2014 FIFA World Cup seeding for CONCACAF teams (31 January 2011)

Next update: 11 February 2011

As usual with CONCACAF things are constantly changing. The draw won't take place on May 31st as some some papers in Central America have reported, but on July 31st. Which ranking will be used to seed the teams? Well... I don't know.

Here's the intermediate July 2011 ranking - it means the 2007 Gold Cup results are dropped, while the 2009 Gold Cup loses value. Of course, teams involved in the 2011 Gold Cup can climb depending on their performance.

 1 Honduras                        546
 2 USA                             530
 3 Jamaica                         483
 4 Mexico                          448
 5 Costa Rica                      414
 6 Cuba                            402
 7 Trinidad and Tobago             379
 8 Panama                          375
--------------------------------------
 9 Antigua and Barbuda             324
10 Suriname                        296
11 Guyana                          282
12 Grenada                         272
13 El Salvador                     271
14 Haiti                           256
15 St. Kitts and Nevis             217
16 Canada                          207
--------------------------------------
17 Dominica                        193
18 Barbados                        191
19 Guatemala                       176
20 Puerto Rico                     167
21 Netherlands Antilles            128
22 St. Vincent and the Grenadines  115
23 Cayman Islands                   90
24 Dominican Republic               66
--------------------------------------
24 Nicaragua                        66
26 Belize                           64
27 Bermuda                          40
28 British Virgin Islands           38
29 St. Lucia                        31
30 Turks and Caicos Islands         13
31 Bahamas                           9
32 Aruba                             7
--------------------------------------
33 US Virgin Islands                 3
34 Anguilla                          0
34 Montserrat                        0

The May 2011 ranking. The pots remain unchanged.

 1  1 USA                            818
 2  2 Mexico                         731
 3  5 Honduras                       621
 4  3 Jamaica                        596
 5  6 Costa Rica                     525
 6  4 Cuba                           510
 7  7 Panama                         487
 8  7 Canada                         391
----------------------------------------
 9 15 El Salvador                    355
10  9 Grenada                        354
11 10 Trinidad and Tobago            353
12 11 Haiti                          348
13 12 Antigua and Barbuda            322
14 13 Guyana                         284
15 14 Suriname                       267
16 16 St. Kitts and Nevis            219
----------------------------------------
17 17 Guatemala                      212
18 18 Dominica                       193
19 19 Puerto Rico                    180
19 19 Barbados                       180
21 21 Netherlands Antilles           121
22 22 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 116
23 23 Cayman Islands                  90
24 24 Bermuda                         80
----------------------------------------
25 26 Nicaragua                       75
26 27 Belize                          66
26 25 Dominican Republic              66
28 28 British Virgin Islands          38
29 29 St. Lucia                       31
30 30 Turks and Caicos Islands        13
31 31 Bahamas                          8
32 32 Aruba                            7
----------------------------------------
33 33 US Virgin Islands                3
34 34 Anguilla                         0
34 34 Montserrat                       0

---

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

FIFA Ranking: February 2011 final preview

FIFA will publish the ranking on February 2nd.

Only two matches left - the final (Australia - Japan) and third place match (Uzbekistan - Korea Republic) of the 2011 AFC Asian Cup.

This is how the totals could change for these four teams.

Australia (Loss: 848, PSO loss: 871, PSO win: 894, Win: 917)
Japan (Loss: 824, PSO loss: 843, PSO win: 862, Win: 882)
Korea Republic (Loss: 703, PSO loss: 714, PSO win: 725, Win: 735)
Uzbekistan (Loss: 424, PSO loss: 453, PSO win: 482, Win: 512)

Australia could climb to 16th.
Japan could climb to 17th.
Korea Republic could climb to 32nd.
Uzbekistan could climb to 64th.

In the table below, the values displayed for these four teams are the lowest possible.

Australia will keep their status as AFC first team if they avoid a straight loss (in regular or extra time).

Egypt drop out of the top 10, replaced by Greece.

