FIFA Ranking: January 2013 probable ranking

Next update: 11 January 2013. 

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.

Not many changes expected. Cuba will rise again, as the final of the Caribbean Cup will be included in this month's calculation.

Ecuador will improve their best ever ranking - they will be 12th next month.

The January 2013 ranking will be used to compute the points for the 6 February 2013 matches.

FIFA Ranking: January 2013 probable results

Here are the probable results used for the January 2013 probable ranking. They are generated using the Elo Ratings.

Before posting comments like: "Hey my team actually beat the other team! It's a mistake!" please read the previous paragraph again and look when these results were posted (Yes, before the matches actually took place!) ;)

1 - First team wins
X - Draw
2 - Second team wins

FIFA Ranking: January 2013 preview

Next update: 11 January 2013.


Most points gained (worst case scenario):

44 - Cuba
30 - Equatorial Guinea
27 - Uzbekistan
26 - El Salvador
22 - Congo DR
19 - Libya
18 - Belize
16 - Paraguay
16 - Syria
12 - Sudan
 
Most points dropped (best case scenario):

-63 - Mali
-37 - Algeria
-32 - Sao Tome e Principe
-28 - Benin
-26 - United Arab Emirates
-24 - Trinidad and Tobago
-23 - Zambia
-19 - Chile
-17 - Egypt
-16 - Senegal

December 2012: FIFA Ranking vs. Elo Ratings

Top 10 differences for countries with a better Elo Rating:

Team - FIFA Ranking - Elo Rating - Difference

Syria	144	86	58
South Sudan	199	142	57
Fiji	169	122	47
Mauritania	206	163	43
Saudi Arabia	126	84	42
China PR	88	51	37
Bahrain	119	83	36
Korea DPR	99	64	35
Eritrea	196	161	35
New Zealand	91	57	34

FIFA Ranking: December 2012 final preview

FIFA will publish the ranking on 19 December.

I've used 16 December as deadline for matches. 17 teams can still change their totals:

Team - Minimum Points - Maximum Points - Worst possible rank - Best possible rank

Haiti	602	734	46	33
Poland	528	553	60	55
Iran	522	532	62	58
Trinidad and Tobago	483	561	72	55
FYR Macedonia	436	480	81	74
Angola	425	436	85	81
Jordan	364	373	99	94
Oman	361	369	99	94
Cuba	278	395	118	90
Saudi Arabia	264	282	127	116
Kuwait	263	281	127	116
Bahrain	260	275	127	118
Lebanon	259	274	127	119
Gambia	186	248	144	132
Syria	179	220	145	139
Palestine	152	168	153	149
Yemen	108	158	164	152

In the table below, the values used for these teams are the minimum possible.

FIFA Ranking: December 2012 probable ranking (IV)

Next update: 14 December 2012. 

FIFA will publish the ranking on 19 December.

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.

Couple of things will happen (not depending on probable results):

FIFA Ranking: December 2012 probable results (IV)

Here are the probable results used for the December 2012 probable ranking. They are generated using the Elo Ratings.

Before posting comments like: "Hey my team actually beat the other team! It's a mistake!" please read the previous paragraph again and look when these results were posted (Yes, before the matches actually took place!) ;)

1 - First team wins
X - Draw
2 - Second team wins

FIFA Ranking: December 2012 preview (IV)

Next update: 14 December 2012.

FIFA will publish the ranking on 19 December.

The top 21 teams are already set.

Haiti could climb to 22nd, Dominican Republic to 33rd.

Best teams to play against on 6 February 2013

I've used probable results for the 2012 Caribbean Cup and a couple of January friendlies.

This is based on (FIFA points for a win) / (actual effort from Elo rating).

Only teams that would bring at least 200 points for an OFC opponent: