FIFA Ranking: October 2011 probable ranking (II)

See why I had to post an unscheduled update.

Next update: 14 October 2011.

FIFA will publish the ranking on 19 October.

Spain's top spot in danger, but Netherlands need results to go their way to return to the top.

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.

Suriname, St. Kitts and Nevis, Zambia and Ecuador expected to climb 15 or more places.

Bolivia, Cyprus, Montenegro, New Zealand, US Virgin Islands and Finland expected to drop 15 or more places.

Probable October 2011 rank - Team - Probable October 2011 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points

1	Spain	1624	0	19
2	Netherlands	1557	0	-14
3	Germany	1352	0	62
4	Uruguay	1230	0	46
5	England	1210	3	121
6	Italy	1135	0	-7
7	Brazil	1122	0	-10
8	Portugal	1095	-3	-63
9	Argentina	1088	1	64
10	Croatia	1062	-1	5
11	France	1027	1	71
12	Switzerland	1023	6	137
13	Russia	975	0	21
14	Greece	957	-3	-43
15	Chile	941	-1	9
16	Japan	924	-1	0
17	Denmark	922	0	29
18	Côte d'Ivoire	899	-2	-11
19	Serbia	892	2	37
20	Mexico	869	0	3
21	Australia	868	-2	-14
22	Norway	839	1	4
23	Bosnia-Herzegovina	821	-1	-18
24	Sweden	820	1	28
25	Republic of Ireland	812	4	63
26	Paraguay	808	-2	-17
27	Turkey	803	0	49
28	Egypt	775	8	62
29	Korea Republic	770	0	21
30	Hungary	765	-3	11
31	Colombia	757	1	19
32	Ghana	734	5	34
33	USA	727	-2	-14
34	Algeria	713	12	108
35	Peru	688	0	-36
36	Slovenia	687	-3	-45
37	Nigeria	683	6	70
38	Romania	680	11	96
39	Belgium	670	-5	-59
40	Israel	669	-2	-8
41	South Africa	666	10	92
42	Iran	645	8	69
43	Slovakia	629	-4	-33
44	Senegal	626	-2	12
45	Cameroon	612	3	16
46	Jamaica	602	-1	-4
47	Czech Republic	600	-7	-56
48	Montenegro	586	-22	-191
49	Scotland	581	3	9
50	Burkina Faso	578	-9	-73
50	Panama	578	3	14
52	Morocco	566	7	32
53	Ecuador	559	16	78
54	Venezuela	557	-7	-41
55	Ukraine	551	5	20
56	Armenia	542	-12	-68
56	Honduras	542	-3	-22
56	Tunisia	542	5	16
59	Bulgaria	539	-4	-19
60	Costa Rica	522	-3	-27
61	Mali	517	1	-2
62	China PR	497	11	28
63	Zimbabwe	496	3	6
64	Estonia	495	-6	-42
65	Belarus	494	-9	-60
65	Poland	494	0	-2
67	Zambia	485	16	76
68	Georgia	475	-4	-24
69	Gabon	473	-2	-16
70	Trinidad and Tobago	466	10	52
71	Libya	462	-9	-57
72	Sierra Leone	455	-4	-33
73	Northern Ireland	453	-3	-24
74	Canada	452	13	57
75	Latvia	447	-1	-13
76	Austria	442	1	0
77	Uzbekistan	430	2	9
78	Jordan	428	7	22
79	El Salvador	426	9	36
80	Albania	424	-9	-50
81	Malawi	418	-3	-21
82	Lithuania	416	-7	-43
83	Uganda	411	-1	0
84	Guinea	405	-8	-42
85	Angola	404	-1	-3
85	Cape Verde Islands	404	6	32
87	FYR Macedonia	400	7	34
88	Finland	394	-16	-77
89	Botswana	386	6	22
90	Antigua and Barbuda	381	11	36
91	Qatar	371	9	21
92	Togo	359	3	-5
93	Kuwait	358	6	6
94	Suriname	353	19	67
95	Niger	352	-2	-17
