It's no longer in their hands. First of all they need to win against Northern Ireland tonight. Any other result will end their hopes of avoiding the last pot. Then they face an anxious wait, as they need Iceland, Faroe Islands and Luxembourg to stumble.
Of course, it's quite likely FAW know nothing about it so there won't be any anxious wait, just an unpleasant surprise when FIFA announce the seeding.
Matches involving Iceland, Faroe Islands and Luxembourg:
03 Jun Luxembourg - Hungary (Friendly)
03 Jun Faroe Islands - Slovenia (Continental Qualifier)
04 Jun Iceland - Denmark (Continental Qualifier)
07 Jun Faroe Islands - Estonia (Continental Qualifier)
07 Jun Belarus - Luxembourg (Continental Qualifier)
What results do the Welsh need, besides a win against Northern Ireland?
Belarus - Luxembourg 1 or (Luxembourg - Hungary X2 and Belarus - Luxembourg X)
Faroe Islands - Slovenia X2 and Faroe Islands - Estonia X2
Iceland - Denmark 2
▼
Friday, May 27, 2011
May 2011: FIFA Ranking vs. Elo Ratings
Top 10 differences for countries with a better Elo Rating:
Team - FIFA Ranking - Elo Rating - Difference
Top 10 differences for countries with a better FIFA Ranking:
Team - FIFA Ranking - Elo Rating - Difference
Top 50 nations only (in the top 50 in at least one of the rankings)
Top 10 differences for countries with a better Elo Rating:
Team - FIFA Ranking - Elo Rating - Difference
Top 10 differences for countries with a better FIFA Ranking:
Team - FIFA Ranking - Elo Rating - Difference
Matches I would have liked to see before the next ranking:
Venezuela - Slovakia
Ecuador - Slovenia
China PR - Algeria
Poland - Albania
Colombia - Montenegro
Scotland - Armenia
Iran - Lithuania
Mexico - Greece
Egypt - Belgium
Sweden - Serbia
Team - FIFA Ranking - Elo Rating - Difference
| Solomon Islands | 182 | 117 | 65 |
| Fiji | 155 | 111 | 44 |
| Papua New Guinea | 202 | 164 | 38 |
| Venezuela | 68 | 35 | 33 |
| Bolivia | 102 | 69 | 33 |
| Lebanon | 178 | 145 | 33 |
| Kuwait | 101 | 70 | 31 |
| Wales | 114 | 84 | 30 |
| Turkmenistan | 141 | 111 | 30 |
| Vanuatu | 165 | 135 | 30 |
Top 10 differences for countries with a better FIFA Ranking:
Team - FIFA Ranking - Elo Rating - Difference
| Algeria | 41 | 92 | -51 |
| Puerto Rico | 132 | 176 | -44 |
| Armenia | 62 | 104 | -42 |
| Luxembourg | 125 | 166 | -41 |
| Antigua and Barbuda | 100 | 137 | -37 |
| Albania | 50 | 86 | -36 |
| Dominica | 131 | 167 | -36 |
| Grenada | 98 | 133 | -35 |
| St. Kitts and Nevis | 119 | 152 | -33 |
| Burkina Faso | 44 | 75 | -31 |
Top 50 nations only (in the top 50 in at least one of the rankings)
Top 10 differences for countries with a better Elo Rating:
Team - FIFA Ranking - Elo Rating - Difference
| Venezuela | 68 | 35 | 33 |
| Ecuador | 64 | 35 | 29 |
| China PR | 77 | 49 | 28 |
| Poland | 71 | 44 | 27 |
| Colombia | 50 | 26 | 24 |
| Scotland | 66 | 46 | 20 |
| Iran | 48 | 30 | 18 |
| Mexico | 28 | 12 | 16 |
| Egypt | 36 | 21 | 15 |
| Sweden | 28 | 14 | 14 |
Top 10 differences for countries with a better FIFA Ranking:
Team - FIFA Ranking - Elo Rating - Difference
| Algeria | 41 | 92 | -51 |
| Albania | 50 | 86 | -36 |
| Burkina Faso | 44 | 75 | -31 |
| Slovakia | 26 | 56 | -30 |
| Slovenia | 17 | 42 | -25 |
| Greece | 12 | 29 | -17 |
| Lithuania | 47 | 62 | -15 |
| Montenegro | 24 | 38 | -14 |
| Senegal | 40 | 54 | -14 |
| Norway | 11 | 24 | -13 |
Matches I would have liked to see before the next ranking:
Venezuela - Slovakia
Ecuador - Slovenia
China PR - Algeria
Poland - Albania
Colombia - Montenegro
Scotland - Armenia
Iran - Lithuania
Mexico - Greece
Egypt - Belgium
Sweden - Serbia
Friday, May 20, 2011
2014 FIFA World Cup seeding (CAF): 10000 simulations (20 May 2011)
I ran 10000 simulations using the Elo Ratings, assuming "latest edition" means the July ranking.
2014 FIFA World Cup seeding (CAF): Simulation results by pot (20 May 2011)
2014 FIFA World Cup seeding (CAF): Simulation results by team (20 May 2011)
13 teams are already locked (based on the current list of fixtures on FIFA.com).
Côte d'Ivoire, Egypt, Ghana, Burkina Faso, Algeria and Senegal in Pot 1.
Lesotho, Eritrea, Somalia, Djibouti, Mauritius, Seychelles and Sao Tome e Principe in Pot 5.
Rwanda appear 100% in Pot 4, but they could also drop to Pot 5 in some very, very unlikely scenarios.
Based on these 10000 simulations, these is most likely composition of pots. In each pot, teams are sorted alphabetically, so don't read anything into their order.
Pot 1: Algeria, Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Côte d'Ivoire, Egypt, Ghana, Nigeria, Senegal, South Africa, Tunisia
Pot 2: Botswana, Cape Verde Islands, Gabon, Guinea, Libya, Malawi, Mali, Morocco, Uganda, Zambia
Pot 3: Angola, Benin, Central African Republic, Mozambique, Niger, Sierra Leone, Sudan, Zimbabwe
Pot 4 (Pot 1 in the preliminary draw): Congo, Congo DR, Equatorial Guinea, Ethiopia, Gambia, Guinea-Bissau, Kenya, Madagascar, Namibia, Rwanda, Tanzania, Togo
Pot 5 (Pot 2 in the preliminary draw): Burundi, Chad, Comoros, Djibouti, Eritrea, Lesotho, Liberia, Mauritius, Sao Tome e Principe, Seychelles, Somalia, Swaziland
2014 FIFA World Cup seeding (CAF): Simulation results by pot (20 May 2011)
2014 FIFA World Cup seeding (CAF): Simulation results by team (20 May 2011)
13 teams are already locked (based on the current list of fixtures on FIFA.com).
Côte d'Ivoire, Egypt, Ghana, Burkina Faso, Algeria and Senegal in Pot 1.
Lesotho, Eritrea, Somalia, Djibouti, Mauritius, Seychelles and Sao Tome e Principe in Pot 5.
Rwanda appear 100% in Pot 4, but they could also drop to Pot 5 in some very, very unlikely scenarios.
Based on these 10000 simulations, these is most likely composition of pots. In each pot, teams are sorted alphabetically, so don't read anything into their order.
