Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.
Based on these probable results...
Greece replace Egypt in the top 10.
Best movers:
26 - Uzbekistan
25 - Iran
24 - Costa Rica
Worst movers:
-23 - Egypt
-21 - Gabon
-20 - Algeria and Zambia
Best movers in the top 50:
25 - Iran
24 - Costa Rica
17 - Panama
Worst movers in the top 50:
-23 - Egypt
-21 - Gabon
-20 - Algeria
Belarus and Hungary will improve their best ever ranking.
Panama and Dominica will return to their best ever ranking.
Saudi Arabia will return to their worst ever ranking.
Romania, Zambia, Wales, Singapore and Lebanon will have their worst ever ranking.
Saudi Arabia replaced by China PR as Asia's 5th team.
Egypt go from first in Africa to third, dropping below Ghana and Côte d'Ivoire. Burkina Faso, now 5th, replace Algeria in the top 5.
Costa Rica and Panama replace Jamaica and Cuba in CONCACAF's top 5.
Probable February 2011 rank - Team - Probable February 2011 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points
1 | Spain | 1887 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Netherlands | 1723 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Germany | 1485 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Brazil | 1446 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Argentina | 1367 | 0 | 29 |
6 | England | 1195 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Uruguay | 1152 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Portugal | 1090 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Croatia | 1075 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Greece | 1016 | 1 | 0 |
11 | Norway | 995 | 1 | 0 |
12 | Russia | 982 | 1 | 0 |
13 | Italy | 965 | 1 | 0 |
14 | Chile | 947 | 1 | -3 |
15 | Ghana | 940 | 1 | 16 |
16 | Slovenia | 897 | 1 | 0 |
17 | USA | 869 | 1 | 2 |
18 | France | 867 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Australia | 866 | 7 | 70 |
20 | Japan | 862 | 9 | 86 |
21 | Slovakia | 854 | -1 | 0 |
22 | Switzerland | 841 | 0 | 0 |
23 | Serbia | 837 | 0 | 0 |
24 | Paraguay | 832 | 0 | 0 |
25 | Montenegro | 824 | 0 | 0 |
26 | Côte d'Ivoire | 813 | -5 | -32 |
27 | Mexico | 803 | 0 | 8 |
28 | Denmark | 802 | 0 | 12 |
29 | Sweden | 759 | 4 | 47 |
30 | Czech Republic | 751 | 0 | 0 |
31 | Turkey | 741 | 0 | 0 |
32 | Korea Republic | 724 | 7 | 75 |
33 | Egypt | 712 | -23 | -324 |
34 | Ukraine | 702 | 0 | 0 |
35 | Republic of Ireland | 681 | 0 | 0 |
36 | Belarus | 655 | 1 | -5 |
37 | Hungary | 632 | 4 | 0 |
38 | Northern Ireland | 615 | 5 | 0 |
39 | Nigeria | 604 | -7 | -126 |
40 | Iran | 599 | 25 | 108 |
41 | Burkina Faso | 598 | 1 | -21 |
42 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 583 | 3 | 1 |
43 | Cameroon | 582 | -5 | -68 |
43 | Honduras | 582 | 13 | 51 |
45 | Costa Rica | 580 | 24 | 113 |
46 | Austria | 569 | 0 | 0 |
47 | Guinea | 564 | -1 | -5 |
