8
41 Hungary 632 1 0
42 Burkina Faso 619 -1 -25
43 Northern Ireland 615 0 0
44 Tunisia 592 1 16
45 Bosnia-Herzegovina 582 -1 0
46 Austria 569 0 0
47 Guinea 568 -1 -1
48 Colombia 558 0 0
49 Bulgaria 555 0 0
50 Israel 551 0 0
51 South Africa 550 0 0
52 Ecuador 542 1 7
52 Scotland 542 0 0
54 Botswana 535 -1 0
55 Lithuania 532 0 0
56 Honduras 531 3 15
56 Romania 531 0 0
58 Belgium 526 -1 0
59 Jamaica 522 -1 0
60 Armenia 515 0 0
60 Venezuela 515 0 0
62 Cuba 512 0 0
63 New Zealand 506 0 0
64 Albania 497 1 0
65 Peru 486 3 0
66 Panama 475 -2 -26
67 Mali 474 0 -14
68 Iran 472 -2 -23
69 Costa Rica 467 0 0
70 Senegal 465 0 1
71 Libya 451 1 0
72 Benin 449 -1 -13
72 Georgia 449 1 0
72 Poland 449 1 0
75 Cape Verde Islands 444 0 0
76 Latvia 440 2 0
77 Morocco 437 2 0
78 Saudi Arabia 431 3 4
79 Uganda 430 1 1
80 Zambia 425 -4 -16
81 Finland 419 2 0
82 FYR Macedonia 418 -6 -23
83 Canada 411 1 0
83 Moldova 411 1 0
85 China PR 409 2 20
86 Angola 405 2 27
87 Estonia 393 -5 -33
88 Trinidad and Tobago 373 1 0
89 Cyprus 367 1 0
90 Haiti 357 0 -10
91 Malawi 355 -5 -41
92 Mozambique 353 4 7
93 Bahrain 352 0 1
94 Sudan 351 -2 -15
95 Grenada 349 -1 0
95 Niger 349 -1 0
97 Bolivia 344 0 0
98 Azerbaijan 343 0 0
99 Iraq 317 2 -6
100 Togo 313 3 0
101 Kuwait 311 1 -6
102 Antigua and Barbuda 299 4 0
103 Jordan 297 1 -8
103 Oman 297 -4 -32
105 Gambia 290 -5 -35
106 Qatar 284 8 24
107 Uzbekistan 282 2 7
108 United Arab Emirates 281 -3 -20
109 Guyana 275 0 0
110 Syria 274 -3 -22
111 Korea DPR 271 -3 -21
112 Central African Republic 263 -1 0
113 Iceland 261 -1 0
113 Wales 261 -1 0
115 Suriname 257 0 0
116 Tanzania 256 0 0
117 El Salvador 251 0 0
118 Guatemala 247 0 0
119 Zimbabwe 246 0 0
120 Thailand 244 1 5
121 St. Kitts and Nevis 242 0 3
122 Congo 239 -1 0
123 Sierra Leone 233 2 9
124 Ethiopia 231 0 0
125 Indonesia 229 2 18
126 Yemen 222 0 10
127 Kenya 210 -7 -30
128 Dominica 196 1 0
129 Congo DR 190 1 0
130 Barbados 187 1 0
131 Puerto Rico 184 2 0
132 Luxembourg 180 2 0
133 Vietnam 175 4 8
134 Turkmenistan 173 1 0
135 Rwanda 172 -3 -13
136 Faroe Islands 171 0 0
137 Burundi 168 -9 -34
138 Kazakhstan 161 0 7
139 Namibia 156 -1 2
140 Singapore 151 0 3
141 Chad 147 0 0
142 Tajikistan 141 3 15
143 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 132 -1 0
144 Hong Kong 128 2 4
145 Malaysia 125 -1 -3
146 India 124 -4 -8
147 Guinea-Bissau 121 0 0
148 Liechtenstein 116 0 0
149 Myanmar 109 0 0
150 Netherlands Antilles 107 1 0
151 Fiji 103 1 0
152 Chinese Taipei 102 1 0
153 Philippines 97 -3 -11
154 Madagascar 91 1 0
155 New Caledonia 89 1 0
156 Cayman Islands 88 1 0
157 Nicaragua 86 1 0
158 Bangladesh 84 1 0
159 Liberia 82 1 0
159 Swaziland 82 1 0
161 Maldives 81 1 0
162 Sri Lanka 79 1 0
163 Malta 76 1 0
164 Equatorial Guinea 72 1 0
165 Cambodia 68 1 0
166 Vanuatu 67 1 0
167 Dominican Republic 66 1 0
168 Laos 64 1 0
168 Lebanon 64 -14 -28
170 Lesotho 62 0 0
171 Pakistan 56 0 0
172 Bermuda 55 3 6
173 Belize 54 -1 0
173 Nepal 54 -1 0
175 Kyrgyzstan 50 -1 0
176 Mauritania 49 4 11
177 British Virgin Islands 41 -1 0
178 Eritrea 40 -1 0
178 Palestine 40 -1 0
178 Solomon Islands 40 -1 0
181 St. Lucia 37 0 0
182 Mongolia 32 0 0
183 Tahiti 31 1 0
184 Samoa 26 1 0
185 Somalia 23 -3 -9
186 Comoros 19 0 -5
186 Turks and Caicos Islands 19 1 0
188 Cook Islands 17 0 0
188 Guam 17 0 0
188 Tonga 17 0 0
191 Mauritius 16 0 0
192 Djibouti 15 -1 -1
193 Macau 14 0 0
194 Bahamas 13 0 0
195 Afghanistan 10 0 0
195 Seychelles 10 0 0
197 Bhutan 9 0 0
197 Brunei Darussalam 9 0 0
199 Aruba 7 0 0
200 US Virgin Islands 5 0 0
201 Timor-Leste 3 0 0
202 Andorra 2 0 0
203 American Samoa 0 0 0
203 Anguilla 0 0 0
203 Montserrat 0 0 0
203 Papua New Guinea 0 0 0
203 San Marino 0 0 0

