Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.
Based on these probable results...
Montenegro (up 15 places) replace Uruguay in the top 10 and overtake Argentina to claim 9th place. Lots of changes in the top 10. Germany up to 3rd, England 4th, Brazil 5th, Argentina 10th.
Central African Republic to be best climber - 25 places. New Zealand to drop 36 places.
Probable June 2011 rank - Team - Probable June 2011 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points
1 | Spain | 1871 | 0 | 14 |
2 | Netherlands | 1688 | 0 | -14 |
3 | Germany | 1417 | 1 | 4 |
4 | England | 1243 | 2 | 80 |
5 | Brazil | 1130 | -2 | -295 |
6 | Italy | 1104 | 3 | 85 |
7 | Portugal | 1046 | 1 | -6 |
8 | Croatia | 1033 | 2 | 42 |
9 | Montenegro | 1011 | 15 | 191 |
10 | Argentina | 1007 | -5 | -260 |
11 | Norway | 972 | 0 | -15 |
12 | Greece | 959 | 0 | -26 |
12 | Mexico | 959 | 16 | 157 |
14 | Japan | 949 | 0 | -12 |
15 | Russia | 940 | 3 | 44 |
16 | France | 932 | 3 | 49 |
17 | Côte d'Ivoire | 922 | 4 | 55 |
18 | USA | 887 | 4 | 32 |
19 | Sweden | 884 | 9 | 82 |
20 | Uruguay | 876 | -13 | -218 |
21 | Denmark | 857 | 6 | 49 |
22 | Australia | 852 | -2 | -24 |
23 | Slovenia | 833 | -6 | -70 |
24 | Turkey | 820 | 6 | 25 |
25 | Korea Republic | 787 | 6 | 33 |
26 | Egypt | 785 | 10 | 109 |
27 | Chile | 782 | -14 | -185 |
27 | Serbia | 782 | -11 | -125 |
29 | Slovakia | 779 | -3 | -30 |
30 | Paraguay | 756 | -7 | -91 |
31 | Ghana | 735 | -16 | -183 |
32 | Switzerland | 724 | -7 | -95 |
33 | Republic of Ireland | 708 | 1 | 27 |
34 | Israel | 703 | -1 | -6 |
35 | Belgium | 691 | 2 | 37 |
36 | Nigeria | 673 | 3 | 36 |
37 | Cameroon | 669 | 12 | 97 |
38 | Burkina Faso | 661 | 6 | 61 |
39 | Czech Republic | 653 | -7 | -69 |
40 | Honduras | 651 | 3 | 48 |
41 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 642 | 4 | 48 |
42 | Ukraine | 636 | -7 | -42 |
43 | Jamaica | 624 | 12 | 78 |
44 | Hungary | 603 | 8 | 44 |
45 | Costa Rica | 601 | 11 | 60 |
46 | Belarus | 594 | 7 | 37 |
47 | Colombia | 583 | 3 | 19 |
47 | Peru | 583 | 7 | 35 |
49 | Iran | 578 | -1 | 3 |
50 | Algeria | 575 | -9 | -34 |
51 | Romania | 571 | -9 | -36 |
52 | Lithuania | 568 | -5 | -9 |
53 | Gabon | 553 | 6 | 24 |
53 | South Africa | 553 | -15 | -100 |
55 | Bulgaria | 550 | -9 | -42 |
56 | Georgia | 530 | 1 | -6 |
56 | Libya | 530 | 2 | -4 |
58 | Tunisia | 527 | 3 | 0 |
59 | Albania | 524 | -9 | -40 |
60 | Senegal | 521 | -20 | -92 |
61 | Scotland | 513 | 5 | -4 |
62 | Panama | 512 | 5 | 19 |
63 | Northern Ireland | 498 | 2 | -22 |
64 | Morocco | 494 | 9 | 49 |
65 | Austria | 479 | 9 | 36 |
66 | Guinea | 475 | -4 | -49 |
67 | Ecuador | 473 | -3 | -50 |
68 | Botswana | 470 | 1 | -9 |
