FIFA Ranking: July 2013 probable ranking (II)

Next update: 21 June 2013.

FIFA will publish the ranking on 4 July.

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking. 

Scotland will climb at least 22 places - best ever climb, improving on the 18 spots climbed in July 2006.

Austria (at least 19 places up) and South Sudan (2 places up) will equal their best ever climb. Austria climbed 19 places in July 2006, while South Sudan climbed 2 spots in September 2012.


Colombia above Argentina - first time since February 1998.

England (at best 11th) will be out of the top 10 for the first time since October 2008.

Greece will overtake England for the first time since June 2008.
Belgium will overtake them for the first time since June 1995 - when England were playing only friendlies as hosts of EURO 1996.
Bosnia-Herzegovina will overtake them for the first time ever.

At least four teams will improve their best ever ranking: 

Belgium (at least 11 - 12 in June 2013)
Bosnia-Herzegovina (at least 14 - 15 in June 2013)
Peru (at least 21 - 25 in July 2011)
Guam (at least 177 - 178 in October 2012)

At least one team will return to its best ever ranking:

Timor-Leste (182 - 182 in December 2012)

At least four teams will drop to new lows:

Fiji (191 - 182 in June 2013)
Cambodia (198 - 192 in July 2012)
Seychelles (200 - 199 in July 2011)
Cook Islands (204 - 202 in April 2009)

Based on these probable results:

Best movers:

25 - Guinea
24 - Scotland, Armenia and Malta
23 - Cape Verde Islands

Worst movers:

-27 - Central African Republic
-25 - Jamaica
-21 - Benin

Best movers in the top 50:

24 - Scotland
23 - Cape Verde Islands
13 - Brazil

Worst movers in the top 50:

-25 - Jamaica
-8 - Ecuador, Denmark and Panama
-7 - Serbia, Bulgaria and Zambia

Remember, based on these probable results:

10 teams will improve their best ever ranking:

Colombia (3 - 4 in December 1996)
Belgium (8 - 12 in June 2013)
Bosnia-Herzegovina (13 - 15 in June 2013)
Peru (20 - 25 in July 2011)
Cape Verde Islands (49 - 51 in October 2012)
Dominican Republic (91 - 92 in November 2012)
Tajikistan (106 - 112 in April 2013)
Afghanistan (138 - 139 in April 2013)
Philippines (142 - 143 in November 2012)
Guam (176 - 178 in October 2012)

One team will return to its best ever ranking:

Timor-Leste (182 - 182 in December 2012)

Five teams will drop to new lows:

Sudan (142 - 135 in April 2000)
Fiji (191 - 182 in June 2013)
Cambodia (198 - 192 in July 2012)
Seychelles (200 - 199 in July 2011)
Cook Islands (204 - 202 in April 2009)

Probable July 2013 rank - Team - Probable July 2013 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points