Pot 1: Algeria, Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Côte d'Ivoire, Egypt, Ghana, Nigeria, Senegal, South Africa, Tunisia
Pot 2: Botswana, Cape Verde Islands, Gabon, Guinea, Libya, Malawi, Mali, Morocco, Uganda, Zambia
Pot 3: Angola, Benin, Central African Republic, Mozambique, Niger, Sierra Leone, Sudan, Zimbabwe
Pot 4 (Pot 1 in the preliminary draw): Congo, Congo DR, Equatorial Guinea, Ethiopia, Gambia, Guinea-Bissau, Kenya, Madagascar, Namibia, Rwanda, Tanzania, Togo
Pot 5 (Pot 2 in the preliminary draw): Burundi, Chad, Comoros, Djibouti, Eritrea, Lesotho, Liberia, Mauritius, Sao Tome e Principe, Seychelles, Somalia, Swaziland
2014 FIFA World Cup seeding (CAF): Simulation results by pot (20 May 2011)
Pot 1
100.00% - Côte d'Ivoire
100.00% - Egypt
100.00% - Ghana
100.00% - Burkina Faso
100.00% - Algeria
100.00% - Senegal
99.53% - Nigeria
96.48% - South Africa
89.73% - Cameroon
70.44% - Tunisia
32.74% - Gabon
9.69% - Benin
1.39% - Libya
Pot 2
99.98% - Guinea
99.95% - Malawi
99.34% - Botswana
98.61% - Libya
97.93% - Mali
90.22% - Uganda
88.47% - Cape Verde Islands
86.92% - Zambia
72.95% - Morocco
67.26% - Gabon
29.56% - Tunisia
26.09% - Benin
14.43% - Niger
10.27% - Cameroon
8.01% - Mozambique
3.68% - Central African Republic
3.52% - South Africa
2.34% - Congo
0.47% - Nigeria
Pot 3
99.98% - Sudan
99.20% - Angola
93.19% - Central African Republic
91.94% - Mozambique
85.57% - Niger
64.22% - Benin
63.47% - Sierra Leone
55.13% - Zimbabwe
40.85% - Gambia
27.05% - Morocco
13.09% - Namibia
13.08% - Zambia
12.18% - Tanzania
11.53% - Cape Verde Islands
9.78% - Uganda
4.83% - Madagascar
3.96% - Congo
3.12% - Congo DR
2.93% - Guinea-Bissau
2.07% - Mali
0.82% - Togo
0.70% - Ethiopia
0.66% - Botswana
0.32% - Kenya
0.26% - Chad
0.05% - Malawi
0.02% - Guinea
Pot 4 (Pot 1 in the preliminary draw)
100.00% - Rwanda
99.68% - Kenya
99.18% - Togo
98.56% - Ethiopia
96.88% - Congo DR
93.70% - Congo
87.82% - Tanzania
85.59% - Madagascar
75.20% - Equatorial Guinea
69.29% - Guinea-Bissau
59.17% - Namibia
59.15% - Gambia
44.87% - Zimbabwe
37.52% - Burundi
36.53% - Sierra Leone
19.13% - Swaziland
18.77% - Liberia
13.05% - Chad
3.13% - Central African Republic
1.91% - Comoros
0.80% - Angola
0.05% - Mozambique
0.02% - Sudan
Pot 5 (Pot 2 in the preliminary draw)
100.00% - Lesotho
100.00% - Eritrea
100.00% - Somalia
100.00% - Djibouti
100.00% - Mauritius
100.00% - Seychelles
100.00% - Sao Tome e Principe
98.09% - Comoros
86.69% - Chad
81.23% - Liberia
80.87% - Swaziland
62.48% - Burundi
27.78% - Guinea-Bissau
27.74% - Namibia
24.80% - Equatorial Guinea
9.58% - Madagascar
0.74% - Ethiopia
100.00% - Côte d'Ivoire
100.00% - Egypt
100.00% - Ghana
100.00% - Burkina Faso
100.00% - Algeria
100.00% - Senegal
99.53% - Nigeria
96.48% - South Africa
89.73% - Cameroon
70.44% - Tunisia
32.74% - Gabon
9.69% - Benin
1.39% - Libya
Pot 2
99.98% - Guinea
99.95% - Malawi
99.34% - Botswana
98.61% - Libya
97.93% - Mali
90.22% - Uganda
88.47% - Cape Verde Islands
86.92% - Zambia
72.95% - Morocco
67.26% - Gabon
29.56% - Tunisia
26.09% - Benin
14.43% - Niger
10.27% - Cameroon
8.01% - Mozambique
3.68% - Central African Republic
3.52% - South Africa
2.34% - Congo
0.47% - Nigeria
Pot 3
99.98% - Sudan
99.20% - Angola
93.19% - Central African Republic
91.94% - Mozambique
85.57% - Niger
64.22% - Benin
63.47% - Sierra Leone
55.13% - Zimbabwe
40.85% - Gambia
27.05% - Morocco
13.09% - Namibia
13.08% - Zambia
12.18% - Tanzania
11.53% - Cape Verde Islands
9.78% - Uganda
4.83% - Madagascar
3.96% - Congo
3.12% - Congo DR
2.93% - Guinea-Bissau
2.07% - Mali
0.82% - Togo
0.70% - Ethiopia
0.66% - Botswana
0.32% - Kenya
0.26% - Chad
0.05% - Malawi
0.02% - Guinea
Pot 4 (Pot 1 in the preliminary draw)
100.00% - Rwanda
99.68% - Kenya
99.18% - Togo
98.56% - Ethiopia
96.88% - Congo DR
93.70% - Congo
87.82% - Tanzania
85.59% - Madagascar
75.20% - Equatorial Guinea
69.29% - Guinea-Bissau
59.17% - Namibia
59.15% - Gambia
44.87% - Zimbabwe
37.52% - Burundi
36.53% - Sierra Leone
19.13% - Swaziland
18.77% - Liberia
13.05% - Chad
3.13% - Central African Republic
1.91% - Comoros
0.80% - Angola
0.05% - Mozambique
0.02% - Sudan
Pot 5 (Pot 2 in the preliminary draw)
100.00% - Lesotho
100.00% - Eritrea
100.00% - Somalia
100.00% - Djibouti
100.00% - Mauritius
100.00% - Seychelles
100.00% - Sao Tome e Principe
98.09% - Comoros
86.69% - Chad
81.23% - Liberia
80.87% - Swaziland
62.48% - Burundi
27.78% - Guinea-Bissau
27.74% - Namibia
24.80% - Equatorial Guinea
9.58% - Madagascar
0.74% - Ethiopia
2014 FIFA World Cup seeding (CAF): Simulation results by team (20 May 2011)
Côte d'Ivoire: 100.00% in Pot 1
Egypt: 100.00% in Pot 1
Ghana: 100.00% in Pot 1
Burkina Faso: 100.00% in Pot 1
Algeria: 100.00% in Pot 1
Senegal: 100.00% in Pot 1
Nigeria: 99.53% in Pot 1, 0.47% in Pot 2
South Africa: 96.48% in Pot 1, 3.52% in Pot 2
Cameroon: 89.73% in Pot 1, 10.27% in Pot 2
Tunisia: 70.44% in Pot 1, 29.56% in Pot 2
Gabon: 67.26% in Pot 2, 32.74% in Pot 1
Benin: 64.22% in Pot 3, 26.09% in Pot 2, 9.69% in Pot 1
Libya: 98.61% in Pot 2, 1.39% in Pot 1
Guinea: 99.98% in Pot 2, 0.02% in Pot 3
Malawi: 99.95% in Pot 2, 0.05% in Pot 3
Botswana: 99.34% in Pot 2, 0.66% in Pot 3
Mali: 97.93% in Pot 2, 2.07% in Pot 3
Uganda: 90.22% in Pot 2, 9.78% in Pot 3
Cape Verde Islands: 88.47% in Pot 2, 11.53% in Pot 3
Zambia: 86.92% in Pot 2, 13.08% in Pot 3
Morocco: 72.95% in Pot 2, 27.05% in Pot 3
Niger: 85.57% in Pot 3, 14.43% in Pot 2
Mozambique: 91.94% in Pot 3, 8.01% in Pot 2, 0.05% in Pot 4
Central African Republic: 93.19% in Pot 3, 3.68% in Pot 2, 3.13% in Pot 4
Congo: 93.70% in Pot 4, 3.96% in Pot 3, 2.34% in Pot 2
Sudan: 99.98% in Pot 3, 0.02% in Pot 4
Angola: 99.20% in Pot 3, 0.80% in Pot 4
Sierra Leone: 63.47% in Pot 3, 36.53% in Pot 4
Zimbabwe: 55.13% in Pot 3, 44.87% in Pot 4
Gambia: 59.15% in Pot 4, 40.85% in Pot 3
Namibia: 59.17% in Pot 4, 27.74% in Pot 5, 13.09% in Pot 3
Tanzania: 87.82% in Pot 4, 12.18% in Pot 3
Madagascar: 85.59% in Pot 4, 9.58% in Pot 5, 4.83% in Pot 3
Congo DR: 96.88% in Pot 4, 3.12% in Pot 3
Guinea-Bissau: 69.29% in Pot 4, 27.78% in Pot 5, 2.93% in Pot 3
Togo: 99.18% in Pot 4, 0.82% in Pot 3
Ethiopia: 98.56% in Pot 4, 0.74% in Pot 5, 0.70% in Pot 3
Kenya: 99.68% in Pot 4, 0.32% in Pot 3
Chad: 86.69% in Pot 5, 13.05% in Pot 4, 0.26% in Pot 3
Rwanda: 100.00% in Pot 4
Equatorial Guinea: 75.20% in Pot 4, 24.80% in Pot 5
Burundi: 62.48% in Pot 5, 37.52% in Pot 4
