This is based on (FIFA points for a win) / (actual effort from Elo rating).
Only teams that would bring at least 200 points for an OFC opponent:
Luxembourg (away vs. Georgia)
Sierra Leone
Algeria
Greece (away vs. Norway)
Bosnia-Herzegovina (away vs. Wales)
Estonia (home vs. Poland)
Slovenia
Armenia (home vs. Belarus)
Slovakia (away vs. Denmark)
Wales (home vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina)
Denmark (home vs. Slovakia)
Cape Verde Islands
Switzerland (home vs. Croatia)
Russia
Norway (home vs. Greece)
Republic of Ireland
Italy
Hungary (home vs. Israel)
Croatia (away vs. Switzerland)
Libya
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