FIFA Ranking: December 2012 probable ranking

Next update: 16 November 2012. 

FIFA will publish the ranking on 19 December.

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking. 

The 2012 CECAFA Cup draw is scheduled for 12 November, thus I couldn't generate the probable results for this competition.

Based on these probable results, Vietnam, Sao Tome e Principe, Cuba, Thailand, Trinidad and Tobago, and Jamaica would climb more than 15 spots, while Belize, Bermuda, Saudi Arabia, Chad, Lebanon, Afghanistan, Wales, Korea DPR, Curacao and Dominican Republic would drop more than 15 places.


As I mentioned in the preview, Ecuador will improve their best ever ranking - this doesn't depend on the probable results.

Probable December 2012 rank - Team - Probable December 2012 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points

1	Spain	1606	0	42
2	Germany	1437	0	16
3	Argentina	1271	0	-78
4	Italy	1204	1	35
5	England	1165	1	-2
6	Portugal	1163	-2	-15
7	Colombia	1140	1	30
8	Netherlands	1124	-1	-4
9	Russia	1097	0	13
10	Croatia	1064	0	-14
11	Greece	1008	1	4
12	Switzerland	1004	4	38
13	Ecuador	999	4	48
14	Côte d'Ivoire	995	1	21
15	Mexico	994	-1	10
16	Brazil	990	-3	-4
17	Uruguay	945	-6	-102
18	France	908	0	-30
19	Algeria	906	0	-1
20	Belgium	886	0	5
21	Japan	840	3	30
21	Sweden	840	2	14
23	Chile	832	-2	-21
24	Denmark	821	-2	-30
25	Mali	809	3	37
26	Czech Republic	781	-1	-25
27	Ghana	777	2	15
28	Norway	776	-2	-2
29	Hungary	771	1	18
30	USA	769	-3	-7
31	Montenegro	756	3	65
32	Bosnia-Herzegovina	751	-1	5
33	Korea Republic	734	-1	6
34	Zambia	683	5	50
35	Jamaica	673	15	87
36	Romania	664	1	-5
37	Paraguay	660	-2	-30
38	Australia	650	-5	-69
39	Egypt	629	1	2
40	Turkey	627	-2	-12
41	Republic of Ireland	626	-5	-56
42	Iran	612	2	1
43	Haiti	610	14	57
43	Serbia	610	-1	-16
45	Bolivia	609	6	24
46	Tunisia	606	0	-3
47	Slovenia	605	2	12
48	Peru	603	-4	-8
49	Bulgaria	601	-9	-26
50	Gabon	595	2	14
50	Slovakia	595	-7	-24
52	Venezuela	584	-4	-16
53	Panama	582	-7	-27
54	Central African Republic	581	-2	0
55	Libya	572	4	27
56	Ukraine	568	-1	-7
57	Poland	565	-3	-14
58	Nigeria	543	-1	-10
59	Honduras	540	-3	-32
60	Cameroon	536	2	16
61	Guinea	527	10	42
62	Trinidad and Tobago	526	17	80
63	Sierra Leone	521	-2	0
64	Canada	517	-4	-9
65	Costa Rica	515	-1	6
66	Albania	504	1	8
67	Cape Verde Islands	498	-4	-13
68	Israel	496	10	44
69	Austria	492	-1	0
70	Morocco	490	2	8
70	Scotland	490	0	2
72	Belarus	470	2	-8
73	Georgia	462	-8	-37
74	Uganda	459	12	31
75	Armenia	457	7	13
75	Benin	457	2	0
75	Guatemala	457	1	-10
78	Angola	454	1	8
79	Togo	450	-6	-29
80	Senegal	449	-5	-22
81	Ethiopia	446	21	113
82	Equatorial Guinea	439	13	42
83	China PR	436	5	12
83	Uzbekistan	436	-14	-54
85	Wales	435	-19	-62
86	FYR Macedonia	433	-3	2
87	Estonia	431	-3	1
88	South Africa	430	-4	0
89	Northern Ireland	422	11	66
90	Finland	415	1	4
91	Jordan	397	-1	-23
92	Burkina Faso	392	-3	-31
