FIFA will publish the ranking on 4 July.
48 matches left before the deadline.
Most points gained (worst case scenario):
129 - Scotland
126 - Austria
126 - Armenia
107 - Peru
95 - Finland
88 - Malta
87 - Ukraine
83 - Colombia
66 - Slovenia
57 - Cape Verde Islands
Most points dropped (best case scenario):
-143 - Germany
-134 - Ecuador
-124 - Croatia
-118 - Jamaica
-102 - Denmark
-101 - England
-84 - France
-83 - Argentina
-80 - Russia
-67 - Montenegro
Colombia above Argentina - first time since February 1998.
England (at best 11th) will be out of the top 10 for the first time since October 2008.
Greece will overtake England for the first time since June 2008.
Belgium will overtake them for the first time since June 1995 - when England were playing only friendlies as hosts of EURO 1996.
Bosnia-Herzegovina will overtake them for the first time ever.
Scotland will climb at least 22 places - best ever climb, improving on the 18 spots climbed in July 2006.
Austria (at least 19 places up) and South Sudan (2 places up) will equal their best ever climb. Austria climbed 19 places in July 2006, while South Sudan climbed 2 spots in September 2012.
At least four teams will improve their best ever ranking:
Belgium (at least 11 - 12 in June 2013)
Bosnia-Herzegovina (at least 14 - 15 in June 2013)
Peru (at least 21 - 25 in July 2011)
Guam (at least 177 - 178 in October 2012)
At least one team will return to its best ever ranking:
Timor-Leste (182 - 182 in December 2012)
At least four teams will drop to new lows:
Fiji (191 - 182 in June 2013)
Cambodia (198 - 192 in July 2012)
Seychelles (200 - 199 in July 2011)
Cook Islands (204 - 202 in April 2009)
June 2013 rank - Country - June 2013 points - Minimum points - Maximum points
1 | Spain | 1614 | 1278 | 1670 |
2 | Germany | 1416 | 1273 | 1273 |
3 | Argentina | 1287 | 1182 | 1204 |
4 | Croatia | 1222 | 1098 | 1098 |
5 | Netherlands | 1158 | 1180 | 1180 |
6 | Portugal | 1137 | 1099 | 1099 |
7 | Colombia | 1123 | 1206 | 1206 |
8 | Italy | 1097 | 905 | 1339 |
9 | England | 1095 | 994 | 994 |
10 | Ecuador | 1066 | 932 | 932 |
11 | Russia | 1059 | 979 | 979 |
12 | Belgium | 1035 | 1079 | 1079 |
13 | Côte d'Ivoire | 1022 | 890 | 965 |
14 | Switzerland | 1010 | 987 | 987 |
15 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 1008 | 995 | 995 |
16 | Greece | 1006 | 1038 | 1038 |
17 | Mexico | 928 | 802 | 1172 |
18 | France | 922 | 838 | 838 |
19 | Uruguay | 913 | 888 | 1313 |
20 | Denmark | 890 | 788 | 788 |
21 | Ghana | 887 | 786 | 831 |
22 | Brazil | 872 | 715 | 1100 |
23 | Mali | 869 | 758 | 808 |
24 | Czech Republic | 853 | 797 | 797 |
25 | Chile | 841 | 872 | 872 |
25 | Montenegro | 841 | 774 | 774 |
27 | Sweden | 830 | 765 | 765 |
28 | USA | 798 | 800 | 865 |
29 | Norway | 794 | 801 | 801 |
30 | Peru | 791 | 898 | 898 |
31 | Nigeria | 785 | 685 | 1015 |
32 | Japan | 765 | 689 | 1118 |
33 | Hungary | 759 | 749 | 749 |
34 | Romania | 750 | 732 | 732 |
35 | Algeria | 737 | 667 | 726 |
36 | Serbia | 723 | 661 | 661 |
37 | Venezuela | 712 | 704 | 704 |
38 | Albania | 690 | 689 | 689 |
39 | Ukraine | 687 | 774 | 774 |
40 | Korea Republic | 666 | 642 | 737 |
41 | Republic of Ireland | 659 | 639 | 639 |
42 | Tunisia | 652 | 607 | 666 |
43 | Panama | 649 | 601 | 657 |
44 | Paraguay | 640 | 622 | 622 |
45 | Wales | 638 | 630 | 630 |
46 | Bulgaria | 628 | 596 | 596 |
47 | Australia | 619 | 624 | 671 |
48 | Costa Rica | 617 | 630 | 688 |
49 | Jamaica | 602 | 484 | 484 |
49 | Zambia | 602 | 544 | 574 |
51 | Burkina Faso | 594 | 607 | 656 |