Swaziland: 80.87% in Pot 5, 19.13% in Pot 4
Liberia: 81.23% in Pot 5, 18.77% in Pot 4
Comoros: 98.09% in Pot 5, 1.91% in Pot 4
Lesotho: 100.00% in Pot 5
Eritrea: 100.00% in Pot 5
Somalia: 100.00% in Pot 5
Djibouti: 100.00% in Pot 5
Mauritius: 100.00% in Pot 5
Seychelles: 100.00% in Pot 5
Sao Tome e Principe: 100.00% in Pot 5
Egypt: 100.00% in Pot 1
Ghana: 100.00% in Pot 1
Burkina Faso: 100.00% in Pot 1
Algeria: 100.00% in Pot 1
Senegal: 100.00% in Pot 1
Nigeria: 99.53% in Pot 1, 0.47% in Pot 2
South Africa: 96.48% in Pot 1, 3.52% in Pot 2
Cameroon: 89.73% in Pot 1, 10.27% in Pot 2
Tunisia: 70.44% in Pot 1, 29.56% in Pot 2
Gabon: 67.26% in Pot 2, 32.74% in Pot 1
Benin: 64.22% in Pot 3, 26.09% in Pot 2, 9.69% in Pot 1
Libya: 98.61% in Pot 2, 1.39% in Pot 1
Guinea: 99.98% in Pot 2, 0.02% in Pot 3
Malawi: 99.95% in Pot 2, 0.05% in Pot 3
Botswana: 99.34% in Pot 2, 0.66% in Pot 3
Mali: 97.93% in Pot 2, 2.07% in Pot 3
Uganda: 90.22% in Pot 2, 9.78% in Pot 3
Cape Verde Islands: 88.47% in Pot 2, 11.53% in Pot 3
Zambia: 86.92% in Pot 2, 13.08% in Pot 3
Morocco: 72.95% in Pot 2, 27.05% in Pot 3
Niger: 85.57% in Pot 3, 14.43% in Pot 2
Mozambique: 91.94% in Pot 3, 8.01% in Pot 2, 0.05% in Pot 4
Central African Republic: 93.19% in Pot 3, 3.68% in Pot 2, 3.13% in Pot 4
Congo: 93.70% in Pot 4, 3.96% in Pot 3, 2.34% in Pot 2
Sudan: 99.98% in Pot 3, 0.02% in Pot 4
Angola: 99.20% in Pot 3, 0.80% in Pot 4
Sierra Leone: 63.47% in Pot 3, 36.53% in Pot 4
Zimbabwe: 55.13% in Pot 3, 44.87% in Pot 4
Gambia: 59.15% in Pot 4, 40.85% in Pot 3
Namibia: 59.17% in Pot 4, 27.74% in Pot 5, 13.09% in Pot 3
Tanzania: 87.82% in Pot 4, 12.18% in Pot 3
Madagascar: 85.59% in Pot 4, 9.58% in Pot 5, 4.83% in Pot 3
Congo DR: 96.88% in Pot 4, 3.12% in Pot 3
Guinea-Bissau: 69.29% in Pot 4, 27.78% in Pot 5, 2.93% in Pot 3
Togo: 99.18% in Pot 4, 0.82% in Pot 3
Ethiopia: 98.56% in Pot 4, 0.74% in Pot 5, 0.70% in Pot 3
Kenya: 99.68% in Pot 4, 0.32% in Pot 3
Chad: 86.69% in Pot 5, 13.05% in Pot 4, 0.26% in Pot 3
Rwanda: 100.00% in Pot 4
Equatorial Guinea: 75.20% in Pot 4, 24.80% in Pot 5
Burundi: 62.48% in Pot 5, 37.52% in Pot 4
Swaziland: 80.87% in Pot 5, 19.13% in Pot 4
Liberia: 81.23% in Pot 5, 18.77% in Pot 4
Comoros: 98.09% in Pot 5, 1.91% in Pot 4
Lesotho: 100.00% in Pot 5
Eritrea: 100.00% in Pot 5
Somalia: 100.00% in Pot 5
Djibouti: 100.00% in Pot 5
Mauritius: 100.00% in Pot 5
Seychelles: 100.00% in Pot 5
Sao Tome e Principe: 100.00% in Pot 5
2014 FIFA World Cup seeding (CAF) using the April ranking
As mentioned in this post, it's unclear what the "latest edition" of the FIFA Rankings actually means. At the time of the official announcement the most recent edition was the April release.
This is how the seeding will look using the April 2011 ranking.
Preliminary round
Pot 1: Central African Republic, Congo DR, Sierra Leone, Congo, Rwanda, Kenya, Ethiopia, Zimbabwe, Guinea-Bissau, Madagascar, Namibia, Equatorial Guinea
Pot 2: Chad, Burundi, Swaziland, Liberia, Lesotho, Eritrea, Somalia, Comoros, Mauritius, Djibouti, Seychelles, Sao Tome e Principe
Group stage
Pot 1: Ghana, Côte d'Ivoire, Egypt, Nigeria, South Africa, Algeria, Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Senegal, Libya
Pot 2: Gabon, Tunisia, Guinea, Botswana, Mali, Morocco, Malawi, Cape Verde Islands, Benin, Uganda
Pot 3: Zambia, Mozambique, Niger, Gambia, Sudan, Angola, Togo, Tanzania
It remains to be seen how FIFA/CAF will handle the 12 winners from the preliminary round. They could make a pot with 12 teams or choose the pairs involving the top four teams from the first pot of the preliminary round (Central African Republic, Congo DR, Sierra Leone and Congo).
Remember only the group winner goes to the next stage - a play-off against another group winner. Just imagine a group with Ghana, Tunisia, Zambia and a team from the preliminary stage...
This is how the seeding will look using the April 2011 ranking.
Preliminary round
Pot 1: Central African Republic, Congo DR, Sierra Leone, Congo, Rwanda, Kenya, Ethiopia, Zimbabwe, Guinea-Bissau, Madagascar, Namibia, Equatorial Guinea
Pot 2: Chad, Burundi, Swaziland, Liberia, Lesotho, Eritrea, Somalia, Comoros, Mauritius, Djibouti, Seychelles, Sao Tome e Principe
Group stage
Pot 1: Ghana, Côte d'Ivoire, Egypt, Nigeria, South Africa, Algeria, Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Senegal, Libya
Pot 2: Gabon, Tunisia, Guinea, Botswana, Mali, Morocco, Malawi, Cape Verde Islands, Benin, Uganda
Pot 3: Zambia, Mozambique, Niger, Gambia, Sudan, Angola, Togo, Tanzania
It remains to be seen how FIFA/CAF will handle the 12 winners from the preliminary round. They could make a pot with 12 teams or choose the pairs involving the top four teams from the first pot of the preliminary round (Central African Republic, Congo DR, Sierra Leone and Congo).
Remember only the group winner goes to the next stage - a play-off against another group winner. Just imagine a group with Ghana, Tunisia, Zambia and a team from the preliminary stage...
2014 FIFA World Cup: CAF format revealed
Someone posted a link to the format announcement. Thanks!
The qualifying series will begin with a preliminary round involving the bottom 24-bottom FIFA ranked teams according to the latest edition of FIFA ranking.
The 12 teams to qualifiy from the preliminary round will join the 28 teams, on a bye for the next phase.
The top team from each of the 10 groups will qualify for the final play-off, and will play on home and away basis to determine the five slots.
In all, 154 matches will played between November 2011 and November 2013.
PDF file detailing the qualifying format.
Mauritania are the one team not participating and we'll see Sao Tome e Principe return to competitions after 8 years.
This changes the seeding quite a bit. It also depends on what "latest edition" of the FIFA rankings means. April (since the announcement was made on May 16, before the May ranking was published) or July (the latest edition at the time of the draw)?
The qualifying series will begin with a preliminary round involving the bottom 24-bottom FIFA ranked teams according to the latest edition of FIFA ranking.
The 12 teams to qualifiy from the preliminary round will join the 28 teams, on a bye for the next phase.
The top team from each of the 10 groups will qualify for the final play-off, and will play on home and away basis to determine the five slots.
