FIFA Ranking: December 2011 probable ranking

FIFA will publish the ranking on 21 December.

American Samoa and Samoa will no longer be at the bottom of the ranking.

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.

Samoa expected to clim 54 places, Vietnam 35 and American Samoa 20.

Grenada expected to drop 29 places, Cuba 25 and Bangladesh 12.

Probable December 2011 rank - Team - Probable December 2011 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points

1	Spain	1564	0	0
2	Netherlands	1365	0	0
3	Germany	1345	0	0
4	Uruguay	1309	0	0
5	England	1173	0	0
6	Brazil	1143	0	0
7	Portugal	1100	0	0
8	Croatia	1091	0	0
9	Italy	1082	0	0
10	Argentina	1067	0	0
11	Denmark	1035	0	0
12	Russia	971	0	0
13	Chile	970	0	0
14	Greece	964	0	0
15	France	915	0	0
16	Côte d'Ivoire	912	0	0
17	Switzerland	898	0	0
18	Sweden	891	0	0
19	Japan	884	0	0
20	Bosnia-Herzegovina	869	3	31
21	Mexico	866	-1	0
22	Republic of Ireland	864	-1	0
23	Australia	851	-1	0
24	Paraguay	795	0	0
25	Norway	788	0	0
26	Slovenia	780	0	0
27	Serbia	775	0	0
28	Turkey	769	0	0
29	Ghana	761	0	0
30	Algeria	758	0	0
31	Egypt	755	0	-2
32	Korea Republic	752	0	0
33	Czech Republic	749	0	0
34	USA	721	0	0
35	Peru	712	0	0
36	Colombia	709	0	0
37	Hungary	665	0	0
37	Israel	665	0	0
39	Venezuela	661	0	0
40	Slovakia	648	0	0
41	Belgium	647	0	0
42	Ecuador	634	0	4
43	Nigeria	627	0	0
44	Senegal	625	0	0
45	Iran	616	0	0
46	Armenia	612	0	0
47	Cameroon	602	1	0
48	Scotland	599	1	0
49	Wales	591	1	0
50	Panama	589	1	4
51	Montenegro	585	0	0
52	South Africa	577	1	0
53	Honduras	574	1	4
54	Jamaica	573	-7	-36
55	Ukraine	568	0	0
56	Romania	562	0	0
57	Estonia	555	1	12
58	Cape Verde Islands	549	-1	5
59	Tunisia	537	0	0
60	Sierra Leone	526	1	5
61	Morocco	524	-1	0
62	Burkina Faso	518	0	0
63	Costa Rica	504	1	1
64	Belarus	501	1	0
65	Poland	492	1	5
66	Libya	485	-3	-29
67	Mali	472	0	0
68	Latvia	466	0	0
69	Zambia	464	10	28
70	El Salvador	463	-1	0
70	Iraq	463	11	34
72	Zimbabwe	462	-2	0
73	Austria	459	-2	0
74	China PR	457	-2	2
75	Canada	455	-3	0
76	Georgia	451	-2	0
77	Albania	450	-2	0
78	Uzbekistan	449	-2	0
79	Trinidad and Tobago	448	7	39
80	Gabon	445	-3	0
81	Guinea	436	-2	0
82	Haiti	429	-4	-9
83	Bulgaria	410	2	0
83	Jordan	410	-1	-9
85	Angola	409	-1	-3
85	Uganda	409	6	15
87	Finland	405	1	0
88	Antigua and Barbuda	404	-5	-14
89	Northern Ireland	403	0	0
90	Guatemala	397	0	0
91	Qatar	393	4	18
92	Oman	389	1	2
93	Guyana	387	4	17
94	Lithuania	382	0	0
94	Malawi	382	-7	-25
96	Botswana	371	0	0
97	Niger	361	1	0
98	Saudi Arabia	358	0	-3
99	Vietnam	351	35	117
100	Togo	350	1	0
101	Kuwait	345	-1	-6
102	Bahrain	337	0	-3
103	FYR Macedonia	333	0	0
104	Iceland	325	0	0
105	Mozambique	322	0	-2
106	Bermuda	310	3	3