Best movers:

31 - Uzbekistan
23 - Jordan
21 - Iran and Costa Rica

Uzbekistan could climb higher if they avoid losing against Korea Republic.

Worst movers:

-22 - Egypt
-21 - Gabon
-20 - Zambia

Egypt could drop lower if Korea Republic don't lose against Uzbekistan.

Best climbers in the top 50:

21 - Iran and Costa Rica
17 - Honduras
6 - Australia and Korea Republic

Australia and Korea Republic could climb higher if they avoid losing their matches.

-22 - Egypt
-21 - Gabon
-19 - Algeria

Three teams will improve their best ever ranking:

Montenegro (24th - 25th in December 2010)
Belarus (36th - 37th in January 2011)
Hungary (37th - 41st in January 2011)

Montenegro will improve their ranking only if Japan lose against Australia.

Dominica will return to their best ever ranking - 128th - first achieved in November 2010.

Six teams will have their worst ever ranking:

Romania (57th - 56th in December 2010)
Saudi Arabia (82nd - 81st in July 2006)
Zambia (101st - 96th in October 2009)
Wales (116th - 113th in September 2000)
Singapore (142nd - 140th in October 2007)
Lebanon (172nd - 168th in January 2011)

Saudi Arabia drop out of the AFC top 5 (they are now 7th), replaced by China PR.

Egypt replaced by Ghana as top African team. Côte d'Ivoire up to 2nd. Algeria drop out of the top 5 (they are now 10th), replaced by Burkina Faso.

Costa Rica return to the CONCACAF top 5, with Cuba dropping out. Jamaica fall from 4th to 5th.

February 2011 rank - Team - February 2011 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points

