The coefficients for the EURO 2016 qualifying draw will take into account results from:
2010 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2012 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2014 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting
Click here for more info on the coefficient system.
The qualifying format is already known (but things might change): 9 groups (2 x 5, 7 x 6)
Top two from each group and the best team in third place advance. The other eight play-off for the final four spots.
Portugal replace Sweden in the first pot.
Best movers:
5 - Portugal and Czech Republic
3 - Poland
1 - Germany
Worst movers:
-2 - Sweden and Ireland
-1 - Netherlands, Russia, Greece, Croatia, Hungary, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Norway, Montenegro, Wales and Northern Ireland
Rank - Previous Rank - Team - Points
1 1 Spain 27882 2 3 Germany 25644 3 2 Netherlands 22760 4 4 Italy 22342 5 5 England 21544 6 11 Portugal 20830 7 6 Russia 19845 8 7 Greece 19440 9 8 Croatia 19301 ------------------------------- 10 10 Denmark 19159 11 9 Sweden 19128 12 17 Czech Republic 18154 13 13 Ukraine 17851 14 12 Republic of Ireland 17152 15 14 Hungary 16981 16 15 Bosnia-Herzegovina 16934 17 16 Norway 16601 18 18 Serbia 16244 ------------------------------- 19 19 Slovakia 16112 20 20 Slovenia 15774 21 21 Switzerland 15751 22 22 Israel 15741 23 23 Turkey 15414 24 24 Belgium 14051 25 25 Romania 14021 26 26 Scotland 13913 27 27 Belarus 13871 ------------------------------- 28 28 Latvia 13771 29 29 Armenia 13681 30 30 Finland 13601 31 31 Austria 13571 32 32 Estonia 13467 33 36 Poland 13143 34 33 Montenegro 12970 35 34 Wales 12770 36 35 Northern Ireland 12561 ------------------------------- 37 37 Bulgaria 11090 38 38 Albania 10790 39 39 Macedonia 10755 40 40 Lithuania 10665 41 41 Georgia 10440 42 42 Moldova 10001 43 43 Azerbaijan 9380 44 44 Iceland 8975 45 45 Cyprus 8456 ------------------------------- 46 46 Kazakhstan 8260 47 47 Luxembourg 8030 48 48 Faroe Islands 7850 49 49 Liechtenstein 7840 50 50 Malta 6000 51 51 Andorra 5160 52 52 San Marino 4480
mmmhh.. values too low? Or there is something that I have not undertand?
ReplyDelete[url]http://www.footballwr.altervista.org/UEFA_national_team_coefficients2016.htm[/url]
I already include the 2014 points (well, as zero).
ReplyDeleteI compared my Spain points with yours for 2008 and 2010 - they are the same.
You use (I think) (WC10 + 2*EC12)/3. I use (WC10 + 2*EC12 + 2*0) / 5.
ah ok, I see :)
DeleteSo group E in WCQ has none of the 16 best teams in European competitions over the past 4 years.
ReplyDeleteGod I hate the FIFA ranking.
Good point Haakon :)
DeleteThat was true even at the time of the EURO 2012 final draw.
Switzerland is a force, they have a golden generation coming. I'm very glad they got a qualifying group where they are the favourites, they've deserved it after unlucky euro qualifiers.
Deleteto me, pot 3 looks of higher quality than pot 2 %-)
ReplyDeleteWhere would France be?
ReplyDeletePot 2.
DeleteLast night I had a dream the UEFA changed their decision and:
ReplyDeleteGroup A:
ENGLAND 24, Serbia 20, Israel 16, Georgia 13, Albania 11, San Marino 0
Group B:
PORTUGAL 22, Ukraine 21, Belgium 18, Wales 13, Azerbaijan 8 Andorra 0
Group C:
RUSSIA 19, Czech Rep. 15, Austria 11, Finland 10, Cyprus 2
Group D:
SPAIN 20, Romania 13, Montenegro 11, Slovakia 11, Faroe Islands 1
Group E:
SWEDEN 17, Denmark 16, Scotland 13, Northern Ireland 9, Luxembourg 1
Group F:
GREECE 15, Switzerland 15, Hungary 12, Macedonia 7, Kazakhstan 3
Group G:
GERMANY 22, Slovenia 13, Bulgaria 12, Latvia 10, Moldova 1
Group H:
CROATIA 16, Turkey 14, Bosnia&Herzegovina 13, Lithuania 7, Iceland 4
Group I:
NETHERLANDS 20, Rep.of Ireland 13, Estonia 10, Belarus 8, Liechtenstein 1
Group J:
ITALY 20, Poland 14, Norway 13, Armenia 8, Malta 0
Play-offs
----------
Switzerland vs DENMARK 1-0, 1-3
CZECH REP. vs Slovenia 2-0, 0-1
Ukraine vs TURKEY 2-2, 2-3
Rep.of Ireland vs ROMANIA 0-0, 1-2
Serbia vs POLAND 1-1, 1-2
EURO 2016
16 qualified teams: FRANCE (host), CROATIA, CZECH REP., DENMARK, ENGLAND, GERMANY, GREECE, IRELAND, ITALY, NETHERLANDS, POLAND, PORTUGAL, ROMANIA, RUSSIA, SPAIN, SWEDEN, TURKEY
Maybe, it will come true :)
How can you remember such groups and numbers? Surely you just made them up.
DeleteOh, on a sidenote, this is the system I've wished for a long time they would use for the U21 European Championship. Expand the tournament to 16 teams and have 10 groups, like they do now, 10 winners, 5 playoff winners, 1 host.
Delete