92	Iceland	392	4	0
94	Sudan	384	8	51
95	New Zealand	383	-2	-21
96	Oman	374	-10	-54
97	Qatar	365	7	35
98	Iraq	350	-1	-40
99	Korea DPR	349	-18	-96
99	Malawi	349	2	12
99	Zimbabwe	349	-1	-34
102	El Salvador	348	-8	-54
103	Congo DR	341	-4	-19
104	United Arab Emirates	340	5	20
105	Latvia	334	3	12
106	Niger	331	1	7
107	Dominican Republic	330	-15	-76
107	New Caledonia	330	-3	0
109	Liberia	312	5	0
109	Mozambique	312	1	-6
111	Congo	310	4	1
112	Kuwait	298	-2	-20
113	Lithuania	284	6	-12
114	Guyana	281	2	-24
115	Sao Tome e Principe	275	18	35
116	Botswana	274	1	-25
117	St. Kitts and Nevis	271	-11	-56
118	Vietnam	270	20	53
119	Namibia	267	-2	-32
120	Cyprus	264	7	6
120	Rwanda	264	2	-16
122	Tanzania	262	12	25
123	Cuba	257	18	59
123	Suriname	257	2	-8
125	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	256	1	-7
126	Moldova	255	6	14
127	Turkmenistan	254	2	0
128	Azerbaijan	250	-5	-27
129	Puerto Rico	248	1	0
130	Kenya	247	0	-1
131	Bahrain	246	-7	-24
132	Lebanon	244	-20	-69
133	Saudi Arabia	241	-21	-72
134	Antigua and Barbuda	234	-13	-47
135	Tajikistan	233	2	8
135	Thailand	233	17	73
137	Burundi	231	-9	-24
138	Syria	223	9	51
139	Tahiti	215	0	0
140	Chad	212	-20	-70
141	Kazakhstan	200	-1	0
142	Barbados	197	11	39
143	Gambia	186	-1	0
144	Nicaragua	180	-8	-53
145	Luxembourg	172	-1	-7
146	Philippines	170	-3	-14
147	St. Lucia	168	-1	-7
148	Solomon Islands	166	1	0
149	Malta	164	0	-2
150	Aruba	163	4	9
151	Liechtenstein	154	6	7
152	Faroe Islands	151	7	13
153	Malaysia	149	10	22
154	Grenada	148	-5	-18
155	Indonesia	142	10	18
156	Bermuda	139	-21	-96
157	Singapore	138	6	11
158	Palestine	137	-10	-31
159	Lesotho	130	-1	-10
159	Maldives	130	1	-5
161	Dominica	124	-6	-27
162	Hong Kong	108	10	0
162	Yemen	108	0	-23
164	Myanmar	107	-8	-42
165	Vanuatu	99	9	0
166	Chinese Taipei	96	10	6
166	India	96	3	-20
168	Belize	92	-24	-87
169	Fiji	85	-2	-36
170	Nepal	83	-1	-33
171	Bangladesh	81	0	-33
172	Laos	78	5	-9
173	Samoa	74	-8	-50
174	Bahamas	66	9	0
174	Guinea-Bissau	66	1	-32
174	Montserrat	66	9	0
177	Curacao	65	-16	-69
178	Swaziland	61	7	5
179	Madagascar	55	-6	-51
179	Mongolia	55	7	0
181	Brunei Darussalam	52	6	0
181	Timor-Leste	52	6	0
183	Cambodia	50	8	1
184	Guam	48	-3	-23
185	Tonga	44	-8	-43
186	Afghanistan	39	-19	-82
186	US Virgin Islands	39	4	-11
188	Papua New Guinea	38	7	0
189	Pakistan	37	-9	-35
190	Sri Lanka	36	-8	-32
191	British Virgin Islands	34	6	0
192	Cayman Islands	33	-3	-18
193	American Samoa	30	-14	-55
194	Comoros	29	2	-7
195	Somalia	27	-2	-16
196	Eritrea	24	-4	-21
196	Seychelles	24	-2	-15
198	Macau	23	1	1
199	Kyrgyzstan	20	1	0
199	South Sudan	20	1	0
201	Cook Islands	16	-3	-12
202	Djibouti	13	0	-4
202	Mauritius	13	1	0
204	Andorra	11	-1	-2
205	Anguilla	4	0	0
206	Mauritania	3	0	0
207	Bhutan	0	0	0
207	San Marino	0	0	0
207	Turks and Caicos Islands	0	0	0

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About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.