1	Spain	1602	0	-12
2	Germany	1273	0	-143
3	Colombia	1206	4	83
4	Argentina	1204	-1	-83
5	Netherlands	1180	0	22
6	Portugal	1099	0	-38
7	Croatia	1098	-3	-124
8	Belgium	1079	4	44
9	Brazil	1065	13	193
10	Italy	1046	-2	-51
11	Greece	1038	5	32
12	Uruguay	1016	7	103
13	Bosnia-Herzegovina	995	2	-13
14	England	994	-5	-101
15	Switzerland	987	-1	-23
16	Russia	979	-5	-80
17	Côte d'Ivoire	943	-4	-79
18	Ecuador	932	-8	-134
19	Mexico	911	-2	-17
20	Peru	898	10	107
21	Chile	872	4	31
22	USA	865	6	67
23	France	838	-5	-84
24	Ghana	813	-3	-74
25	Mali	808	-2	-61
26	Norway	801	3	7
27	Czech Republic	797	-3	-56
28	Denmark	788	-8	-102
29	Montenegro	774	-4	-67
29	Ukraine	774	10	87
31	Sweden	765	-4	-65
32	Hungary	749	1	-10
33	Korea Republic	737	7	71
34	Romania	732	0	-18
35	Algeria	726	0	-11
36	Nigeria	724	-5	-61
37	Venezuela	704	0	-8
38	Albania	689	0	-1
38	Japan	689	-6	-76
40	Costa Rica	688	8	71
41	Australia	671	6	52
42	Tunisia	666	0	14
43	Serbia	661	-7	-62
44	Republic of Ireland	639	-3	-20
45	Slovenia	634	10	66
46	Wales	630	-1	-8
47	Burkina Faso	623	4	29
48	Paraguay	622	-4	-18
49	Cape Verde Islands	620	23	134
50	Scotland	610	24	129
51	Panama	601	-8	-48
52	South Africa	599	8	57
53	Bulgaria	596	-7	-32
54	Austria	595	22	126
55	New Zealand	582	2	31
56	Zambia	574	-7	-28
57	Turkey	573	-3	0
58	Honduras	569	-6	-13
59	Uzbekistan	563	-1	13
60	Guinea	545	25	107
61	Egypt	543	10	52
62	Slovakia	542	-6	-23
63	Israel	540	-1	0
64	Finland	537	20	95
65	Armenia	534	24	126
66	Bolivia	528	-13	-50
67	Iran	527	0	21
68	Haiti	522	-5	-16
69	Cameroon	517	-4	0
70	Togo	511	3	28
71	Iceland	499	-10	-42
71	Libya	499	-2	1
73	Poland	493	-8	-24
74	Jamaica	484	-25	-118
75	Belarus	482	-8	-24
76	Morocco	470	1	7
77	Uganda	466	16	65
78	Equatorial Guinea	464	-14	-59
78	Jordan	464	-3	-8
80	Gabon	459	2	15
81	Cuba	458	10	52
82	Congo	450	-2	-2
83	Sierra Leone	443	-13	-54
84	Congo DR	434	-5	-20
85	United Arab Emirates	432	2	8
86	Central African Republic	429	-27	-114
87	Estonia	423	2	15
88	Trinidad and Tobago	419	-7	-28
89	Canada	413	-6	-30
90	Senegal	411	9	45
91	Dominican Republic	396	3	0
92	FYR Macedonia	395	-14	-65
93	Guatemala	388	-5	-22
94	El Salvador	382	-8	-47
95	Angola	380	-4	-26
96	New Caledonia	377	1	6
97	Oman	372	4	21
98	Georgia	369	-2	-22
99	China PR	354	-4	-39
100	Liberia	344	0	-12
101	Iraq	335	-3	-35
102	Mozambique	326	1	-23
103	Ethiopia	325	3	-3
104	Lithuania	321	1	-9
105	Saudi Arabia	315	3	-8
106	Tajikistan	314	6	2
107	Niger	313	0	-12
108	Malawi	312	1	-5
109	Suriname	311	4	0
110	Kuwait	309	1	-6
111	Northern Ireland	307	5	3
112	Korea DPR	306	2	-3
112	Qatar	306	-8	-32
114	Zimbabwe	304	-12	-46
115	Azerbaijan	298	3	7
116	Bahrain	286	1	-6
117	Latvia	280	2	-7
118	Burundi	273	7	17
119	Tanzania	271	-10	-46
120	Antigua and Barbuda	265	1	-15
121	Grenada	264	3	-2
121	Kenya	264	2	-4
123	Cyprus	256	-1	-13
123	Moldova	256	11	26
125	Namibia	252	-5	-29
126	Botswana	251	1	6
127	Guyana	250	-1	1
128	Lebanon	246	3	13
129	Belize	242	0	3
130	Puerto Rico	241	-2	0
131	St. Vincent and the Grenadines	238	-1	0
132	Malta	236	24	88
133	Rwanda	233	2	9
134	Turkmenistan	232	-2	0
135	Kyrgyzstan	227	8	21
136	Benin	225	-21	-83
137	St. Kitts and Nevis	218	0	0
138	Afghanistan	214	2	4
139	Luxembourg	210	6	24
139	St. Lucia	210	1	0
141	Syria	205	-3	-10
142	Philippines	203	2	0
142	Sudan	203	-7	-21
144	Thailand	202	-2	-7
145	Vietnam	182	-12	-49
146	India	178	1	0
147	Barbados	175	2	0
148	Hong Kong	173	-1	-5
148	Liechtenstein	173	10	28
150	Kazakhstan	172	-4	-8
151	Palestine	167	0	5
152	Bangladesh	166	0	5
153	Aruba	163	-3	0
154	Maldives	147	3	1
154	Tahiti	147	-16	-68
156	Singapore	146	9	12
157	Bermuda	139	4	0
158	Nicaragua	138	4	0
159	Malaysia	136	0	-8
160	Chad	134	-6	-18
161	Lesotho	133	-8	-23
162	Solomon Islands	132	4	2
163	Myanmar	129	-8	-20
164	Gambia	126	-2	-12
165	Dominica	124	2	0
166	Sao Tome e Principe	120	-7	-24
167	Pakistan	114	1	-4
168	Indonesia	112	2	-4
169	Nepal	106	2	-2
170	Yemen	96	3	0
171	Sri Lanka	95	1	-4
172	Mauritania	94	2	0
173	Laos	87	-5	-31
174	Faroe Islands	81	-12	-57
175	Chinese Taipei	77	0	-13
176	Guam	70	2	5
177	Montserrat	66	-1	0
178	Curacao	65	0	0
179	Swaziland	60	-1	-5
180	Guinea-Bissau	58	1	-4
181	Bahamas	53	-5	-13
182	Brunei Darussalam	52	3	0
182	Mauritius	52	3	0
182	Timor-Leste	52	3	0
185	Madagascar	51	-1	-4
186	Mongolia	49	-4	-12
187	Samoa	46	1	0
187	US Virgin Islands	46	6	7
189	Tonga	43	1	-1
189	Vanuatu	43	2	0
191	Comoros	41	1	0
191	Fiji	41	-9	-20
193	British Virgin Islands	34	2	0
194	Cayman Islands	33	2	0
195	American Samoa	30	2	0
196	Eritrea	24	2	0
197	Papua New Guinea	23	-3	-15
198	Cambodia	20	-9	-25
198	South Sudan	20	2	0
200	Seychelles	19	-1	-3
201	Somalia	14	1	0
202	Macau	12	0	-2
203	Djibouti	11	1	0
204	Cook Islands	9	-3	-7
205	Andorra	8	0	0
206	Anguilla	3	0	-1
207	Bhutan	0	0	0
207	San Marino	0	0	0
207	Turks and Caicos Islands	0	0	0

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Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.