Next update: 20 June 2012.
FIFA will publish the ranking on 4 July 2012.
Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.
Based on these probable results:
Côte d'Ivoire will break into the top 10 for the first time ever.
Tahiti and New Caledonia will climb 20+ places, with Cameroon and Namibia climbing 15+ spots.
Faroe Islands, Vietnam and Libya will drop 20 or more places.
Probable July 2012 rank - Team - Probable July 2012 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points
1 | Spain | 1728 | 0 | 272 |
2 | Netherlands | 1469 | 2 | 235 |
3 | Germany | 1465 | 0 | 177 |
4 | England | 1460 | 2 | 315 |
5 | Uruguay | 1297 | -3 | 5 |
6 | Argentina | 1053 | 1 | -84 |
7 | Brazil | 1048 | -2 | -107 |
8 | Greece | 996 | 7 | 43 |
9 | Italy | 976 | 3 | -1 |
10 | Côte d'Ivoire | 974 | 6 | 31 |
11 | France | 945 | 3 | -19 |
12 | Croatia | 932 | -4 | -121 |
13 | Denmark | 918 | -4 | -101 |
14 | Australia | 916 | 10 | 96 |
15 | Chile | 914 | -4 | -80 |
16 | Russia | 908 | -3 | -67 |
17 | Portugal | 904 | -7 | -92 |
18 | Colombia | 851 | 2 | -29 |
19 | Republic of Ireland | 849 | -1 | -58 |
20 | Sweden | 833 | -3 | -77 |
21 | Mexico | 832 | -2 | -57 |
22 | Switzerland | 828 | -1 | -40 |
23 | Paraguay | 812 | -1 | -21 |
24 | Japan | 800 | -1 | -22 |
25 | Czech Republic | 790 | 2 | 19 |
26 | Norway | 780 | 0 | -7 |
27 | Korea Republic | 740 | 8 | 21 |
28 | Algeria | 736 | 4 | 2 |
29 | Ghana | 731 | -4 | -87 |
30 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 729 | -1 | -27 |
31 | USA | 721 | -3 | -46 |
32 | Hungary | 716 | -1 | -19 |
33 | Peru | 712 | 4 | 24 |
34 | Turkey | 708 | -1 | -24 |
35 | Slovenia | 706 | -5 | -36 |
36 | Egypt | 683 | 12 | 95 |
37 | Ecuador | 677 | -1 | -16 |
38 | Serbia | 675 | -4 | -50 |
39 | Wales | 658 | -1 | 0 |
40 | Venezuela | 639 | 0 | 25 |
41 | Slovakia | 626 | -2 | -23 |
42 | Gabon | 624 | 7 | 38 |
43 | Scotland | 611 | -2 | 0 |
44 | Iran | 608 | 1 | 12 |
45 | Cameroon | 605 | 19 | 90 |
46 | Zambia | 601 | -3 | 0 |
47 | Mali | 595 | -4 | -6 |
48 | Tunisia | 592 | -2 | 1 |
49 | Ukraine | 582 | 3 | 10 |
50 | Montenegro | 581 | 0 | 0 |
51 | Romania | 580 | 1 | 8 |
52 | Costa Rica | 579 | 13 | 72 |
53 | Poland | 573 | 9 | 55 |
54 | Belgium | 564 | 0 | 0 |
55 | Panama | 563 | -9 | -28 |
56 | Armenia | 559 | -5 | -20 |
57 | Estonia | 554 | 0 | 26 |
57 | Nigeria | 554 | 3 | 34 |
59 | Jamaica | 529 | 1 | 9 |
60 | Honduras | 524 | -5 | -26 |
61 | Austria | 517 | -3 | -7 |
62 | South Africa | 511 | 6 | 12 |
63 | Libya | 507 | -21 | -101 |
63 | Uzbekistan | 507 | 3 | 4 |
65 | Senegal | 506 | -2 | -11 |
66 | Haiti | 503 | 5 | 13 |
67 | Cape Verde Islands | 496 | 10 | 39 |
68 | Benin | 489 | 4 | 0 |
69 | Sierra Leone | 488 | -10 | -35 |
70 | Finland | 480 | 5 | 16 |
71 | Canada | 474 | 6 | 17 |
71 | China PR | 474 | 2 | -7 |
73 | Latvia | 466 | 3 | 7 |
74 | El Salvador | 464 | -19 | -86 |
75 | Albania | 448 | 4 | -3 |
75 | Guinea | 448 | -8 | -54 |
77 | Belarus | 447 | -8 | -50 |
78 | Trinidad and Tobago | 432 | 4 | 7 |
79 | Angola | 427 | 5 | 11 |
79 | Israel | 427 | 2 | 0 |
81 | Iraq | 423 | -7 | -54 |
81 | Morocco | 423 | -11 | -68 |
83 | Jordan | 417 | -3 | -12 |
84 | Uganda | 409 | 10 | 46 |
85 | Burkina Faso | 405 | 1 | -2 |
86 | Korea DPR | 386 | 3 | 11 |
87 | Lithuania | 376 | 1 | -4 |
88 | Congo | 375 | -5 | -47 |
89 | New Zealand | 374 | 11 | 33 |
90 | Bulgaria | 373 | 0 | 0 |
91 | Guatemala | 372 | -6 | -40 |
92 | Kuwait | 360 | -5 | -23 |
93 | Saudi Arabia | 359 | -1 | -10 |
94 | Georgia | 357 | 1 | -2 |
95 | Togo | 356 | 3 | 13 |
96 | Malawi | 347 | 11 | 23 |
96 | Zimbabwe | 347 | 10 | 18 |
98 | Oman | 340 | -1 | -9 |
99 | Qatar | 337 | -8 | -35 |