52 | Honduras | 582 | 561 | 636 |
53 | Bolivia | 578 | 528 | 528 |
54 | Turkey | 573 | 573 | 573 |
55 | Slovenia | 568 | 634 | 634 |
56 | Slovakia | 565 | 542 | 542 |
57 | New Zealand | 551 | 582 | 582 |
58 | Uzbekistan | 550 | 516 | 563 |
59 | Central African Republic | 543 | 398 | 492 |
60 | South Africa | 542 | 558 | 599 |
61 | Iceland | 541 | 499 | 499 |
62 | Israel | 540 | 540 | 540 |
63 | Haiti | 538 | 522 | 522 |
64 | Equatorial Guinea | 523 | 464 | 668 |
65 | Cameroon | 517 | 488 | 575 |
65 | Poland | 517 | 493 | 493 |
67 | Belarus | 506 | 482 | 482 |
67 | Iran | 506 | 527 | 596 |
69 | Libya | 498 | 417 | 541 |
70 | Sierra Leone | 497 | 443 | 561 |
71 | Egypt | 491 | 486 | 543 |
72 | Cape Verde Islands | 486 | 543 | 620 |
73 | Togo | 483 | 511 | 576 |
74 | Scotland | 481 | 610 | 610 |
75 | Jordan | 472 | 451 | 489 |
76 | Austria | 469 | 595 | 595 |
77 | Morocco | 463 | 443 | 470 |
78 | FYR Macedonia | 460 | 395 | 395 |
79 | Congo DR | 454 | 402 | 499 |
80 | Congo | 452 | 396 | 556 |
81 | Trinidad and Tobago | 447 | 419 | 419 |
82 | Gabon | 444 | 392 | 459 |
83 | Canada | 443 | 413 | 413 |
84 | Finland | 442 | 537 | 537 |
85 | Guinea | 438 | 466 | 545 |
86 | El Salvador | 429 | 382 | 382 |
87 | United Arab Emirates | 424 | 432 | 432 |
88 | Guatemala | 410 | 388 | 423 |
89 | Armenia | 408 | 534 | 534 |
89 | Estonia | 408 | 423 | 423 |
91 | Angola | 406 | 357 | 443 |
91 | Cuba | 406 | 458 | 458 |
93 | Uganda | 401 | 416 | 466 |
94 | Dominican Republic | 396 | 396 | 396 |
95 | China PR | 393 | 339 | 354 |
96 | Georgia | 391 | 369 | 369 |
97 | New Caledonia | 371 | 377 | 377 |
98 | Iraq | 370 | 335 | 377 |
99 | Senegal | 366 | 368 | 497 |
100 | Liberia | 356 | 324 | 384 |
101 | Oman | 351 | 361 | 395 |
102 | Zimbabwe | 350 | 304 | 387 |
103 | Mozambique | 349 | 326 | 430 |
104 | Qatar | 338 | 306 | 357 |
105 | Lithuania | 330 | 321 | 321 |
106 | Ethiopia | 328 | 325 | 381 |
107 | Niger | 325 | 313 | 389 |
108 | Saudi Arabia | 323 | 315 | 315 |
109 | Malawi | 317 | 312 | 312 |
109 | Tanzania | 317 | 271 | 371 |
111 | Kuwait | 315 | 309 | 309 |
112 | Tajikistan | 312 | 314 | 314 |
113 | Suriname | 311 | 311 | 311 |
114 | Korea DPR | 309 | 306 | 306 |
115 | Benin | 308 | 225 | 454 |
116 | Northern Ireland | 304 | 307 | 307 |
117 | Bahrain | 292 | 286 | 286 |
118 | Azerbaijan | 291 | 298 | 298 |
119 | Latvia | 287 | 280 | 280 |
120 | Namibia | 281 | 252 | 252 |
121 | Antigua and Barbuda | 280 | 265 | 265 |
122 | Cyprus | 269 | 256 | 256 |
123 | Kenya | 268 | 264 | 264 |
124 | Grenada | 266 | 264 | 264 |
125 | Burundi | 256 | 273 | 273 |
126 | Guyana | 249 | 250 | 250 |
127 | Botswana | 245 | 225 | 301 |
128 | Puerto Rico | 241 | 241 | 241 |
129 | Belize | 239 | 242 | 242 |
130 | St. Vincent and the Grenadines | 238 | 238 | 238 |
131 | Lebanon | 233 | 246 | 246 |
132 | Turkmenistan | 232 | 232 | 232 |
133 | Vietnam | 231 | 182 | 182 |
134 | Moldova | 230 | 240 | 256 |
135 | Rwanda | 224 | 233 | 351 |
135 | Sudan | 224 | 203 | 292 |
137 | St. Kitts and Nevis | 218 | 218 | 218 |
138 | Syria | 215 | 205 | 205 |
138 | Tahiti | 215 | 147 | 843 |
140 | Afghanistan | 210 | 214 | 214 |
140 | St. Lucia | 210 | 210 | 210 |
142 | Thailand | 209 | 202 | 223 |
143 | Kyrgyzstan | 206 | 227 | 264 |
144 | Philippines | 203 | 203 | 203 |
145 | Luxembourg | 186 | 210 | 210 |
146 | Kazakhstan | 180 | 172 | 172 |
147 | Hong Kong | 178 | 173 | 173 |
147 | India | 178 | 178 | 178 |
149 | Barbados | 175 | 175 | 175 |
150 | Aruba | 163 | 163 | 163 |
151 | Palestine | 162 | 167 | 167 |