1	Spain	1887	0	0
2	Netherlands	1723	0	0
3	Germany	1485	0	0
4	Brazil	1446	0	0
5	Argentina	1367	0	29
6	England	1195	0	0
7	Uruguay	1152	0	0
8	Portugal	1090	0	0
9	Croatia	1075	0	0
10	Greece	1016	1	0
11	Norway	995	1	0
12	Russia	982	1	0
13	Italy	965	1	0
14	Chile	947	1	-3
15	Ghana	940	1	16
16	Slovenia	897	1	0
17	USA	869	1	2
18	France	867	0	0
19	Slovakia	854	1	0
20	Australia	848	6	52
21	Switzerland	841	1	0
22	Serbia	837	1	0
23	Paraguay	832	1	0
24	Japan	824	5	48
24	Montenegro	824	1	0
26	Côte d'Ivoire	813	-5	-32
27	Mexico	803	0	8
28	Denmark	802	0	12
29	Sweden	759	4	47
30	Czech Republic	751	0	0
31	Turkey	741	0	0
32	Egypt	712	-22	-324
33	Korea Republic	703	6	54
34	Ukraine	702	0	0
35	Republic of Ireland	681	0	0
36	Belarus	655	1	-5
37	Hungary	632	4	0
38	Northern Ireland	615	5	0
39	Honduras	613	17	82
40	Nigeria	604	-8	-126
41	Burkina Faso	598	1	-21
42	Bosnia-Herzegovina	583	3	1
43	Cameroon	582	-5	-68
44	Iran	570	21	79
45	Austria	569	1	0
46	Guinea	564	0	-5
47	South Africa	562	4	12
48	Costa Rica	560	21	93
48	Tunisia	560	-4	-32
50	Colombia	558	-2	0
51	Bulgaria	555	-2	0
52	Israel	551	-2	0
53	Scotland	542	-1	0
54	Ecuador	537	-2	-5
55	Algeria	532	-19	-146
55	Lithuania	532	0	0
57	Romania	531	-1	0
58	Belgium	526	0	0
59	Jamaica	525	0	3
60	Panama	518	7	43
61	Gabon	516	-21	-124
62	Armenia	514	-2	-1
63	Venezuela	513	-3	-2
64	New Zealand	506	-1	0
65	Cuba	498	-3	-14
66	Albania	497	-2	0
67	Botswana	496	-13	-39
68	Peru	486	-2	0
69	Senegal	459	1	-6
70	Libya	451	1	0
71	Georgia	449	1	0
71	Poland	449	1	0
73	Cape Verde Islands	444	2	0
74	Morocco	443	3	6
75	China PR	431	4	12
76	Latvia	429	0	-11
77	Uzbekistan	424	31	139
78	Finland	422	1	3
79	FYR Macedonia	418	2	0
80	Canada	414	4	3
81	Moldova	411	3	0
82	Saudi Arabia	410	-4	-13
83	Benin	403	-11	-46
84	Jordan	399	23	113
84	Mali	399	-16	-75
86	Uganda	394	-3	-22
87	Estonia	386	-1	0
88	Iraq	381	10	47
89	Malawi	371	2	16
90	Qatar	368	15	78
91	Cyprus	367	-2	0
92	Grenada	358	2	9
93	Bahrain	355	0	4
94	Mozambique	351	-2	-2
94	Trinidad and Tobago	351	-7	-22
96	Haiti	349	-6	-9
96	Niger	349	-2	0
98	El Salvador	347	18	96
99	Azerbaijan	344	-2	1
99	Bolivia	344	-3	0
101	Kuwait	330	-2	2
101	Zambia	330	-20	-88
103	Togo	313	-2	0
104	Antigua and Barbuda	303	-1	4
105	Syria	302	5	25
106	Sudan	301	-6	-13
107	Angola	297	-19	-71
108	Gambia	290	-3	0
109	Korea DPR	288	0	5
110	Oman	281	-6	-16
111	United Arab Emirates	278	-9	-26
112	Guyana	273	-1	-2
113	Zimbabwe	264	5	18
114	Central African Republic	263	-2	0
114	Iceland	263	-1	2
116	Wales	261	-3	0
117	Suriname	257	-2	0
118	St. Kitts and Nevis	242	3	0
119	Congo	239	3	0
120	Thailand	237	-1	-7
121	Congo DR	234	7	23
122	Sierra Leone	233	1	0
123	Tanzania	232	-3	-11
124	Ethiopia	231	0	0
125	Yemen	230	2	8
126	Guatemala	220	-9	-27
127	Kenya	208	-2	-17
128	Dominica	196	1	0
129	Indonesia	192	-3	-32
130	Puerto Rico	187	1	3
131	Luxembourg	185	1	5
132	Barbados	183	-2	-4
133	Turkmenistan	182	0	9
134	Vietnam	172	2	5
135	Faroe Islands	171	-1	0
135	Rwanda	171	-1	0
137	Kazakhstan	161	0	0
138	Namibia	157	0	1
139	Chad	147	1	0
140	Malaysia	145	2	0
141	Tajikistan	141	2	0
142	Singapore	139	-3	-12
143	Hong Kong	138	3	10
144	Burundi	134	-4	-13
145	India	126	-1	-6
146	Guinea-Bissau	121	1	0
147	Liechtenstein	116	1	0
148	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	110	-4	-22
149	Myanmar	108	0	-1
150	Netherlands Antilles	107	0	0
151	Fiji	103	0	0
152	Philippines	101	1	4
153	New Caledonia	97	2	8
154	Chinese Taipei	93	-2	-9
155	Madagascar	91	-1	0
156	Cayman Islands	88	0	0
157	Bangladesh	84	1	0
158	Liberia	82	1	0
158	Swaziland	82	1	0
160	Maldives	81	1	0
161	Nicaragua	79	-4	-7
161	Sri Lanka	79	1	0
163	Malta	76	0	0
163	Vanuatu	76	3	9
165	Equatorial Guinea	72	-1	0
166	Cambodia	68	-1	0
167	Bermuda	67	5	12
168	Dominican Republic	66	-1	0
169	Belize	64	4	10
169	Laos	64	-1	0
171	Lesotho	62	-1	0
172	Lebanon	61	-4	-3
173	Pakistan	56	-2	0
174	Nepal	54	-1	0
175	Kyrgyzstan	50	0	0
176	Mauritania	49	0	0
177	British Virgin Islands	41	0	0
178	Eritrea	40	0	0
178	Palestine	40	0	0
178	Solomon Islands	40	0	0
181	St. Lucia	37	0	0
182	Mongolia	32	0	0
183	Tahiti	31	0	0
184	Samoa	26	0	0
185	Somalia	23	0	0
186	Comoros	19	0	0
186	Turks and Caicos Islands	19	0	0
188	Cook Islands	17	0	0
188	Guam	17	0	0
188	Tonga	17	0	0
191	Mauritius	16	0	0
192	Djibouti	15	0	0
193	Macau	14	0	0
194	Bahamas	13	0	0
195	Afghanistan	10	0	0
195	Seychelles	10	0	0
197	Bhutan	9	0	0
197	Brunei Darussalam	9	0	0
199	Aruba	7	0	0
200	US Virgin Islands	5	0	0
201	Timor-Leste	3	0	0
202	Andorra	2	0	0
203	American Samoa	0	0	0
203	Anguilla	0	0	0
203	Montserrat	0	0	0
203	Papua New Guinea	0	0	0
203	San Marino	0	0	0