69 | Armenia | 462 | -7 | -62 |
70 | Venezuela | 458 | -2 | -31 |
71 | Cape Verde Islands | 443 | 8 | 22 |
71 | Poland | 443 | 0 | -6 |
73 | Mali | 439 | -3 | -12 |
74 | Estonia | 434 | 1 | -6 |
74 | Latvia | 434 | 3 | -4 |
76 | Zambia | 433 | 13 | 50 |
77 | Malawi | 431 | -5 | -15 |
78 | China PR | 426 | -1 | -12 |
79 | Finland | 419 | 2 | 3 |
80 | Uganda | 417 | 4 | 15 |
81 | Cyprus | 398 | 8 | 15 |
82 | Jordan | 385 | 11 | 7 |
83 | Moldova | 383 | 3 | -11 |
84 | Uzbekistan | 381 | -1 | -22 |
85 | Benin | 380 | -5 | -38 |
86 | Haiti | 377 | 10 | 29 |
87 | Trinidad and Tobago | 374 | 8 | 21 |
88 | Central African Republic | 370 | 25 | 107 |
89 | Saudi Arabia | 366 | -1 | -20 |
90 | Canada | 365 | -14 | -74 |
91 | El Salvador | 358 | -4 | -33 |
92 | Niger | 356 | 7 | 21 |
93 | Qatar | 355 | -1 | -25 |
94 | Cuba | 351 | -13 | -65 |
95 | Iraq | 346 | -6 | -37 |
96 | New Zealand | 345 | -36 | -183 |
97 | FYR Macedonia | 338 | -12 | -60 |
98 | Sudan | 337 | 6 | 42 |
99 | Angola | 329 | 5 | 34 |
99 | Bahrain | 329 | -2 | -9 |
99 | Kuwait | 329 | 2 | 9 |
102 | Bolivia | 327 | 0 | 15 |
102 | Mozambique | 327 | -8 | -31 |
104 | Azerbaijan | 299 | 4 | 11 |
105 | Oman | 298 | 2 | 4 |
106 | Suriname | 296 | 6 | 29 |
107 | Syria | 290 | -3 | -5 |
108 | United Arab Emirates | 288 | 3 | 15 |
109 | Antigua and Barbuda | 286 | -9 | -36 |
110 | Togo | 279 | -1 | -6 |
111 | Wales | 273 | 3 | 15 |
112 | Zimbabwe | 268 | 14 | 49 |
113 | Guyana | 267 | -3 | -17 |
114 | Grenada | 265 | -16 | -72 |
115 | Sierra Leone | 261 | 3 | 15 |
116 | Gambia | 257 | -13 | -51 |
117 | Korea DPR | 255 | -2 | 0 |
118 | St. Kitts and Nevis | 248 | 1 | 3 |
119 | Iceland | 244 | -3 | -10 |
120 | Thailand | 239 | 0 | -3 |
121 | Congo DR | 238 | 5 | 19 |
122 | Guatemala | 233 | 2 | 11 |
123 | Tanzania | 231 | -6 | -21 |
124 | Luxembourg | 213 | 1 | -8 |
125 | Kenya | 209 | -2 | -18 |
126 | Congo | 206 | -5 | -26 |
127 | Rwanda | 205 | -5 | -23 |
128 | Yemen | 199 | 1 | -4 |
129 | Indonesia | 195 | 1 | -5 |
130 | Dominica | 193 | 1 | 0 |
131 | Tajikistan | 180 | 4 | 9 |
132 | Kazakhstan | 173 | 7 | 22 |
133 | Puerto Rico | 167 | -1 | -13 |
134 | Madagascar | 166 | 4 | 2 |
135 | Vietnam | 159 | -1 | -13 |
136 | Barbados | 156 | -4 | -24 |
136 | Faroe Islands | 156 | 0 | -12 |
138 | Turkmenistan | 147 | 3 | -2 |
139 | Malaysia | 146 | 4 | 2 |
140 | Guinea-Bissau | 142 | -4 | -26 |
140 | Singapore | 142 | 4 | 2 |
142 | Hong Kong | 141 | 4 | 3 |
143 | Ethiopia | 140 | -15 | -78 |
144 | India | 137 | 1 | -2 |
145 | Nepal | 136 | 2 | 1 |
146 | Equatorial Guinea | 131 | -4 | -15 |
147 | Burundi | 130 | 2 | 3 |
148 | Curacao | 128 | 4 | 7 |
149 | Maldives | 126 | -1 | -7 |
