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Friday, August 10, 2012

FIFA Ranking: September 2012 probable ranking

Next update: 17 August 2012.

FIFA will publish the ranking on 5 September 2012.

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking. Also check the preview for minimum and maximum points for each team.


Probable September 2012 rank - Team - Probable September 2012 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points


1 Spain 1617 0 12
2 Germany 1478 0 4
3 England 1242 0 -52
4 Portugal 1232 1 19
5 Uruguay 1217 -1 -19
6 Italy 1188 0 -4
7 Netherlands 1078 1 25
8 Argentina 1067 -1 -31
9 Croatia 1064 0 14
10 Denmark 1046 0 29
11 Chile 1029 4 76
12 Russia 1021 -1 5
13 Greece 974 -1 -29
14 Brazil 966 -1 -25
15 France 965 -1 -15
16 Côte d'Ivoire 901 0 -38
17 Mexico 889 1 27
17 Sweden 889 0 -20
19 Czech Republic 869 0 15
20 Colombia 843 1 8
21 Ecuador 828 -1 -8
22 Japan 816 0 -13
23 Australia 792 1 -15
24 Switzerland 783 -1 -45
25 Republic of Ireland 768 1 -11
26 Korea Republic 763 3 23
27 Paraguay 746 0 -1
28 Algeria 734 6 41
28 Slovenia 734 5 28
30 Ghana 714 2 7
31 Mali 710 8 60
32 Norway 706 -7 -74
33 Hungary 696 -5 -50
34 Turkey 690 -4 -45
35 Bosnia-Herzegovina 685 -4 -44
36 Libya 666 2 11
37 USA 663 -1 -9
38 Wales 640 -1 -18
39 Egypt 634 1 -3
40 Ukraine 628 5 7
41 Serbia 624 -6 -51
42 Gabon 617 1 -7
43 Tunisia 615 -2 -12
44 Zambia 614 0 -9
45 Montenegro 606 5 25
46 Iran 598 2 8
47 Armenia 591 9 32
47 Panama 591 7 31
49 Venezuela 571 3 1
50 Scotland 563 -4 -48
51 Belgium 562 2 -2
52 Peru 561 -5 -46
53 Poland 559 1 -1
54 Romania 558 -3 -22
55 Austria 555 5 38
56 Estonia 543 -7 -44
57 Slovakia 535 -15 -91
58 Nigeria 525 0 0
59 Sierra Leone 518 -2 -11
60 Senegal 508 1 2
61 Bolivia 501 12 52
61 Morocco 501 7 28
63 Costa Rica 497 -1 -4
64 Jamaica 496 2 17
65 Central African Republic 492 6 30
66 Cape Verde Islands 490 12 49
67 Cameroon 481 -8 -39
68 El Salvador 475 -4 -15
69 Benin 468 8 22
70 Uzbekistan 462 -7 -31
71 Honduras 460 -6 -26
72 Canada 458 7 19
73 South Africa 448 -6 -26
74 Guinea 444 0 -4
75 China PR 437 -6 -33
75 Iraq 437 9 17
77 Angola 433 8 26
78 Korea DPR 429 13 37
79 Albania 424 -5 -24
80 Israel 417 2 -10
81 Congo 413 11 38
82 Burkina Faso 407 5 2
83 Georgia 405 14 48
84 Belarus 402 -8 -45
84 Uganda 402 4 3
86 Jordan 392 -3 -33
87 Trinidad and Tobago 391 -7 -44
88 Haiti 389 -8 -46
89 Bulgaria 388 5 15
90 Guatemala 381 -2 -18
91 Malawi 380 -1 -17
91 Qatar 380 7 26
93 Oman 376 -1 1
94 Latvia 375 -24 -88
95 New Zealand 366 0 0
96 Finland 365 -24 -86
97 FYR Macedonia 364 5 33
98 Zimbabwe 349 8 21
99 Kuwait 348 -3 -11