---

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

2014 FIFA World Cup performance based seeding for AFC

I forgot about the AFC performance based seeding - well, not a big issue, since only the first four teams change order. Thanks Mani for pointing this out!

The format of the qualifiers remains the same like 2010 FIFA World Cup Asian qualifiers. More info in this AFC press release (August 13th, 2010).

The first two rounds will be using a home and away KO format. Round 1 will be played on June 29th and July 3rd, while Round 2 will be played on July 23rd and 28th. Thus, there must a draw in June.

Bassil at Football Palestine mentions Palestine being 36th in the seeding list. He has one mistake in his seeding list - Thailand (1 point, -9 GD) should be above Turkmenistan (1 point, -11 GD). If that's the only mistake, then only 43 teams will participate in the qualifiers and one of Kyrgyzstan, Maldives, India, Malaysia, Bangladesh, Pakistan, Afghanistan, Cambodia, Nepal, Sri Lanka, Vietnam and Mongolia won't be in the draw, since I have Palestine 37th.

There could actually be a group with Japan, Australia, Saudi Arabia, Iran and Uzbekistan, while the other group would feature the two Koreas, Bahrain, Qatar and United Arab Emirates.

 1 Japan
 2 Korea Republic
 3 Australia
 4 Korea DPR
 5 Bahrain
 6 Saudi Arabia
 7 Iran
 8 Qatar
 9 Uzbekistan
10 United Arab Emirates
11 Syria
12 Oman
13 Jordan
14 Iraq
15 China PR
16 Singapore
17 Kuwait
18 Thailand
19 Turkmenistan
20 Lebanon
21 Yemen
22 Tajikistan
23 Hong Kong
24 Indonesia
25 Kyrgyzstan
26 Maldives
27 India
28 Malaysia
29 Bangladesh
30 Pakistan
31 Afghanistan
31 Cambodia
33 Nepal
34 Sri Lanka
34 Vietnam
36 Mongolia
37 Palestine
38 Timor-Leste
39 Macau
40 Chinese Taipei
40 Myanmar
42 Bhutan
42 Brunei Darussalam
42 Guam
42 Laos
42 Philippines

---

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

Problems with Football-Rankings.info access from Turkey

Football-Rankings.info is can't be accessed from Turkey. Thanks erdinc for the info. This is apparently because of an IP ban of specific Google custom domain hosting servers - a ban mandated by the Turkish government. More info here and on Google Support.

---

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

FIFA Ranking: February 2011 probable ranking (II)

Next update: January 28st, 2011.

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.

Top 13 is already set. Greece replace Egypt in the top 10.

Based on these probable results...