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20 comments:

  1. budejajaDecember 17, 2010 at 11:18 AM

    Egypt 8 !!!

    egypt lose yesterday with qatar 2-1

    Qatar2 - Egypt 1


    did you put this result my friend ??

    ReplyDelete
  2. EdgarDecember 17, 2010 at 11:46 AM

    Yes, Hussein. It's included. With a win Egypt would have had 1114 points.

    ReplyDelete
  3. AnonymousDecember 18, 2010 at 12:44 AM

    Did you say Botswana is going to down a spot come January? Wishful thinking man! I know you dont rate us, and thats your problem,gues what, January we are advancing 7 places up!

    Isaac Thobile

    ReplyDelete
  4. budejajaDecember 18, 2010 at 9:04 PM

    Thanks Edgar

    ReplyDelete
  5. AbhishekDecember 23, 2010 at 7:02 PM

    India's friendly against Syria cancelled. What would be India's ranking at the end of this ranking period because India wouldnt be playing a single match upto next rankings.

    ReplyDelete
  6. EdgarDecember 24, 2010 at 8:08 AM

    @Isaac Thobile

    It's not about me rating a team or not. It's an algorithm and I'm sure I made no mistake when computing Botswana points. If you think I made a mistake, please post here your calculations in order to compare them with mine. That being said, I'm sure FIFA's official release on Jan 12th will prove me right.

    @Abhishek

    132 points. Tied with St. Vincent and the Grenadines on 143rd.

    ReplyDelete
  7. budejajaDecember 26, 2010 at 8:26 PM

    Edgar
    happy new year....

    what will be the points of Saudi Arabia in January(12)
    if Saudi Arabia win iraq (friendly)
    and win Bahrain(friendly)
    and win Syria (asia cup)

    ReplyDelete
  8. AnonymousJanuary 2, 2011 at 11:31 AM

    HI EDGAR
    Kuwait played with north korea twice
    1- 2\1 for Kuwait
    second game
    2-2 draw
    Kuwait zambia = 4\0 for Kuwait
    is that included in ur ranking?
    thanks

    ReplyDelete
  9. AnonymousJanuary 3, 2011 at 4:57 AM

    why Malaysia rank goes down?? They're excllent in AFF Cup 2010 recently..