99 Togo 348 0 6
101 Antigua and Barbuda 340 -1 3
102 Bermuda 333 18 52
103 Dominican Republic 332 15 48
103 Sudan 332 1 3
105 Saudi Arabia 328 -1 -1
106 Luxembourg 326 4 23
107 Equatorial Guinea 318 4 16
108 Bahrain 314 -6 -17
109 Congo DR 311 6 20
110 St. Kitts and Nevis 306 3 8
111 Azerbaijan 303 -3 -5
111 Ethiopia 303 11 30
113 Namibia 299 0 1
114 Mozambique 297 -7 -19
115 Chad 290 3 6
115 Lithuania 290 -30 -117
117 Botswana 283 -5 -18
117 Iceland 283 13 33
119 Liberia 282 -2 -5
119 Tahiti 282 17 68
121 Rwanda 278 4 14
121 United Arab Emirates 278 0 -1
123 Guyana 276 -14 -31
124 Lebanon 271 3 17
125 Turkmenistan 266 -2 0
126 Niger 263 -11 -28
127 New Caledonia 261 14 61
128 Gambia 257 1 6
128 Northern Ireland 257 -27 -79
130 Kenya 254 -4 -5
131 Syria 245 16 65
132 Thailand 244 1 10
133 Sao Tome e Principe 240 -2 0
134 Burundi 238 -1 4
134 Tanzania 238 -6 -15
136 Cyprus 232 -13 -34
137 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 225 6 29
138 Puerto Rico 210 0 0
139 Suriname 207 -4 -22
140 Grenada 206 2 8
140 Malta 206 3 10
142 Kazakhstan 196 3 1
142 Tajikistan 196 -2 -6
144 Nicaragua 195 -5 -8
145 Belize 188 -13 -48
145 Moldova 188 -8 -25
147 Vietnam 183 -1 0
148 Cuba 175 1 4
149 Liechtenstein 168 -1 -9
149 Philippines 168 1 1
151 Palestine 161 1 8
152 Yemen 154 -1 0
153 Solomon Islands 150 6 22
154 Faroe Islands 147 -1 -2
155 Fiji 146 0 0
156 Malaysia 136 1 2
157 Lesotho 135 10 26
158 Aruba 134 -1 0
159 Hong Kong 133 -5 -14
160 Curacao 129 5 15
160 Singapore 129 2 4
162 Madagascar 127 3 13
163 Samoa 124 10 31
164 Afghanistan 122 0 0
165 Maldives 117 -4 -9
166 Nepal 116 -4 -9
167 Vanuatu 113 -11 -29
168 Indonesia 111 -9 -17
169 Bangladesh 103 0 0
170 India 101 -2 -5
171 Guinea-Bissau 98 -2 -5
172 Tonga 87 2 0
173 American Samoa 85 9 24
174 Dominica 84 -2 -11
175 Barbados 81 -4 -19
176 Chinese Taipei 79 -1 -4
177 Pakistan 72 -1 0
178 US Virgin Islands 70 0 0
179 Sri Lanka 68 0 0
180 Bahamas 66 0 0
181 Cayman Islands 65 -5 -7
182 Mongolia 55 1 0
183 Myanmar 52 1 2
184 St. Lucia 50 3 5
185 Eritrea 45 2 0
185 Guam 45 -1 -5
187 Somalia 43 3 0
188 Cambodia 42 3 2
189 British Virgin Islands 40 2 0
190 Comoros 39 3 0
190 Seychelles 39 -1 -5
190 Swaziland 39 -9 -25
193 Laos 38 1 0
193 Papua New Guinea 38 -7 -8
195 Cook Islands 28 1 3
196 Djibouti 24 2 0
197 Kyrgyzstan 20 -1 -5
197 South Sudan 20 2 0
199 Andorra 15 1 0
200 Macau 13 1 0
200 Mauritius 13 -6 -25
202 Brunei Darussalam 5 0 0
203 Anguilla 4 0 0
204 Mauritania 3 -1 -1
205 Timor-Leste 2 0 0
206 Bhutan 0 0 0
206 Montserrat 0 0 0
206 San Marino 0 0 0
206 Turks and Caicos Islands 0 0 0

