Updated to include missing 11 September matches. Thanks Ed!
The coefficients for the EURO 2016 qualifying draw will take into account results from:
2010 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2012 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2014 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting
Click here for more info on the coefficient system.
The qualifying format is already known (but things might change): 9 groups (2 x 5, 7 x 6)
Top two from each group and the best team in third place advance. The other eight play-off for the final four spots.
Best movers:
6 - Poland
5 - Switzerland and Montenegro
4 - Bosnia-Herzegovina
Worst movers:
-4 - Slovenia
-3 - Belarus and Latvia
-2 - Ukraine, Hungary, Norway, Scotland, Finland, Austria, Estonia and Wales
Switzerland replaced Norway in the second pot.
Armenia and Poland replaced Scotland and Belarus in the third pot.
Bulgaria replaced Wales in the fourth pot.
Rank - Previous Rank - Team - Points
1 1 Spain 33407 2 2 Germany 32124 3 3 Netherlands 29260 4 4 Italy 27982 5 6 Portugal 27311 6 5 England 27244 7 7 Russia 26365 8 8 Greece 25900 9 9 Croatia 24921 ------------------------------- 10 11 Sweden 24368 11 10 Denmark 23559 12 16 Bosnia-Herzegovina 23535 13 12 Czech Republic 22554 14 14 Republic of Ireland 22373 15 13 Ukraine 22251 16 21 Switzerland 22231 17 15 Hungary 22221 18 18 Serbia 21944 ------------------------------- 19 17 Norway 21781 20 19 Slovakia 21752 21 23 Turkey 20634 22 25 Romania 20541 23 22 Israel 20061 24 20 Slovenia 19714 25 24 Belgium 19691 26 29 Armenia 18881 27 33 Poland 18783 ------------------------------- 28 26 Scotland 18713 29 34 Montenegro 18691 30 27 Belarus 17796 31 28 Latvia 17691 32 30 Finland 17576 33 31 Austria 17551 34 32 Estonia 17367 35 36 Northern Ireland 16921 36 37 Bulgaria 16711 ------------------------------- 37 35 Wales 16631 38 38 Albania 15991 39 41 Georgia 15940 40 39 FYR Macedonia 15135 41 40 Lithuania 15025 42 44 Iceland 14196 43 42 Moldova 13861 44 43 Azerbaijan 13721 45 45 Cyprus 13636 ------------------------------- 46 47 Luxembourg 12410 47 46 Kazakhstan 12201 48 48 Faroe Islands 11790 49 49 Liechtenstein 11660 50 50 Malta 9940 51 51 Andorra 8980 52 52 San Marino 8360
How you have calculate "2014 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting" for this ranking? What is included?
ReplyDeleteI already add the 10000 points for each of the remaining matches and divide by the total number of games each team will play in its group.
DeleteHow are Hungary where they are. I dont recall them being in any playoffs.
ReplyDeleteConsistency - 16 points in the 2010 WCQ, 19 in the 2012 ECQ.
DeleteEdgar,
ReplyDeleteplease, can you enlighten me with regard to your calculation results. I know you include all group matches in the WC14Q each team has to play, where the not yet played group matches count for 10.000 pts.
With that in mind I look at the Netherlands:
WC10 : 691529 in 15 matches => avg 46102
EC12 : 440039 in 13 matches => avg 33849
WC14Q: (82506+80000) in 2+8 matches => avg 16251
Total: 20%*46102 + 40%*33849 + 40%*16251 = 29.260 pts
You calculate 28.000 pts.
Where do I go wrong ?
With some reverse engineering I come to the conclusion that you only included the first matchday (against Turkey) in your results (and left out the second matchday against Hungary):
ReplyDelete41002+90000 in 1+9 matches played => avg 13100
Total: 20%*46102 + 40%*33849 + 40%*13100 = 28.000 pts
I think all of the Sept 11 matches are missing.
DeleteIt's fixed now. Thanks guys!
DeleteWhere is France?
ReplyDeleteFrance are the host so don't need to qualify.
Delete