    29 Dec
    Final 2 - loss to Indonesia (2-1)

    26 Dec
    Final 1- win over Indonesia (3-0)

    18 Dec
    Semi Final 2 - draw with Vietnam (0-0)

    15 Dec
    Semi Final 1 - win over Vietnam(2-0)

    ReplyDelete
  10. AnonymousJanuary 3, 2011 at 11:22 AM

    Malaysia not fair play

    ReplyDelete
  11. EdgarJanuary 5, 2011 at 11:02 AM

    @Hussein

    A bit late... I'm not sure the game against Syria will be included. It would be logical to include all Asian Cup matches in a single ranking. That's how I'd do it.

    So, without the Syria game, Saudi Arabia will have 432 points (79th place)

    @Kuwait Anonymous

    No, I had Kuwait with three draws. They performed better than my probable results. They will be 98th with 328 points.

    @Malaysia Anonymous

    I had Malaysia losing to Vietnam and then getting only one point against Indonesia. Instead of 145th, Malaysia will be 142nd with 145 points. Remember, AFF Cup matches are considered friendly games for FIFA Ranking purposes and the teams involved are outside the top 120.

    In other news: Egypt just shot themselves in the foot ranking-wise. Even if they win against Tanzania, they will drop to 10th.

    ReplyDelete
  12. khaled abdouJanuary 6, 2011 at 6:06 AM

    hi Edgar
    thanks for your great information but i read in your comment that egypt will be 10th after winning tanzania why will that happen?

    ReplyDelete
  13. TobcoachJanuary 6, 2011 at 9:33 AM

    @khaled: Before the game against Tanzania, Egypt had a years total points of 8254,56. Divided by the number of games (12) Egypt played the last 12 months, means they had an average of 688 points.

    The game against Tanzania earned Egypt 216,72 points, so their new years total becomes 8471,28. Divide that by the number of games (now 13) and you get an average of 652 points. So the game against Tanzania has cost Egypt 36 points of their total ranking points, and with that 2 places on the list.

    ReplyDelete
  14. khaled abdouJanuary 6, 2011 at 2:11 PM

    @ Tobcoach
    thanks Tobcoach for your reply , but egypt is in a friendly tournament that means that it will play 2 more games before 12th-jan (the new ranking) and 99% it will win them , then it will play in the 14th (semi) and 17th (final.
    will that also lower Egypt's ranking in january and will that also lower it ranking in feb if they won the semi and final ?

    ReplyDelete
  15. AnonymousJanuary 6, 2011 at 5:55 PM

    hi khaled, I am from Egypt too.
    there is a deadline for each ranking which is the last thursday before the official ranking, so the matches of Egypt aganist uganda and broundi will be calculated in the February ranking. Egypt will lose nearly 350 points in the February ranking and will be out of the top 30....
    GO Egypt and wish to be the top of the world isa......

    ReplyDelete
  16. AnonymousJanuary 6, 2011 at 10:54 PM

    Is that a final ranking?
    Will Egypt ranking will be 8th?

    ReplyDelete
  17. Mohamed AlaaJanuary 6, 2011 at 11:57 PM

    No, it is not the final ranking. Egypt wont be the 8th anymore because it played aganist tanzania yesterday, so Egypt will drop th the 10th.......

    ReplyDelete
  18. AnonymousJanuary 10, 2011 at 10:47 AM

    not accurate, man !!!

    ReplyDelete
  19. TobcoachJanuary 10, 2011 at 1:36 PM

    Why is it not accurate? Please explain of forever hold your silence.

    Simply screaming that it's not accurate is not very accurate...

    ReplyDelete
  20. EdgarJanuary 14, 2011 at 12:40 PM

    @Tobcoach

    Thanks for standing in for me. "Forever hold your silence". It's very Shakespearean :)

    @Isaac Thobile

    Botswana dropped 1 spot. Feel free to check FIFA.com.

    ReplyDelete