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17 comments:

  1. AnonymousAugust 11, 2012 at 12:26 PM

    place and points Thailand will have in FIFA ranking october?? (august, september, october didn't have any match)

    ReplyDelete
  2. LorricAugust 11, 2012 at 2:33 PM

    Boom. England still third :)

    ReplyDelete
  3. EdAugust 12, 2012 at 7:58 AM

    Thailand will have 198 points in Oktober (-46 pts compared to September ranking, due to devaluation of past results). Place ? Difficult to say with so much matches on the menu in August and September, somewhere around 140th ?

    ReplyDelete
  4. LorricAugust 15, 2012 at 10:55 PM

    England's assault on the FIFA World Rankings continues.

    England 2 Italy 1
    Germany 0 Argentina 1

    We're coming after you Germany! :)

    Hodgson - P7 W5 D2.

    ReplyDelete
  5. LorricAugust 16, 2012 at 1:04 AM

    Looks like I made a mistake, but Argentina still won. The result was 3-1.

    France 0 Uruguay 0 - England consolidate third, although the gap closes to the now (I believe) 4th place Portugal.

    Netherlands barely lose any points for their defeat to Belgium. Shows what a strong base they have. They'll shoot up if they start winning qualifiers.

    Croatia and Denmark lost while Russia drew. Points dropped by some outside rivals. The ever-reliable Greece, another nation often lambasted for their high position in these rankings ground out another win and will jump Russia and be right behind Denmark.

    ReplyDelete
  6. LorricAugust 16, 2012 at 12:44 PM

    I didn't notice this until now, but FIFA have had a pop at explaining England's position in the ranking table:

    http://www.fifa.com/worldranking/news/newsid=1676878/index.html

    It's not bad, but it could have been better. People aren't buying what they're selling.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. IvanAugust 16, 2012 at 2:25 PM

      England may not be the most exciting team in the world, but they surely are consistent. The reason people pick at them is because they believe all the propaganda about "England is overrated!111!" and no matter how good England's results are (they have only lost one game since November 2010, and it was a friendly; they also haven't lost a competitive game since Germany in WC2010!), they'll still dispute the place rightfully earned by them.

      Now you have to worry about Portugal :) We're closing on you. Hopefully we'll win our qualifying group for once and dispute the 3rd place with you over the next months. Should be exciting :P

      Delete
    2. LorricAugust 17, 2012 at 3:21 AM

      Hi. Your name is more fitting for your main rival in that group, Russia. Beware Russia. Capello also got a lot of stick, but pay no attention to that, I was sad to see him go, and I believe he'll make an impact with Russia.

      You just have to look what he did for England. Came in to manage a team which couldn't even qualify for Euro 2008 and England absolutely devastated a tough qualifying group. It was magnificent, best football I've ever seen England play. I believe him when he says he made the mistake of tiring England out at the World Cup, but the real problem was the Green mistake in my eyes, and all the crap it brought with it from the press. England played well against the US, people forget that, without that goal, it would have been a pretty comfortable 1-0 win, at least as comfortable as a 1-0 win could be. then had a fearful game against Algeria which ended 0-0. The players were full of fear. They bounced back with one of the best performances of the Capello tenure for me against Slovenia, but it wasn't enough to avoid Germany. Without that fluke goal, and even still with the Algeria perfomance, England would have won the group with 7pts and no goals conceded. Yet because of a fluke goal, the group stage is remembered as pathetic. A new qualifying campaign England went undefeated and won the group. He lost two competitive games for England, and in effect it was only one to the Germans, since England had already won the group when they lost to Ukraine. That match was the only time I had a problem with Capello, he got the tactics badly, badly wrong.

      As for your group, I'm sure it's Portugal vs Russia. The rest of the group both teams should be able to handle, it's very weak. I can actually see Russia winning the group. Portugal have a tendancy to drop points to lesser teams, and I just can't see Capello slipping up against the likes of them. I could just imagine Russia winning the group due to Portugal dropping points in Azerbaijan or something.

      England once were in a group, and Poland won every single match against the other teams, while England dropped 5pts, but beat Poland home and away to win the group:

      http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2006_FIFA_World_Cup_qualification_%E2%80%93_UEFA_Group_6

      I would not be too surprised if Portugal had to do the same with Russia.

      Delete
    3. LorricAugust 17, 2012 at 3:23 AM

      Clarification, tactics wrong vs Germany, not Ukraine.

      Delete
    4. LorricAugust 17, 2012 at 3:48 AM

      I will tell you about the points dropped in World Cup 2012. England drew twice with Montenegro and once with Switzerland.

      The home game against Montenegro was first, and this game I believe was pure luck, although Montenegro defended well and fouled intelligently, it was pure one way traffic by England from start to finish with the exception of one shot against the bar by Montenegro.

      Switzerland was down to complacency, as away to Switzerland, England produced one of the most enjoyable and dominant perfomances I've ever seen. At home they were complacent, and went 2-0 down before snapping out of it and fighting back to 2-2.

      A similar thing happened at home vs Wales. England won 1-0 but were fortunate to do so. In Wales, they won the match in 15 minutes. Up 2-0 after utterly dominating, they ripped the hearts out of a once very noisy crowd and the players on the pitch, and just coasted through the remaining 75mins for an extremely comfortable win.

