FIFA will publish the ranking on 18 January.
Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.
Bosnia-Herzegovina, Panama and Estonia will very likely improve their best ever ranking.
Probable January 2012 rank - Team - Probable January 2012 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points
1 | Spain | 1564 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Netherlands | 1365 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Germany | 1345 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Uruguay | 1309 | 0 | 0 |
5 | England | 1173 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Brazil | 1143 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Portugal | 1100 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Croatia | 1091 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Italy | 1082 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Argentina | 1067 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Denmark | 1032 | 0 | -3 |
12 | Russia | 971 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Chile | 970 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Greece | 964 | 0 | 0 |
15 | France | 915 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Switzerland | 898 | 1 | 0 |
17 | Sweden | 891 | 1 | 0 |
18 | Côte d'Ivoire | 889 | -2 | -23 |
19 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 869 | 1 | 0 |
19 | Japan | 869 | 0 | -15 |
21 | Australia | 866 | 2 | 15 |
21 | Mexico | 866 | 0 | 0 |
23 | Republic of Ireland | 864 | -1 | 0 |
24 | Paraguay | 795 | 0 | 0 |
25 | Norway | 788 | 0 | 0 |
26 | Slovenia | 780 | 0 | 0 |
27 | Ghana | 779 | 2 | 18 |
28 | Serbia | 775 | -1 | 0 |
29 | Turkey | 769 | -1 | 0 |
30 | Korea Republic | 752 | 2 | 0 |
31 | Czech Republic | 749 | 2 | 0 |
32 | Algeria | 734 | -2 | -24 |
33 | USA | 721 | 1 | 0 |
34 | Peru | 712 | 1 | 0 |
35 | Colombia | 709 | 1 | 0 |
36 | Egypt | 698 | -5 | -57 |
37 | Hungary | 665 | 0 | 0 |
37 | Israel | 665 | 0 | 0 |
39 | Venezuela | 660 | 0 | -1 |
40 | Slovakia | 648 | 0 | 0 |
41 | Belgium | 647 | 0 | 0 |
42 | Ecuador | 634 | 0 | 0 |
43 | Nigeria | 624 | 0 | -3 |
44 | Iran | 623 | 1 | 7 |
45 | Armenia | 612 | 1 | 0 |
46 | Senegal | 602 | -2 | -23 |
47 | Panama | 600 | 2 | 11 |
48 | Scotland | 599 | -1 | 0 |
49 | Wales | 591 | -1 | 0 |
50 | Montenegro | 585 | 1 | 0 |
51 | Honduras | 579 | 2 | 5 |
52 | Estonia | 573 | 5 | 18 |
52 | Jamaica | 573 | 2 | 0 |
54 | Ukraine | 568 | 1 | 0 |
55 | South Africa | 563 | -3 | -14 |
56 | Romania | 562 | 0 | 0 |
57 | Cameroon | 551 | -7 | -37 |
58 | Cape Verde Islands | 549 | 0 | 0 |
59 | Tunisia | 541 | 0 | 4 |
60 | Sierra Leone | 533 | 0 | 7 |
61 | Morocco | 523 | 0 | -1 |
62 | Libya | 514 | 1 | 0 |
63 | El Salvador | 506 | 6 | 43 |
64 | Belarus | 501 | 0 | 0 |
65 | Burkina Faso | 499 | -3 | -19 |
65 | Costa Rica | 499 | 0 | 4 |
67 | Uzbekistan | 495 | 8 | 46 |
68 | Poland | 494 | -2 | 2 |
69 | Mali | 476 | -2 | 4 |
70 | Latvia | 466 | -2 | 0 |
71 | Austria | 459 | -1 | 0 |
72 | Iraq | 457 | 6 | 17 |
73 | Canada | 455 | -1 | 0 |
73 | China PR | 455 | -2 | -2 |
75 | Georgia | 451 | -2 | 0 |
76 | Albania | 450 | -2 | 0 |
77 | Trinidad and Tobago | 449 | -1 | 1 |
78 | Guinea | 436 | 2 | 0 |
79 | Zambia | 434 | 0 | -5 |
80 | Haiti | 433 | 1 | 4 |
81 | Angola | 431 | 2 | 19 |
82 | Jordan | 426 | 0 | 9 |
83 | Uganda | 411 | 6 | 13 |
84 | Bulgaria | 410 | 0 | 0 |
85 | Antigua and Barbuda | 407 | 2 | 3 |
86 | Finland | 405 | 0 | 0 |
87 | Northern Ireland | 403 | 1 | 0 |
87 | Saudi Arabia | 403 | 9 | 40 |
89 | Guatemala | 400 | 1 | 3 |
90 | Oman | 389 | -5 | -19 |
91 | Gabon | 387 | -14 | -58 |