100 | Northern Ireland | 336 | 3 | 0 |
101 | Bahrain | 334 | -6 | -25 |
102 | FYR Macedonia | 331 | -1 | -7 |
103 | Mozambique | 328 | 14 | 38 |
104 | Sudan | 327 | -3 | -11 |
105 | Central African Republic | 317 | -12 | -49 |
106 | Azerbaijan | 308 | 6 | 8 |
106 | Bolivia | 308 | 4 | -4 |
108 | Antigua and Barbuda | 304 | -3 | -26 |
108 | Guyana | 304 | -4 | -28 |
110 | Luxembourg | 303 | 11 | 20 |
111 | Equatorial Guinea | 302 | 3 | 4 |
112 | St. Kitts and Nevis | 301 | 2 | 3 |
113 | Congo DR | 291 | 14 | 34 |
113 | Niger | 291 | 9 | 12 |
115 | United Arab Emirates | 287 | 4 | 3 |
116 | Bermuda | 281 | -7 | -37 |
117 | Botswana | 277 | -1 | -18 |
117 | Namibia | 277 | 17 | 31 |
119 | Gambia | 268 | -11 | -52 |
120 | Kenya | 267 | -9 | -36 |
121 | Cyprus | 266 | 4 | 0 |
122 | Chad | 262 | -10 | -38 |
123 | Tajikistan | 258 | 6 | 4 |
124 | Rwanda | 256 | -5 | -28 |
125 | Iceland | 250 | 6 | 2 |
126 | Dominican Republic | 247 | 7 | 0 |
126 | Vietnam | 247 | -28 | -96 |
128 | Belize | 242 | 7 | 6 |
129 | Sao Tome e Principe | 240 | -11 | -48 |
129 | Suriname | 240 | -1 | -15 |
129 | Syria | 240 | -3 | -23 |
132 | Thailand | 235 | 4 | 1 |
133 | Burundi | 234 | -2 | -14 |
134 | Liberia | 233 | -10 | -44 |
135 | New Caledonia | 223 | 20 | 73 |
135 | Turkmenistan | 223 | 3 | 4 |
137 | Tanzania | 217 | 2 | 3 |
138 | Moldova | 213 | 2 | 1 |
139 | Ethiopia | 212 | -9 | -37 |
140 | Puerto Rico | 210 | -3 | -14 |
141 | Nicaragua | 209 | 0 | 0 |
142 | Grenada | 204 | 2 | -2 |
143 | Malta | 196 | 4 | 1 |
143 | St. Vincent and the Grenadines | 196 | 3 | 0 |
145 | Kazakhstan | 195 | -4 | -14 |
146 | Tahiti | 194 | 33 | 108 |
147 | Liechtenstein | 177 | 1 | 0 |
148 | Lebanon | 174 | -5 | -33 |
149 | Cuba | 171 | -4 | -26 |
150 | Bangladesh | 160 | 2 | 3 |
151 | Philippines | 157 | -2 | -7 |
152 | Indonesia | 156 | -1 | -3 |
153 | Faroe Islands | 149 | -31 | -130 |
153 | Nepal | 149 | -4 | -15 |
155 | Palestine | 146 | -2 | -7 |
155 | Singapore | 146 | 2 | 3 |
157 | Hong Kong | 143 | 1 | 1 |
158 | Curacao | 138 | 2 | 1 |
159 | Yemen | 134 | 0 | -7 |
160 | Fiji | 130 | 1 | -3 |
161 | Malaysia | 126 | -7 | -25 |
162 | Afghanistan | 122 | 6 | 8 |
163 | India | 121 | 1 | 0 |
164 | Aruba | 120 | 1 | 0 |
164 | Maldives | 120 | 1 | 0 |
166 | Madagascar | 115 | -3 | -13 |
167 | Vanuatu | 104 | 4 | 1 |
168 | Guinea-Bissau | 103 | 1 | -8 |
168 | Lesotho | 103 | 2 | -6 |
170 | Barbados | 100 | 8 | 13 |
171 | Bahamas | 99 | -9 | -33 |
172 | Dominica | 95 | 1 | 0 |
173 | Samoa | 93 | -17 | -56 |
174 | Solomon Islands | 92 | 9 | 17 |
175 | Tonga | 87 | 1 | -1 |
176 | Chinese Taipei | 86 | -9 | -29 |
177 | US Virgin Islands | 85 | 5 | 7 |
178 | Cayman Islands | 72 | 7 | 0 |
178 | Pakistan | 72 | 3 | -10 |
180 | Myanmar | 67 | -6 | -27 |
181 | Sri Lanka | 64 | 3 | -10 |
182 | Swaziland | 63 | -3 | -23 |
183 | American Samoa | 61 | 3 | 0 |
184 | Mongolia | 55 | -8 | -33 |
185 | Comoros | 54 | 2 | 0 |
186 | St. Lucia | 52 | 2 | 0 |
187 | Papua New Guinea | 46 | 6 | 12 |
187 | Seychelles | 46 | 2 | -2 |
189 | Eritrea | 45 | 1 | 0 |
190 | Laos | 44 | -18 | -52 |
191 | Somalia | 43 | 0 | 0 |
192 | Cambodia | 40 | -17 | -53 |
193 | Mauritius | 38 | -1 | 1 |
194 | Guam | 32 | 0 | 0 |
195 | Cook Islands | 25 | 0 | -3 |
196 | Djibouti | 24 | 1 | 1 |
196 | Kyrgyzstan | 24 | 0 | 0 |
198 | Andorra | 15 | 1 | 0 |
199 | British Virgin Islands | 13 | 1 | 0 |
199 | Macau | 13 | -1 | -4 |
201 | Brunei Darussalam | 5 | 1 | 0 |
202 | Anguilla | 4 | -1 | -5 |
202 | Mauritania | 4 | 1 | 0 |
204 | Timor-Leste | 2 | 1 | 0 |
205 | Bhutan | 0 | -2 | -4 |
205 | Montserrat | 0 | 1 | 0 |
205 | San Marino | 0 | 1 | 0 |