In all, 154 matches will played between November 2011 and November 2013.
PDF file detailing the qualifying format.
Mauritania are the one team not participating and we'll see Sao Tome e Principe return to competitions after 8 years.
This changes the seeding quite a bit. It also depends on what "latest edition" of the FIFA rankings means. April (since the announcement was made on May 16, before the May ranking was published) or July (the latest edition at the time of the draw)?
FIFA Ranking: June 2011 probable ranking
Next update: June 3rd, 2011.
Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.
Based on these probable results...
Montenegro (up 14 places) replace Uruguay in the top 10... Would you believe it? :) Montenegro have a population of 661807. That would be an amazing achievement for such a small country.
Germany up to 3rd, Brazil drop to 5th, Argentina 8th. New Zealand drop more than 30 places.
Probable June 2011 rank - Team - Probable June 2011 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points
Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.
Based on these probable results...
Montenegro (up 14 places) replace Uruguay in the top 10... Would you believe it? :) Montenegro have a population of 661807. That would be an amazing achievement for such a small country.
Germany up to 3rd, Brazil drop to 5th, Argentina 8th. New Zealand drop more than 30 places.
Probable June 2011 rank - Team - Probable June 2011 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points
| 1 | Spain | 1871 | 0 | 14 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 1688 | 0 | -14 |
| 3 | Germany | 1417 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | England | 1243 | 2 | 80 |
| 5 | Brazil | 1130 | -2 | -295 |
| 6 | Italy | 1104 | 3 | 85 |
| 7 | Portugal | 1046 | 1 | -6 |
| 8 | Argentina | 1039 | -3 | -228 |
| 9 | Croatia | 1033 | 1 | 42 |
| 10 | Montenegro | 1011 | 14 | 191 |
| 11 | Mexico | 998 | 17 | 196 |
| 12 | Norway | 972 | -1 | -15 |
| 13 | Japan | 969 | 1 | 8 |
| 14 | Greece | 959 | -2 | -26 |
| 15 | Russia | 940 | 3 | 44 |
| 16 | France | 932 | 3 | 49 |
| 17 | Côte d'Ivoire | 922 | 4 | 55 |
| 18 | USA | 887 | 4 | 32 |
| 19 | Sweden | 884 | 9 | 82 |
| 20 | Uruguay | 876 | -13 | -218 |
| 21 | Denmark | 857 | 6 | 49 |
| 22 | Australia | 852 | -2 | -24 |
| 23 | Slovenia | 833 | -6 | -70 |
| 24 | Turkey | 820 | 6 | 25 |
| 25 | Korea Republic | 787 | 6 | 33 |
| 26 | Egypt | 785 | 10 | 109 |
| 27 | Chile | 782 | -14 | -185 |
| 27 | Serbia | 782 | -11 | -125 |
| 29 | Slovakia | 779 | -3 | -30 |
| 30 | Paraguay | 756 | -7 | -91 |
| 31 | Ghana | 735 | -16 | -183 |
| 32 | Switzerland | 724 | -7 | -95 |
| 33 | Republic of Ireland | 708 | 1 | 27 |
| 34 | Israel | 703 | -1 | -6 |
| 35 | Belgium | 691 | 2 | 37 |
| 36 | Czech Republic | 682 | -4 | -40 |
| 37 | Honduras | 680 | 6 | 77 |
| 38 | Cameroon | 669 | 11 | 97 |
| 39 | Burkina Faso | 661 | 5 | 61 |
| 40 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 642 | 5 | 48 |
| 41 | Ukraine | 636 | -6 | -42 |
| 42 | Jamaica | 624 | 13 | 78 |
| 43 | Nigeria | 605 | -4 | -32 |
| 44 | Hungary | 603 | 8 | 44 |
| 45 | Costa Rica | 601 | 11 | 60 |
| 46 | Belarus | 594 | 7 | 37 |
| 47 | Iran | 578 | 1 | 3 |
| 48 | Algeria | 575 | -7 | -34 |
| 49 | Senegal | 572 | -9 | -41 |
| 50 | Romania | 571 | -8 | -36 |
| 51 | Lithuania | 568 | -4 | -9 |
| 52 | Colombia | 564 | -2 | 0 |
| 53 | South Africa | 553 | -15 | -100 |
| 54 | Bulgaria | 550 | -8 | -42 |
| 55 | Peru | 546 | -1 | -2 |
| 56 | Gabon | 535 | 3 | 6 |
| 57 | Georgia | 530 | 0 | -6 |
| 57 | Libya | 530 | 1 | -4 |
| 59 | Tunisia | 527 | 2 | 0 |
| 60 | Albania | 524 | -10 | -40 |
| 61 | Scotland | 513 | 5 | -4 |
| 62 | Northern Ireland | 506 | 3 | -14 |
| 63 | Botswana | 496 | 6 | 17 |
| 64 | Morocco | 494 | 9 | 49 |
| 65 | Panama | 490 | 2 | -3 |
| 66 | Austria | 479 | 8 | 36 |
| 67 | Guinea | 475 | -5 | -49 |
| 68 | Armenia | 462 | -6 | -62 |
| 69 | Ecuador | 459 | -5 | -64 |
| 70 | Venezuela | 458 | -2 | -31 |
| 71 | Cape Verde Islands | 443 | 8 | 22 |
| 71 | Poland | 443 | 0 | -6 |
| 73 | Mali | 439 | -3 | -12 |
| 74 | Malawi | 438 | -2 | -8 |
| 75 | Estonia | 434 | 0 | -6 |
| 75 | Latvia | 434 | 2 | -4 |
| 77 | Zambia | 433 | 12 | 50 |
| 78 | China PR | 426 | -1 | -12 |
| 79 | Finland | 419 | 2 | 3 |
| 80 | Uganda | 417 | 4 | 15 |
| 81 | Cyprus | 398 | 8 | 15 |
| 82 | Jordan | 385 | 11 | 7 |
| 83 | Moldova | 383 | 3 | -11 |
| 84 | Uzbekistan | 381 | -1 | -22 |
| 85 | Benin | 380 | -5 | -38 |
| 86 | Cuba | 377 | -5 | -39 |
| 86 | Haiti | 377 | 10 | 29 |
| 88 | Trinidad and Tobago | 374 | 7 | 21 |
| 89 | Central African Republic | 370 | 24 | 107 |
| 90 | Saudi Arabia | 366 | -2 | -20 |
| 91 | Canada | 365 | -15 | -74 |
| 92 | Niger | 356 | 7 | 21 |
| 93 | Qatar | 355 | -1 | -25 |
| 94 | El Salvador | 349 | -7 | -42 |
| 95 | Iraq | 346 | -6 | -37 |
| 96 | New Zealand | 345 | -36 | -183 |
| 97 | Sudan | 343 | 7 | 48 |
| 98 | FYR Macedonia | 338 | -13 | -60 |
| 99 | Angola | 329 | 5 | 34 |
| 99 | Bahrain | 329 | -2 | -9 |
| 99 | Kuwait | 329 | 2 | 9 |
| 102 | Bolivia | 327 | 0 | 15 |
| 102 | Mozambique | 327 | -8 | -31 |
| 104 | Azerbaijan | 299 | 4 | 11 |
| 105 | Oman | 298 | 2 | 4 |
| 106 | Suriname | 296 | 6 | 29 |
| 107 | Syria | 290 | -3 | -5 |
| 108 | Grenada | 288 | -10 | -49 |
| 108 | United Arab Emirates | 288 | 3 | 15 |
| 110 | Togo | 279 | -1 | -6 |
| 111 | Antigua and Barbuda | 277 | -11 | -45 |
| 111 | Guyana | 277 | -1 | -7 |
| 113 | Zimbabwe | 268 | 13 | 49 |
| 114 | Sierra Leone | 261 | 4 | 15 |
| 115 | Gambia | 257 | -12 | -51 |
| 116 | Korea DPR | 255 | -1 | 0 |
| 117 | St. Kitts and Nevis | 248 | 2 | 3 |
| 118 | Iceland | 244 | -2 | -10 |
| 119 | Wales | 240 | -5 | -18 |
| 120 | Thailand | 239 | 0 | -3 |
| 121 | Congo DR | 238 | 5 | 19 |
| 122 | Guatemala | 233 | 2 | 11 |
| 123 | Tanzania | 231 | -6 | -21 |
| 124 | Luxembourg | 213 | 1 | -8 |
| 125 | Kenya | 209 | -2 | -18 |
| 126 | Congo | 206 | -5 | -26 |
| 127 | Rwanda | 205 | -5 | -23 |
| 128 | Yemen | 199 | 1 | -4 |
| 129 | Indonesia | 195 | 1 | -5 |
| 130 | Dominica | 193 | 1 | 0 |
| 131 | Tajikistan | 180 | 4 | 9 |
| 132 | Kazakhstan | 173 | 7 | 22 |