      Last game away vs Montenegro, England's superiority told and they went up 2-0 and were very comfortable despite Montenegro managing to pull one back to 2-1 until Rooney lost the plot and got sent off. England were shaken and Montenegro surged forward and tied it up 2-2 with a late goal.

      I was frustrated at the loss of ranking points at the time. Montenegro were very high up the table at the time.

      So I guess in summary, maybe some complacency might set in, so if Russia dominate an opponent in the first game, it might be beneficial...

      Delete
    5. LorricAugust 17, 2012 at 3:49 AM

      *Euro 2012 qualifying, not World Cup 2012*

      Delete
  7. IvanAugust 17, 2012 at 5:05 AM

    I'll tell you this: the portuguese are simply fed up with finishing as runners-up in the qualifying groups for three times now, when they're capable of so much more, so they want that 1st place more than anyone else. Fabio Capello isn't a bad manager, but Paulo Bento isn't either. He brings the spirit in the team and will want to finally conduct a successful qualifying campaign all by himself, ending the complacence that characterizes Portugal at the beginning of the qualifiers, which screws up the entire group campaign. You have to remember that Paulo Bento only stepped in after Portugal gained 1 point in the 2 first Euro 2012 qualifying games. Had Portugal gained at least 4 points in those 2 games and Denmark would likely not have won the group.

    Now about the upcoming qualifiers, the russians wanted a local manager, but their federation chose a foreigner once again. While I do think that Fabio Capello brings spirit in his team, he's quite poor in letting the talent loose, as he's too closed in his tactical awareness. Sure, Russia will show some flashes of brilliance here and there, but ultimately I think their talent will not be shown to its full potential, like was the case with Advocaat. I really think that Portugal can and will win the group, so Capello has first to make me eat my own words. Who knows, maybe tne fighting spirit will be enough to contain the portuguese, but I doubt it. We'll see :)

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. IvanAugust 17, 2012 at 5:08 AM

      Oops, sorry, that was to Lorric.

      Delete
    2. LorricAugust 17, 2012 at 3:21 PM

      Your group is interesting in that the Russia/Portugal clashes are over at matchday 6. In addition, Russia's hardest matches are also stacked in the first 6 matchdays. Russia should win their last 4 matches. Portugal do not want to be behind Russia at that stage.

      Russia's last 4 matches:

      H vs Luxembourg
      H vs Israel
      A vs Luxembourg
      A vs Azerbaijan

      They should walk through that schedule. I don't know if the group was randomly chosen, but if it was decided between the coaches, Russia have shown balls setting up all the tougher matches early.

      However, the playoffs are really little threat to Portugal. As a seeded team, they simply have no business losing to whoever they get. They'll almost certainly stongly outclass whoever it is. Flukes happen, but I just can't see any team of that level being able to hang with Portugal over two legs. Obviously you want to eliminate this threat, but the playoffs should pose no threat to Portugal.

      I've no idea how England would fare in a playoff. That's another area of consistency. The last time England needed a playoff was in qualifying for Euro 2000, where they defeated Scotland. Portugal finished 2nd in their group that year also, but snatched the best runner up slot.

      At the end of the day though, both teams should be seeded in a playoff. The standard of other opposition in the group practically guarantees it, along with practically guranteeing the runner up will not be in 9th. I would be very surprised if this group doesn't qualify both Portugal and Russia to the World Cup.

      Portugal lost their last 2 groups to Denmark, but ultimately prevailed over Denmark in the tournaments. Which is why Denmark are still in pot 2 and Portugal are still in pot 1.

      Delete
    3. LorricAugust 17, 2012 at 3:27 PM

      It's also worth mentioning that in the period between qualifying for World Cup 1998 and today, England have been 2nd seed in 4 groups, and won them all over top seeds Italy (WC 98), Germany (WC 2002), Turkey (Euro 2004) and Croatia (WC 2012).

      Delete
    4. LorricAugust 17, 2012 at 3:37 PM

      When I look at the groups, Turkey made it hard. Like Poland, they won all their matches while England dropped points to Macedonia. England beat Turkey at home, and needed a result on the last day in Istanbul, and got a 0-0 draw to win the group by 1pt.

      The wins over Germany and Italy were down to consistency. Germany and England traded wins, but Germany dropped more points to the other teams, allowing England to win the group.

      Italy took 4pts out of England, but England were perfect against the other teams and won the group by 1pt.

      Of course in 2012, England won the group by being utterly dominant.

      Delete