205 | Turks and Caicos Islands | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Hi Edgar,
ReplyDeleteI'm keeping track of the 'virtual' rankings as Euro2012 progresses. With the second matches in the group stage to be played the next days, it's fun to give a points-prediction of the countries for winning, losing or drawing:
Country Pts. after rnd. 1 Win Draw Loss
Spain 1375 1462 1378 1336
Germany 1331 1424 1326 1277
England 1134 1245 1135 1080
Denmark 1133 1225 1121 1070
Netherlands 1127 1249 1151 1101
Croatia 1101 1191 1097 1050
Russia 1041 1095 1026 991
Italy 1016 1128 1023 971
France 999 1072 991 951
Greece 991 1078 992 949
Portugal 921 1042 937 885
Sweden 848 951 861 816
Republic of Ireland 830 943 843 793
Czech Republic 740 842 750 703
Ukraine 668 771 686 643
Poland 568 671 585 542
Just what I needed.
DeleteYou win the internet, Tobcoach. :D
hello edgar
ReplyDeletelibya and some other arab teams will not play " A " teams in the arab cup
libya , egypt , morroco and mabey others
hussein budejaja - libya
Hi Hussein,
DeleteThanks for the info. I was aware Egypt will play with their Olympic team, while Morocco will use only local players.
libya team is not right in this place because won't be play by frist team or A team
ReplyDeleteArab Cup matches are still on FIFA.com
Deletejust to let you know that Libya will not play with "A" team in Arab Cup. Therefore results will not be counted in Libya ranking. This was officially reported by Libya Footbal Federation and FIFA will remove those libya matches from their website by next monday. Another suggestion, I would recommend you to use countries' flags side by side with thier names, that would be a great addition to your website,easier browsing and more viewers.... keep up the good work and God Bless you.
ReplyDeleteThe matches have been removed from FIFA.com.
DeleteSee the preview and probable ranking. Libya will be at least 40th - a new best ever ranking. 39th if Egypt don't defeat CAR.
Thanks for the suggestion, but I won't be implementing it. I have enough viewers.
hi edgar, first off i love your website, it is very clear and accurate you have done a wonderful job.
ReplyDeletehere s my question, in your previous post you predicted algeria to win against mali, but it turns out as the opposite
how does that affect algeria's ranking ?
thank you
greetings from Algeria & Dzfoot
See Edgar's latest update. Algeria will be 35th with 693 points.
DeleteThanks Alex!
DeletePretty spectacular that the Europeans just played the tournament that gives them a huge amount of points and Uruguay has remained 3rd.
ReplyDeleteOnly Spain and Germany are on top of them. What ever happens in the final.
Italy will jump Uruguay if they win without needing a shootout.
DeleteNo mate.
DeleteThe FIFA ranking prediction tool is quite clear. Even if Italy had one in normal time they couldn't pass Uruguay.
Gotta say it's a great tool that FIFA have finally made available to fans.
The tool is wrong. It doesn't have a way to factor in Italy's extra points for winning the shootout against England.
DeleteEasiest way for me to prove this is for you to check Italy's final total with the tool now, and then see when the ranking comes out that Italy have more points.
Penalty wins count as draws mate.
DeleteIf you go read the FIFA ranking procedures you'll see.
But, doesn't matter now anyway.
Penalty wins DO NOT count as a draw... mate.
DeleteIf a team wins on penaltys they get awarded 2 points for the formula (3= win, 1=draw or losing on penaltys, 0=loss).
So Lorris is right about the FIFA tool mate.
What he said.
DeleteWell, everything except Lorris. My name is Lorric! :)