Best movers:

28 - Jordan
25 - Uzbekistan
24 - Iran and Costa Rica

Worst movers:

-23 - Egypt
-21 - Gabon
-20 - Algeria

Best movers in the top 50:

24 - Iran and Costa Rica
17 - Panama
13 - Honduras

Worst movers in the top 50:

-23 - Egypt
-21 - Gabon
-20 - Algeria

Belarus and Hungary will improve their best ever ranking.
Panama and Dominica will return to their best ever ranking.
Romania, Saudi Arabia, Zambia, Wales, Singapore and Lebanon will have their worst ever ranking.

Probable February 2011 rank - Team - Probable February 2011 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points

1	Spain	1887	0	0
2	Netherlands	1723	0	0
3	Germany	1485	0	0
4	Brazil	1446	0	0
5	Argentina	1367	0	29
6	England	1195	0	0
7	Uruguay	1152	0	0
8	Portugal	1090	0	0
9	Croatia	1075	0	0
10	Greece	1016	1	0
11	Norway	995	1	0
12	Russia	982	1	0
13	Italy	965	1	0
14	Chile	947	1	-3
15	Ghana	940	1	16
16	Slovenia	897	1	0
17	Australia	871	9	75
18	USA	869	0	2
19	France	867	-1	0
20	Japan	862	9	86
21	Slovakia	854	-1	0
22	Switzerland	841	0	0
23	Serbia	837	0	0
24	Paraguay	832	0	0
25	Montenegro	824	0	0
26	Côte d'Ivoire	813	-5	-32
27	Mexico	803	0	8
28	Denmark	802	0	12
29	Sweden	759	4	47
30	Czech Republic	751	0	0
31	Turkey	741	0	0
32	Korea Republic	720	7	71
33	Egypt	712	-23	-324
34	Ukraine	702	0	0
35	Republic of Ireland	681	0	0
36	Belarus	655	1	-5
37	Hungary	632	4	0
38	Northern Ireland	615	5	0
39	Nigeria	604	-7	-126
40	Burkina Faso	598	2	-21
41	Iran	597	24	106
42	Bosnia-Herzegovina	583	3	1
43	Cameroon	582	-5	-68
43	Honduras	582	13	51
45	Costa Rica	580	24	113
46	Austria	569	0	0
47	Guinea	564	-1	-5
48	South Africa	562	3	12
49	Tunisia	560	-5	-32
50	Colombia	558	-2	0
50	Panama	558	17	83
52	Bulgaria	555	-3	0
53	Israel	551	-3	0
54	Scotland	542	-2	0
55	Ecuador	537	-3	-5
56	Algeria	532	-20	-146
56	Lithuania	532	-1	0
58	Romania	531	-2	0
59	Belgium	526	-1	0
60	Jamaica	525	-1	3
61	Gabon	516	-21	-124
62	Armenia	514	-2	-1
63	Venezuela	513	-3	-2
64	New Zealand	506	-1	0
65	Cuba	498	-3	-14
66	Albania	497	-2	0
67	Botswana	496	-13	-39
68	Peru	486	-2	0
69	Senegal	459	1	-6
70	Libya	451	1	0
71	Georgia	449	1	0
71	Poland	449	1	0
73	Cape Verde Islands	444	2	0
74	Morocco	443	3	6
75	China PR	431	4	12
76	Latvia	429	0	-11
77	Finland	422	2	3
78	FYR Macedonia	418	3	0
79	Jordan	417	28	131
80	Canada	414	4	3
81	Moldova	411	3	0
82	Saudi Arabia	410	-4	-13
83	Uzbekistan	407	25	122
84	Benin	403	-12	-46
85	Mali	399	-17	-75
86	Uganda	394	-3	-22
87	Estonia	386	-1	0
88	Iraq	381	10	47
89	Malawi	371	2	16
90	Qatar	368	15	78
91	Cyprus	367	-2	0
92	Grenada	358	2	9
93	Bahrain	355	0	4
94	Mozambique	351	-2	-2
94	Trinidad and Tobago	351	-7	-22
96	Haiti	349	-6	-9