107	Bolivia	309	-1	0
107	Puerto Rico	309	-1	0
109	Korea DPR	306	1	0
110	Lebanon	305	1	0
111	Azerbaijan	300	2	0
112	Sudan	295	0	-9
113	Syria	290	2	-3
114	Faroe Islands	285	2	0
114	Gambia	285	4	5
114	St. Kitts and Nevis	285	3	1
117	Cuba	275	-25	-115
118	New Zealand	271	1	0
118	Rwanda	271	-4	-26
120	Namibia	264	1	0
121	Suriname	263	1	2
122	Thailand	262	10	19
123	Liberia	258	0	0
124	Benin	257	0	0
125	Kenya	256	8	16
126	Cyprus	253	0	0
127	Luxembourg	252	0	0
128	Central African Republic	251	0	0
129	United Arab Emirates	250	-9	-15
130	Dominican Republic	247	-1	0
131	Liechtenstein	246	-1	0
132	Congo	245	-1	0
133	Congo DR	242	-8	-12
133	Tanzania	242	3	14
135	Grenada	241	-29	-68
136	Moldova	229	-1	0
137	Ethiopia	220	0	-5
137	Kazakhstan	220	1	1
139	Tajikistan	208	0	1
140	Belize	194	0	0
141	Indonesia	189	3	13
142	Chad	188	-1	0
143	Burundi	180	2	6
144	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	170	2	0
145	Singapore	165	7	19
146	Turkmenistan	164	1	0
147	Lesotho	160	1	0
148	Curacao	154	1	0
148	Malaysia	154	7	14
150	Samoa	149	54	149
151	Equatorial Guinea	148	0	0
151	Nepal	148	-8	-29
153	Yemen	146	-3	-7
154	Bahamas	141	-1	0
154	Bangladesh	141	-12	-40
154	Nicaragua	141	-1	0
157	Malta	140	-2	0
158	India	137	4	18
159	Philippines	136	0	6
160	Madagascar	135	-3	0
161	Fiji	133	-3	0
162	Guinea-Bissau	121	-2	-8
163	Barbados	119	-2	-6
164	New Caledonia	116	-1	0
165	Chinese Taipei	114	0	5
166	Maldives	113	0	7
167	Mongolia	106	-1	0
168	Hong Kong	105	0	0
169	Cambodia	101	0	-2
170	Dominica	100	3	10
171	Myanmar	99	-2	-4
172	Palestine	97	-8	-16
173	Laos	96	2	10
173	Vanuatu	96	-2	0
175	Aruba	92	-3	0
176	US Virgin Islands	82	1	0
177	Sri Lanka	76	-1	-9
178	Solomon Islands	75	1	0
178	Swaziland	75	1	0
180	Cayman Islands	74	1	0
181	Afghanistan	73	-3	-4
181	Tahiti	73	1	0
183	St. Lucia	65	1	0
184	American Samoa	61	20	61
185	Pakistan	58	-11	-29
186	Comoros	55	0	0
187	Seychelles	53	-4	-16
188	Cook Islands	46	8	36
189	Eritrea	45	-5	-20
189	Tonga	45	13	42
191	Kyrgyzstan	42	-3	0
191	Somalia	42	-4	-9
193	Guam	36	-4	0
194	Papua New Guinea	34	-4	0
195	Mauritius	32	-4	0
196	Sao Tome e Principe	27	-4	0
197	Macau	26	-4	0
198	British Virgin Islands	23	-4	0
199	Turks and Caicos Islands	13	-4	0
200	Anguilla	9	-3	0
201	Bhutan	6	-3	0
201	Brunei Darussalam	6	-3	0
203	Mauritania	4	-2	0
204	Djibouti	3	-4	-2
205	Timor-Leste	2	-2	0
206	Andorra	0	-2	0
206	Montserrat	0	-2	0
206	San Marino	0	-2	0

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About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

FIFA Ranking: December 2011 probable results

Here are the probable results used for the December 2011 probable ranking. They are generated using the Elo Ratings.

