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Wednesday, December 21, 2011

FIFA Ranking: January 2012 probable ranking

Next update: 13 January 2012.

FIFA will publish the ranking on 18 January.

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.

Bosnia-Herzegovina, Panama and Estonia will very likely improve their best ever ranking.

Probable January 2012 rank - Team - Probable January 2012 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points

1 Spain 1564 0 0
2 Netherlands 1365 0 0
3 Germany 1345 0 0
4 Uruguay 1309 0 0
5 England 1173 0 0
6 Brazil 1143 0 0
7 Portugal 1100 0 0
8 Croatia 1091 0 0
9 Italy 1082 0 0
10 Argentina 1067 0 0
11 Denmark 1032 0 -3
12 Russia 971 0 0
13 Chile 970 0 0
14 Greece 964 0 0
15 France 915 0 0
16 Switzerland 898 1 0
17 Sweden 891 1 0
18 Côte d'Ivoire 889 -2 -23
19 Bosnia-Herzegovina 869 1 0
19 Japan 869 0 -15
21 Australia 866 2 15
21 Mexico 866 0 0
23 Republic of Ireland 864 -1 0
24 Paraguay 795 0 0
25 Norway 788 0 0
26 Slovenia 780 0 0
27 Ghana 779 2 18
28 Serbia 775 -1 0
29 Turkey 769 -1 0
30 Korea Republic 752 2 0
31 Czech Republic 749 2 0
32 Algeria 734 -2 -24
33 USA 721 1 0
34 Peru 712 1 0
35 Colombia 709 1 0
36 Egypt 698 -5 -57
37 Hungary 665 0 0
37 Israel 665 0 0
39 Venezuela 660 0 -1
40 Slovakia 648 0 0
41 Belgium 647 0 0
42 Ecuador 634 0 0
43 Nigeria 624 0 -3
44 Iran 623 1 7
45 Armenia 612 1 0
46 Senegal 602 -2 -23
47 Panama 600 2 11
48 Scotland 599 -1 0
49 Wales 591 -1 0
50 Montenegro 585 1 0
51 Honduras 579 2 5
52 Estonia 573 5 18
52 Jamaica 573 2 0
54 Ukraine 568 1 0
55 South Africa 563 -3 -14
56 Romania 562 0 0
57 Cameroon 551 -7 -37
58 Cape Verde Islands 549 0 0
59 Tunisia 541 0 4
60 Sierra Leone 533 0 7
61 Morocco 523 0 -1
62 Libya 514 1 0
63 El Salvador 506 6 43
64 Belarus 501 0 0
65 Burkina Faso 499 -3 -19
65 Costa Rica 499 0 4
67 Uzbekistan 495 8 46
68 Poland 494 -2 2
69 Mali 476 -2 4
70 Latvia 466 -2 0
71 Austria 459 -1 0
72 Iraq 457 6 17
73 Canada 455 -1 0
73 China PR 455 -2 -2
75 Georgia 451 -2 0
76 Albania 450 -2 0
77 Trinidad and Tobago 449 -1 1
78 Guinea 436 2 0
79 Zambia 434 0 -5
80 Haiti 433 1 4
81 Angola 431 2 19
82 Jordan 426 0 9
83 Uganda 411 6 13
84 Bulgaria 410 0 0
85 Antigua and Barbuda 407 2 3
86 Finland 405 0 0
87 Northern Ireland 403 1 0
87 Saudi Arabia 403 9 40
89 Guatemala 400 1 3
90 Oman 389 -5 -19
91 Gabon 387 -14 -58
92 Guyana 386 -1 -1
93 Botswana 385 2 14
94 Lithuania 382 -2 0
95 Bahrain 372 6 22
95 Kuwait 372 4 21
97 Qatar 364 -4 -14
98 Niger 361 -1 0
99 Malawi 359 -5 -15