48 | South Africa | 562 | 3 | 12 |
49 | Tunisia | 560 | -5 | -32 |
50 | Colombia | 558 | -2 | 0 |
50 | Panama | 558 | 17 | 83 |
52 | Bulgaria | 555 | -3 | 0 |
53 | Israel | 551 | -3 | 0 |
54 | Scotland | 542 | -2 | 0 |
55 | Ecuador | 537 | -3 | -5 |
56 | Algeria | 532 | -20 | -146 |
56 | Lithuania | 532 | -1 | 0 |
58 | Romania | 531 | -2 | 0 |
59 | Belgium | 526 | -1 | 0 |
60 | Jamaica | 525 | -1 | 3 |
61 | Gabon | 516 | -21 | -124 |
62 | Armenia | 514 | -2 | -1 |
63 | Venezuela | 513 | -3 | -2 |
64 | New Zealand | 506 | -1 | 0 |
65 | Cuba | 498 | -3 | -14 |
66 | Albania | 497 | -2 | 0 |
67 | Botswana | 496 | -13 | -39 |
68 | Peru | 486 | -2 | 0 |
69 | Senegal | 459 | 1 | -6 |
70 | Libya | 451 | 1 | 0 |
71 | Georgia | 449 | 1 | 0 |
71 | Poland | 449 | 1 | 0 |
73 | Cape Verde Islands | 444 | 2 | 0 |
74 | Morocco | 443 | 3 | 6 |
75 | China PR | 431 | 4 | 12 |
76 | Latvia | 429 | 0 | -11 |
77 | Finland | 422 | 2 | 3 |
78 | FYR Macedonia | 418 | 3 | 0 |
79 | Canada | 414 | 5 | 3 |
80 | Moldova | 411 | 4 | 0 |
81 | Saudi Arabia | 410 | -3 | -13 |
82 | Uzbekistan | 407 | 26 | 122 |
83 | Benin | 403 | -11 | -46 |
84 | Mali | 399 | -16 | -75 |
85 | Uganda | 394 | -2 | -22 |
86 | Estonia | 386 | 0 | 0 |
87 | Jordan | 382 | 20 | 96 |
88 | Malawi | 371 | 3 | 16 |
89 | Cyprus | 367 | 0 | 0 |
90 | Grenada | 358 | 4 | 9 |
91 | Bahrain | 355 | 2 | 4 |
92 | Mozambique | 351 | 0 | -2 |
92 | Trinidad and Tobago | 351 | -5 | -22 |
94 | Haiti | 349 | -4 | -9 |
94 | Niger | 349 | 0 | 0 |
96 | Azerbaijan | 344 | 1 | 1 |
96 | Bolivia | 344 | 0 | 0 |
98 | Kuwait | 339 | 1 | 11 |
99 | Qatar | 338 | 6 | 48 |
100 | Iraq | 331 | -2 | -3 |
101 | Zambia | 330 | -20 | -88 |
102 | El Salvador | 318 | 14 | 67 |
103 | Syria | 317 | 7 | 40 |
104 | Togo | 313 | -3 | 0 |
105 | Antigua and Barbuda | 303 | -2 | 4 |
106 | Korea DPR | 299 | 3 | 16 |
107 | Angola | 297 | -19 | -71 |
108 | United Arab Emirates | 294 | -6 | -10 |
109 | Gambia | 290 | -4 | 0 |
110 | Sudan | 283 | -10 | -31 |
111 | Oman | 281 | -7 | -16 |
112 | Guyana | 273 | -1 | -2 |
113 | Zimbabwe | 264 | 5 | 18 |
114 | Central African Republic | 263 | -2 | 0 |
114 | Iceland | 263 | -1 | 2 |
116 | Wales | 261 | -3 | 0 |
117 | Suriname | 257 | -2 | 0 |
118 | Tanzania | 243 | 2 | 0 |
119 | St. Kitts and Nevis | 242 | 2 | 0 |
120 | Congo | 239 | 2 | 0 |
121 | Thailand | 237 | -2 | -7 |
122 | Congo DR | 234 | 6 | 23 |
123 | Sierra Leone | 233 | 0 | 0 |
124 | Ethiopia | 231 | 0 | 0 |
125 | Yemen | 230 | 2 | 8 |
126 | Guatemala | 220 | -9 | -27 |
127 | Kenya | 208 | -2 | -17 |
128 | Dominica | 196 | 1 | 0 |
129 | Indonesia | 192 | -3 | -32 |
130 | Puerto Rico | 187 | 1 | 3 |
131 | Luxembourg | 185 | 1 | 5 |
132 | Barbados | 183 | -2 | -4 |
133 | Turkmenistan | 182 | 0 | 9 |
134 | Vietnam | 172 | 2 | 5 |
135 | Faroe Islands | 171 | -1 | 0 |
135 | Rwanda | 171 | -1 | 0 |
137 | Kazakhstan | 161 | 0 | 0 |