96	Wales	346	-6	-28
97	Saudi Arabia	345	0	-14
98	Iraq	344	9	37
99	Guatemala	340	10	38
100	Benin	334	-8	-36
101	Cuba	332	2	0
101	Haiti	332	7	27
103	Guyana	330	13	52
104	Bahrain	324	-2	-11
105	Sudan	321	-2	-11
106	Oman	317	-1	-2
106	St. Kitts and Nevis	317	17	65
108	New Zealand	310	-19	-67
108	Syria	310	1	8
110	Iceland	300	-4	-16
111	Azerbaijan	296	-14	-63
112	Mozambique	281	3	1
113	Gambia	280	12	32
114	United Arab Emirates	276	-2	-11
115	Thailand	275	2	1
116	Bolivia	273	-35	-139
117	Korea DPR	268	4	10
118	Luxembourg	263	-4	-21
119	Cyprus	259	-33	-139
120	Faroe Islands	257	6	13
121	Grenada	255	-1	-10
121	Moldova	255	1	0
123	Central African Republic	251	-12	-45
124	Liechtenstein	249	-6	-21
125	Namibia	248	-6	-21
126	Tajikistan	232	-2	-18
126	Tanzania	232	1	-8
128	Congo DR	223	1	-2
129	Vietnam	222	1	13
130	Liberia	216	-2	-14
131	Ethiopia	213	2	17
132	Belize	197	2	2
133	Kazakhstan	196	-1	-2
134	Kenya	189	-3	-11
135	Singapore	185	1	-3
136	Barbados	184	14	36
137	Bangladesh	183	1	0
137	Burundi	183	4	4
139	Indonesia	178	0	-4
140	Rwanda	177	3	-1
141	Nepal	176	-6	-17
142	Dominican Republic	173	-3	-9
143	Turkmenistan	172	-2	-7
144	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	162	14	47
145	Fiji	158	2	0
145	Yemen	158	-8	-27
147	Puerto Rico	157	-2	-16
148	Malaysia	155	-1	-3
149	Dominica	151	0	-3
150	Lebanon	146	-4	-17
151	Congo	144	-7	-33
152	Bahamas	141	0	0
153	Hong Kong	139	3	15
154	Malta	128	0	-10
154	New Caledonia	128	1	0
156	Philippines	125	10	20
157	Palestine	121	5	13
158	Equatorial Guinea	118	-6	-23
159	India	115	4	9
159	Lesotho	115	1	2
159	Nicaragua	115	-3	-9
162	Maldives	114	4	9
163	Madagascar	110	-5	-5
164	Chinese Taipei	108	8	19
165	Guinea-Bissau	106	-2	0
165	Mongolia	106	-2	0
167	US Virgin Islands	104	-16	-40
168	Myanmar	101	0	3
169	Chad	99	-8	-11
170	Swaziland	98	-1	2
171	Aruba	92	-1	0
172	Pakistan	91	-2	-1
173	Vanuatu	88	0	0
174	Cambodia	85	0	1
175	Sri Lanka	83	1	0
176	Seychelles	82	1	0
177	Curacao	79	1	4
178	Solomon Islands	75	0	0
179	Laos	74	3	3
180	Tahiti	73	4	5
181	Comoros	72	-3	-3
182	Afghanistan	69	1	-1
183	Bermuda	67	6	37
184	St. Lucia	53	1	7
185	Cayman Islands	51	-11	-33
186	Kyrgyzstan	49	-8	-26
187	Guam	36	-1	0
188	Papua New Guinea	34	-1	0
189	Mauritius	32	-1	-1
190	Eritrea	28	0	0
191	Macau	25	0	0
192	British Virgin Islands	23	-1	-2
192	Somalia	23	1	0
194	Turks and Caicos Islands	13	1	0
195	Djibouti	12	1	0
196	Cook Islands	10	1	0
197	Anguilla	9	1	0
197	Brunei Darussalam	9	1	0
199	Bhutan	6	1	0
200	Mauritania	4	-7	-19
201	Timor-Leste	3	0	0
201	Tonga	3	0	0
203	American Samoa	0	0	0
203	Andorra	0	0	0
203	Montserrat	0	0	0
203	Samoa	0	0	0
203	San Marino	0	0	0

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About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.