| 133 | Puerto Rico | 167 | -1 | -13 |
| 134 | Madagascar | 166 | 4 | 2 |
| 135 | Barbados | 159 | -3 | -21 |
| 135 | Vietnam | 159 | -1 | -13 |
| 137 | Faroe Islands | 156 | -1 | -12 |
| 138 | Ethiopia | 149 | -10 | -69 |
| 139 | Turkmenistan | 147 | 2 | -2 |
| 140 | Malaysia | 146 | 3 | 2 |
| 141 | Guinea-Bissau | 142 | -5 | -26 |
| 141 | Singapore | 142 | 3 | 2 |
| 143 | Hong Kong | 141 | 3 | 3 |
| 144 | India | 137 | 1 | -2 |
| 145 | Nepal | 136 | 2 | 1 |
| 146 | Equatorial Guinea | 131 | -4 | -15 |
| 147 | Burundi | 130 | 2 | 3 |
| 148 | Curacao | 128 | 4 | 7 |
| 149 | Maldives | 126 | -1 | -7 |
| 150 | Chad | 123 | -1 | -4 |
| 151 | Namibia | 117 | -11 | -33 |
| 152 | St. Vincent and the Grenadines | 115 | 1 | -1 |
| 153 | Liechtenstein | 109 | 0 | -7 |
| 154 | Fiji | 103 | 1 | 0 |
| 155 | New Caledonia | 97 | -4 | -26 |
| 156 | Philippines | 96 | 0 | 0 |
| 157 | Cayman Islands | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 158 | Malta | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 159 | Bangladesh | 81 | 4 | 2 |
| 160 | Chinese Taipei | 77 | 0 | -9 |
| 161 | Liberia | 76 | -4 | -17 |
| 161 | Swaziland | 76 | -2 | -13 |
| 163 | Afghanistan | 75 | 1 | -2 |
| 163 | Nicaragua | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 165 | Myanmar | 72 | 2 | -2 |
| 165 | Palestine | 72 | 6 | 5 |
| 167 | Kyrgyzstan | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 167 | Pakistan | 70 | 1 | -2 |
| 169 | Sri Lanka | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 170 | Dominican Republic | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 171 | Belize | 64 | 1 | -2 |
| 171 | Vanuatu | 64 | -6 | -12 |
| 173 | Cambodia | 57 | 3 | 1 |
| 173 | Laos | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 173 | Tahiti | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 176 | Lebanon | 55 | 2 | 4 |
| 177 | Lesotho | 46 | -1 | -10 |
| 178 | Mongolia | 41 | 1 | -7 |
| 179 | Bermuda | 40 | -17 | -40 |
| 179 | Solomon Islands | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 181 | British Virgin Islands | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 182 | Macau | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 182 | Mauritania | 32 | -2 | -13 |
| 184 | St. Lucia | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 185 | Eritrea | 29 | -4 | -13 |
| 186 | Samoa | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 187 | Somalia | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 188 | Comoros | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 189 | Mauritius | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 190 | Seychelles | 15 | 4 | 4 |
| 190 | Tonga | 15 | 0 | -2 |
| 192 | Turks and Caicos Islands | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 193 | Djibouti | 12 | -1 | -3 |
| 194 | Cook Islands | 10 | -4 | -7 |
| 194 | Guam | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 196 | Bahamas | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 196 | Brunei Darussalam | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 198 | Aruba | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 199 | Bhutan | 6 | -3 | -3 |
| 200 | Timor-Leste | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 200 | US Virgin Islands | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 202 | American Samoa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 202 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 202 | Anguilla | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 202 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 202 | Papua New Guinea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 202 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
FIFA Ranking: June 2011 probable results
Here are the probable results used for the June 2011 probable ranking. They are generated using the Elo Ratings.
1 - First team wins
X - Draw
2 - Second team wins
20/May Guyana - Barbados 1 (Friendly)
22/May Guyana - Barbados 1 (Friendly)
24/May Republic of Ireland - Northern Ireland 1 (Friendly)
25/May Argentina - Paraguay 1 (Friendly)
25/May Scotland - Wales 1 (Friendly)
27/May Grenada - Antigua and Barbuda 1 (Friendly)
27/May Wales - Northern Ireland X (Friendly)
28/May Mexico - Ecuador 1 (Friendly)
28/May Swaziland - Malawi 2 (Friendly)
29/May El Salvador - Honduras 2 (Friendly)
29/May Tunisia - Central African Republic 1 (Friendly)
29/May Republic of Ireland - Scotland 1 (Friendly)
29/May Germany - Uruguay 1 (Friendly)
01/Jun Nigeria - Argentina 2 (Friendly)
01/Jun Canada - Ecuador X (Friendly)
01/Jun Mexico - New Zealand 1 (Friendly)
01/Jun Japan - Peru 1 (Friendly)
01/Jun Guatemala - Venezuela 2 (Friendly)
01/Jun Ukraine - Uzbekistan 1 (Friendly)
03/Jun Namibia - Burkina Faso 2 (Continental Qualifier)
03/Jun Hong Kong - Malaysia X (Friendly)
03/Jun Bolivia - Paraguay 2 (Friendly)
03/Jun Korea Republic - Serbia 1 (Friendly)
03/Jun Faroe Islands - Slovenia 2 (Continental Qualifier)
03/Jun Kazakhstan - Azerbaijan X (Continental Qualifier)
03/Jun Liechtenstein - Lithuania 2 (Continental Qualifier)
03/Jun Croatia - Georgia 1 (Continental Qualifier)
03/Jun Luxembourg - Hungary 2 (Friendly)
03/Jun Austria - Germany 2 (Continental Qualifier)
03/Jun San Marino - Finland 2 (Continental Qualifier)
03/Jun Belgium - Turkey X (Continental Qualifier)
03/Jun Italy - Estonia 1 (Continental Qualifier)
03/Jun Romania - Bosnia-Herzegovina 1 (Continental Qualifier)
03/Jun Moldova - Sweden 2 (Continental Qualifier)
03/Jun Belarus - France 2 (Continental Qualifier)
04/Jun Zambia - Mozambique 1 (Continental Qualifier)
04/Jun Central African Republic - Tanzania 1 (Continental Qualifier)
04/Jun Morocco - Algeria 1 (Continental Qualifier)
04/Jun Cameroon - Senegal 1 (Continental Qualifier)
04/Jun Sierra Leone - Niger X (Continental Qualifier)
04/Jun Egypt - South Africa 1 (Continental Qualifier)
04/Jun Ghana - Congo 1 (Continental Qualifier)
04/Jun Uganda - Guinea-Bissau 1 (Continental Qualifier)
04/Jun Botswana - Malawi 1 (Continental Qualifier)
04/Jun Brazil - Netherlands X (Friendly)
04/Jun USA - Spain 2 (Friendly)
04/Jun Peru - Czech Republic 2 (Friendly)