Before posting comments like: "Hey my team actually beat the other team! It's a mistake!" please read the previous paragraph again and look when these results were posted (Yes, before the matches actually took place!) ;)

1 - First team wins
X - Draw
2 - Second team wins

25/Nov Burundi - Somalia 1 (Friendly)
26/Nov Samoa - American Samoa 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
26/Nov Tanzania - Rwanda 1 (Friendly)
26/Nov Tonga - Cook Islands X (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
28/Nov Sudan - Ethiopia 1 (Friendly)
28/Nov Kenya - Malawi 2 (Friendly)
28/Nov Somalia - Uganda 2 (Friendly)
29/Nov India - Zambia 2 (Friendly)
29/Nov Tanzania - Djibouti 1 (Friendly)
30/Nov Ethiopia - Kenya X (Friendly)
30/Nov Malawi - Sudan X (Friendly)
01/Dec Burundi - Uganda 2 (Friendly)
02/Dec Bangladesh - Pakistan 1 (Friendly)
02/Dec Maldives - Nepal 1 (Friendly)
02/Dec Suriname - Aruba 1 (Friendly)
02/Dec Rwanda - Djibouti 1 (Friendly)
02/Dec Ethiopia - Malawi 2 (Friendly)
02/Dec Suriname - Aruba 1 (Friendly)
03/Dec Sri Lanka - Bhutan 1 (Friendly)
03/Dec India - Afghanistan 1 (Friendly)
03/Dec Kenya - Sudan 2 (Friendly)
04/Dec Maldives - Pakistan 1 (Friendly)
04/Dec Bangladesh - Nepal X (Friendly)
05/Dec India - Bhutan 1 (Friendly)
05/Dec Sri Lanka - Afghanistan X (Friendly)
05/Dec Tanzania - Burundi 1 (Friendly)
06/Dec Maldives - Bangladesh 1 (Friendly)
06/Dec Pakistan - Nepal 2 (Friendly)
06/Dec Malawi - Kenya 1 (Friendly)
06/Dec Uganda - Rwanda 1 (Friendly)
07/Dec India - Sri Lanka 1 (Friendly)
07/Dec Bhutan - Afghanistan 2 (Friendly)
08/Dec Sudan - Tanzania X Tanzania PSO (Friendly)
08/Dec Malawi - Uganda 2 (Friendly)
09/Dec India - Bangladesh 1 (Friendly)
09/Dec Maldives - Sri Lanka 1 (Friendly)
10/Dec Malawi - Sudan X Malawi PSO (Friendly)
10/Dec Tanzania - Uganda 2 (Friendly)
10/Dec Qatar - Bahrain 1 (Friendly)
11/Dec India - Maldives 1 (Friendly)
11/Dec Cuba - Costa Rica 2 (Friendly)
11/Dec Saudi Arabia - Oman X (Friendly)
11/Dec Libya - Sudan 1 (Friendly)
11/Dec Kuwait - Somalia 1 (Friendly)
11/Dec Jordan - Palestine 1 (Friendly)
13/Dec Bahrain - Iraq 2 (Friendly)
14/Dec Angola - Congo DR 1 (Friendly)
14/Dec Oman - Kuwait X (Friendly)
14/Dec Sudan - Jordan 2 (Friendly)
14/Dec Palestine - Libya 2 (Friendly)
14/Dec Somalia - Saudi Arabia 2 (Friendly)

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About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

FIFA Ranking: December 2011 preview

FIFA will publish the ranking on 21 December.

