The coefficients for the EURO 2016 qualifying draw will take into account results from:
2010 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2012 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2014 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting
Click here for more info on the coefficient system.
France will host the final tournament.
The qualifying format is already known (but things might change): 9 groups (2 x 5, 7 x 6)
Top two from each group and the best team in third place advance. The other eight play-off for the final four spots.
Northern Ireland replace Bulgaria in pot 4.
Rank - Previous Rank - Team - Points
1 1 Spain 35507 2 2 Germany 33825 3 3 Netherlands 31781 4 4 Italy 30463 5 5 England 28945 6 6 Russia 28806 7 7 Portugal 27691 8 8 Greece 27520 9 9 Croatia 27381 ------------------------------- 10 10 Sweden 25988 11 11 Bosnia-Herzegovina 25195 12 12 Hungary 24681 13 13 Czech Republic 24194 14 14 Denmark 23919 15 15 Switzerland 23871 16 16 Republic of Ireland 23533 17 17 Norway 23421 18 18 Slovakia 22952 ------------------------------- 19 19 Israel 22641 20 20 Ukraine 22631 21 21 Belgium 22191 22 22 Serbia 21864 23 23 Romania 21701 24 26 Montenegro 21171 25 24 Slovenia 20914 26 25 Turkey 20574 27 27 Belarus 19246 ------------------------------- 28 28 Austria 19231 29 29 Poland 19183 30 30 Latvia 18911 31 31 Armenia 18841 32 32 Scotland 18653 33 33 Estonia 18567 34 34 Finland 18076 35 35 Wales 17811 36 37 Northern Ireland 17721 ------------------------------- 37 36 Bulgaria 17511 38 38 Albania 17191 39 39 Georgia 16391 40 40 FYR Macedonia 16336 41 41 Lithuania 16206 42 42 Moldova 15501 43 43 Iceland 15376 44 44 Azerbaijan 14101 45 45 Cyprus 13576 ------------------------------- 46 46 Kazakhstan 12521 47 47 Luxembourg 12230 48 48 Faroe Islands 11710 49 49 Liechtenstein 11580 50 50 Malta 9900 51 51 Andorra 8900 52 52 San Marino 8160
This is a lot different then this: http://www.world-results.net/uefa/ranking_2013.html
ReplyDeleteWho is correct?
Berten, I am pretty sure it is different assumptions.
ReplyDeleteWorld-results appears to only be using the results to date and ignoring future matches and only taking the average over the matches played in the cycle (so four for most countries).
Edgar is using giving all future matches 10000 points (the base point value) and then taking the average over the total games that will be played (except playoffs - so ten for most teams, though some have eight).
At the start of a cycle, Edgar's method is more stable (you don't have some teams with only one match), so I like it better, but both are right (or probably right - I haven't done more than spot check world-results) given the underlying assumptions.
Ok I see, so these are very close to the minimum points for each team.
ReplyDeleteYep. A country with no wins would drop some and a country that has a massive negative GD in their remaining games (20+) would group if they only had one draw.
DeleteThanks Ryan.
ReplyDeleteWhat do the pots look like now?
ReplyDeleteSee the update.
DeleteEURO 2016 qualifying draw seeding (14 June 2013)