Assumptions:
- CAF will keep the current qualifying system
- FIFA will use the FIFA ranking to seed the teams
- CAF will choose the July 2011 ranking for seeding
The July 2011 FIFA ranking will include matches played between July 2007 and July 2011. Only 4 months left, so rankings can't change too much.
This the July 2011 ranking (for CAF only) using matches played up to and including March 29th, 2011 and matches scheduled up to July 2011 (only those on fifa.com).
The "1.0" part is computed this way: points gained / (number of matches played + scheduled).
South Africa replace Botswana in the first pot.
Niger replace Central African Republic in the second pot.
Rwanda and Madagascar replace Ethiopia and Guinea-Bissau in the third pot.
Best movers:
6 - South Africa
5 - Madagascar
4 - Algeria and Senegal
Worst movers:
-4 - Cameroon and Gabon
-3 - Tunisia, Botswana, Benin, Central African Republic and Burundi
-2 - Nigeria, Congo, Ethiopia, Guinea-Bissau and Chad
Most points gained:
152 - South Africa
145 - Senegal
144 - Algeria
Rank - Previous rank - Team - Total points
1 2 Côte d'Ivoire 812 2 1 Egypt 709 3 3 Ghana 663 4 4 Burkina Faso 605 5 9 Algeria 575 6 10 Senegal 572 7 13 South Africa 564 8 4 Cameroon 550 9 7 Nigeria 547 10 6 Gabon 535 11 8 Tunisia 509 12 12 Libya 476 ---------------------------------- 13 15 Malawi 450 14 11 Botswana 437 15 14 Guinea 417 16 19 Mali 416 17 18 Cape Verde Islands 397 18 17 Uganda 394 19 16 Benin 380 20 21 Zambia 379 21 20 Morocco 347 22 25 Niger 331 23 22 Mozambique 314 24 24 Sudan 302 ---------------------------------- 25 27 Angola 267 26 23 Central African Republic 263 27 26 Gambia 257 28 31 Tanzania 246 29 28 Togo 238 30 29 Sierra Leone 217 31 30 Zimbabwe 212 32 33 Congo DR 211 33 34 Kenya 209 34 32 Congo 206 35 37 Rwanda 190 36 41 Madagascar 159 ---------------------------------- 37 35 Ethiopia 149 38 36 Guinea-Bissau 142 39 42 Equatorial Guinea 131 40 38 Chad 127 41 40 Namibia 123 42 39 Burundi 113 43 43 Liberia 77 44 44 Swaziland 68 45 45 Lesotho 44 46 46 Mauritania 32 47 47 Eritrea 29 48 48 Somalia 23 ---------------------------------- 49 49 Comoros 19 50 50 Djibouti 12 51 51 Mauritius 10 52 52 Seychelles 7 53 53 Sao Tome e Principe 0
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