Most points dropped (best case scenario):

-70 - Cuba
-68 - Grenada
-36 - Jamaica
-29 - Libya
-20 - Eritrea
-16 - Seychelles
-15 - United Arab Emirates
-14 - Antigua and Barbuda
-10 - Nepal
-9 - Haiti and Jordan

Most points gained (worst case scenario):

117 - Vietnam
85 - Samoa
61 - American Samoa
38 - Trinidad and Tobago
31 - Bosnia-Herzegovina
22 - Iraq
21 - Tonga
19 - Thailand, Singapore and Kenya

November 2011 rank - Country - November 2011 points - Minimum points - Maximum points

1	Spain	1564	1564	1564
2	Netherlands	1365	1365	1365
3	Germany	1345	1345	1345
4	Uruguay	1309	1309	1309
5	England	1173	1173	1173
6	Brazil	1143	1143	1143
7	Portugal	1100	1100	1100
8	Croatia	1091	1091	1091
9	Italy	1082	1082	1082
10	Argentina	1067	1067	1067
11	Denmark	1035	1035	1035
12	Russia	971	971	971
13	Chile	970	970	970
14	Greece	964	964	964
15	France	915	915	915
16	Côte d'Ivoire	912	912	912
17	Switzerland	898	898	898
18	Sweden	891	891	891
19	Japan	884	884	884
20	Mexico	866	866	866
21	Republic of Ireland	864	864	864
22	Australia	851	851	851
23	Bosnia-Herzegovina	838	869	869
24	Paraguay	795	795	795
25	Norway	788	788	788
26	Slovenia	780	780	780
27	Serbia	775	775	775
28	Turkey	769	769	769
29	Ghana	761	761	761
30	Algeria	758	758	758
31	Egypt	757	755	755
32	Korea Republic	752	752	752
33	Czech Republic	749	749	749
34	USA	721	721	721
35	Peru	712	712	712
36	Colombia	709	709	709
37	Hungary	665	665	665
37	Israel	665	665	665
39	Venezuela	661	661	661
40	Slovakia	648	648	648
41	Belgium	647	647	647
42	Ecuador	630	634	634
43	Nigeria	627	627	627
44	Senegal	625	625	625
45	Iran	616	616	616
46	Armenia	612	612	612
47	Jamaica	609	573	573
48	Cameroon	602	602	602
49	Scotland	599	599	599
50	Wales	591	591	591
51	Montenegro	585	585	585
51	Panama	585	589	589
53	South Africa	577	577	577
54	Honduras	570	574	574
55	Ukraine	568	568	568
56	Romania	562	562	562
57	Cape Verde Islands	544	549	549
58	Estonia	543	555	555
59	Tunisia	537	537	537
60	Morocco	524	524	524
61	Sierra Leone	521	526	526
62	Burkina Faso	518	518	518
63	Libya	514	441	485
64	Costa Rica	503	491	504
65	Belarus	501	501	501
66	Poland	487	492	492
67	Mali	472	472	472
68	Latvia	466	466	466
69	El Salvador	463	463	463
70	Zimbabwe	462	462	462
71	Austria	459	459	459
72	Canada	455	455	455
72	China PR	455	457	457
74	Georgia	451	451	451
75	Albania	450	450	450
76	Uzbekistan	449	449	449
77	Gabon	445	445	445
78	Haiti	438	429	429
79	Guinea	436	436	436
79	Zambia	436	450	464
81	Iraq	429	451	463
82	Jordan	419	395	410
83	Antigua and Barbuda	418	404	404
84	Angola	412	387	409
85	Bulgaria	410	410	410
86	Trinidad and Tobago	409	447	448
87	Malawi	407	361	422
88	Finland	405	405	405
89	Northern Ireland	403	403	403
90	Guatemala	397	397	397
91	Uganda	394	377	412
92	Cuba	390	275	320
93	Oman	387	378	410
94	Lithuania	382	382	382
95	Qatar	375	380	393
96	Botswana	371	371	371
97	Guyana	370	387	387
98	Niger	361	361	361
98	Saudi Arabia	361	346	369