04/Jun England - Switzerland 1 (Continental Qualifier)
04/Jun Iceland - Denmark 2 (Continental Qualifier)
04/Jun Russia - Armenia 1 (Continental Qualifier)
04/Jun Latvia - Israel X (Continental Qualifier)
04/Jun Slovakia - Andorra 1 (Continental Qualifier)
04/Jun Montenegro - Bulgaria 1 (Continental Qualifier)
04/Jun Portugal - Norway 1 (Continental Qualifier)
04/Jun FYR Macedonia - Republic of Ireland 2 (Continental Qualifier)
04/Jun Greece - Malta 1 (Continental Qualifier)
05/Jun Zimbabwe - Mali X (Continental Qualifier)
05/Jun Liberia - Cape Verde Islands 2 (Continental Qualifier)
05/Jun Guinea - Madagascar 1 (Continental Qualifier)
05/Jun Ethiopia - Nigeria 2 (Continental Qualifier)
05/Jun Comoros - Libya 2 (Continental Qualifier)
05/Jun Mauritius - Congo DR 2 (Continental Qualifier)
05/Jun Burundi - Rwanda X (Continental Qualifier)
05/Jun Benin - Côte dIvoire 2 (Continental Qualifier)
05/Jun Swaziland - Sudan 2 (Continental Qualifier)
05/Jun Angola - Kenya 1 (Continental Qualifier)
05/Jun Tunisia - Chad 1 (Continental Qualifier)
05/Jun China PR - Uzbekistan 1 (Friendly)
05/Jun Australia - New Zealand 1 (Friendly)
05/Jun Poland - Argentina 2 (Friendly)
05/Jun Costa Rica - Cuba 1 (Continental Final)
05/Jun Mexico - El Salvador 1 (Continental Final)
06/Jun Jamaica - Grenada 1 (Continental Final)
06/Jun Honduras - Guatemala 1 (Continental Final)
06/Jun Ukraine - France X (Friendly)
07/Jun Paraguay - Bolivia 1 (Friendly)
07/Jun Norway - Lithuania 1 (Friendly)
07/Jun Brazil - Romania 1 (Friendly)
07/Jun Japan - Czech Republic 1 (Friendly)
07/Jun Ecuador - Greece X (Friendly)
07/Jun Venezuela - Spain 2 (Friendly)
07/Jun Russia - Cameroon 1 (Friendly)
07/Jun Faroe Islands - Estonia 2 (Continental Qualifier)
07/Jun Australia - Serbia 1 (Friendly)
07/Jun Belarus - Luxembourg 1 (Continental Qualifier)
07/Jun Sweden - Finland 1 (Continental Qualifier)
07/Jun Panama - Guadeloupe 1 (Continental Final)
07/Jun USA - Canada 1 (Continental Final)
07/Jun Korea Republic - Ghana 1 (Friendly)
07/Jun Bosnia-Herzegovina - Albania 1 (Continental Qualifier)
07/Jun San Marino - Hungary 2 (Continental Qualifier)
07/Jun Austria - Latvia 1 (Friendly)
07/Jun Italy - Republic of Ireland 1 (Friendly)
07/Jun Azerbaijan - Germany 2 (Continental Qualifier)
08/Jun Uruguay - Netherlands 2 (Friendly)
08/Jun China PR - Korea DPR 1 (Friendly)
09/Jun Poland - France X (Friendly)
09/Jun Costa Rica - El Salvador 1 (Continental Final)
09/Jun Cuba - Mexico 2 (Continental Final)
10/Jun Jamaica - Guatemala 1 (Continental Final)
10/Jun Grenada - Honduras 2 (Continental Final)
11/Jun Paraguay - Romania 1 (Friendly)
11/Jun Mexico - Venezuela 1 (Friendly)
11/Jun Canada - Guadeloupe 1 (Continental Final)
11/Jun USA - Panama 1 (Continental Final)
12/Jun El Salvador - Cuba X (Continental Final)
12/Jun Mexico - Costa Rica 1 (Continental Final)
13/Jun Guatemala - Grenada 1 (Continental Final)
13/Jun Honduras - Jamaica X (Continental Final)
14/Jun Canada - Panama X (Continental Final)
14/Jun USA - Guadeloupe 1 (Continental Final)
18/Jun Chile - Estonia 1 (Friendly)
18/Jun Malaysia - Myanmar 1 (Friendly)
18/Jun Costa Rica - Jamaica X Costa Rica PSO (Continental Final)
18/Jun Mexico - Canada 1 (Continental Final)
19/Jun Honduras - Panama 1 (Continental Final)
19/Jun USA - Guatemala 1 (Continental Final)
20/Jun Argentina - Albania 1 (Friendly)
22/Jun Uruguay - Estonia 1 (Friendly)
22/Jun Costa Rica - Mexico 2 (Continental Final)
22/Jun Honduras - USA 2 (Continental Final)
23/Jun Paraguay - Chile X (Friendly)
25/Jun Mexico - USA X Mexico PSO (Continental Final)
1 - First team wins
X - Draw
2 - Second team wins
20/May Guyana - Barbados 1 (Friendly)
22/May Guyana - Barbados 1 (Friendly)
24/May Republic of Ireland - Northern Ireland 1 (Friendly)
25/May Argentina - Paraguay 1 (Friendly)
25/May Scotland - Wales 1 (Friendly)
27/May Grenada - Antigua and Barbuda 1 (Friendly)
27/May Wales - Northern Ireland X (Friendly)
28/May Mexico - Ecuador 1 (Friendly)
28/May Swaziland - Malawi 2 (Friendly)
29/May El Salvador - Honduras 2 (Friendly)
29/May Tunisia - Central African Republic 1 (Friendly)
29/May Republic of Ireland - Scotland 1 (Friendly)
29/May Germany - Uruguay 1 (Friendly)
01/Jun Nigeria - Argentina 2 (Friendly)
01/Jun Canada - Ecuador X (Friendly)
01/Jun Mexico - New Zealand 1 (Friendly)
01/Jun Japan - Peru 1 (Friendly)
01/Jun Guatemala - Venezuela 2 (Friendly)
01/Jun Ukraine - Uzbekistan 1 (Friendly)
03/Jun Namibia - Burkina Faso 2 (Continental Qualifier)
03/Jun Hong Kong - Malaysia X (Friendly)
03/Jun Bolivia - Paraguay 2 (Friendly)
03/Jun Korea Republic - Serbia 1 (Friendly)
03/Jun Faroe Islands - Slovenia 2 (Continental Qualifier)
03/Jun Kazakhstan - Azerbaijan X (Continental Qualifier)
03/Jun Liechtenstein - Lithuania 2 (Continental Qualifier)
03/Jun Croatia - Georgia 1 (Continental Qualifier)
03/Jun Luxembourg - Hungary 2 (Friendly)
03/Jun Austria - Germany 2 (Continental Qualifier)
03/Jun San Marino - Finland 2 (Continental Qualifier)
03/Jun Belgium - Turkey X (Continental Qualifier)
03/Jun Italy - Estonia 1 (Continental Qualifier)
03/Jun Romania - Bosnia-Herzegovina 1 (Continental Qualifier)
03/Jun Moldova - Sweden 2 (Continental Qualifier)
03/Jun Belarus - France 2 (Continental Qualifier)
04/Jun Zambia - Mozambique 1 (Continental Qualifier)
04/Jun Central African Republic - Tanzania 1 (Continental Qualifier)
04/Jun Morocco - Algeria 1 (Continental Qualifier)
04/Jun Cameroon - Senegal 1 (Continental Qualifier)
04/Jun Sierra Leone - Niger X (Continental Qualifier)
04/Jun Egypt - South Africa 1 (Continental Qualifier)
04/Jun Ghana - Congo 1 (Continental Qualifier)
04/Jun Uganda - Guinea-Bissau 1 (Continental Qualifier)
04/Jun Botswana - Malawi 1 (Continental Qualifier)
04/Jun Brazil - Netherlands X (Friendly)
04/Jun USA - Spain 2 (Friendly)
04/Jun Peru - Czech Republic 2 (Friendly)
04/Jun England - Switzerland 1 (Continental Qualifier)
04/Jun Iceland - Denmark 2 (Continental Qualifier)
04/Jun Russia - Armenia 1 (Continental Qualifier)
04/Jun Latvia - Israel X (Continental Qualifier)
04/Jun Slovakia - Andorra 1 (Continental Qualifier)
04/Jun Montenegro - Bulgaria 1 (Continental Qualifier)