92 | Guyana | 386 | -1 | -1 |
93 | Botswana | 385 | 2 | 14 |
94 | Lithuania | 382 | -2 | 0 |
95 | Bahrain | 372 | 6 | 22 |
95 | Kuwait | 372 | 4 | 21 |
97 | Qatar | 364 | -4 | -14 |
98 | Niger | 361 | -1 | 0 |
99 | Malawi | 359 | -5 | -15 |
100 | Togo | 350 | 1 | 0 |
101 | Vietnam | 344 | -2 | -7 |
102 | FYR Macedonia | 335 | 1 | 2 |
103 | Zimbabwe | 333 | -5 | -21 |
104 | Iceland | 325 | 0 | 0 |
105 | Mozambique | 319 | 0 | -3 |
106 | Bermuda | 314 | 1 | 4 |
107 | Korea DPR | 312 | 3 | 6 |
108 | Puerto Rico | 310 | 0 | 1 |
109 | Bolivia | 309 | -1 | 0 |
110 | Rwanda | 304 | -4 | -10 |
111 | Azerbaijan | 300 | 1 | 0 |
112 | Lebanon | 293 | -1 | -12 |
113 | Cuba | 290 | 2 | 0 |
114 | Faroe Islands | 285 | 2 | 0 |
114 | St. Kitts and Nevis | 285 | 2 | 0 |
116 | Syria | 276 | -2 | -15 |
117 | Gambia | 271 | -1 | -14 |
117 | New Zealand | 271 | 2 | 0 |
119 | Congo DR | 261 | 6 | 7 |
120 | Kenya | 260 | 0 | -9 |
121 | Liberia | 258 | 2 | 0 |
121 | Sudan | 258 | -8 | -39 |
123 | Thailand | 257 | -1 | -5 |
124 | Suriname | 254 | 1 | 0 |
125 | Cyprus | 253 | 2 | 0 |
126 | Luxembourg | 252 | 2 | 0 |
127 | Central African Republic | 251 | 2 | 0 |
128 | Namibia | 249 | -7 | -15 |
129 | Dominican Republic | 247 | 2 | 0 |
130 | Liechtenstein | 246 | 2 | 0 |
131 | Congo | 245 | 2 | 0 |
132 | Grenada | 241 | 2 | 0 |
133 | Belize | 230 | 8 | 36 |
133 | Ethiopia | 230 | 2 | 0 |
135 | Moldova | 229 | 1 | 0 |
136 | Benin | 228 | -12 | -29 |
137 | Tanzania | 225 | 0 | 1 |
138 | United Arab Emirates | 223 | -8 | -27 |
139 | Kazakhstan | 220 | -1 | 0 |
140 | Tajikistan | 218 | -1 | 10 |
141 | Burundi | 199 | -1 | -4 |
142 | Chad | 188 | 1 | 0 |
143 | Lesotho | 184 | 4 | 24 |
144 | Indonesia | 183 | -2 | -6 |
145 | St. Vincent and the Grenadines | 171 | -1 | 1 |
146 | Nicaragua | 165 | 8 | 24 |
147 | Turkmenistan | 164 | -1 | 0 |
148 | Singapore | 161 | -3 | -4 |
149 | Malaysia | 157 | -1 | 3 |
150 | Yemen | 153 | 1 | 7 |
151 | Samoa | 149 | -2 | 0 |
152 | Curacao | 146 | -1 | 0 |
153 | Nepal | 144 | 0 | 0 |
154 | Bahamas | 141 | 0 | 0 |
155 | Malta | 140 | 1 | 0 |
156 | Philippines | 139 | 3 | 3 |
157 | Bangladesh | 138 | 0 | 0 |
157 | India | 138 | 5 | 7 |
159 | Madagascar | 135 | 1 | 0 |
160 | Equatorial Guinea | 133 | -10 | -15 |
160 | Fiji | 133 | 1 | 0 |
162 | Guinea-Bissau | 121 | 1 | 0 |
162 | Palestine | 121 | -4 | -16 |
164 | Aruba | 120 | 0 | 0 |
165 | Barbados | 119 | 0 | 0 |
166 | New Caledonia | 116 | 0 | 0 |
167 | Chinese Taipei | 110 | 0 | -4 |
168 | Hong Kong | 109 | 1 | 4 |
169 | Mongolia | 106 | -1 | 0 |
170 | Cambodia | 101 | 0 | 0 |
171 | Dominica | 100 | 0 | 0 |
172 | Myanmar | 99 | 0 | 0 |
173 | Maldives | 98 | 0 | 0 |
174 | Laos | 96 | 0 | 0 |
174 | Vanuatu | 96 | 0 | 0 |
176 | Tonga | 88 | 0 | 0 |
177 | Afghanistan | 85 | 0 | 0 |
178 | US Virgin Islands | 82 | 0 | 0 |
179 | Swaziland | 80 | 1 | 5 |
180 | Pakistan | 76 | -1 | 0 |
181 | Solomon Islands | 75 | -1 | 0 |
181 | Sri Lanka | 75 | -1 | 0 |
183 | Cayman Islands | 74 | 0 | 0 |
184 | Tahiti | 73 | 0 | 0 |
185 | St. Lucia | 65 | 0 | 0 |
186 | American Samoa | 61 | 0 | 0 |
187 | Seychelles | 59 | 1 | 6 |
188 | Comoros | 55 | -1 | 0 |
189 | Eritrea | 45 | 1 | 0 |
190 | Somalia | 43 | -1 | -4 |
191 | Kyrgyzstan | 42 | 0 | 0 |
192 | Guam | 36 | 0 | 0 |
193 | Papua New Guinea | 34 | 0 | 0 |
194 | Mauritius | 32 | 0 | 0 |
195 | Cook Islands | 28 | 0 | 0 |
196 | Sao Tome e Principe | 27 | 0 | 0 |
197 | Macau | 26 | 0 | 0 |
198 | British Virgin Islands | 23 | 1 | 0 |
198 | Djibouti | 23 | 0 | -2 |
200 | Turks and Caicos Islands | 13 | 0 | 0 |
201 | Anguilla | 9 | 0 | 0 |