150 | Chad | 123 | -1 | -4 |
151 | Namibia | 117 | -11 | -33 |
152 | St. Vincent and the Grenadines | 112 | 1 | -4 |
153 | Liechtenstein | 109 | 0 | -7 |
154 | Fiji | 103 | 1 | 0 |
155 | Swaziland | 101 | 4 | 12 |
156 | New Caledonia | 97 | -5 | -26 |
157 | Philippines | 96 | -1 | 0 |
158 | Cayman Islands | 90 | 0 | 0 |
159 | Malta | 83 | 2 | -1 |
159 | Nicaragua | 83 | 7 | 8 |
161 | Bangladesh | 81 | 2 | 2 |
162 | Chinese Taipei | 77 | -2 | -9 |
163 | Liberia | 76 | -6 | -17 |
164 | Afghanistan | 75 | 0 | -2 |
165 | Myanmar | 72 | 2 | -2 |
165 | Palestine | 72 | 6 | 5 |
167 | Kyrgyzstan | 70 | 2 | 0 |
167 | Pakistan | 70 | 1 | -2 |
169 | Sri Lanka | 69 | 0 | -1 |
170 | Dominican Republic | 66 | 2 | 0 |
171 | Belize | 64 | 1 | -2 |
171 | Vanuatu | 64 | -6 | -12 |
173 | Cambodia | 57 | 3 | 1 |
173 | Laos | 57 | 1 | 0 |
173 | Tahiti | 57 | 1 | 0 |
176 | Lebanon | 55 | 2 | 4 |
177 | Lesotho | 46 | -1 | -10 |
178 | Mongolia | 41 | 1 | -7 |
179 | Bermuda | 40 | -17 | -40 |
179 | Solomon Islands | 40 | 3 | 0 |
181 | British Virgin Islands | 38 | 2 | 0 |
182 | Macau | 32 | 2 | 0 |
182 | Mauritania | 32 | -2 | -13 |
184 | St. Lucia | 31 | 1 | 0 |
185 | Eritrea | 29 | -4 | -13 |
186 | Samoa | 26 | 0 | 0 |
187 | Somalia | 23 | 0 | 0 |
188 | Comoros | 19 | 0 | 0 |
189 | Mauritius | 17 | 0 | -1 |
190 | Seychelles | 15 | 4 | 4 |
190 | Tonga | 15 | 0 | -2 |
192 | Turks and Caicos Islands | 13 | 1 | 0 |
193 | Djibouti | 12 | -1 | -3 |
193 | US Virgin Islands | 12 | 7 | 9 |
195 | Cook Islands | 10 | -5 | -7 |
195 | Guam | 10 | 0 | 0 |
197 | Anguilla | 9 | 5 | 9 |
197 | Bahamas | 9 | -1 | 0 |
197 | Brunei Darussalam | 9 | -1 | 0 |
200 | Aruba | 7 | -1 | 0 |
201 | Bhutan | 6 | -5 | -3 |
202 | Timor-Leste | 3 | -2 | 0 |
203 | American Samoa | 0 | -1 | 0 |
203 | Andorra | 0 | -1 | 0 |
203 | Montserrat | 0 | -1 | 0 |
203 | Papua New Guinea | 0 | -1 | 0 |
203 | San Marino | 0 | -1 | 0 |
Montenegro superior to Argentina, ha ha ha ha ha!
ReplyDeleteStill, with Argentina's pathetic form of late, I wouldn't put it past them to get a result vs Argentina. However, I expect Argentina to get serious once the Copa starts.
I think Panama must climb more than 5 positions in this ranking. They've reached semifinals on Gold Cup and Eighths Finals on the U-17 WC.
ReplyDelete@ Anonymous
ReplyDeleteYou're looking in the wrong place. Edgar didn't expect them to do that well. Who would have? But he's calculated the true ranking now, and Panama will rise 15 places.
Youth results have no impact on this ranking though. Panama have done very well at youth level lately though. I think they should be top seeded in the next qualifying tournaments.
@Lorric
ReplyDeleteThanks!