04/Jun Portugal - Norway 1 (Continental Qualifier)
04/Jun FYR Macedonia - Republic of Ireland 2 (Continental Qualifier)
04/Jun Greece - Malta 1 (Continental Qualifier)
05/Jun Zimbabwe - Mali X (Continental Qualifier)
05/Jun Liberia - Cape Verde Islands 2 (Continental Qualifier)
05/Jun Guinea - Madagascar 1 (Continental Qualifier)
05/Jun Ethiopia - Nigeria 2 (Continental Qualifier)
05/Jun Comoros - Libya 2 (Continental Qualifier)
05/Jun Mauritius - Congo DR 2 (Continental Qualifier)
05/Jun Burundi - Rwanda X (Continental Qualifier)
05/Jun Benin - Côte dIvoire 2 (Continental Qualifier)
05/Jun Swaziland - Sudan 2 (Continental Qualifier)
05/Jun Angola - Kenya 1 (Continental Qualifier)
05/Jun Tunisia - Chad 1 (Continental Qualifier)
05/Jun China PR - Uzbekistan 1 (Friendly)
05/Jun Australia - New Zealand 1 (Friendly)
05/Jun Poland - Argentina 2 (Friendly)
05/Jun Costa Rica - Cuba 1 (Continental Final)
05/Jun Mexico - El Salvador 1 (Continental Final)
06/Jun Jamaica - Grenada 1 (Continental Final)
06/Jun Honduras - Guatemala 1 (Continental Final)
06/Jun Ukraine - France X (Friendly)
07/Jun Paraguay - Bolivia 1 (Friendly)
07/Jun Norway - Lithuania 1 (Friendly)
07/Jun Brazil - Romania 1 (Friendly)
07/Jun Japan - Czech Republic 1 (Friendly)
07/Jun Ecuador - Greece X (Friendly)
07/Jun Venezuela - Spain 2 (Friendly)
07/Jun Russia - Cameroon 1 (Friendly)
07/Jun Faroe Islands - Estonia 2 (Continental Qualifier)
07/Jun Australia - Serbia 1 (Friendly)
07/Jun Belarus - Luxembourg 1 (Continental Qualifier)
07/Jun Sweden - Finland 1 (Continental Qualifier)
07/Jun Panama - Guadeloupe 1 (Continental Final)
07/Jun USA - Canada 1 (Continental Final)
07/Jun Korea Republic - Ghana 1 (Friendly)
07/Jun Bosnia-Herzegovina - Albania 1 (Continental Qualifier)
07/Jun San Marino - Hungary 2 (Continental Qualifier)
07/Jun Austria - Latvia 1 (Friendly)
07/Jun Italy - Republic of Ireland 1 (Friendly)
07/Jun Azerbaijan - Germany 2 (Continental Qualifier)
08/Jun Uruguay - Netherlands 2 (Friendly)
08/Jun China PR - Korea DPR 1 (Friendly)
09/Jun Poland - France X (Friendly)
09/Jun Costa Rica - El Salvador 1 (Continental Final)
09/Jun Cuba - Mexico 2 (Continental Final)
10/Jun Jamaica - Guatemala 1 (Continental Final)
10/Jun Grenada - Honduras 2 (Continental Final)
11/Jun Paraguay - Romania 1 (Friendly)
11/Jun Mexico - Venezuela 1 (Friendly)
11/Jun Canada - Guadeloupe 1 (Continental Final)
11/Jun USA - Panama 1 (Continental Final)
12/Jun El Salvador - Cuba X (Continental Final)
12/Jun Mexico - Costa Rica 1 (Continental Final)
13/Jun Guatemala - Grenada 1 (Continental Final)
13/Jun Honduras - Jamaica X (Continental Final)
14/Jun Canada - Panama X (Continental Final)
14/Jun USA - Guadeloupe 1 (Continental Final)
18/Jun Chile - Estonia 1 (Friendly)
18/Jun Malaysia - Myanmar 1 (Friendly)
18/Jun Costa Rica - Jamaica X Costa Rica PSO (Continental Final)
18/Jun Mexico - Canada 1 (Continental Final)
19/Jun Honduras - Panama 1 (Continental Final)
19/Jun USA - Guatemala 1 (Continental Final)
20/Jun Argentina - Albania 1 (Friendly)
22/Jun Uruguay - Estonia 1 (Friendly)
22/Jun Costa Rica - Mexico 2 (Continental Final)
22/Jun Honduras - USA 2 (Continental Final)
23/Jun Paraguay - Chile X (Friendly)
25/Jun Mexico - USA X Mexico PSO (Continental Final)
FIFA Ranking: June 2011 preview
Next update: June 3rd, 2011.
Most points dropped (best case scenario):
-251 - Brazil
-228 - Argentina
-146 - Chile
-140 - Ghana
-120 - Uruguay
-70 - Slovenia
-51 - Gambia
-49 - Guinea
-40 - Bermuda
-37 - Iraq and Serbia
Most points gained (worst case scenario):
47 - Montenegro
29 - Haiti and Suriname
22 - Egypt
21 - Trinidad and Tobago
15 - Cyprus, United Arab Emirates and Bolivia
9 - Tajikistan and Kuwait
May 2011 rank - Country - May 2011 points - Minimum points - Maximum points
Most points dropped (best case scenario):
-251 - Brazil
-228 - Argentina
-146 - Chile
-140 - Ghana
-120 - Uruguay
-70 - Slovenia
-51 - Gambia
-49 - Guinea
-40 - Bermuda
-37 - Iraq and Serbia
Most points gained (worst case scenario):
47 - Montenegro
29 - Haiti and Suriname
22 - Egypt
21 - Trinidad and Tobago
15 - Cyprus, United Arab Emirates and Bolivia
9 - Tajikistan and Kuwait
May 2011 rank - Country - May 2011 points - Minimum points - Maximum points
| 1 | Spain | 1857 | 1811 | 1871 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 1702 | 1633 | 1716 |
| 3 | Brazil | 1425 | 1056 | 1174 |
| 4 | Germany | 1413 | 1269 | 1417 |
| 5 | Argentina | 1267 | 909 | 1039 |
| 6 | England | 1163 | 1097 | 1243 |
| 7 | Uruguay | 1094 | 844 | 974 |
| 8 | Portugal | 1052 | 904 | 1046 |
| 9 | Italy | 1019 | 974 | 1104 |
| 10 | Croatia | 991 | 925 | 1033 |
| 11 | Norway | 987 | 926 | 1116 |
| 12 | Greece | 985 | 913 | 984 |
| 13 | Chile | 967 | 720 | 821 |
| 14 | Japan | 961 | 902 | 969 |
| 15 | Ghana | 918 | 684 | 778 |
| 16 | Serbia | 907 | 782 | 870 |
| 17 | Slovenia | 903 | 785 | 833 |
| 18 | Russia | 896 | 808 | 940 |
| 19 | France | 883 | 815 | 981 |
| 20 | Australia | 876 | 794 | 852 |
| 21 | Côte d'Ivoire | 867 | 812 | 922 |
| 22 | USA | 855 | 568 | 1043 |
| 23 | Paraguay | 847 | 673 | 820 |
| 24 | Montenegro | 820 | 867 | 1011 |
| 25 | Switzerland | 819 | 724 | 886 |
| 26 | Slovakia | 809 | 742 | 779 |
| 27 | Denmark | 808 | 787 | 857 |
| 28 | Mexico | 802 | 578 | 1045 |
| 28 | Sweden | 802 | 709 | 884 |
| 30 | Turkey | 795 | 775 | 910 |
| 31 | Korea Republic | 754 | 717 | 787 |
| 32 | Czech Republic | 722 | 638 | 734 |
| 33 | Israel | 709 | 669 | 771 |
| 34 | Republic of Ireland | 681 | 579 | 752 |
| 35 | Ukraine | 678 | 590 | 669 |
| 36 | Egypt | 676 | 698 | 785 |
| 37 | Belgium | 654 | 648 | 776 |
| 38 | South Africa | 653 | 553 | 685 |
| 39 | Nigeria | 637 | 547 | 673 |
| 40 | Senegal | 613 | 572 | 712 |
| 41 | Algeria | 609 | 575 | 712 |
| 42 | Romania | 607 | 474 | 665 |
| 43 | Honduras | 603 | 535 | 844 |
| 44 | Burkina Faso | 600 | 605 | 661 |
| 45 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 594 | 529 | 760 |
| 46 | Bulgaria | 592 | 550 | 697 |
| 47 | Lithuania | 577 | 526 | 631 |
| 48 | Iran | 575 | 578 | 578 |
| 49 | Cameroon | 572 | 521 | 741 |
| 50 | Albania | 564 | 524 | 699 |