202 | Bhutan | 6 | 0 | 0 |
202 | Brunei Darussalam | 6 | 0 | 0 |
204 | Mauritania | 4 | 0 | 0 |
205 | Timor-Leste | 2 | 0 | 0 |
206 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
206 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
206 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Have fun, Edgar. Happy holidays! And hey, you probably wouldn't have had anything or anything much to do the next two weeks anyway! How considerate of you to plan your vacation around us, ha ha! :)
ReplyDeleteso first I of course also wish Edgar a nice vacation! :)
ReplyDeletewell, but as he is not “available” at the moment, I would like to ask a question to rest of you...
...because when I was reading this blog today (for the first time after last ranking was published), I was really surprised to not find dozens of messages complaining about all kinds of “inconsistencies” in this ranking…
so just as an example:
(again) some countries have different points shown in the ranking list and in the overview (shown at the right after clicking on a country)
Country - Points in overview - Points in rankinglist
Uganda - 394 - 398
Bahrain - 340 - 350
Kenya - 240 - 269
Palestine - 113 - 137
Here's some shocking news, for the Dutch at least: Germany will replace Holland as the world number 2 in the February ranking. beacuse both teams wo'nt play until Feb 29, the rankings for February can be calculated. The Dutch will have 1359 points, Germany 1369 points.
ReplyDeleteAlso, Uruguay are closing in on the Dutch.
I think this is a result of the extremely good year 2011 for the Uruguayans and Germans, and the not so good year for the Dutch. And if Holland doesn't step up to the plate the coming months and in EURO2012, they could well find themselves outside the top 10 in July 2012.
@EngelRS4
ReplyDeleteI think (without checking though) that the differences are because of FIFA including matches after the deadline. I haven't had difference bigger than 2 points for about 2 years I think.
@Toabcoach
Thanks - wrote a post starting from your tip :)
@Lorric - thanks, I always try to cater to my audience. :) My kids were very happy to have me at home for 18 days!
ReplyDelete@EngelRS4 and Edgar
ReplyDeleteIn the mentioned cases the overview displays the points-totals from the old (november) ranking, which is of course incorrect.
By the way, in my opinion Palestine should have 128 pts in the december-ranking instead of 137 pts (see the points-calculation below). Where am I mistaken ?
cycle date opponent pts
4 7-8-2008 IRN 0.000
4 9-8-2008 QAT 0.000
4 26-10-2008 JOR 74.800
3 26-3-2009 NEP 42.500
3 30-3-2009 KGZ 42.500
3 10-7-2009 IRQ 0.000
3 13-7-2009 IRQ 0.000
3 18-7-2009 CHN 0.000
3 10-10-2009 UAE 65.450
2 4-6-2010 SUD 69.700
2 11-8-2010 MTN 43.000
2 27-9-2010 YEM 0.000
2 29-9-2010 IRQ 0.000
1 9-2-2011 TAN 0.000
1 21-3-2011 BAN 129.000
1 23-3-2011 PHI 43.000
1 25-3-2011 MYA 129.000
1 29-6-2011 AFG 322.500
1 3-7-2011 AFG 107.500
1 23-7-2011 THA 0.000
1 28-7-2011 THA 176.300
1 22-8-2011 IDN 0.000
1 5-10-2011 IRN 0.000
1 6-12-2011 BHR 252.840
1 17-12-2011 SUD 227.040
1 20-12-2011 BHR 0.000
cycle pts MP avg_pts w_avg
1 1387.180 13 106.71 106.71
2 112.700 5 22.54 11.27
3 150.450 6 25.08 7.52
4 74.800 5 14.96 2.99
PLE: 128.49
Don't bother to answer, I see it already:
ReplyDeletethe match BHR-PLE (20/12/2011) doesn't count for the december-points.
Good for you, Edgar. Welcome back.
ReplyDeletewhen India will come to 100...............
ReplyDeleteWhen they'll start winning competitive games (World Cup qualifiers or AFC Challenge Cup).
Delete