Group A
| El Salvador | 93.1 |
| Suriname | 6.34 |
| Dominican Republic | 0.55 |
| Cayman Islands | 0.02 |
Group B
| Trinidad and Tobago | 79.24 |
| Guyana | 14.53 |
| Barbados | 4.44 |
| Bermuda | 1.8 |
Group C
| Panama | 99.07 |
| Dominica | 0.54 |
| Nicaragua | 0.39 |
Group D
| Canada | 97.75 |
| St. Kitts and Nevis | 1.89 |
| St. Lucia | 0.28 |
| Puerto Rico | 0.08 |
Group E
| Guatemala | 84.51 |
| Grenada | 10.18 |
| St. Vincent and the Grenadines | 4.71 |
| Belize | 0.61 |
Group F
| Haiti | 77.06 |
| Antigua and Barbuda | 21.01 |
| Curacao | 1.93 |
| US Virgin Islands | 0.01 |
Panama seem to have a clear path - moving to the next round in 99.07% of the 10000 simulations.
Haiti have the lowest percentage of all the group leaders (77.06), but still way ahead (56.05) of Antigua and Barbuda.
Puerto Rico might be underrated by Elo (at least looking at the Islanders). We'll see.
Edgar, thank you for the sims! Group favorites are even higher than I expected.
ReplyDeleteI've heard that the Islanders have a lot of non-PR players, so they may not matter to the PR national team that much. But, yeah, them finishing last -- I don't know about that. Then again, but St. Lucia and SKN have solid teams. As the numbers indicate, there's not much difference between the three.
ReplyDeleteThe opening round of games in this region have been really surprisingly competitive!
ReplyDeleteElo singled out clear favourites and I don't expect any different in terms of points in the groups after all round ahve finished.
ReplyDelete