152 | Bangladesh | 161 | 166 | 166 |
153 | Lesotho | 156 | 133 | 277 |
154 | Chad | 152 | 134 | 134 |
155 | Myanmar | 149 | 129 | 129 |
156 | Malta | 148 | 236 | 236 |
157 | Maldives | 146 | 147 | 147 |
158 | Liechtenstein | 145 | 173 | 173 |
159 | Malaysia | 144 | 136 | 136 |
159 | Sao Tome e Principe | 144 | 120 | 120 |
161 | Bermuda | 139 | 139 | 139 |
162 | Faroe Islands | 138 | 81 | 81 |
162 | Gambia | 138 | 126 | 285 |
162 | Nicaragua | 138 | 138 | 216 |
165 | Singapore | 134 | 146 | 146 |
166 | Solomon Islands | 130 | 132 | 132 |
167 | Dominica | 124 | 124 | 124 |
168 | Laos | 118 | 87 | 87 |
168 | Pakistan | 118 | 114 | 114 |
170 | Indonesia | 116 | 112 | 112 |
171 | Nepal | 108 | 106 | 106 |
172 | Sri Lanka | 99 | 95 | 95 |
173 | Yemen | 96 | 96 | 96 |
174 | Mauritania | 94 | 94 | 94 |
175 | Chinese Taipei | 90 | 77 | 77 |
176 | Bahamas | 66 | 53 | 53 |
176 | Montserrat | 66 | 66 | 66 |
178 | Curacao | 65 | 65 | 65 |
178 | Guam | 65 | 70 | 70 |
178 | Swaziland | 65 | 60 | 153 |
181 | Guinea-Bissau | 62 | 58 | 58 |
182 | Fiji | 61 | 41 | 41 |
182 | Mongolia | 61 | 49 | 49 |
184 | Madagascar | 55 | 51 | 51 |
185 | Brunei Darussalam | 52 | 52 | 52 |
185 | Mauritius | 52 | 52 | 52 |
185 | Timor-Leste | 52 | 52 | 52 |
188 | Samoa | 46 | 46 | 46 |
189 | Cambodia | 45 | 20 | 20 |
190 | Tonga | 44 | 43 | 43 |
191 | Vanuatu | 43 | 43 | 43 |
192 | Comoros | 41 | 41 | 41 |
193 | US Virgin Islands | 39 | 46 | 46 |
194 | Papua New Guinea | 38 | 23 | 23 |
195 | British Virgin Islands | 34 | 34 | 34 |
196 | Cayman Islands | 33 | 33 | 33 |
197 | American Samoa | 30 | 30 | 30 |
198 | Eritrea | 24 | 24 | 24 |
199 | Seychelles | 22 | 19 | 19 |
200 | South Sudan | 20 | 20 | 20 |
201 | Cook Islands | 16 | 9 | 9 |
202 | Macau | 14 | 12 | 12 |
202 | Somalia | 14 | 14 | 14 |
204 | Djibouti | 11 | 11 | 11 |
205 | Andorra | 8 | 8 | 8 |
206 | Anguilla | 4 | 3 | 3 |
207 | Bhutan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
207 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
207 | Turks and Caicos Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Thanks Edgar, but just a correction: this is actually a probable ranking table and not a preview. Minimum and maximum points per team are not matching.
ReplyDeleteI pasted the probable ranking table :)
DeleteFixed now. Thanks!
Hi Edgar.
ReplyDeleteAlgeria withdrew from the African Cup of local players (CHAN) and will not going to play the game in Algiers on June 23rd and the second leg in Tripoli on July 5th. This seems to be due to security concerns in Libya and possible tension in Tripoli but the Algerian Federation (FAF) argued that to possible move to key players of the local national teams to a number of clubs in Europe and a number of injuries for their teammates.
Both games are considered by Fifa as friendlies, the first game will be affecting the ranking in July while the second will affect the ranking in August.
African teams start thinking about improving their FIFA ranking for September before the draw planned on September 16th. The top 5 ranked teams in September will avoid facing each other.
It would be excellent to make a predicted ranking for all African teams likely to qualify for the third stage of WCQs with the games played so far (excluding any games played in August and September).
How the two teams get affected by the removal of the two games.
Here you go:
Delete2014 FIFA World Cup seeding simulations for the African play-offs
Croatia 4 ?
ReplyDeleteThe first column is the June ranking.
Delete