96	Niger	349	-2	0
98	Azerbaijan	344	-1	1
98	Bolivia	344	-2	0
100	Kuwait	330	-1	2
100	Zambia	330	-19	-88
102	El Salvador	318	14	67
103	Togo	313	-2	0
104	Antigua and Barbuda	303	-1	4
105	Syria	302	5	25
106	Sudan	301	-6	-13
107	Angola	297	-19	-71
108	Gambia	290	-3	0
109	Korea DPR	288	0	5
110	Oman	281	-6	-16
111	United Arab Emirates	278	-9	-26
112	Guyana	273	-1	-2
113	Zimbabwe	264	5	18
114	Central African Republic	263	-2	0
114	Iceland	263	-1	2
116	Wales	261	-3	0
117	Suriname	257	-2	0
118	St. Kitts and Nevis	242	3	0
119	Congo	239	3	0
120	Thailand	237	-1	-7
121	Congo DR	234	7	23
122	Sierra Leone	233	1	0
123	Tanzania	232	-3	-11
124	Ethiopia	231	0	0
125	Yemen	230	2	8
126	Guatemala	220	-9	-27
127	Kenya	208	-2	-17
128	Dominica	196	1	0
129	Indonesia	192	-3	-32
130	Puerto Rico	187	1	3
131	Luxembourg	185	1	5
132	Barbados	183	-2	-4
133	Turkmenistan	182	0	9
134	Vietnam	172	2	5
135	Faroe Islands	171	-1	0
135	Rwanda	171	-1	0
137	Kazakhstan	161	0	0
138	Namibia	157	0	1
139	Chad	147	1	0
140	Malaysia	145	2	0
141	Tajikistan	141	2	0
142	Singapore	139	-3	-12
143	Hong Kong	138	3	10
144	Burundi	134	-4	-13
145	India	126	-1	-6
146	Guinea-Bissau	121	1	0
147	Liechtenstein	116	1	0
148	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	110	-4	-22
149	Myanmar	108	0	-1
150	Netherlands Antilles	107	0	0
151	Fiji	103	0	0
152	Philippines	101	1	4
153	Chinese Taipei	93	-1	-9
154	Madagascar	91	0	0
155	New Caledonia	89	0	0
156	Cayman Islands	88	0	0
157	Bangladesh	84	1	0
158	Liberia	82	1	0
158	Swaziland	82	1	0
160	Maldives	81	1	0
161	Nicaragua	79	-4	-7
161	Sri Lanka	79	1	0
163	Malta	76	0	0
164	Equatorial Guinea	72	0	0
165	Cambodia	68	0	0
166	Bermuda	67	6	12
166	Vanuatu	67	0	0
168	Dominican Republic	66	-1	0
169	Belize	64	4	10
169	Laos	64	-1	0
171	Lesotho	62	-1	0
172	Lebanon	61	-4	-3
173	Pakistan	56	-2	0
174	Nepal	54	-1	0
175	Kyrgyzstan	50	0	0
176	Mauritania	49	0	0
177	British Virgin Islands	41	0	0
178	Eritrea	40	0	0
178	Palestine	40	0	0
178	Solomon Islands	40	0	0
181	St. Lucia	37	0	0
182	Mongolia	32	0	0
183	Tahiti	31	0	0
184	Samoa	26	0	0
185	Somalia	23	0	0
186	Comoros	19	0	0
186	Turks and Caicos Islands	19	0	0
188	Cook Islands	17	0	0
188	Guam	17	0	0
188	Tonga	17	0	0
191	Mauritius	16	0	0
192	Djibouti	15	0	0
193	Macau	14	0	0
194	Bahamas	13	0	0
195	Afghanistan	10	0	0
195	Seychelles	10	0	0
197	Bhutan	9	0	0
197	Brunei Darussalam	9	0	0
199	Aruba	7	0	0
200	US Virgin Islands	5	0	0
201	Timor-Leste	3	0	0
202	Andorra	2	0	0
203	American Samoa	0	0	0
203	Anguilla	0	0	0
203	Montserrat	0	0	0
203	Papua New Guinea	0	0	0
203	San Marino	0	0	0

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About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.