100	Kuwait	351	336	353
101	Togo	350	350	350
102	Bahrain	340	337	369
103	FYR Macedonia	333	333	333
104	Iceland	325	325	325
105	Mozambique	324	322	322
106	Bolivia	309	309	309
106	Grenada	309	241	241
106	Puerto Rico	309	309	309
109	Bermuda	307	310	310
110	Korea DPR	306	306	306
111	Lebanon	305	305	305
112	Sudan	304	276	360
113	Azerbaijan	300	300	300
114	Rwanda	297	277	326
115	Syria	293	290	290
116	Faroe Islands	285	285	285
117	St. Kitts and Nevis	284	285	285
118	Gambia	280	285	285
119	New Zealand	271	271	271
120	United Arab Emirates	265	250	250
121	Namibia	264	264	264
122	Suriname	261	236	263
123	Liberia	258	258	258
124	Benin	257	257	257
125	Congo DR	254	242	262
126	Cyprus	253	253	253
127	Luxembourg	252	252	252
128	Central African Republic	251	251	251
129	Dominican Republic	247	247	247
130	Liechtenstein	246	246	246
131	Congo	245	245	245
132	Thailand	243	262	262
133	Kenya	240	259	315
134	Vietnam	234	351	351
135	Moldova	229	229	229
136	Tanzania	228	223	270
137	Ethiopia	225	215	298
138	Kazakhstan	219	220	220
139	Tajikistan	207	208	208
140	Belize	194	194	194
141	Chad	188	188	188
142	Bangladesh	181	133	175
143	Nepal	177	134	167
144	Indonesia	176	189	189
145	Burundi	174	176	244
146	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	170	170	170
147	Turkmenistan	164	164	164
148	Lesotho	160	160	160
149	Curacao	154	154	154
150	Yemen	153	146	146
151	Equatorial Guinea	148	148	148
152	Singapore	146	165	165
153	Bahamas	141	141	141
153	Nicaragua	141	141	141
155	Malaysia	140	154	154
155	Malta	140	140	140
157	Madagascar	135	135	135
158	Fiji	133	133	133
159	Philippines	130	136	136
160	Guinea-Bissau	129	121	121
161	Barbados	125	119	119
162	India	119	106	154
163	New Caledonia	116	116	116
164	Palestine	113	97	152
165	Chinese Taipei	109	114	114
166	Maldives	106	86	123
166	Mongolia	106	106	106
168	Hong Kong	105	105	105
169	Cambodia	103	101	101
169	Myanmar	103	99	99
171	Vanuatu	96	96	96
172	Aruba	92	92	175
173	Dominica	90	100	100
174	Pakistan	87	58	124
175	Laos	86	96	96
176	Sri Lanka	85	63	116
177	US Virgin Islands	82	82	82
178	Afghanistan	77	56	105
179	Solomon Islands	75	75	75
179	Swaziland	75	75	75
181	Cayman Islands	74	74	74
182	Tahiti	73	73	73
183	Seychelles	69	53	53
184	Eritrea	65	45	45
184	St. Lucia	65	65	65
186	Comoros	55	55	55
187	Somalia	51	42	228
188	Kyrgyzstan	42	42	42
189	Guam	36	36	36
190	Papua New Guinea	34	34	34
191	Mauritius	32	32	32
192	Sao Tome e Principe	27	27	27
193	Macau	26	26	26
194	British Virgin Islands	23	23	23
195	Turks and Caicos Islands	13	13	13
196	Cook Islands	10	28	81
197	Anguilla	9	9	9
198	Bhutan	6	6	82
198	Brunei Darussalam	6	6	6
200	Djibouti	5	3	173
201	Mauritania	4	4	4
202	Tonga	3	24	88
203	Timor-Leste	2	2	2
204	American Samoa	0	61	106
204	Andorra	0	0	0
204	Montserrat	0	0	0
204	Samoa	0	85	149
204	San Marino	0	0	0

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About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.