2016 UEFA EURO 2016 qualifying draw pots simulations (21 June 2013)

More about the simulations in the second and third paragraphs of the first 'Road to Brazil' post.

I know the EURO 2016 qualifying format will most likely change, but since I already had the code in place, here are the updated simulations.

Pot 6:

100% - Andorra
100% - San Marino
100% - Gibraltar
99.92% - Malta
99.55% - Liechtenstein
98.14% - Faroe Islands
97.69% - Luxembourg
81.87% - Kazakhstan
17.08% - Cyprus
5.7% - Azerbaijan
0.02% - Georgia
0.01% - Moldova
0.01% - Iceland
0.01% - FYR Macedonia


Pot 5:

99.97% - Moldova
99.77% - Georgia
96.99% - Iceland
95.11% - FYR Macedonia
94.3% - Azerbaijan
83.08% - Lithuania
82.92% - Cyprus
74.61% - Northern Ireland
44.02% - Belarus
32.44% - Albania
20.21% - Estonia
18.13% - Kazakhstan
17.54% - Latvia
14.87% - Wales
7.04% - Armenia
6.97% - Bulgaria
6.79% - Scotland
2.31% - Luxembourg
1.86% - Faroe Islands
0.53% - Finland
0.45% - Liechtenstein
0.08% - Malta
0.01% - Poland

Pot 4:

91.67% - Finland
91.3% - Scotland
90.51% - Armenia
87.56% - Bulgaria
83.1% - Wales
80.84% - Latvia
78.89% - Estonia
66.44% - Albania
61.15% - Poland
55.95% - Belarus
25.33% - Northern Ireland
22.22% - Austria
17.2% - Slovenia
16.92% - Lithuania
12.5% - Montenegro
4.88% - FYR Macedonia
3.6% - Turkey
3.24% - Serbia
3% - Iceland
1.82% - Romania
1.64% - Slovakia
0.21% - Georgia
0.02% - Moldova
0.01% - Norway

Pot 3:

95.76% - Serbia
95.61% - Turkey
95.55% - Slovakia
91.54% - Romania
87.46% - Montenegro
82.04% - Slovenia
77.48% - Austria
73.44% - Israel
62.76% - Norway
38.84% - Poland
21.48% - Belgium
19.12% - Republic of Ireland
12.64% - Hungary
9.11% - Czech Republic
7.8% - Finland
7.39% - Switzerland
6.2% - Denmark
5.47% - Bulgaria
2.45% - Armenia
2.03% - Wales
1.91% - Scotland
1.62% - Latvia
1.12% - Albania
0.9% - Estonia
0.13% - Sweden
0.06% - Northern Ireland
0.05% - Ukraine
0.03% - Belarus
0.01% - Bosnia-Herzegovina

Pot 2:

95.7% - Ukraine
93.51% - Denmark
92.57% - Switzerland
90.7% - Czech Republic
87.3% - Hungary
84.88% - Sweden
80.81% - Republic of Ireland
78.52% - Belgium
59.24% - Bosnia-Herzegovina
41.15% - Croatia
37.23% - Norway
26.56% - Israel
14.7% - Greece
6.64% - Romania
2.81% - Slovakia
2.72% - Russia
1.63% - Portugal
1% - Serbia
0.79% - Turkey
0.76% - Slovenia
0.43% - England
0.3% - Austria
0.04% - Montenegro
0.01% - Italy

Pot 1:

100% - Netherlands
100% - Germany
100% - Spain
99.99% - Italy
99.57% - England
98.37% - Portugal
97.28% - Russia
85.3% - Greece
58.85% - Croatia
40.75% - Bosnia-Herzegovina
14.99% - Sweden
4.25% - Ukraine
0.29% - Denmark
0.19% - Czech Republic
0.07% - Republic of Ireland
0.06% - Hungary
0.04% - Switzerland

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About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.