100 Togo 350 1 0
101 Vietnam 344 -2 -7
102 FYR Macedonia 335 1 2
103 Zimbabwe 333 -5 -21
104 Iceland 325 0 0
105 Mozambique 319 0 -3
106 Bermuda 314 1 4
107 Korea DPR 312 3 6
108 Puerto Rico 310 0 1
109 Bolivia 309 -1 0
110 Rwanda 304 -4 -10
111 Azerbaijan 300 1 0
112 Lebanon 293 -1 -12
113 Cuba 290 2 0
114 Faroe Islands 285 2 0
114 St. Kitts and Nevis 285 2 0
116 Syria 276 -2 -15
117 Gambia 271 -1 -14
117 New Zealand 271 2 0
119 Congo DR 261 6 7
120 Kenya 260 0 -9
121 Liberia 258 2 0
121 Sudan 258 -8 -39
123 Thailand 257 -1 -5
124 Suriname 254 1 0
125 Cyprus 253 2 0
126 Luxembourg 252 2 0
127 Central African Republic 251 2 0
128 Namibia 249 -7 -15
129 Dominican Republic 247 2 0
130 Liechtenstein 246 2 0
131 Congo 245 2 0
132 Grenada 241 2 0
133 Belize 230 8 36
133 Ethiopia 230 2 0
135 Moldova 229 1 0
136 Benin 228 -12 -29
137 Tanzania 225 0 1
138 United Arab Emirates 223 -8 -27
139 Kazakhstan 220 -1 0
140 Tajikistan 218 -1 10
141 Burundi 199 -1 -4
142 Chad 188 1 0
143 Lesotho 184 4 24
144 Indonesia 183 -2 -6
145 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 171 -1 1
146 Nicaragua 165 8 24
147 Turkmenistan 164 -1 0
148 Singapore 161 -3 -4
149 Malaysia 157 -1 3
150 Yemen 153 1 7
151 Samoa 149 -2 0
152 Curacao 146 -1 0
153 Nepal 144 0 0
154 Bahamas 141 0 0
155 Malta 140 1 0
156 Philippines 139 3 3
157 Bangladesh 138 0 0
157 India 138 5 7
159 Madagascar 135 1 0
160 Equatorial Guinea 133 -10 -15
160 Fiji 133 1 0
162 Guinea-Bissau 121 1 0
162 Palestine 121 -4 -16
164 Aruba 120 0 0
165 Barbados 119 0 0
166 New Caledonia 116 0 0
167 Chinese Taipei 110 0 -4
168 Hong Kong 109 1 4
169 Mongolia 106 -1 0
170 Cambodia 101 0 0
171 Dominica 100 0 0
172 Myanmar 99 0 0
173 Maldives 98 0 0
174 Laos 96 0 0
174 Vanuatu 96 0 0
176 Tonga 88 0 0
177 Afghanistan 85 0 0
178 US Virgin Islands 82 0 0
179 Swaziland 80 1 5
180 Pakistan 76 -1 0
181 Solomon Islands 75 -1 0
181 Sri Lanka 75 -1 0
183 Cayman Islands 74 0 0
184 Tahiti 73 0 0
185 St. Lucia 65 0 0
186 American Samoa 61 0 0
187 Seychelles 59 1 6
188 Comoros 55 -1 0
189 Eritrea 45 1 0
190 Somalia 43 -1 -4
191 Kyrgyzstan 42 0 0
192 Guam 36 0 0
193 Papua New Guinea 34 0 0
194 Mauritius 32 0 0
195 Cook Islands 28 0 0
196 Sao Tome e Principe 27 0 0
197 Macau 26 0 0
198 British Virgin Islands 23 1 0
198 Djibouti 23 0 -2
200 Turks and Caicos Islands 13 0 0
201 Anguilla 9 0 0
202 Bhutan 6 0 0
202 Brunei Darussalam 6 0 0
204 Mauritania 4 0 0
205 Timor-Leste 2 0 0
206 Andorra 0 0 0
206 Montserrat 0 0 0
206 San Marino 0 0 0

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

FIFA Ranking: January 2012 probable results

Here are the probable results used for the January 2012 probable ranking. They are generated using the Elo Ratings.

Before posting comments like: "Hey my team actually beat the other team! It's a mistake!" please read the previous paragraph again and look when these results were posted (Yes, before the matches actually took place!) ;)

1 - First team wins
X - Draw
2 - Second team wins

22/Dec Venezuela - Costa Rica 1 (Friendly)
22/Dec Angola - Namibia 1 (Friendly)
22/Dec Palestine - Kuwait 2 (Friendly)
05/Jan Equatorial Guinea - South Africa 2 (Friendly)
06/Jan Sao Tome e Principe - Lesotho 2 (Continental Qualifier)
06/Jan Seychelles - Swaziland X (Continental Qualifier)
08/Jan Botswana - Zimbabwe 1 (Friendly)
09/Jan Gabon - Burkina Faso X (Friendly)
09/Jan Tunisia - Sudan 1 (Friendly)
11/Jan South Africa - Zambia 1 (Friendly)
12/Jan Oman - Congo DR 1 (Friendly)
12/Jan Senegal - Sudan 1 (Friendly)

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

FIFA Ranking: January 2012 preview

Next update: 13 January 2012.

FIFA will publish the ranking on 18 January. The official deadline for matches will be 12 January, although FIFA will most likely move it to 15 January. This preview is using the official deadline.

Most points dropped (best case scenario):

-57 - Egypt
-37 - Cameroon
-29 - Benin
-28 - Gabon
-27 - United Arab Emirates
-24 - Algeria
-23 - Côte d'Ivoire and Senegal
-19 - Oman
-15 - Japan, Malawi and Syria

Most points gained (worst case scenario):

46 - Uzbekistan
43 - El Salvador
40 - Saudi Arabia
36 - Belize
24 - Nicaragua
22 - Bahrain
18 - Ghana and Estonia
17 - Iraq
15 - Australia

December 2011 rank - Country - December 2011 points - Minimum points - Maximum points