| 50 | Colombia | 564 | 564 | 564 |
| 52 | Hungary | 559 | 548 | 603 |
| 53 | Belarus | 557 | 543 | 718 |
| 54 | Peru | 548 | 546 | 659 |
| 55 | Jamaica | 546 | 480 | 852 |
| 56 | Costa Rica | 541 | 472 | 829 |
| 57 | Georgia | 536 | 530 | 672 |
| 58 | Libya | 534 | 476 | 530 |
| 59 | Gabon | 529 | 535 | 535 |
| 60 | New Zealand | 528 | 345 | 526 |
| 61 | Tunisia | 527 | 457 | 527 |
| 62 | Armenia | 524 | 462 | 633 |
| 62 | Guinea | 524 | 418 | 475 |
| 64 | Ecuador | 523 | 434 | 550 |
| 65 | Northern Ireland | 520 | 498 | 573 |
| 66 | Scotland | 517 | 487 | 563 |
| 67 | Panama | 493 | 473 | 755 |
| 68 | Venezuela | 489 | 442 | 542 |
| 69 | Botswana | 479 | 432 | 496 |
| 70 | Mali | 451 | 416 | 484 |
| 71 | Poland | 449 | 429 | 516 |
| 72 | Malawi | 446 | 427 | 508 |
| 73 | Morocco | 445 | 347 | 494 |
| 74 | Austria | 443 | 442 | 626 |
| 75 | Estonia | 440 | 399 | 617 |
| 76 | Canada | 439 | 312 | 915 |
| 77 | China PR | 438 | 394 | 426 |
| 77 | Latvia | 438 | 388 | 569 |
| 79 | Cape Verde Islands | 421 | 397 | 443 |
| 80 | Benin | 418 | 380 | 573 |
| 81 | Cuba | 416 | 352 | 797 |
| 81 | Finland | 416 | 377 | 562 |
| 83 | Uzbekistan | 403 | 381 | 432 |
| 84 | Uganda | 402 | 394 | 417 |
| 85 | FYR Macedonia | 398 | 338 | 463 |
| 86 | Moldova | 394 | 383 | 527 |
| 87 | El Salvador | 391 | 328 | 746 |
| 88 | Saudi Arabia | 386 | 366 | 366 |
| 89 | Cyprus | 383 | 398 | 398 |
| 89 | Iraq | 383 | 346 | 346 |
| 89 | Zambia | 383 | 376 | 433 |
| 92 | Qatar | 380 | 355 | 355 |
| 93 | Jordan | 378 | 385 | 385 |
| 94 | Mozambique | 358 | 327 | 429 |
| 95 | Trinidad and Tobago | 353 | 374 | 374 |
| 96 | Haiti | 348 | 377 | 377 |
| 97 | Bahrain | 338 | 329 | 329 |
| 98 | Grenada | 337 | 269 | 669 |
| 99 | Niger | 335 | 331 | 407 |
| 100 | Antigua and Barbuda | 322 | 277 | 304 |
| 101 | Kuwait | 320 | 329 | 329 |
| 102 | Bolivia | 312 | 327 | 504 |
| 103 | Gambia | 308 | 257 | 257 |
| 104 | Angola | 295 | 267 | 329 |
| 104 | Sudan | 295 | 302 | 343 |
| 104 | Syria | 295 | 290 | 290 |
| 107 | Oman | 294 | 298 | 298 |
| 108 | Azerbaijan | 288 | 282 | 497 |
| 109 | Togo | 285 | 279 | 279 |
| 110 | Guyana | 284 | 247 | 277 |
| 111 | United Arab Emirates | 273 | 288 | 288 |
| 112 | Suriname | 267 | 296 | 296 |
| 113 | Central African Republic | 263 | 263 | 442 |
| 114 | Wales | 258 | 223 | 324 |
| 115 | Korea DPR | 255 | 255 | 273 |
| 116 | Iceland | 254 | 244 | 429 |
| 117 | Tanzania | 252 | 231 | 262 |
| 118 | Sierra Leone | 246 | 217 | 348 |
| 119 | St. Kitts and Nevis | 245 | 248 | 248 |
| 120 | Thailand | 242 | 239 | 239 |
| 121 | Congo | 232 | 206 | 445 |
| 122 | Rwanda | 228 | 189 | 236 |
| 123 | Kenya | 227 | 209 | 247 |
| 124 | Guatemala | 222 | 180 | 640 |
| 125 | Luxembourg | 221 | 213 | 354 |
| 126 | Congo DR | 219 | 209 | 238 |
| 126 | Zimbabwe | 219 | 212 | 380 |
| 128 | Ethiopia | 218 | 149 | 244 |
| 129 | Yemen | 203 | 199 | 199 |
| 130 | Indonesia | 200 | 195 | 195 |
| 131 | Dominica | 193 | 193 | 193 |
| 132 | Barbados | 180 | 159 | 227 |
| 132 | Puerto Rico | 180 | 167 | 167 |
| 134 | Vietnam | 172 | 159 | 159 |
| 135 | Tajikistan | 171 | 180 | 180 |
| 136 | Faroe Islands | 168 | 156 | 445 |
| 136 | Guinea-Bissau | 168 | 142 | 267 |
| 138 | Madagascar | 164 | 166 | 344 |
| 139 | Kazakhstan | 151 | 145 | 231 |
| 140 | Namibia | 150 | 117 | 285 |
| 141 | Turkmenistan | 149 | 147 | 147 |
| 142 | Equatorial Guinea | 146 | 131 | 131 |
| 143 | Malaysia | 144 | 130 | 154 |
| 144 | Singapore | 140 | 142 | 142 |
| 145 | India | 139 | 137 | 137 |
| 146 | Hong Kong | 138 | 134 | 155 |
| 147 | Nepal | 135 | 136 | 136 |
| 148 | Maldives | 133 | 126 | 126 |
| 149 | Burundi | 127 | 113 | 164 |
| 149 | Chad | 127 | 123 | 223 |
| 151 | New Caledonia | 123 | 97 | 97 |
| 152 | Curacao | 121 | 128 | 128 |
| 153 | Liechtenstein | 116 | 109 | 253 |
| 153 | St. Vincent and the Grenadines | 116 | 115 | 115 |
| 155 | Fiji | 103 | 103 | 103 |
| 156 | Philippines | 96 | 96 | 96 |
| 157 | Liberia | 93 | 76 | 232 |
| 158 | Cayman Islands | 90 | 90 | 90 |
| 159 | Swaziland | 89 | 76 | 195 |
| 160 | Chinese Taipei | 86 | 77 | 77 |
| 161 | Malta | 84 | 83 | 259 |
| 162 | Bermuda | 80 | 40 | 40 |
| 163 | Bangladesh | 79 | 81 | 81 |
| 164 | Afghanistan | 77 | 75 | 75 |
| 165 | Vanuatu | 76 | 64 | 64 |
| 166 | Nicaragua | 75 | 75 | 75 |
| 167 | Myanmar | 74 | 72 | 93 |
| 168 | Pakistan | 72 | 70 | 70 |
| 169 | Kyrgyzstan | 70 | 70 | 70 |
| 169 | Sri Lanka | 70 | 69 | 69 |
| 171 | Palestine | 67 | 72 | 72 |
| 172 | Belize | 66 | 64 | 64 |
| 172 | Dominican Republic | 66 | 66 | 66 |
| 174 | Laos | 57 | 57 | 57 |
| 174 | Tahiti | 57 | 57 | 57 |
| 176 | Cambodia | 56 | 57 | 57 |
| 176 | Lesotho | 56 | 46 | 46 |
| 178 | Lebanon | 51 | 55 | 55 |
| 179 | Mongolia | 48 | 41 | 41 |
| 180 | Mauritania | 45 | 32 | 32 |
| 181 | Eritrea | 42 | 29 | 29 |
| 182 | Solomon Islands | 40 | 40 | 40 |
| 183 | British Virgin Islands | 38 | 38 | 38 |
| 184 | Macau | 32 | 32 | 32 |
| 185 | St. Lucia | 31 | 31 | 31 |
| 186 | Samoa | 26 | 26 | 26 |
| 187 | Somalia | 23 | 23 | 23 |
| 188 | Comoros | 19 | 19 | 202 |
| 189 | Mauritius | 18 | 17 | 112 |
| 190 | Cook Islands | 17 | 10 | 10 |
| 190 | Tonga | 17 | 15 | 15 |
| 192 | Djibouti | 15 | 12 | 12 |
| 193 | Turks and Caicos Islands | 13 | 13 | 13 |
| 194 | Seychelles | 11 | 15 | 15 |
| 195 | Guam | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| 196 | Bahamas | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| 196 | Bhutan | 9 | 6 | 6 |
| 196 | Brunei Darussalam | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| 199 | Aruba | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 200 | Timor-Leste | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 200 | US Virgin Islands | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 202 | American Samoa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 202 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 163 |
| 202 | Anguilla | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 202 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 202 | Papua New Guinea | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 202 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 250 |