2009 UEFA European Under-21 Championship (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
2011 UEFA European Under-21 Championship (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2013 UEFA European Under-21 Championship (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting
More info about the Under-21 coefficient on UEFA.com (PDF file).
As mentioned before, I think there's a mistake in the regulations regarding the qualification points for teams that have hosted one of the last two final tournaments.
For Sweden (hosts of the 2009 final tournament) I used the 2011 qualification results (as in the regulations), while for Denmark (hosts of the 2011 final tournament) I used the 2009 qualification results, since I couldn't use the 2011 qualification results as in the regulation.
For the play-off draw, the seven group winners with the best coefficients will be seeded. Israel as hosts are already qualified. Their coefficient is 30302, good enough for 6th in the ranking.
Current standings available on UEFA.com.
Rank - Team - Points
1 Spain 36715 2 Italy 31383 3 Germany 31183 4 England 30925 5 Switzerland 30434 6 Czech Republic 30125 7 France 29392 8 Russia 29222 9 Netherlands 29074 10 Sweden 28861 11 Turkey 27342 12 Serbia 26819 13 Belarus 26678 14 Wales 25871 15 Scotland 25684 16 Romania 25585 17 Greece 25431 18 Denmark 24809 19 Croatia 24771 20 Austria 24552 21 Belgium 24426 22 Portugal 24326 23 Slovakia 24189 24 Ukraine 23279 25 Montenegro 23039 26 Finland 22306 27 Iceland 22158 28 Armenia 21631 29 Slovenia 20378 30 Poland 20201 31 Norway 19989 32 Moldova 19671 33 Hungary 19388 34 Bosnia-Herzegovina 18856 35 Georgia 18561 36 Ireland 18471 37 Northern Ireland 18364 38 Latvia 17646 39 Bulgaria 17538 40 Cyprus 16561 41 Albania 16046 42 Macedonia 15513 43 Estonia 15410 44 Faroe Islands 15085 45 Kazakhstan 14563 46 Lithuania 13370 47 Azerbaijan 12401 48 Malta 12043 49 Luxembourg 10963 50 Andorra 9356 51 Liechtenstein 8563 52 San Marino 7790
Using Wikipedia to determine the best second-placed teams, this is how the pots would look now:
Pot 1
Spain 36715 Italy 31383 Germany 31183 England 30925 Czech Republic 30125 France 29392 Russia 29222
Pot 2
Switzerland * 30434 Netherlands 29074 Turkey * 27342 Serbia 26819 Slovakia * 24189 Montenegro * 23039 Slovenia 20378
* - second placed teams
What would Israel's coefficients would be?
ReplyDelete30302 - 6th.
ReplyDeletePersonally I think this isn't the method that should be used for U21 teams, the main reason being that 2009 teams have zero connection to 2013 ones. (Even 2011 squads would have just a few same players at most). Basically, every team's ranking will be affected by the performance of completely unrelated team from 4 years ago (squad-wise). I'd like to see UEFA incorporating the results of U19 teams from a few years ago into that ranking somehow. This would make more sense as this would be the same people, just younger.
ReplyDelete@ Anonymous
ReplyDeleteI prefer it this way. The U19 (and U17) tournaments are so luck based in the qualifying stages, it would surely skew the results. I would guess more so than the current system.
The teams might not have much in common player-wise year on year, but it should at least be semi-accurate. You wouldn't expect a country to produce wildly different squads from one cycle to the next.