138 | Namibia | 157 | 0 | 1 |
139 | Chad | 147 | 1 | 0 |
140 | Malaysia | 145 | 2 | 0 |
141 | Tajikistan | 141 | 2 | 0 |
142 | Singapore | 139 | -3 | -12 |
143 | Hong Kong | 138 | 3 | 10 |
144 | Burundi | 134 | -4 | -13 |
145 | India | 126 | -1 | -6 |
146 | Guinea-Bissau | 121 | 1 | 0 |
147 | Liechtenstein | 116 | 1 | 0 |
148 | St. Vincent and the Grenadines | 110 | -4 | -22 |
149 | Myanmar | 108 | 0 | -1 |
150 | Netherlands Antilles | 107 | 0 | 0 |
151 | Fiji | 103 | 0 | 0 |
152 | Philippines | 101 | 1 | 4 |
153 | Chinese Taipei | 93 | -1 | -9 |
154 | Madagascar | 91 | 0 | 0 |
155 | New Caledonia | 89 | 0 | 0 |
156 | Cayman Islands | 88 | 0 | 0 |
157 | Bangladesh | 84 | 1 | 0 |
158 | Liberia | 82 | 1 | 0 |
158 | Swaziland | 82 | 1 | 0 |
160 | Maldives | 81 | 1 | 0 |
161 | Nicaragua | 79 | -4 | -7 |
161 | Sri Lanka | 79 | 1 | 0 |
163 | Malta | 76 | 0 | 0 |
164 | Equatorial Guinea | 72 | 0 | 0 |
165 | Cambodia | 68 | 0 | 0 |
166 | Bermuda | 67 | 6 | 12 |
166 | Vanuatu | 67 | 0 | 0 |
168 | Dominican Republic | 66 | -1 | 0 |
169 | Belize | 64 | 4 | 10 |
169 | Laos | 64 | -1 | 0 |
171 | Lesotho | 62 | -1 | 0 |
172 | Lebanon | 61 | -4 | -3 |
173 | Pakistan | 56 | -2 | 0 |
174 | Nepal | 54 | -1 | 0 |
175 | Kyrgyzstan | 50 | 0 | 0 |
176 | Mauritania | 49 | 0 | 0 |
177 | British Virgin Islands | 41 | 0 | 0 |
178 | Eritrea | 40 | 0 | 0 |
178 | Palestine | 40 | 0 | 0 |
178 | Solomon Islands | 40 | 0 | 0 |
181 | St. Lucia | 37 | 0 | 0 |
182 | Mongolia | 32 | 0 | 0 |
183 | Tahiti | 31 | 0 | 0 |
184 | Samoa | 26 | 0 | 0 |
185 | Somalia | 23 | 0 | 0 |
186 | Comoros | 19 | 0 | 0 |
186 | Turks and Caicos Islands | 19 | 0 | 0 |
188 | Cook Islands | 17 | 0 | 0 |
188 | Guam | 17 | 0 | 0 |
188 | Tonga | 17 | 0 | 0 |
191 | Mauritius | 16 | 0 | 0 |
192 | Djibouti | 15 | 0 | 0 |
193 | Macau | 14 | 0 | 0 |
194 | Bahamas | 13 | 0 | 0 |
195 | Afghanistan | 10 | 0 | 0 |
195 | Seychelles | 10 | 0 | 0 |
197 | Bhutan | 9 | 0 | 0 |
197 | Brunei Darussalam | 9 | 0 | 0 |
199 | Aruba | 7 | 0 | 0 |
200 | US Virgin Islands | 5 | 0 | 0 |
201 | Timor-Leste | 3 | 0 | 0 |
202 | Andorra | 2 | 0 | 0 |
203 | American Samoa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
203 | Anguilla | 0 | 0 | 0 |
203 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
203 | Papua New Guinea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
203 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Well, again there are considerable differences between your ranking, Edgar, and my own ranking.
ReplyDeleteFor instance, in my ranking Egypt has 684 points, where as in your ranking they have 712 points. A difference of 28 points.
I followed all the lead conciously, taking into account the drop dates, and the games that are not included by FIFA.
So maybe I will email you Edgar to find out what causes those differences.
Sure, go ahead.
ReplyDelete