1 Spain 1564 1564 1564
2 Netherlands 1365 1365 1365
3 Germany 1345 1345 1345
4 Uruguay 1309 1309 1309
5 England 1173 1173 1173
6 Brazil 1143 1143 1143
7 Portugal 1100 1100 1100
8 Croatia 1091 1091 1091
9 Italy 1082 1082 1082
10 Argentina 1067 1067 1067
11 Denmark 1035 1032 1032
12 Russia 971 971 971
13 Chile 970 970 970
14 Greece 964 964 964
15 France 915 915 915
17 Switzerland 898 898 898
18 Sweden 891 891 891
16 Côte d'Ivoire 912 889 889
20 Bosnia-Herzegovina 869 869 869
19 Japan 884 869 869
23 Australia 851 866 866
21 Mexico 866 866 866
22 Republic of Ireland 864 864 864
24 Paraguay 795 795 795
25 Norway 788 788 788
26 Slovenia 780 780 780
29 Ghana 761 779 779
27 Serbia 775 775 775
28 Turkey 769 769 769
32 Korea Republic 752 752 752
33 Czech Republic 749 749 749
30 Algeria 758 734 734
34 USA 721 721 721
35 Peru 712 712 712
36 Colombia 709 709 709
31 Egypt 755 698 698
37 Hungary 665 665 665
37 Israel 665 665 665
39 Venezuela 661 642 660
40 Slovakia 648 648 648
41 Belgium 647 647 647
42 Ecuador 634 634 634
43 Nigeria 627 624 624
45 Iran 616 623 623
46 Armenia 612 612 612
44 Senegal 625 574 602
49 Panama 589 600 600
47 Scotland 599 599 599
48 Wales 591 591 591
51 Montenegro 585 585 585
53 Honduras 574 579 579
57 Estonia 555 573 573
54 Jamaica 573 573 573
55 Ukraine 568 568 568
52 South Africa 577 522 563
56 Romania 562 562 562
50 Cameroon 588 551 551
58 Cape Verde Islands 549 549 549
59 Tunisia 537 516 541
60 Sierra Leone 526 533 533
61 Morocco 524 523 523
63 Libya 514 514 514
69 El Salvador 463 506 506
64 Belarus 501 501 501
62 Burkina Faso 518 487 523
65 Costa Rica 495 499 522
75 Uzbekistan 449 495 495
66 Poland 492 494 494
67 Mali 472 476 476
68 Latvia 466 466 466
70 Austria 459 459 459
78 Iraq 440 457 457
72 Canada 455 455 455
71 China PR 457 455 455
73 Georgia 451 451 451
74 Albania 450 450 450
76 Trinidad and Tobago 448 448 448
80 Guinea 436 436 436
79 Zambia 439 434 472
81 Haiti 429 433 433
83 Angola 412 408 431
82 Jordan 417 426 426
89 Uganda 398 411 411
84 Bulgaria 410 410 410
87 Antigua and Barbuda 404 407 407
86 Finland 405 405 405
88 Northern Ireland 403 403 403
96 Saudi Arabia 363 403 403
90 Guatemala 397 400 400
85 Oman 408 376 389
77 Gabon 445 372 417
91 Guyana 387 386 386
95 Botswana 371 365 385
92 Lithuania 382 382 382
101 Bahrain 350 372 372
99 Kuwait 351 364 372
93 Qatar 378 364 364
97 Niger 361 361 361
94 Malawi 374 359 359
101 Togo 350 350 350
99 Vietnam 351 344 344
103 FYR Macedonia 333 335 335
98 Zimbabwe 354 333 358
104 Iceland 325 325 325
105 Mozambique 322 319 319
107 Bermuda 310 314 314
110 Korea DPR 306 312 312
108 Puerto Rico 309 310 310
108 Bolivia 309 309 309
106 Rwanda 314 304 304
112 Azerbaijan 300 300 300
111 Lebanon 305 293 293
115 Cuba 290 290 290
116 Faroe Islands 285 285 285
116 St. Kitts and Nevis 285 285 285
114 Syria 291 276 276
116 Gambia 285 271 271
119 New Zealand 271 271 271
125 Congo DR 254 261 288
120 Kenya 269 260 260
123 Liberia 258 258 258
113 Sudan 297 258 298
122 Thailand 262 257 257
125 Suriname 254 254 254
127 Cyprus 253 253 253
128 Luxembourg 252 252 252
129 Central African Republic 251 251 251
121 Namibia 264 249 279
131 Dominican Republic 247 247 247
132 Liechtenstein 246 246 246
133 Congo 245 245 245
134 Grenada 241 241 241
141 Belize 194 230 230
135 Ethiopia 230 230 230
136 Moldova 229 229 229
124 Benin 257 228 228
137 Tanzania 224 225 225
130 United Arab Emirates 250 223 223
138 Kazakhstan 220 220 220
139 Tajikistan 208 218 218
140 Burundi 203 199 199
143 Chad 188 188 188
147 Lesotho 160 144 184
142 Indonesia 189 183 183
144 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 170 171 171
154 Nicaragua 141 165 165
146 Turkmenistan 164 164 164
145 Singapore 165 161 161
148 Malaysia 154 157 157
151 Yemen 146 153 153
149 Samoa 149 149 149
151 Curacao 146 146 146
153 Nepal 144 144 144
154 Bahamas 141 141 141
156 Malta 140 140 140
159 Philippines 136 139 139
157 Bangladesh 138 138 138
162 India 131 138 138
160 Madagascar 135 135 135
150 Equatorial Guinea 148 133 175
161 Fiji 133 133 133
163 Guinea-Bissau 121 121 121
158 Palestine 137 121 139
164 Aruba 120 120 120
165 Barbados 119 119 119
166 New Caledonia 116 116 116
167 Chinese Taipei 114 110 110
169 Hong Kong 105 109 109
168 Mongolia 106 106 106
170 Cambodia 101 101 101
171 Dominica 100 100 100
172 Myanmar 99 99 99
173 Maldives 98 98 98
174 Laos 96 96 96
174 Vanuatu 96 96 96
176 Tonga 88 88 88
177 Afghanistan 85 85 85
178 US Virgin Islands 82 82 82
180 Swaziland 75 72 97
179 Pakistan 76 76 76
180 Solomon Islands 75 75 75
180 Sri Lanka 75 75 75
183 Cayman Islands 74 74 74
184 Tahiti 73 73 73
185 St. Lucia 65 65 65
186 American Samoa 61 61 61
188 Seychelles 53 47 83
187 Comoros 55 55 55
190 Eritrea 45 45 45
189 Somalia 47 43 43
191 Kyrgyzstan 42 42 42
192 Guam 36 36 36
193 Papua New Guinea 34 34 34
194 Mauritius 32 32 32
195 Cook Islands 28 28 28
196 Sao Tome e Principe 27 27 95
197 Macau 26 26 26
199 British Virgin Islands 23 23 23
198 Djibouti 25 23 23
200 Turks and Caicos Islands 13 13 13
201 Anguilla 9 9 9
202 Bhutan 6 6 6
202 Brunei Darussalam 6 6 6
204 Mauritania 4 4 4
205 Timor-Leste 2 2 2
206 Andorra 0 0 0
206 Montserrat 0 0 0
206 San Marino 0 0 0

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.